Blizzard Bowl

November 25th, 2014 at 1:42 pm by under Bill's Blog, News, Sports, Weather

On Nov. 25, 1950 Michigan and Ohio State met for what has been called the “Blizzard Bowl” or the “Snow Bowl“. Check out the film of the storm here and here. Michigan won the game 9-3 despite gaining only 27 yards of offense in 46 plays. They had no first downs, didn’t complete a pass and punted 24 times. In fact, there were 45 punts in the game. Both teams mostly tried two runs then punted on 3rd down, so in case the punter slipped, they could try again on fourth down. Only 2 of the 45 punts were returned (for a total of 8 yards). That was mostly because the return man couldn’t find the ball. Most just hit the snow and stopped without bouncing. There were only 10 fumbles in the game. The temperature at the start of the game was +10° and the wind was howling out of the north-northeast. One Ohio St. player remarked that he was supposed to go down and block a linebacker, but when he ran downfield he could find him! All the points were scored after blocked kicks in the first half. Several hundred Boy Scouts were on the sidelines helping to sweep snow off the field so the officials and players could find the yard markers. Most of the state of Ohio got 10″ or more of snow, with reports up to 33″ and drifts up to 25 feet! The temperature in Grand Rapids that morning reached -10°F, the coldest temperature ever recorded here in the month of November. (photo – OSU library)


Tuesday PM Flurries

November 25th, 2014 at 2:14 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

  The Winter Weather Advisory has been cancelled for areas south of US 10 and remains in effect for N. Lower Mihigan.  We’ll continue to have periods of light snow and flurries north of I-94.  There will still be a few slick spots, especially on side streets, rural roads, sidewalks, driveways and parking lots.    Here’s radar and Regional radar.  Here’s GFS forecast snow and NAM forecast snow.  And the latest weather observations from around the state of Michigan.   Here’s an updated map showing the East Coast snowstorm – a mix of rain and snow for the coastal cities – a foot of snow in the mountains of W. Massachusetts.

New snowfall:  1″ Grand Rapids and Grandville, 1 1/2″ Howard City, 2″ Muskegon and Big Rapids, 3″ Allendale, Reed City and Hart, 4″ Fremont, Scottville and St. Ignace, 5″ Hesperia, Petoskey, Iron Mt.,  Gaylord and Houghton Lake, 6″ Mears, Wellston (Manistee Co.) and Benzonia, 7″ E. Jordan and Mancelona, 8″ Newberry, 9″ Calumet, 12″ Herman (west of Marquette), 13″ Bessemer (also in the U.P.).

Climate update:  Yesterday (Mon.) was the windiest day since last April 28th.  Over the last three weeks, G.R. has had just 12.9% of possible sunshine.  Today (Tue.) is the 21st consecutive day with at least at trace of rain or snow and 17 of those days have had measurable rain or snow.  G.R. is 6.3° cooler than average for November.  Monday evening the temperature was -17°F at Churchill, Manitoba and -27°F at Whitehorse in the Yukon.  Plenty of very cold air sitting to our north, ready to pounce on us when the next deep trough sets up in the eastern U.S.  However, the pattern looks cool, not cold for the Great Lakes as we head into Dec.  The models give G.R. only about 1/2-1″ of snow after daybreak with a high of 33 – so travel esp. this afternoon looks better than during the early morning.  The NAM (car) would give us another 1/2-1″ on Thurs.  The GFS-plot would have maybe an inch of snow today, another inch on T-Day and maybe 2-3″ on Friday…mid-upper 30s over the weekend and nothing terribly cold in the long-term.

Also:  2-4″ snow fell west and northwest of Milwaukee.  Record highs of 72 in Philadelphia and 74 in Washington D.C. on Monday.  Weds. night snow to create travel problems for East Coast for the Holiday.  Storm next Monday will bring welcome soaking rain and mountain snows to Oregon and Northern/Central California.  Tornado in S. Africa.   Strong thunderstorms with gusty winds and intense lighting at DisneyWorld/Sea World this morning.

Nov. 24 JAMSTEC discussion:  “ENSO forecast: The SINTEX-F model prediction shows that the present weak El Niño will continue until the early next year and then turn into El Niño Modoki with the SST anomalies peaking in the central tropical Pacific.
Regional forecast: In this boreal winter, as a seasonally averaged view, most parts of Europe, Africa, Middle East, central Russia, India, Southeast Asia, South American Continent, Canada, and the Far East including Japan will experience a warmer-than-normal condition. On the other hand, U.K., southern and northeastern Russia, and central-eastern U.S. in particular will be in a colder-than-normal condition.    MJO going to be heading into more favorable territory for WPAC storms next few weeks.  (that would mean that December would be closer to average temps. in the Great Lakes as opposed to November and what we expect in Jan./Feb.

