Chance Sunday late (and night) rain chance

July 29th, 2012 at 3:15 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Local    Storm total rainfall for Sunday showed some light showers came into Mason County and SE of Benton Harbor and there were a few showers around Chicago. A thank you to the HomeFront Church in Grandville for inviting me out for their community outreach cycle spectacular…so many happy kids!  Thanks to those of you who saw the note here on the blog and came out to say “hi”.  Check out these links: to the current conditions, regional radar, GRR radar, northern Indiana radar, and Chicago radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s closings, the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the WOOD lightning tracker and U.S. lightning and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime). Here’s Lake Michigan water temperatures. The Coast Guard Festival starts this weekend with the BIG parade and fireworks show on Saturday, August 4th.

Through Saturday, the average temperature for G.R. for July is 79.7.  The warmest July in G.R. was 1921 at 79.8.  So, we may be heading for a 2nd place finish.  It’ll be the first top ten warmest July in G.R. since 1955.   All four of the coolest Julys in G.R. have come relatively recently (2009, 1992, 1996, 2000).   Speaking of cool, Los Angeles has had only 3 days warmer than average in July so far.  Alaska remains cool. Anchorage  is still 3.4 degrees cooler than average for July.  Nome had a high of only 50 yesterday and they’ve had 2.76″ of rain in the last 4 days (the average for the entire month is 2.11″).  Fairbanks finally struggled to 80 on the 26th for the first time this month.  Only 8 days have been warmer than average this month in Fairbanks.  Valdez has had 7 days with highs only in the low 50s this month and they are 2.4 deg. cooler than average.  On the warm side, Oklahoma City has had 10 consecutive days of 100-degree heat.  Their record is 22 days back in 1936, so they have a ways to go to catch that record.   OH, and the weather for London looks cool and wet – look at the chances for rain.

77 Responses to “Chance Sunday late (and night) rain chance”

  1. Dan says:

    Another picture perfect day here in West Michigan! Keep the nice weather rolling along. Yesterday, had a large number of people gather out at Sandy Pines, the weather was PERFECT! Looks to stay nice right on through this next week. What is wrong with the Tigers? They looked like a contender just about a week ago, now, I’m not so sure! Lets GO TIGERS!!

    1. Hugh near Ada says:

      Let’s hope for a win…

    2. Brian(Grandville) says:

      As of right now, their not even in the wildcard standings.

      1. Brad says:

        Folks, it’s time to review some basic English:

        http://www.wikihow.com/Use-There,-Their-and-They%27re

        Non-native speakers are excused from making this elementary mistake.

        As I transition into the author’s role, I reserve the right to strike down any acts of grammatical butchery that prowl the comments page.

        1. Kimoeagle says:

          Forsooth:
          Their is no reason to fault their grammar, for there just triyin’ to communicate! ;-)

      1. Jack says:

        My plus + 1. Is for Dan , post ..on .. GO TIGERS….. :-)

        1. Dan says:

          Yes, nice win today! Hopefully, the White Sox lose to the Rangers! Tomorrow, they open a series with Boston. LETS GO TIGERS! Its time to take control of the AL Central!

  2. Tom L says:

    Enjoy the picnic and have a great time today, Bill!
    P.S. Thanks for ALL you continue to do for our community!
    :)

    1. Jack says:

      +1…… Thanks BILL. :-)

    2. big Daddy BC says:

      And thanks for all the ‘cool’ references. Sure love the descriptors. If I wasn’t living it, I’d think we were having just an average summer like you forecasted.

      Here’s one of last summer’s headlines,
      “What a scorcher! July weather breaks 2,700 records, Washington has its hottest month in 140 years… and it’s only getting hotter”

      Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2021331/July-weather-breaks-2-700-temperature-records-Washingtons-hottest-month-140-years.html#ixzz222f33m3g

      …Might misleading to say “it’ll be the first top ten warmest July in G.R. since 1955.” ;)

      1. Bill Steffen says:

        First, Grand Rapids won’t be as warm this month as we were in July 1921 (91 years ago!).

