Thanksgiving Day PM

November 24th, 2011 at 3:58 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

  Lions game underway…in a few minutes, the rest of the family will arrive.  Clouds are thick over the area right now (stratus).  Clouds are a little harder to see on the IR Satellite loop.  The cloud line is moving through Wisconsin and eroding a bit in N. Lower.  Here’s current conditions.    Today, the dilemma is the fog and stratus that has formed.  The sun is low in the sky now and it’s harder to mix the air and evaporate the stratus.  So, we could be variably cloudy at times or even most of the time.  No rain today or tomorrow.  The models still have light rain developing Saturday midday to afternoon from west to east across the area.  Colder air may change the light rain or a mix or even a period of wet snow  Sunday PM/Night before it ends.  It’ll be cooler next week.   We had the Gobble Wobble in East G.R. and the Turkey Trot out at Cornerstone Univ.   Next we need a “Drumstick Dash” or a “Wishbone Walk”.  Four of our family did the “Turkey Trot” this AM.  How’d you like a wind chill temperature of -71Fairbanks AK climbed above zero for the first time in 10 days!  Up to 13″ of snow has fallen in Maine.  Here’s more Maine snow totals.   Up to 14″ of snow in Vermont and 11.5″ in NE NY.  They’ve had wind gusts to 75 mph in the Pacific NW, along with nearly 6″ of rain.   We’ve got LOTS to be grateful for.   (I’m sure grateful for those of you who come to read my blog).   We’ve got the family at our house today…and we have planned to set the food out and let people grab what they like when they like.  I’m sure many will be watching the Lions/Packers game.   Hope your holiday is spectacular!

53 Responses to “Thanksgiving Day PM”

  1. Tom in Alger Heights says:

    Happy Turkey Day to all of Bill’s bloggers. Oh yeah…forgot to call it…first. Getting ready to starting cutting up the spuds and apples.

  2. Dan says:

    Have a GREAT THANKSGIVING, Bloggers! The weather will sure be decent for this time of year!

  3. Bruno (Northview H.S.) says:

    Happy Thanksgiving Bill and to all the Bill’s Blog Family!! Have a safe holiday.

  4. michael g (SE GR) says:

    Happy Thanksgiving Bill and bloggers. Enjoy your day!

  5. Bob P :o) St.Johns says:

    Happy Thanksgiving Bill and All!

  6. Lonesome Dove says:

    Happy Thanksgiving Bill and everyone. Have a great day.

  7. Steve T (Hudsonville) says:

    Thank you Lord for all the blessing this year! Happy Thanksgiving to all!

  8. Jay S. (Fruitport Township/Southern Muskegon County) says:

    Happy THanksgiving to you and your family!

  9. ginny says:

    Have A Blessed Thanksgiving TO YOU ALL!!!!

  10. SS (Pwell Area) says:

    Happy Thanksgiving to all of you!!! Have a GREAT day with family & friends…take a moment to enjoy our nice weather!!!!

  11. Bluewind says:

    Blessings to your and your family Bill. We are thankful for your wonderful forecasts!

  12. michael g (SE GR) says:

    Turkey trot was windy, damp, and chilly. Yesterday’s sunny calm 30* would have been much nicer than today’s 43*.

  13. Herb (SE Muskegon) says:

    Happy Thanksgiving Bill and to all the bloggers. GO LIONS!!

  14. arliss says:

    Love your blog. Happy thanksgiving America! From south Ontario with lots of love.

  15. Chuck R. in Paw Paw says:

    Happy Thanksgiving to Bill, the blog family, and if I make a suggestion as to what else to call the “Turkey Trot,” how about the “Stuffing Strut?”

  16. Randy M (Comstock Park) says:

    I will be traveling all the way to the family gathering in Wyoming (okay, it’s just the Michigan one across town). I hope everyone from the blog has a great Thanksgiving weekend, especially those who work extra hard and those who need work.

  17. Ned S. (Now in North Holland) says:

    Happy Thanksgiving to all, even BDBC, Joanne, and Brad!

    1. big Daddy BC says:

      I’m thankful for your generosity of spirit.

  18. michael g (SE GR) says:

    New GFS says all of you in the “this weather pattern isn’t going to change for most of December” camp will be eating your words 10 days from now.

    1. RJ (Rockford) says:

      Right on. Get ready for winter people! Snow, cold and more snow!!

      1. fixxxer says:

        Not anytime soon and you know it.

