MODIS satellite pictures

January 4th, 2012 at 8:22 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

  Check out the satellite picture zoomed in to Lake Michigan from 11:52 AM Weds.    Click on the picture or better yet, click here to enlarge.   You can see where the lake-effect snow stopped and you can see where it tapered off to the east.  You can see that shallow Houghton Lake is frozen over, but deeper Higgins Lake is not.  You can pick out Lake Macatawa, Muskegon Lake and Fremont Lake.  Here’s a picture of Lake Superior from 1/2, Lake Huron from 1/3, Lake Erie from 1/4, Lake Ontario from 1/3.  And…from the archives, a great picture of the Great Lakes on a clear day with snow on the ground, March 5, 2010.  Note that Torch Lake and the Finger Lakes in New York, deep lakes, still have open water.  (pics. from NASA, NOAA and Great Lakes Coastwatch)

20 Responses to “MODIS satellite pictures”

  1. big Daddy BC says:

    Regarding the stolen emails Bill keeps plastering all over the blog,

    “After multiple investigations cleared climate scientists of the most serious allegations of wrongdoing, more emails between a few top climate researchers were released, again purporting to show climate scientists doctoring scientific evidence and conspiring to keep out dissenting voices from peer-reviewed journals. This time, however, the damage to climate science’s street cred was minimal, as the media and the scientific community quickly found the emails to lack much evidence of anything scientifically significant.

    The unauthorized release of the new batch of emails may have jump-started what seemed to be a dormant investigation into who obtained the emails and posted them on several websites, with actions by law enforcement agencies in the U.S. and Britain.”

    Several times the question has come up about who stole those emails. The AGW Deniers say they were ‘leaked.’ …Apparently not. I sure hope Bill doesn’t get in trouble for posting illegally obtained emails.

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/post/top-climate-change-stories-of-2011/2012/01/02/gIQAHyHuaP_blog.html

    1. Bill Steffen says:

      Way to stick to the topic of the thread, comrade.

      I looked at your link…simply the opinion of a leftist blogger at a liberal newspaper. What you need to know is:

      1) The global temperature trend has been flat for nine years. It’s not getting any warmer: http://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2011/06/trend-24.png (HADCRUT DATA). RSS AMSU global temperatures in 2011 where the 2nd coolest of the century: http://www.remss.com/data/msu/monthly_time_series/RSS_Monthly_MSU_AMSU_Channel_TLT_Anomalies_Land_and_Ocean_v03_3.txt Winters in the 1990s were slightly warmer than winters in the 2000s: http://reasonabledoubtclimate.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/screen-shot-2011-12-31-at-7-37-49-pm.png

      2) The Antarctic icecap is much bigger than the historical average: http://wattsupwiththat.com/reference-pages/sea-ice-page/

      3) The Arctic icecap is bigger than at any time since 2004: http://arctic-roos.org/observations/satellite-data/sea-ice/observation_images/ssmi1_ice_area.png (note the red dot on the left side of the graphic). The icecap has grown significantly in the last year and is now within one standard deviation of the 42-year average. This from the National Snow and Ice Data Center today: “Average ice extent for November 2011 was 10.01 million square kilometers (3.86 million square miles). This was 170,000 square kilometers (66,000 square miles) above the average for November 2006, the lowest extent recorded for that month in the satellite data record.” That means the icecap has grown by more than the size of the state of Wisconsin in the last five years. I’ll add that it’s REALLY cold in the Arctic: http://www.arh.noaa.gov/wmofcst.php?wmo=ABAK34PAOM&type=public. They’ve had to take some rather unusual measures to deal with the “global warming” up there in Nome: http://www.ktuu.com/news/russian-icebreaker-renda-departs-for-nome-ktuu-20120104,0,4346084.story Polar bear numbers are not decreasing: http://www.examiner.com/seminole-county-environmental-news-in-orlando/canada-s-growing-polar-bear-population-becoming-a-problem-locals-say

      4) The number of strong/violent tornadoes in the U.S. has been decreasing since the mid 1970s: http://jonova.s3.amazonaws.com/graphs/storms/tornado-strength-US-f3-f5-noaa.jpg One single tornado in 1925 killed many more people than ALL the tornadoes on Earth in 2010: http://www.examiner.com/images/blog/EXID25803/images/005.jpg

      5) The number/intensity of hurricanes and tropical storms is close to historic lows: http://www.wunderground.com/blog/iceagecoming/show.html The U.S. has had only one (barely) hurricane hit since 2007, the longest stretch since the Civil War without a hurricane hit. The National Hurricane Center has on their website: “The recent increase in societal impact from tropical cyclones has largely been caused by rising concentrations of population and infrastructure in coastal regions.”

