July, 2012

Tornado in Luxembourg

July 31st, 2012 at 9:08 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

   A rare tornado hit Luxembourg on Saturday.  The twister hit in the town of Weiswampach in far northern Luxembourg.  This is a screen grab from this YouTube video by Cris Schrieken The tornado appears to me to be maybe a low end EF1.  According to this web article “the worst weather fell on Friday (knocking out power when the opening ceremonies of the Olympics were underway) when emergency services were called out about 80 times due to flooding or fallen trees.”  Fell is kind of an interesting verb choice.

My father is 100% Luxembourger.  Both my grandfather and grandmother were born in Luxembourg (in the towns of Bisschen and Vichten).  Luxembourg is slightly bigger than Kent County (998 sq. miles vs. Kent’s 872 sq. miles).  The population is 512,353 compared to Kent County’s population of 608, 453.      Thanks to my Luxembourg facebook friend Pol Henrotte for giving me a heads up on this one.


Dry through Wednesday

July 31st, 2012 at 4:09 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Local Storm total rainfall for Monday (before they reset it.   All rain has pushed out of the state.  There’s an outside chance of a t-shower Thurs. or Fri.  The best chance of rain looks like Saturday night.   Check out these links: to the current conditions, regional radar, GRR radar, northern Indiana radar, and Chicago radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s closings, the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the WOOD lightning tracker and U.S. lightning and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime). Here’s Lake Michigan water temperatures. The Coast Guard Festival starts this weekend with the BIG parade and fireworks show on Saturday, August 4th.


2 Dead in Monday night’s storm – Next severe weather possible

July 31st, 2012 at 1:04 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

   Two fatalities in last night’s storm.  A couple in Fremont were killed when a tree crashed into their home (see middle picture).  Also:  Newaygo State Park reports they have more than 200 trees down, as well as property damage in the campground. No injuries reported.  Here’s a couple pictures from ReportIt on the left and right.  Click the pictures to enlarge. The first is a tree on a house in Holland the second is a tree on a house in Ada.  A total of 67,000 lost power in the storms and about 3/4ths of those have had power restored as of late morning.  Newaygo County will issue a statement, perhaps later this PM.  Hundreds of trees were toppled across the county.  There was also more significant tree damage in the Holland area.  Here’s storm reports from W. Michigan, N. Michigan and NE Wisconsin.  Here’s storm reports from SPC.   Winds were estimated at 70 mph at the west end of Lake Macatawa in Holland with a measured 65 mph gust on the beach at Holland.  The South Haven Lighthouse had 58 mph. and winds were estimated at 55 mph in Rockford.  Downtown Grand Haven recorded a gust to 52 mph.  There were a half dozen reports of small hail (Grandville, Walker, Comstock Park, Muskegon, Ferrysburg).  Rainfal totaled 2.04″ just west of Fremont, 2″ at Twin Lake, 1.8″ at Ferry in Oceana Co., 1.71″ in Grand Haven and just west of Grant, 1.68″ at S. Haven, 1.32″ at Bangor.  Other areas had less.  The Ford Airport in G.R. had 0.46″, the Kalamazoo Airport had 0.25″ and the Battle Creek Airport had 0.17″.  The lowest I saw as of 8 am was Mendon at 0.09″ (they may have had more after the observation was taken).  We’ll be dry this through tomorrow.  I’m checking new data and I’ll have the latest on the news tonight at 5 and 6 PM.

Also, while SPC has not marked a severe risk area yet, stay up to date on the forecast for the weekend.  SPC mentions us:  “WHILE IT APPEARS THAT MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY STEEPEN WITH ADVECTION OF ELEVATED MIXED LAYER AIR AS FAR EAST AS LOWER MICHIGAN SATURDAY…THE OCCURRENCE/TIMING AND LOCATION OF A POTENTIAL REGIONAL SEVERE WEATHER EVENT REMAIN UNCERTAIN.”  So, they’re tracking the severe weather probability for Saturday PM and Saturday night across the Great Lakes.

We did reach 90 degrees officially on Monday, so that’s the 28th day of 90-degree temperatures this summer and the 18th 90-degree day in July.