Here’s Grand Rapids radar and Northern Michigan radar, NAM model 3-day snowfall forecast and GFS model 5-day snowfall forecast (totals increased on the Sat. overnight model run). Storm Total Snowfall will show the heaviest snow and Milwaukee looping radar. Regional radar and the Updated GRR NWS Short Term Discussion. More links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indian radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s recent storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map.


Weather Advisory Northern Lower MI

November 24th, 2014 at 4:22 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Tadvisoryuesday afternoon -  The Winter Weather Advisory from Kent and Ottawa Co. north has been cancelled.  The Advisory remains in effect for much of N. Lower Michigan until 5 pm.  The green areas on the map are  River Advisories.  We’re not going to get any significant flooding, but many rivers are running two or even three times average flow. Here’s current conditions.

Peak wind gusts Monday:  60 mph Fort Wayne IN, 59 mph Toledo OH, 57 mph Jackson, 56 mph Battle Creek and Saginaw, 55 mph Detroit and Jamestown, 53 mph downtown G.R. at GVSU (roof) and on the Muskegon Beach,  52 mph Pontiac, Allegan and Hillsdale, 51 mph Ford Airport in G.R., at Ionia and at the Holland Harbor, 50 mph Lake Macatawa, 48 mph Howell, 47 mph Lansing and  Holland (airport), 46 mph Marshall, S. Bend and Benton Harbor, 45 mph Kalamazoo,  44 mph Muskegon, S. Haven and Charlotte, 43 mph Alma and Mt. Pleasant.

Two-day rainfall:  1.98″ Kalamazoo, 1.94″ Grand Rapids, 1.87″ Battle Creek, 1.82″ Muskegon, 1.77″ Holland.  Rivers are well above average flow.  As of Monday evening:   Grand River in downtown G.R. is at 7,540 cubic feet per second (average is 2670 cfs), the Muskegon River at Croton is at 5630 cfs (average 1670) and the Kalamazoo River near Battle Creek is at 1150 cfs (average 580 cfs).

The models keep us chilly through Saturday morning, then warm us up to 40° Saturday night.  Our average high temp. this week is low 40s.


Monday – Showers, Falling Temps.

November 24th, 2014 at 2:46 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

We transition from steady rain early this morning to scatterec light showers and sprinkles  Here’s radar and  Regional radar. Temperatures will be from the mid 40s to mid 50s today very early today, then falling as the wind picks up from the WSW and colder air moves in.  Watch for ponding of water this morning.  We set daily rainfall records in both Grand Rapids (1.16″) and Lansing (0.92″) on Sunday.  Other rainfall totals:  1.24″ S. Bend, 1.20″ Kalamazoo, 0.99″ Battle Creek, 0.84″ Muskegon, 0.83″ Holland.   Here’s GFS forecast snow and NAM forecast snow.  The colder air will send temperatures downward this midday/afternoon with roads become slippery Monday night as temperatures falling below freezing and rain turns to snow. Accumulating snow is likely Monday night into Tuesday and chilly air will keep daytime temps. in the upper 20s to low 30s from Tues. thru the rest of the week. Roads will be slippery for the Tues. am commute. At least snow showers are likely from Monday night into Thursday and it’s likely we’ll have a White Thanksgiving. Here’s GRR NWS Snow Forecast.    Gale Warning for Monday and Monday night. Lake Erie was colder yesterday than for any Nov. 23 since 1933!   Lions lose for 2nd week in a row. Some appropriate music for this early Monday.   Radar was “Irish” last night – all green.   From Dr. Ryan Maue:  “Overnight European model blankets Wash DC to Philly to NYC to Boston with heavy, wet snow midday Wednesday into Thursday. Travel nightmare unfolding.    Back in Buffalo – it’s worse than I thought!

Also: Anyone want to shovel off the roof? Or the driveway? I found the car! Building collapse (2 pics.). Wow! Earthquake Japan – 30 injured.

Here’s Grand Rapids radar and Northern Michigan radar, NAM model 3-day snowfall forecast and GFS model 5-day snowfall forecast (totals increased on the Sat. overnight model run). Storm Total Snowfall will show the heaviest snow and Milwaukee looping radar. Regional radar and the Updated GRR NWS Short Term Discussion. More links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indian radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s recent storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map.