      6) The droughts of the mid 1930s: http://0.tqn.com/d/weather/1/0/X/0/-/-/phd193407_pg.gif were far worse than the drought of 2011: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/img/climate/research/2011/nov/zin201111_pg.gif

      7) Heat is not as extreme as it was 75 years ago. 24 of the 50 states had their all-time record heat wave in the 1930s. Only one state from the past decade: http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0001416.html

      8) Global temperatures are currently dropping: http://www.drroyspencer.com/wp-content/uploads/UAH_LT_1979_thru_December_2011.png NASA IR DATA – note the trend of the red line. Sunspot cycle remains weak: http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/image7.png

      …Climategate…First, the climategate emails are real. A number of the parties involved have stated that they wrote the emails that were leaked by a whistleblower, probably a member of the group in question. You have quoted Dr. Muller from Berkeley before. Here’s what he said regarding the Climategate emails: “The data (emails) came out. They weren’t “hacked” like a lot of people say. Most people who know this business say they were leaked by one of the members of the team who was really upset with them.” Muller goes on to talk about just one of the leaked emails that said “Let’s use Mike’s TRICK to HIDE THE DECLINE”. He discusses how the temperature data was spliced in at 1961 and it was smoothed to make it look better to the casual viewer. Muller said regarding “Hiding the Decline”: “I now have a list of people who’s papers I won’t read anymore. They are NOT ALLOWED TO DO THIS IN SCIENCE. It’s not up to our standards.” He said that colleagues he has shown this to say, “No, that’s not acceptable”. Here is where you can find links to the actual emails and read them for yourself and make up your own mind: http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/11/29/new-tool-all-climategate-emails-in-order-in-excel/ Steve Mosher wrote a book on the first set of Climategate emails and it’s worth the read…you can examine part of the book here: http://www.amazon.com/Climategate-Crutape-Letters-Steven-Mosher/dp/1450512437 You can also read this from Dr. Judith Curry and I especially encourage you to read the comments: http://judithcurry.com/2011/02/22/hiding-the-decline/

      1. Frank Nicholson says:

        Rock on Bill, You know your business!

      2. JoAnne says:

        Great information Big Daddy. I love how Bill felt threatened enough to come on with his right wing propaganda. lol

        Bill, there is no way that I’m going to tackle all of your bogus information, but I will give some of it a shot for you.

        1st off, global temperatures are not flat. That is a bold faced lie as you know. When studying global temperatures, why are you hand picking certain dates? Try using all of the information that we have, which is a very small percent of the big picture anyway.

        http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.A2.gif

        Secondly, ice is on the decline. Anyone that wants to see the real picture, please refer to

        http://nsidc.org/sotc/sea_ice.html.

        1. Bill Steffen says:

          Global temperatures have been flat for the past 10-15 years: http://www.newsnet5.com/dpp/weather/weather_news/United-Kingdom-Meteorology-Office-declares-Earth-hasnt-warmed-in-15-years Dr. Judith Curry of the BEST group at Berkeley said: “‘There is no scientific basis for saying that warming hasn’t stopped,’ she said. ‘To say that there is detracts from the credibility of the data, which is very unfortunate.’ Here’s a graph of the global HADCrut data for the past 10 years: http://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2011/06/trend-24.png

          Now, check this graph and tell me that ice is “on the decline”: http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/S_timeseries.png As you can see, Antarctic ice, where a large part of the world ice is located, has not only increased greatly in the past year, but it’s well above average. The National Snow and Ice Data Center said that Arctic ice grew in size by an area bigger than the state of Wisconsin from Nov. 2006 to Nov. 2011. Look at the near record amount of ice in the Bering Sea: http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/recent365.anom.region.2.html

          Real scientists see the evidence and even those who previously bought into the alarmism are seeing the folly of the global warming extremists: http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,813814,00.html

      3. JoAnne says:

        This is much of the same information that Watts uses without cherry picking data to make a false point.
        Greenhouse gases emitted through human activities and the resulting increase in global mean temperatures are the most likely underlying cause of the sea ice decline,