    2. Matt(Grand Haven) says:

      Hopefully (o:

    3. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

      Too bad it can not stay this warm for another 10 to 12 weeks and then warm up.
      SlimJim

      1. fixxxer says:

        Id be happy if xmas was like today. Just remember last new years eve it was very warm, so never say never.

    4. big Daddy BC says:

      Just a reminder that my forecast from September has been right on the money in terms of temp, while Bill’s has once again wildly missed the mark (SHOVEL READY?? LOL! Hey, Irish Coffee, I hope you haven’t forgotten our bet.

      1. Bill Steffen says:

        Just a reminder that you didn’t make a September forecast for 1 degree cooler than average and that winter hasn’t started yet…look at a calendar. After that, check out the Climategate2 emails…full of deceit and shoddy science:

        “You’ll be unsurprised to hear that I think this paints too rosy a picture of our understanding the vertical structure of temperature changes. Observations do NOT show rising temperatures throughout the tropical troposphere unless you accept one single study and approach and discount a wealth of others. This is just downright dangerous. WE NEED to communicate the uncertainty and BE HONEST, Phil.”

      2. big Daddy BC says:

        According to NOAA, September was warmer than average…the eleventh warmest in history. …Not sure what you’re talking about. And, yes, I predicted a continuation of warmer-than-average weather.

        I’m lovin’ those stolen, unsubstantiated emails, btw. They must be real because there’s nothing there. What’s Phil’s reply to this? Does he inform her about some additional studies she missed? And who is she, a secretary, a scientist, someone’s intern? LOL This is a joke. They’re takin’ out of context and meaningless as such. Show me the shoddy science you’re talking about. Show me the deceit. LOL Holy desperate, batman.

        Did you capitalize ‘WE NEED’ and ‘BE HONEST’? LOL

        1. Bill Steffen says:

          I did capitalize them! I figured you’d miss them if I didn’t…kind of like “Use Mike’s TRICK to HIDE THE DECLINE”. I know those are two of your favorite verbs, bigD…but we shouldn’t trick and hide to reach a predetermined political conclusion. That’s what Phil Jones and company did and there’s a lot of scientists like myself who are exposing the truth and the party apparatchiks who support the scheme to force skyrocketing utility bills on the lower and middle class.

          The CLIMATEGATE TWO emails are real. No one has denied that fact and several people have said their own emails are real. The emails were leaked by someone who had access to them. They weren’t “stolen” or hacked. You’re guy in Berkeley said that. Here’s a ClimateGate Two Searchable Database: http://foia2011.org/

          Global temperatures have fallen 3 months in a row relative to average. You forecast warm every month and season that you do make a forecast, but you made no specific forecast for September. I know you’re on record for a warm December here in SW Michigan.

        2. big Daddy BC says:

          Climategate? How can it be anything-gate without a scandal? There’s nothing there. LOL Again, Bill, where’s your science? Searching through hundreds of emails to find some fragment that might make AGW scientists look bad isn’t science. It’s dirty politics. I imagine that’s why Romney paid someone to purchase all the servers that contained all the emails from when he was governor and destroyed them. Politics is a dirty game and has no place in science. Scientists aren’t seasoned liars like Romney. He knew when he took another run at the White House that his pro-abortion stance would come under the microscope. He was wise to hide his correspondences. Scientists lack that kind of foresight.

          And when you quote someone and then capitalize certain words, you’re manufacturing your own message. That’s unethical. Above, you refer to several supposed confirmations of the authenticity of those stolen emails, but provide no proof. If you can’t substantiate your claims, they’re nothing more than slanderous accusations.

          Your claim that temps have fallen relative to average is contrary to the opinion of the top meteorological organizations. September and October were in the top ten for warmest months ever here in the US. Would you mind providing some actual scientific support for your claim?

          And in fairness, my official prediction was for winter, 2012, not autumn. You’re right, but I have consistently predicted for above average temps and have been right on the money since spring. It’s a pretty safe bet, Bill.

        3. Bill Steffen says:

          The “gate” started with the Watergate break-in. “Gate” has been added to a half dozen scandals since. I don’t know who first called this “Climategate”.

          Where is MY science???? The question is…the “science” behind climate alarmism. Note this comment:

          Dennis Ray Wingo says:
          November 26, 2011 at 10:44 am

          “What I find interesting about the entire email corpus is the focus on the minutia of the statistics and the different proxies. In none of the emails from the core team members do we see any physics of radiation. It seems that if it were your role to “prove” the positive feedback of CO2 you would want to actually do some physics of radiative and convective transfer of energy in the atmosphere. This is where the rubber meets the road.”