Monday – Rain Then Snow

November 23rd, 2014 at 1:00 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Big slug of rain over the area Sunday nightRegional radar.   Temperatures will be from the mid 40s to mid 50s today thru early Monday, eating thru the rest of the snow that’s left (except for maybe a few of the bigger piles which may survive in some small fashion).  Radar will update here automatically.   Watch for ponding of water.  The morning run of the GFS plot gives G.R. a whopping 2.03″ of rain by midday Monday, then 0.30″ worth of snow (3-4″) with the morning NAM (car.) giving G.R. 1.86″ of precipitation by late Tuesday, with 3.8″ snow Monday night and Tuesday.  European model gives G.R. 1.39″ of rain this afternoon into Monday and then 3-4″ of snow as the cold air arrives Monday evening/night.  Here’s GFS forecast snow and NAM forecast snow.   The GFS-plot has highs in the low 30′s Tues. PM and Weds. with highs of 29 Thurs. and 27 on Friday.   The cold front will send temperatures downward Monday with roads become slippery Monday night as temperatures falling beow freezing and rain turns to snow.  Accumulating snow is likely Monday night into Tuesday and chilly air will keep daytime temps. in the upper 20s to low 30s from Tues. thru the rest of the week.  Roads will be slippery for the Tues. am commute.  At least snow showers are likely from Monday night into Thursday and it’s likely we’ll have a White Thanksgiving.  Ho Ho Ho – Gobble Gobble!!  Deep low pressure system to bring strong winds and cold temperatures back to W. Michigan.   Gale Warning for Monday and Monday night.   Lake Erie is colder today than for any Nov. 23 since 1933!    Lions lose for 2nd week in a row.    Some appropriate music for Sunday night.   Irish looking radar at 1 am – all green.

Also:  Anyone want to shovel off the roofOr the driveway?   I found the carBuilding collapse (2 pics.).  WowEarthquake Japan – 30 injured.

Here’s Grand Rapids radar and Northern Michigan radar, NAM model 3-day snowfall forecast and GFS model 5-day snowfall forecast (totals increased on the Sat. overnight model run). Storm Total Snowfall will show the heaviest snow and Milwaukee looping radar. Regional radar and the Updated GRR NWS Short Term Discussion. More links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indian radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s recent storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map.


Sunday

November 22nd, 2014 at 2:30 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

bill steffen at santa claus parade  WOOD personalities in the G.R. Santa Parade 2014 That’s me and my daughter, Marie riding in the Grand Rapids Santa Clause Parade Sat. morning on the left and many of the WOOD anchors who walked in the parade this am.  I got a very nice Proclamation from the City of Grand Rapids for my 40 years on TV here in W. Michigan.  Thank you so much Grand Rapids…and thanks to all of you who have watched me over these years!!  I very much appreciate the volunteers, many from Bill’s Blog, who came out to help pass out Bill’s mustaches and bookmarks.   After I finished that parade, I headed to Hudsonville to walk in their Holiday Parade.  After the parade, Hudsonville has cookies, punch, cocoa…Santa and Mrs. Santa are there…live reindeer and I really enjoyed the Hudsonville H.S. jazz band.  Lots of people…especially lots of kids at both parades.   Half a dozen people told me they love the blog.

The Sat. evening run of the NAM has 0.72″ of rain for G.R., then about 2.5″ of snow Tues.  The GFS-plot has 1.64″ of rain, then about 3-4″ of snow.  Temps. are in the low 50s Sun. and early Mon., then low 30s the rest of the week, pretty much with snow showers.

Marquette ends string of 13 consecutive days  below freezing.  In Detroit, plane slid off taxiway, passengers removed from aircraft & bussed back into terminal, no reported injuries.


Wet Weekend

November 22nd, 2014 at 1:37 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

 November snowfall Lower Michigan Radar and a GRR NWS graphic that shows the snow we’ve had in Lower Michigan.  I’ll be at the parades in G.R. (9 pm) and (if I get there on time) in Hudsonville.  Then some shopping and a dinner in the evening.   A light mix of sleet/freezing/could even be a few wet snowflakes at the start north of G.R.) will transition to a few light showers or a little drizzle.  Light fog will develop as temps. climb above freezing into the mid-upper 30s during the afternoon, then up to 40 overnight and into the 40s on Sunday.   Then it’s back to the cold and snow as the cold air blows back in on the heels of a strong west wind Monday and Tuesday.