        Third, and I particularly loved your reference that locals at seminole county should be the say all for the global populations of any species. LOL

        Are Polar Bears endangered? Experts in polar bear science believe they are. They predict that as the Arctic continues to warm due to climate change, two-thirds of the world’s polar bears could disappear by mid-century—although hope remains if action is taken to greatly reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
        Rapid loss of sea ice is their major threat. Others include pollution, poaching, and industrial impact. Hunting will become a threat if not well regulated.

        http://www.polarbearsinternational.org/polar-bears/faq

        I will follow up with the rest of your garbage in a bit. Time for dinner

        1. Bill Steffen says:

          Anthony Watts website has had 103 million views in the five years it’s been in operation. It won a Bloggie Award for best science website. Hundreds of scientists visit the site every day. You can view it here and make your own judgement: http://wattsupwiththat.com/

          Global temperatures are holding steady: http://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2011/06/trend-24.png The U.K. Met Center states the obvious: http://www.newsnet5.com/dpp/weather/weather_news/United-Kingdom-Meteorology-Office-declares-Earth-hasnt-warmed-in-15-years Dr. Judith Curry of the BEST group at Berkeley says: “‘There is no scientific basis for saying that warming hasn’t stopped,’ she said. ‘To say that there is detracts from the credibility of the data, which is very unfortunate.’

          Regarding Polar Bears: http://www.examiner.com/seminole-county-environmental-news-in-orlando/canada-s-growing-polar-bear-population-becoming-a-problem-locals-say The article says: “Flaherty and many others disagree with the official story. “We are aware there are changes in the weather, but it is not affecting the daily life of the animals,” he says. “Polar bears hunt in the floe-edge areas, on newly formed ice, and in the fiords in search of baby seals. They don’t hunt in the glaciers [areas of multi-year ice].

          “We’re not seeing negative effects on the polar bear population from so-called climate change and receding ice,” he says. He is convinced that some scientists are deliberately “using the polar bear issue to scare people” about global warming, a view widely shared by many Nunavut locals.”

          From the “Proceedings of the 15th Working Meeting (2009) of the IUCN/SSC Polar Bear Specialist Group – page 102 – Table 6. From 2003 to 2008, in Canada alone, a total of 3,461 polar bears were killed by “human-caused mortalities, including subsistence kills, sport-hunt kills, problem kills, illegal kills, and bears that die while being handled during research.”

          Given the total polar bear population is estimated in the 20,000 to 25,000 range, this means factors other than climate change (e.g. bears that died during research) killed between 14.5% and 17.3% of the total population.

          The land surveys of the natives in Nunavut are universally accepted as being more accurate that the very spotty helicopter surveys.

    2. JoAnne says:

      Great information Big Daddy. I love how Bill felt threatened enough to come on with his right wing propaganda. lol

      Bill, there is no way that I’m going to tackle all of your bogus information, but I will give some of it a shot for you.

      1st off, global temperatures are not flat. That is a bold faced lie as you know. When studying global temperatures, why are you hand picking certain dates? Try using all of the information that we have, which is a very small percent of the big picture anyway.

      http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.A2.gif

      Secondly, ice is on the decline. Anyone that wants to see the real picture, please refer to

      http://nsidc.org/sotc/sea_ice.html.

      This is much of the same information that Watts uses without cherry picking data to make a false point.
      Greenhouse gases emitted through human activities and the resulting increase in global mean temperatures are the most likely underlying cause of the sea ice decline,

      Third, and I particularly loved your reference that locals at seminole county should be the say all for the global populations of any species. LOL

      Are Polar Bears endangered? Experts in polar bear science believe they are. They predict that as the Arctic continues to warm due to climate change, two-thirds of the world’s polar bears could disappear by mid-century—although hope remains if action is taken to greatly reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
      Rapid loss of sea ice is their major threat. Others include pollution, poaching, and industrial impact. Hunting will become a threat if not well regulated.

      http://www.polarbearsinternational.org/polar-bears/faq

      I will follow up with the rest of your garbage in a bit. Time for dinner

      1. Bill Steffen says:

        Do you not read what I write? Once again:

        Global temperatures are holding steady: http://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2011/06/trend-24.png The U.K. Met Center states the obvious: http://www.newsnet5.com/dpp/weather/weather_news/United-Kingdom-Meteorology-Office-declares-Earth-hasnt-warmed-in-15-years Dr. Judith Curry of the BEST group at Berkeley says: “‘There is no scientific basis for saying that warming hasn’t stopped,’ she said. ‘To say that there is detracts from the credibility of the data, which is very unfortunate.’