          And once again…from Dave the Biologist:

          Dave | February 26, 2011 at 11:37 am | Reply

          “I also have to agree with Jim West. My firm ‘belief’ in AGW had already been undermined by some extremely bad papers about mosquitoes, arthropod borne disease, and the effect a warmer Earth on wildlife (I am a biologist). But, I assumed these were just opportunists jumping on the gravy train and that the problem was with the journal review process, not AGW.

          But the Climategate emails made it all too clear that there was no science at all in ALL these famous papers in Nature and other ‘prestige’ journals. Rather, all the sound and fury appeared to be generated by an unscrupulous cabal eager for grant money, fame, and lots of CO2 generating trips to warm and pleasant spots where they could regurgitate their story to a corrupted press and conniving politicians.

          As far as I can tell now, many of the assumptions of AGW appear to be false, nothing that one reads on climate change from Nature to Drudge is reliable.”

          These are scientists questioning the science of climate alarmism.

        4. big Daddy BC says:

          The first guy is only suggesting an area in need of investigation. The second is just some random biologist. Again you show your limited knowledge of the field. Do you think all scientists receive the same training? lol

        5. Bill Steffen says:

          The Climategate 2 emails are yet another nail in the coffin of alarmism and the preordained political radicalism that guided the weak science that they used to promote their smash-the-lower-and-middle-class agenda of skyrocketing utility rates agenda.

          Temperatures have been steady since 1998, and 2011 is looking to finish as the first or second coldest year of the millennium. With the continuing La Nina – it’s not going to get any warmer in 2012 (or likely 2013).

          Arctic ice is now significantly greater than last year and WAY above that of 2007: http://arctic-roos.org/observations/satellite-data/sea-ice/observation_images/ssmi1_ice_ext.png

        6. big Daddy BC says:

          Ice volume is down by 66%. It’s down by almost a million square miles. This summer was the second hottest in recorded history. 2005 was the hottest year in recorded history. If that’s global cooling, I’ll need cooling re-explained to me, I guess. LOL

          When are you going to start acting like a professional?

        7. Bill Steffen says:

          Here’s the real story from the snow and ice data center: “Average ice extent for November 2011 was 10.01 million square kilometers. This was 170,000 square kilometers (66,000 square miles) ABOVE the average for November 2006.

          The icecap has GROWN by 66,000 Square Miles in the last five years! And the Antarctic icecap is BIGGER than average: http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/S_timeseries.png

          This summer wasn’t as hot as 1934. The hottest summer was 75 years ago! Nearly half the states recorded their warmest day ever in the 1930s. Only one during the 2000s. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._state_temperature_extremes

  19. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    I hope everyone has a great Thanksgiving. Even in these bad times most of us still have plenty to be thankful for.
    SlimJim

    1. fixxxer says:

      Tell the idiots lined up at best buy about the tough times.

  20. GunLakeDeb says:

    Have a Blessed Thanksgiving, everyone!!

  21. fixxxer says:

    Happy thanksgiving billy bob.

    1. Skot says:

      Happy T-Day Waldo.

      1. fixxxer says:

        I know im thankful we have no snow! ;)

        1. Chuck R. in Paw Paw says:

          I was hoping we wouldn’t go the entire day with in-fixx-gestion.(reaches for Pepto)

  22. Uncle Teddy says:

    WHEN WILL SNOW COME

  23. Barb says:

    Happy Thanksgiving everyone! Any snow in Cheboygan this weekend, Bill?

  24. Mike M. says:

    I’m so full I can’t lift my credit card. Hope everyone had a great Thanksgiving.

  25. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

    I sure am liking this snowfall map for the weekend from the NAM model…

    http://wxcaster.com/gis-snow-overlays-10to1.php3?STATIONID=GRR

    1. RJ (Rockford) says:

      Nice looking map. To bad this has virtually no chance of actually happening.

      1. Muskegon says:

        Nt going to happen but I wish though I am so ready for snow!!!!

        1. RJ (Rockford) says:

          I am also ready, however I am not expecting a significant snowfall till about mid December. By then the pattern should be changing.

  26. Tom says:

    It is great to see the sun and warm weather today. No shopping being done here, just a bit of yard work and then taking the dog for a nice walk to the park! It doesn’t get much nicer than this on a Thanksgiving weekend in Michigan!

  27. bnoppe(Albion) says:

    11/25 and an almost perfect day for this time of year

  28. Mike (Mattawan) says:

    wow… what a great day weather wise and holiday wise….. hope everyone had a great thanksgiving and black friday.

  29. bnoppe(Albion) says:

    Bill what happened to the back button?

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