Also:  Don’t you think it’d be fun to make Buffalo and the Jets play their game in the four feet of snow.   First 3 wks of Nov. tied for 2nd coldest on record in Chicago.  Check out this sunsetVolcano – I think this is Indonesia last year.  88 inches of snow fell in Cowlesville, NY over a 3-day period. This wld be the 4th snowiest winter in BOS.   G.R. sunset.  Modis satellite pic. of Lake Michigan from Friday.  Severe storms possible along the Gulf Coast this weekend.

Here’s Grand Rapids radar and Northern Michigan radar, NAM model 3-day snowfall forecast and GFS model 5-day snowfall forecast (totals increased on the Sat. overnight model run). Storm Total Snowfall will show the heaviest snow and Milwaukee looping radar. Regional radar and the Updated GRR NWS Short Term Discussion. More links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indian radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s recent storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map.

I’ve been saying that we’ll have some schools closed on Tues. The NAM (car) model has a temp. of 22.5 Tues. AM (and it stays in the low 20s all day), a west wind off the lake at 24 mph, snow plus blowing and drifting snow. The NAM forecasts 2.3″ for G.R. (airport) tonight/tomorrow..another inch Monday and an additional 8″ from Monday night into Tuesday night. The GFS3 has less with a total of 5″ thru Weds. for the airport. In any case, they’ll be enough snow to drift around in the brisk winds from late Mon. thru Weds. t’hat model also has a temp. of +1° for G.R. next Sat. morning. The European model has 0.43″ total precipitation thru Thurs. for G.R. That’d be 7-8″ of total snowfall, with enough wind for some 1-2 foot drifts.

 


Freezing Rain Advisory!

November 21st, 2014 at 11:39 am by under Bill's Blog, News, Weather

advisory   The National Weather Service has issued a Freezing Rain Advisory for the entire area.   The Advisory runs from 4 am to 9 am (and the icy conditions could last beyond 9 am – especially on gravel roads).  The ground is cold and ice is certainly going to be an issue.  We may get a little sleet at the start.  Watch 24-hour news 8 at noon for an update and keep reading the blog – I have some fresh threads below this one.


Sunshine! And Ice!

November 21st, 2014 at 11:17 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

alpena glerl    This picture is from the GLERL camera at Alpena (from NOAA Coastwatch).  First, Michigan is seeing some sunshine today.  Here’s the visible (daytime) satellite loop and the infrared (nighttime) satellite loop.  With only 7% sunshine in half a month, we deserve a bright day with a break from the snow (and drifting).  Also, if you look at the picture, you can see ice forming on Lake Huron…and it’s only Nov. 21.  The MODIS satellite pictures showed ice in Black Bay of (NW) Lake Superior and starting along the shore in Green Bay.  Many of our inland lakes have an icecover – it’s quite thin and you’ll have to be very careful if and when you venture out on the ice.  The North American snow and ice map shows near record early snow cover and we continue to see the best analog year (the year that best fit the conditions we have now) as 1976, which turned out to be the coldest winter ever in G.R. over the past 110 years.  Many ski areas will open either this evening or tomorrow.  It’d be best to go this evening, with the prospect of a little freezing rain to rain tomorrow, but for this time of year – conditions today are as good as they get.  Lots of kids have been out sledding.

The morning run of the NAM model is in…for G.R….we drop to 15° this evening, but rise to 30 by daybreak.  We get 3-4 hours of freezing rain in the early morning…the temperature rises (only) to the mid 30s in the afternoon, but conditions will improve late in the day.  It’ll be wet and cold at Saturday football games.   The temperature rises to the upper 30s Sunday night, and this is when the bulk of he rain falls, 1/2 to 1″ total. Monday am we peak at 45 °, then drop to the mid 30s by late pm with a few rain showers changing to light snow showers by evening.  Monday and Tuesday are windy and chilly days.  Tuesday we’re stuck in the low 30s.

Grand Rapids set a record low temperature for Nov 21 this morning with a reading of +10°.  Other low temps:  -11° Wakefield in the U.P., -9° Leota in Clare Co., -4° Marquette, -3° Belding and Baldwin, 3° Alma, 5° Big Rapids, 6° Lansing, 11° Battle Creek, 13° Kalamazoo, 18° at Muskegon and Holland.  Muskegon also set a record low temp. this am.

Snow cover:  28″ S. Ste Marie (12.1″ in 24-hours), 23″ Grand Marais, 19″ Gaylord, Marquette, Munising, 14″ Petosky, Walker, 13″ St. Ignace, 9″ East G.R., Grandville an Hopkins, 8″ Grand Rapids, Big Rapids and Lake City, 7″ Muskegon and Scottville, 6″ Hart, 5″ Lansing, Holland and E. Hastings, 4″ Houghton Lake, Reed City, 3″ St. Johns, 2″ Charlotte and Grand Ledge, 1″ Alma.