Mon. night storms hit entire area

July 30th, 2012 at 2:57 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

WW0540 RADAR Thumbnail Image

4:30  AM — heading to bed…will update late morning.   NEWAYGO CountyThere are at least 100 trees down, on houses, cars and roads. The majority of the county does not have power, the dispatch center is running on generator. She advises that if you are driving anywhere in the county be aware of trees. Baseline E of White Cloud is impassable due to the amount of trees in the road.  NWS reports:  “ABOUT A HUNDRED TREES DOWN ACROSS NEWAYGO COUNTY NORTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM HESPERIA TO NEWAYGO.”  Solid line of storms from Saginaw to Lansing to Saugatuck to Kenosha WI to Rockford IL. Gust to 47 mph at the buoy just west of Holland and 46 at the airport in Holland.  Pea-sized hail here in S. Alpine Township, at Wolf Lake in Muskegon Co. and in Walker.  Meso Discussion for Lower Michigan…only 20% chance of a watch.   Gust to at least 40 mph where I am, 45 mph in Alpine Township on Fruit Ridge, 46 mph at the Muskegon airport and est. 55 mph in Rockford, pea-sized hail in Muskegon and 40 mph at the Muskegon Beach…I saw a couple of brilliant bright blue flashes to the northeast and my power flickered…I assume we have power out somewhere.  It’s really howlin’ here in Comstock Park.  Trees and power lines down in Cedar Creek Township (Twin Lake), Muskegon Co.   Gust front moving into Allegan/Barry counties.  “Various reports from Holland through western Allegan County of power outages, etc.,  part of her porch roof blown off in Fennville.”     Frequent lighting with these storms.  Gust to 54 mph in Ludington.  Gust to 40 mph at Mears.  Gusts to 30-40 mph in Big Rapids and Fremont.  Tree down in Walkerville (Oceana Co.).  Trees down in White Cloud and Hesperia.  Warning for Oceana and Newaygo Counties.  Grand Rapids radar…most of us are going to get a storm tonight!   Special Marine Warning for Mason and northern Oceana Co. Gust to 53 mph at Traverse City and 62 mph at Pellston.  There is significant damage at the north end of Burt Lake – power out, trees on houses.   Thunderstorms have produced hail up to 2 1/2″ in diameter near Green Bay.  Here’s Green Bay storm reports.  Here’s recent storm reports from N. Lower Michigan and SW MichiganIn the U.P., there were hail reports, and a 59 mph wind gust at Grand Marais.    Most of West Michigan is included in the Slight Risk Area for a potential severe storm later tonight (we should be dry much of the evening).  All the models print out some rain for us tonight, mainly after midnight.   We already have a Severe T-Storm Watch out for much of the U.P.,  NE Wisconsin to the middle of Lake Michigan.  Here’s Marquette radar and Green Bay radar.   About the Watch, SPC says: ” FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31025″. With a mean storm motion of 310 degrees, the storms would be moving NW to SE and storms around Green Bay would be tracking down toward Muskegon and Grand Rapids. The SPC Convective Discussion says: “AT LEAST ISOLATED/PERIODIC SEVERE TSTMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN WI AND PERHAPS NORTHERN/WESTERN LOWER MI THIS EVENING.”  Keep coming back to the blog for more and the links:   current conditions, regional radar, GRR radar, northern Indiana radar, and Chicago radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the WOOD lightning tracker and U.S. lightning and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop and the visible satellite loop (daytime). Here’s Storm Total RainfallRegional Radar, SPC Mesoscale Discussions…and Current Severe T-Storm Watches.

9:50 PM – I’m back from swimming and kayaking at Crockery Lake.  I got a water temperature of 83 at the lake.  It was fun to watch the cumulonimbus build with their spreading anvils on the northwest horizon.  On the way back, I stopped to watch the sunset from Trinity Lutheran Church, where they have an awesome view to the northwest.  You could see the sun all the way to the horizon, just like at Lake Michigan.  The nearly full moon hung in the SE, there was a field of silking corn that stretched well to the north and the laughter of several children in the distance, enjoying the fading light of a mid-summer evening.


Full Moon

July 30th, 2012 at 4:32 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

  NASA picture of the full moon next to the right of the Lincoln Memorial.  The August full moon is called the Sturgeon Moon.  It’s also called the Full Red Moon because, as the Moon rises, it appears reddish through any sultry haze.  It was also called the Green Corn Moon or Grain Moon.  If you look west in the evening, you’ll see a triangle of stars formed by Saturn, Mars and the bright star Spica.  In the early morning you can see the bright planets Venus and Jupiter to the east (Jupiter is “on top”).  There are lots of opportunities this week to see the Intl. Space Station fly over.   Here’s the latest from the G.R. Amateur Astronomical Assn.   The next open house at the Veen Observatory is August 11.  Here’s some cool pictures from www.spaceweather.com.


