Winter Storm Warning 7 AM to 1 PM Weds.

<–U.S. Warning/Advisory Map (left) and Live radar of W. Michigan. l links: GRR NWS radar, GRR storm total precipitation, Great Lakes radar, latest surface observations, a surface weather map, GRR NWS discussion, Visible Satellite loop (daytime), Infrared Satellite Loop (night), Here’s Milwaukee NWS radar and Chicago radar, the Spyglass Weather Station (Holland Channel) and the Muskegon GLERL weather station. The 84-hour NAM snowfall map and the 120-hour GFS snowfall map. This could be the biggest synoptic event of the winter for southern Michigan. Tuesday AM update: Winter Storm Warning for 6-12″ over 36 hours for snow Tues. and Weds. combined. The Warning (red colder on the map) covers all of our area…all of Indiana and Ohio and much of Wisconsin and Illinois. Here’s the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion. Latest GFS plot gives us about 0.58 precip. (it’s been very consistent with this figure) with the snow starting around daybreak Tuesday. At a 15 to 1 snow to water equivalent – that would be 8-9″ of snow for G.R. It gives 0.67″ to Battle Creek (10 inches), 0.62″ for Kalamazoo (9-10″), maybe 4-5″ snow up at Manistee (these are 2-day totals). It may snow a little harder Tues. Night than during the day Tuesday, esp. NE of G.R. Schools could be closed on Wednesday. Tuesday PM to Weds. midday we’ll see drifting snow and a still northeast wind. Snowplowers, salting/sanding may be necessary for the AM rush hour on Tuesday, esp. SW of G.R. GFS plot has nothing warmer than low 30s through Feb. 24. The NAO is in the tank negative and the Arctic Oscillation stays negative…evidence that winter’s going to hang on probably all or almost all of the rest of this month and maybe into March…no significant thaws. Remember I said that the two years that we had the most similar patterns to this year…we had above normal snowfall in Feb.-March with 8″+ snowstorms in both February and March and the cold air hanging around through the first part of March. This storm will also produce significant snow in the big cities of the East, with New York and Boston getting in on the action this time. Another storm Friday/Saturday will likely bring snow all the way down to Dallas and maybe Atlanta. All time biggest 24-hour snowfalls for Grand Rapids in February: 11.4″ 2/3/2007, 9.1″ 2/11-12/1985. 61% of the Lower 48 States has a snow cover this morning. Also, officially we have only had one day (1/25) since 12/3 when we have not had at least 1″ of snow on the ground in Grand Rapids at 7 AM.
1. “Dear John” – $32.40 million (1st week)


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