Turning the page to Fall
September 29th, 2008 at 12:13 pm by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog
We had quite a stretch of sunny, warm weather. Ending Sunday, we officially had 13 dry days in a row. Including today (Monday) we’ve had 11 days in a row warmer than average (the average low temperature is in the mid 40s now) and 11 consecutive days when the average wind speed has been less than 7 mph. From Sept. 16-27, we had 89.9% of possible sunshine. During those 12 days we had an average high temperature of 77 degrees. We had some PM showers this Monday. They were ahead of a cold front that will usher in the coolest air of the season. Temperatures northwest of Duluth are only in the 40s. At Chapleau, about 100 miles north of Sault Ste. Marie (100 miles as the crow flies…190 miles if you want to get there by car) they were below freezing Monday AM. As close to us as Pellston, MI – it was in the 30s Monday AM. It’s not impossible there could be a waterspout somewhere over Lake Michigan as the cold air comes over the relatively warm water (I measured 70 degrees at Holland St. Park in knee-deep water Sunday PM. Here’s the latest visible (daytime) satellite picture, latest radar loop from Milwaukee and Grand Rapids…the latest Michigan/Wisconsin weather map, state of Michigan current weather observations. Check out rainfall from Tropical Storm Kyle in Maine. Kyle produced a gust to 78 mph at Baccarro Point, Nova Scotia (did you know you could have hurricane-force winds from a tropical system in Canada?) and up to 4-5″ of rain in New Brunswick. Here’s the latest on Subtropical Storm “Laura”. The morning run of the MRF doesn’t give us anything warmer than 64 from Tuesday into next week…and it takes us to the mid 30s with scattered frost Saturday AM. It’ll be showery, breezy and chilly Tuesday and Wednesday. It should be dry Saturday.
I’ve had sunshine for the last 15mins or so, maybe more. Thundershower popped in Indiana. Rain coming, out to mow the lawn, cya later…
Woo hoo got the grass mowed yesterday. We need some rain!
I just mowed the whole front lawn (about 1 acre) on one tank of fuel… with a self propelled push mower, AND I still have some gas leftover in the tank! It takes me only about 1 1/2 gallons to mow 2 acres of lawn. It’s awesome. Chased in by a good steady rainfall, now I am eating my first meal of the day
Watch this cell…
http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&frame=0&delay=15&scale=0.304&noclutter=0&ID=GRR&type=N0R&showstorms=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=0.304¢erx=409¢ery=-72&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0
rainy days and monday’s always get me down. haha. No lightning in that cell Charles looks like just a lot of rain with that.
K, I know that, low tops too, I am watching the velocity animation for signs of rotation…
You know how those small low topped cells with no lightning can spawn weak tornadoes..
Did not know that Charles. I guess I figured it was too cold for tornadoes. That is very intreresting… Hopefully if it does spawn anything it will be very weak.
Yeah, that happens in Michigan with such convergence, the temp is warm enough for tornadoes, into the 60s down there and you know how Bill’s rule goes… with the whole 60F or above to have tornadoes. 64F in Portage, 65F in K-Zoo according to wunderground’s stations. It probably won’t spawn anything but it’s worth watching, it has “that look” to it, ya know?
I suspect it’s just the rotating head of that little squall line there, but the potential still lies within… Rain dying out a bit over my house now..Just sprinkles.
Key West, FL had a waterspout today..
http://www.wunderground.com/wximage/viewsingleimage.html?mode=singleimage&orig_handle=BilgeH2OMgt&orig_number=135&handle=BilgeH2OMgt&number=134&album_id=52#slideanchor
Take it easy everyone I will be back again later….
NWS GRR: Area Forecast Discussion mentions the following
DUE TO LIMITED BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS TODAY AND A LACK OF
INSTABILITY… IT SEEMS THE THUNDER THREAT FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE FCST FOR MUCH OF THE CWFA. HAVE
MAINTAINED IT HOWEVER FOR THE SE CWFA SINCE THERE IS A SLIGHTLY
BETTER CHANCE OF ACHIEVING SOME INSTABILITY THERE. THIS THINKING
CORRESPONDS WITH THE SPC DAY 1 GENERAL THUNDER OUTLOOK.
For numerous links to analysis and models info visit my site
Still have to add the NAM and WRF links tonight.
http://geukesweather.blogspot.com
http://www.geukesweather.blogspot.com/
Mike
holy smokes Mike, you even have the kitchen sink on that web site..haha…nice job..love the model links
Rain here in The city….58.8* out there now
getting some nice brilliant flashes of lightning, spaced about 3 to 5 mins apart…followed by slow rolling thunder….
nice evening, have a fire in the stove….listening to the rain
Nice website Mike =) Mind if I add a link to your blog through my WEATHER CENTRAL page on my website?? My whole sit is under construction right now.. I am doing and re-doing a lot of stuff over there.. But I would be more than happy to add a link for you!
Hey everyone check out this light in Sand Diego, CA. Look at how small this cell is first off, then look at how low the top is! Only a few thousand feet.
http://www.wunderground.com/wximage/viewsingleimage.html?mode=singleimage&handle=thunderweather&number=523&gallery=CURRWEATHER&submitrating=submit&rating=10#slideanchor
i know this is off topic but storm chasers start on oct 19th at 10pm on discovery