Christmas EveDecember 24th, 2011 at 3:05 am by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
Snow falling Friday evening – picture from Janet on ReportIt (click to enlarge). Well, at least parts of the area are getting a white Christmas Eve! Snowfall Friday evening totaled a trace in many areas south of I-94 to as much as 2 1/2 inches in northern Kent Co. The National Weather Service had a little over an inch. I had a final total of 1.4″ downtown on the car hoods and 1.5″ here at home. Thanks to the many snow totals taken and reported as comments here on the blog. I’ve been up looking at the latest model data. No big storms during the coming week. The NAM model gives us a dusting of snow around 5 AM Tuesday. The GFS gives us a few hundredths of a rain/snow mix. The European model has a few flurries on Sunday (more north of G.R. than south) and then 0.13″ Tuesday, which if all snow could be an inch or two. So, it’s a little stronger with the Tuesday AM system – but still not a big storm…though there could be a few slick spots early Tuesday. The GFS would give G.R. about an inch of snow next Thursday, another inch on 1/5 and maybe 1-2″ on the 9th – it again has temperatures in a narrow range from low-mid 20s to low 40s. The European (which I saw to 7 days) would have rain on 12/30-31 with temperatures Friday reaching the mid 40s. In any case…go with warmer than average temperatures and no sign of any big storms. Joe Bastardi made an interesting comment. He said the 3 years that most closely fit our current pattern were all El Nino years (we have La Nina now!). We do have split flow, like El Nino with the northern jet across Canada blocking the Arctic Air and keeping the flow west to east across the mainland U.S. I’ve remarked before how this is charting new territory…we haven’t seen this with a La Nina before. If anyone has some thoughts, I’m open to hear them. The years I’ve looked at do have snow picking up in Feb./March – but still well below normal for the winter. Happy Christmas Eve. Hope Santa is good to you!