Chance Sunday late (and night) rain chance

July 29th, 2012 at 3:15 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Local    Storm total rainfall for Sunday showed some light showers came into Mason County and SE of Benton Harbor and there were a few showers around Chicago. A thank you to the HomeFront Church in Grandville for inviting me out for their community outreach cycle spectacular…so many happy kids!  Thanks to those of you who saw the note here on the blog and came out to say “hi”.  Check out these links: to the current conditions, regional radar, GRR radar, northern Indiana radar, and Chicago radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s closings, the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the WOOD lightning tracker and U.S. lightning and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime). Here’s Lake Michigan water temperatures. The Coast Guard Festival starts this weekend with the BIG parade and fireworks show on Saturday, August 4th.

Through Saturday, the average temperature for G.R. for July is 79.7.  The warmest July in G.R. was 1921 at 79.8.  So, we may be heading for a 2nd place finish.  It’ll be the first top ten warmest July in G.R. since 1955.   All four of the coolest Julys in G.R. have come relatively recently (2009, 1992, 1996, 2000).   Speaking of cool, Los Angeles has had only 3 days warmer than average in July so far.  Alaska remains cool. Anchorage  is still 3.4 degrees cooler than average for July.  Nome had a high of only 50 yesterday and they’ve had 2.76″ of rain in the last 4 days (the average for the entire month is 2.11″).  Fairbanks finally struggled to 80 on the 26th for the first time this month.  Only 8 days have been warmer than average this month in Fairbanks.  Valdez has had 7 days with highs only in the low 50s this month and they are 2.4 deg. cooler than average.  On the warm side, Oklahoma City has had 10 consecutive days of 100-degree heat.  Their record is 22 days back in 1936, so they have a ways to go to catch that record.   OH, and the weather for London looks cool and wet – look at the chances for rain.


Dry and Pleasant Weekend

July 28th, 2012 at 3:07 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

  Coast Guard Festival with lots to do this weekend – Kids Parade – Free Lunch.  There’s also Taste of Grand Rapids, Byron (Center) Days, Taste of Middleville, the Ottawa Co. Fair, the Western Michigan Fair at Ludington, the Muskegon Co. Youth Fair  and the last day of the Ionia Free Fair.  The weekend looks great…partly to mostly sunny and dry with highs in the mid 80s.  We are at 80.0 for an average July temperature.  The warmest July ever was 79.8 deg. in 1921.  We’ll probably fall below that by month’s end.  We have had 27 days with highs of 90-degrees or higher.  The record is 37 days in 1988.  At this point in 1988 we had just 22 90-degree days.  However from July 28 to August 17, 1988 – we had a string of 15 of 19 days that were 90 or better.  We were 98 on August 17th, then we had a night of t-storms.  The next day the high was just 73, and it never got warmer than 80 the whole rest of the summer.  I don’t think that will happen this year.  The pattern is stable, and I would suspect that temperatures will likely remain warmer than average into early fall.  With northwest flow, we’ll continue to see dry periods, but we should be closer to the “ring of fire” and disturbances coming down from the northwest should give us an occasional shower or t-shower.  The NAM Caribou gives G.R. highs of 84-87-93 for the next 3 days.  The European model would give us approx. 84-87- 91…both models are dry for the Weekend and Monday with the European bringing us a shower or t-shower Tue. PM


Lake and River Levels

July 27th, 2012 at 9:55 pm by under Bill's Blog, News, Weather

    Boat that sunk in Spring Lake on 7/22 – see full screen here – from Keith on ReportIt.  I don’t have details on the sunken craft.   The water level of Lake Superior is up 2″ in the last month and is now 2″ above the level of one year ago (they’ve had more rain up north – where the “ring of fire” has been located).  The rest of the Great Lakes are down…Michigan/Huron is down 2″ in the last month and 9″ in the last year.  The lake is now 22″ below the average July level.   Lake Erie is down 3″ in the last month and down 14″ year-to-year and Lake Ontario is down 6″ in the last month and down 12″ in the past year.  Ontario is 10″ below average and Erie is 8″ below average.  Erie and Ontario go through larger fluctuations over shorter periods of time than the other 3 Great Lakes.  The rain today in Kent Co. caused significant rises in river levels.  Look at the chart for the Rogue River at Rockford.  The Rogue was well below average flow and shot up to well above average flow…but look at how fast it’s coming down already.  Here’s the Grand River in Grand Rapids, also showing a significant rise with the rain today.  You can see how quickly even a bigger river can rise with a quick heavy rain event.