Updated snowfall totals from near Buffalo:  85″ Wales Center, 75.7″ Cheektowaga, 75″ Lancaster, 71″ Orchard Park.


Sunshine? Really?

November 21st, 2014 at 2:57 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

  The last of the flurries will end in the morning and if we’re lucky, we’ll see a little sun today.  It won’t help much, as temps. will be nearly 20° colder than average in the mid 20s.  Winds will be southwest at 5-15 mph.

Some updated climate data: The last 8 days have averaged 15° colder than average. The last day with a temperature warmer than 35° was Veterans Day. We are up to 29″ of snow for the month in G.R., the highest snowfall total for any November.   We have had only 7% of possible sunshine over the past two weeks. Thursday was the 9th day in a row with measurable snowfall (hard to do when your average high temperature is still in the mid-upper 40s). We have now had over 103″ of snow in calendar year 2014 with the rest of November and all of December to add to that. This could be the snowiest calendar year ever in Grand Rapids. The snowiest winter ever in G.R. was the winter of 1951-52 with 132″ at the airport and 144″ downtown. 1951 was the only other year besides 2014 when we did not reach 90° in the summer. Here’s the month snow totals for the G.R. Airport for the winter of ’51-’52 beginning with Nov: 26.9″, 51.3″, 21.2″, 12.6″, 9.5″, 10.5″. Here’s the GRR NWS discussion.  Check out the Snowman Cam in Gaylord and the Snowman at Krupp’s Resort in the U.P.   Muskegon tied a record daily lowest high temperature on Thursday at 26°.    CONUS (Lower 48): Coldest Novembers of past century: 1911 and 2000. 1911: 37.2°F 2000: 38.0°F 2014: ???   We may come in 2nd coldest November ever for the Continental U.S.

The overnight run of the NAM model gives G.R. 0.07″ of freezing rain from 4 am to 11 am Saturday, then 0.05″ of rain with temps. barely above freezing Sat. PM.  The temp. reaches 40° on Sunday and we get another 0.38″ of rain.  The GFS is wetter and a little warmer, with 0.15″ of freezing rain Sat. am and 0.09″ of rain Saturday pm with a high of 37° late in the day.  It then gives G.R. 1.28″ of rain Sunday into early Monday with a brief max of 46 Sunday night…we’re back down to 28° by late Monday with snow showers and fairly strong winds Monday into Wednesday with highs in the low 30s.

Also – Buffalo Bills give up!   here’s the path of the fireball (big meteor) that shot across Alabama Thurs. evening…it was at least the size of a baseball…Hamburg, NY, has received 79.5″ of snow since Monday…Pretty sunset in Brandon MSHeavy snow in the Cascade Mountains of Washington Stateice closes Upper Mississippi River, earliest it’s ever closed.  Today (Fri.) is the 12 day in a row that the temperature stayed below freezing all day in Minneapolis…It got down to 24F in Jacksonville, FL Thurs. morning. This smashes the old record for the date by 6°F and is the 2nd coldest Nov. temp too!  Another Satellite view of the Great Lakes lake-effect snow…Just noticed…U.S. tornadoes have crossed into a record LOW pace in 2014. Similar to last year.  The reason is…it’s cold!

Here’s Grand Rapids radar and Northern Michigan radar, NAM model 3-day snowfall forecast and GFS model 5-day snowfall forecast (totals increased on the Sat. overnight model run). Storm Total Snowfall will show the heaviest snow and Milwaukee looping radar. Regional radar and the Updated GRR NWS Short Term Discussion. More links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indian radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s recent storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map.

I’ve been saying that we’ll have some schools closed on Tues. The NAM (car) model has a temp. of 22.5 Tues. AM (and it stays in the low 20s all day), a west wind off the lake at 24 mph, snow plus blowing and drifting snow. The NAM forecasts 2.3″ for G.R. (airport) tonight/tomorrow..another inch Monday and an additional 8″ from Monday night into Tuesday night. The GFS3 has less with a total of 5″ thru Weds. for the airport. In any case, they’ll be enough snow to drift around in the brisk winds from late Mon. thru Weds. t’hat model also has a temp. of +1° for G.R. next Sat. morning. The European model has 0.43″ total precipitation thru Thurs. for G.R. That’d be 7-8″ of total snowfall, with enough wind for some 1-2 foot drifts.