        Now, check this graph and tell me that ice is “on the decline”: http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/S_timeseries.png As you can see, Antarctic ice, where a large part of the world ice is located, has not only increased greatly in the past year, but it’s well above average. The National Snow and Ice Data Center said that Arctic ice grew in size by an area bigger than the state of Wisconsin from Nov. 2006 to Nov. 2011. Look at the near record amount of ice in the Bering Sea: http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/recent365.anom.region.2.html

        Finally, regarding Polar Bears: http://www.examiner.com/seminole-county-environmental-news-in-orlando/canada-s-growing-polar-bear-population-becoming-a-problem-locals-say The article says: “Flaherty and many others disagree with the official story. “We are aware there are changes in the weather, but it is not affecting the daily life of the animals,” he says. “Polar bears hunt in the floe-edge areas, on newly formed ice, and in the fiords in search of baby seals. They don’t hunt in the glaciers [areas of multi-year ice].

        “We’re not seeing negative effects on the polar bear population from so-called climate change and receding ice,” he says. He is convinced that some scientists are deliberately “using the polar bear issue to scare people” about global warming, a view widely shared by many Nunavut locals.”

        From the “Proceedings of the 15th Working Meeting (2009) of the IUCN/SSC Polar Bear Specialist Group – page 102 – Table 6. From 2003 to 2008, in Canada alone, a total of 3,461 polar bears were killed by “human-caused mortalities, including subsistence kills, sport-hunt kills, problem kills, illegal kills, and bears that die while being handled during research.”

        Given the total polar bear population is estimated in the 20,000 to 25,000 range, this means factors other than climate change (e.g. bears that died during research) killed between 14.5% and 17.3% of the total population.

        The land surveys of the natives in Nunavut are universally accepted as being more accurate that the very spotty helicopter surveys.

    3. JoAnne says:

      OK BILL, my first post is under moderation. Most likely because it has too many links. We’ll see if you let it through or not
      Your Roy Spencer graph is absurd. He is taking one downward blip and uses it as a claim that global temperatures are decreasing. DUH, they are for that month. That is not science, but a clear use of cherry picking data.

      http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/2011/11

      The combined global land and ocean average surface temperature for November 2011 was the 12th warmest on record! Hardly a downward trend.

      As far as your reference of the 1930′s. I already gave you information that the 1930′s didn’t even make the top 50 for warmest global years on record. You have a short memory. Cherry picking again doesn’t help your denier campaign.

      Finally, you may want to think very hard on your posting of the information in the stolen emails. You claim again and again that this is your blog. You are plagiarizing illegally obtained information. The US does have blogging laws. BE CAREFUL. I would hate to see you in jail. You are way too entertaining. lol

      1. Bill Steffen says:

        I did not see a comment from you under moderation when I looked earlier today. You’re right that the problem may be more than one link. I know we’ve been inundated with “bots” over the past 48-hours. I deleted 50 emails in moderation this afternoon alone…eats up my time. I’ve had several of MY comments go to moderation this week, too (including the long one above)…so it affects everybody, not just you. The computer doesn’t like more than one link in a comment…comments with more than one link are often sent to moderation or booted off the island.

