How HOT will it get??!!June 27th, 2012 at 11:59 am by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
New morning run numbers from the NAM model are in and they are HOT! Here’s the city, the NAM forecast high temperature for Thurs., Fri, and Saturday from the Caribou Tool, with the meager rainfall forecast for each day in ( ): Grand Rapids: 96.1, 87.8, 96.1 (.04″), Kalamazoo: 102.2, 90.1 (.13″), 96.4 (.02″), Jackson: 106.2 (trace), 92.8 (.03), 98.6 (.06″), Lansing: 101.1, 89.6, 95.9, (trace), Muskegon: 84.7, 84.9, 84.4 (trace), Holland: 93.2 (trace), 84.0, 93.2 (.06″), S. Haven: 96.6, 86.7 (.09″ Fri. Night), 93.7, (.15″), Ludington: 89.1 (.02″), 85.8, 88.5 (.02″), Mt. Pleasant: 100.2 (.20″), 89.6, 96.6 (.06″), Pontiac 104.4 (.17″), 90.1, 96.6 (.07″). NOW, the high and low for the next 2 days off the NAM MOS data: Grand Rapids 94/90, Kalamazoo 97/89, Holland Airport 94/87, Battle Creek 98/90, Lansing 96/90, Coldwater 99/92, Sturgis 99/90, Ludington 83/85, Marshall 100/92, Battle Creek 98/90, Cadillac 87/87, Detroit 100/94, Jackson 98/92, Ypsilanti 104/95, Muskegon 88/88, Big Rapids 91/90. The GFS MOS numbers for Thu./Fri: Grand Rapids 94/90, Kalamazoo 90/93, Big Rapids 87/88, Muskegon 86/88, Jackson 87/90. Winds are expected to be coming from the west off Lake Michigan, so the closer you are to the water the (relatively) cooler you will be. There’s a Red Flag Warning for an increasing threat of grass and wildfires. Here’s fire safety tips. Be VERY careful with fireworks over the next couple weeks, with fires and discarding cigarette butts. THURSDAY will be a CLEAN AIR ACTION DAY – free bus rides on the RAPID in G.R. and the MAX in the Holland/Zeeland area. There’s a Heat Advisory for the Michigan counties that border Indiana, extending down into Indiana and Illinois. Here’s current Michigan temperatures, a surface weather map, and current weather for the Muskegon beach, Grand Haven channel, Holland St. Park, South Haven Beach, Lake Michigan water temperatures and rip current forecast, the Grand Rapids NWS discussion, Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan border counties), SE Michigan NWS discussion, Northern Michigan NWS discussion, local W. Michigan radar, regional radar, Lake Michigan beach webcams, tips to beat the summer heat. Record high temperatures are possible. Here’s the Michigan Drought Monitor and a dry weather update for the Michiana area. Here’s where you can check on the large wildfires going on out West. Here’s a National Weather Map and the Thunderstorm Outlooks for the next 3 days from the Storm Prediction Center (Slight Risk area to Lake Michigan Thursday PM). While warm air aloft will act to limit thunderstorm activity – any storms that do develop could contain strong winds and hail. FINAL NOTE: There is a higher correlation from June weather to July weather than most other months. What you get in June often continues into July. So expect warmer than average temperatures in July in Michigan, much of the Great Lakes west into the Rockies, with cool conditions in the Pacific NW and Northeast and immediate West Coast. Keep coming back to the blog for updates and to check the links. Stay cool and make sure your relatives, friends and neighbors can cope with the heat. I may do the weather tonight from East G.R., and maybe I’ll have time for a quick kayak run around Reeds Lake after the 6 PM news before I head back to get ready for the 10 PM news on WXSP.