Showers Pretty Much Done

July 27th, 2012 at 1:25 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Local    Showers continue to diminish in Lower Michigan.   Nice Waterspouts off Holland St. Park.  I’ll get pics. up after the news.   Golfball sized hail reported in Alma.  We got a number of waterspout pics. from west of Ottawa Co.    Small hail reported in the Nunica/Coopersville area and also just northwest of St. Johns in Clinton Co.  -  Rainfall has been quite variable, with one report of 3.16″ near Coopersville, 0.78″ at the Ford Airport in G.R., 0.13″ at Kalamazoo, 0.06″ in Holland, 0.04″ in Muskegon and just 0.01″ in Battle Creek as of 5 pm.  Leave a comment if you have a rainfall total.  The timing on this is right for most of us with showers on Friday and Monday and dry weather on Saturday and Sunday.    Until they reset it, check out storm total rainfall. Check out these links: to the current conditions, regional radar, GRR radar, northern Indiana radar, and Chicago radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s closings, the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the WOOD lightning tracker and U.S. lightning and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime). Here’s Lake Michigan water temperatures. Waves are running 1-2 feet. When we have a brisk south- southwest wind, it favors a current along the pier (actually a breakwater) at Grand Haven St. Park (and on the south side of all piers and breakwaters), so avoid swimming near or jumping off the Grand Haven pier on days with a strong south or southwest wind. The Coast Guard Festival starts this weekend with the BIG parade and fireworks show on Saturday, August 4th.  We have the Taste of Grand Rapids and the Ionia Free Fair is wrapping up.  Here’s more events.

The 12Z (Friday AM run of the NAM Caribou) is in.   It holds temperatures in the mid 70s for most of the afternoon with an average of 0.14″ of rain.  We have a dry and pleasant weekend with 85 for a high temp. on Saturday and 88 on Sunday.  The raw NAM is 86 on Sat. and 89 on Sunday. Saturday is mostly sunny, Sunday is partly to mostly sunny.  Nice weekend.

The overnight NAM model gives Grand Rapids a high of 81 today (Fri), 86 on Saturday and 88 on Sunday.  The GFS has 83 today, 83 on Saturday and 84 on Sunday.  The NAM Caribou has 78 today, 85.3 on Sat. and 89.4 on Sunday.  The % chance of rain off the NAM is 65% today, the GFS has 72% and the NAM Caribou gives G.R. 0.17″ today and the GFS has 0.33″.  The European model gives G.R. a similar 0.34″ of rain today (Fri.), with highs of about 79 on Fri., 85 on Sat. and 86 on Sunday.

 


Big Severe Weather Day – 2 Dead

July 26th, 2012 at 10:55 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

   These are storm reports from SPC.  The moderate risk that SPC put out from SE Indiana to NYC sure worked out.  There was one fatality in Genessee, PA, one fatality in NYC (scaffolding collapsed) and injuries in Camden and Rockaway, NJ. and also at least one other injury in NYC.  There were still 33,000 customers without power from the storms.  The Ohio St. Fair was temporarily shut down by the storm.  A State of Emergency and mandatory curfew were declared in Elmira, NY because of storm damage.  Measured wind gusts this PM:  72 mph Durant OK, 74 mph Armagh IN and 75 mph at Versailles KY and Albany OH.  As I write this (10:55 PM – trying to finish before the news), SPC reports 350 wind damage reports (blue dots on the map), 2 possible tornadoes and 37 severe hail reports (up to tennis-ball size).  One-inch diameter hail fell in downtown Cincinnati.  The NYC storm is being called a derecho.   Check out this picture of the storm coming into NY from Ryan Brenizer Photography.   Lightning started a 6-alarm apartment complex fire in NYC.  A number of firefighters were taken to the hospital.