        OK, here’s the “Roy Spencer link”: http://www.drroyspencer.com/wp-content/uploads/UAH_LT_1979_thru_December_2011.png This is NASA IR Satellite Data, showing global temperature. It starts in 1979 because that’s when the satellite started giving us the data. In 1979, we were coming off of 3 very cold Northern Hemisphere winters from 1976-79 that followed the 3-year La Nina of 1973-1976. The winter of 1976-77 tied 1903-04 for coldest winter ever in G.R. The following winter we had the blizzard of 1978, which was followed by the coldest February and 5th coldest March ever in G.R. And the winter of 1978-79 was the last time (and about the only verified time) that the Great Lakes froze over: http://blogs.woodtv.com/2009/01/20/will-lake-michigan-freeze-over/ (see image at the link). So, Northern Hemisphere ice was likely at a record high level in 1979 with the Great Lakes frozen over. If you start a graph in 1979 of temperature or Arctic ice and 1979 is a low point for temperature and a high point for Arctic ice, the graph will likely move toward what a long range average is going to turn out to be. No one disagrees with the data on Dr. Spencer’s graph. He’s just plotting the NASA data, which is available. You can access the data make you’re own plot if that would make you feel better. The alarmists made a mistake by not accepting the graph (which does show the warming in the 80s and 90s) and using it to show the warm-up! But no, everyone who disagrees with you is a villain who needs to be trashed. I think the warm up in the 80s and 90s was mostly a function of ocean currents (PDO, AMO, ENSO), and not carbon dioxide (which is a smaller player here). When you look at Spencer’s graph, note the 13-month trend – also note the trend over the past 5 months (this is an expected downward trend that almost always occurs in the fall/winter during La Nina). The 13-month trend clearly shows cooling.

        Temperatures have leveled off in the 2000s. All the data plots show that, including the link you just posted. Here’s the data that goes with the press release you just linked to: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/temp-and-precip/time-series/index.php?parameter=tmp&month=11&year=2011&filter=3&state=110&div=0 Look at the last 10 years on the graph at the link and the actual numbers down below the graph. You’ll see that in the 10 years prior to this past November, from 2001 to 2010, we had 5 Novembers that were warmer than November 2011 and 5 that were cooler than 2011. So we were right in the middle. The graphed data there is fun to play with. Put in “Michigan” and “November” and see what you get. Now put in “Michigan” and “July” and see what you get (just don’t show fixxxer, he’ll say “I told you so!”). When you go through the different states, you’ll see that states that have experienced significant urbanization (Nevada, Arizona) show warming, while states with stable siting at weather stations like Michigan not so much if at all.

  2. Nathan A. says:

    Global cooling…… Now that we leave a La Nina, more frigid air and snowier conditions will begin to dominate in the Midwest region, providing us with a much more “reasonable winter”. It appears that a system will arrive sometime around Jan 11-12 and up to four inches of snow could fall, then LE snows ramp up and GR picks up another half foot while areas to the SW pick up even more! Bill, I am really hoping we come close to your snow total, but your not the only one who was way off. Things could change though…… Let’s hope so! :)

    1. Nathan A. says:

      http://www.johndee.com/ John Dee agrees, and so does accuweather.com, several models, Bill, not Fixxxer, and weather.com etc…..

  3. Darwin Brown says:

    The weather will do what it is suppose to do no matter what we think it will do. We can look at the models to guess which one is the closest to what we think will occur. I am still predicting a blizzard in Mid to Late January for the Great areas! I hope I am wrong! Thanks for being there for us Bill!

    1. Jo Bo says:

      @Darwin Brown … if that is true, I hope it hits January 24 … I leave for Florida for three weeks on the 23rd!!

  4. TomKap (Michigan St. & Fuller) Grand Rapids says:

    Don’t we have at least ‘one’ blizzard every Winter?

    1. Nathan A. says:

      Yup, so you know what that means…..

  5. Jim S.(Saugatuck Twp) says:

    I read the forecast discussion from the GR NWS and the Detroit NWS. It’s like comparing a comic strip to a novel. GR’s long range discussions this winter have been anemic. I get that the weather has been a broken record, but they really need to give us weather nerds something worthwhile.

    1. Irish coffee says:

      Marino must have moved,or retired…he was always thorough and in-depth @ GRR

  6. Randy M (Comstock Park) says:

    Ah, the MODIS satellite picture- one of the things I like about Bill’s Blog, except when there are too many clouds in it. I CAN’T SEE THE TORNADO SCAR!

    Whoops, got carried away there, so here’s a few other things I like:
    -Weather insights from learned people (Bill, of course, or folks like Cort)
    -Regular reports and input from other parts of the state (DF and others)
    -Relevant insight from long-time locals (SlimJim, et. al.)
    -Area photos (such as when Charles goes chasing
    -Reminders to look for the ISS or other space happenings
    -Other interesting posts (snowy owls, earthquakes, CP Rotary Chicken….)
    -Friendly interactions and observations from many commenters

    Then there are the things I don’t like….but wait, the sun is shining, and it’s above freezing here in January. Enjoy the nice day!

    -

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