        Second, you’re living the weather here. The continental U.S. is only 2% of the Earth. The rest of the Earth balances us out: http://policlimate.com/climate/cfsr_t2m_2011.png and http://policlimate.com/climate/ncep_cfsr_t2m_ytd_anom.png

        Third, much of the rest of the world is cool right now: Europe gets a chilly summer: http://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/londons-chilly-summer-could-mean-long-sleeves-over-bikinis-in-olympic-beach-volleyball/2012/07/22/gJQAJv461W_story.html Australia’s chilly: http://globalfreeze.wordpress.com/ Antarctic ice has grown significantly this year: http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/S_timeseries.png And the latest from Dr. Patrick Moore, the founder of Greenpeace: http://climatedepot.com/a/16681/Greenpeace-cofounder-Dr-Patrick-Moore-Thank-goodness-we-came-along–reversed-150-millionyear-trend-of-reduced-CO2-levels-in-global-atmosphere-Long-live-the-humans Another global warming alarmist now refutes climate catastrophe from CO2: http://worldnews.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/04/23/11144098-gaia-scientist-james-lovelock-i-was-alarmist-about-climate-change?lite and another: http://epw.senate.gov/pressitem.cfm?party=rep&id=264777 And Dr. Judith Curry from the BEST group at Berkeley that you like to link to: Prof Curry said, the project’s research data show there has been no increase in world temperatures since the end of the Nineties – a fact confirmed by a new analysis that The Mail on Sunday has obtained.

        ‘There is no scientific basis for saying that warming hasn’t stopped,’ she said. ‘To say that there is detracts from the credibility of the data, which is very unfortunate.’

        Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2055191/Scientists-said-climate-change-sceptics-proved-wrong-accused-hiding-truth-colleague.html#ixzz21W7sZGOo

        Fourth, did you see the new CFS Winter Forecast?: https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/229474286304378880/photo/1/large How about the JAMSTEC model (about the only model that forecast a mild winter for Michigan last year): http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frsgc/research/d1/iod/e/seasonal/outlook.html (put in: Surf Air Temp Anomaly).

      2. big Daddy BC says:

        It’s useless to try to converse with you. These half page cut-and-pastes with ten random links do nothing for your credibility.

      3. Paul says:

        “Might misleading”??? What’s misleading is your Craigslist ads, you silly tranny, lol.

        http://www.paulmacrae.com/

        1. big Daddy BC says:

          The bigot racist Paul returns. Where’s your degree from? …U of M? LOL

        2. Paul says:

          Everyone, it’s Jedthro (bdbc) showing off his sixth grade education to the world wide web. What’s this I hear about you liking “numb nuts”??? You better get your little cross dressing temper under control missy, lol.

        3. big Daddy BC says:

          You keep egging me on, Paul, and I’ll take your momma out for a nice seafood dinner and then never call her again.

        4. Paul says:

          That’s a weak response, lol. Get back to bed, your “Mama” is calling and this time remember her panties.

        5. big Daddy BC says:

          It worked in Anchor Man. Btw, your sister doesn’t insist I call her Big Mama anymore and she likes when I wear her panties around the trailer.

        6. Paul says:

          Well, it’s good to see you’re admiting to your cross dressing fetish. It makes sense that you don’t need much space in the front of the panties, but I bet you need the space in the back, lol.

        7. big Daddy BC says:

          That makes absolutely no sense, Numb Nuts.

        8. Paul says:

          To you, yes.

        9. Paul says:

          And now you sign your posts with “Numb Nuts”, you’re truly a dumb azz, lol.

        10. big Daddy BC says:

          The fact that a period comes after means I’m addressing you as ‘Numb Nuts,’ Numb Nuts.

        11. Bill Steffen says:

          “The global warming scam, with the (literally) trillions of dollars driving it, that has corrupted so many scientists, and has carried APS before it like a rogue wave. It is the greatest and most successful pseudoscientific fraud I have seen in my long life as a physicist. Anyone who has the faintest doubt that this is so should force himself to read the ClimateGate documents, which lay it bare. (Montford’s book organizes the facts very well.) I don’t believe that any real physicist, nay scientist, can read that stuff without revulsion. I would almost make that revulsion a definition of the word scientist.” – Dr. Harold Lewis, Professor of Physics, University of California

      4. Bill Steffen says:

        Here’s a link to Anthony Watts announcement today: http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/07/29/press-release-2/#more-68286

        Read the paper and click through the PowerPoint presentation.

      5. big Daddy BC says:

        Watts made a statement? Who cares. He’s not even a working scientist. He’s a webmaster. LOL

        Speaking of announcements, Berkeley made one as well.

        “Berkeley Earth has just released analysis of land-surface temperature records going back 250 years, about 100 years further than previous studies. The analysis shows that the rise in average world land temperature globe is approximately 1.5 degrees C in the past 250 years, and about 0.9 degrees in the past 50 years.

        Berkeley Earth also has carefully studied issues raised by skeptics, such as possible biases from urban heating, data selection, poor station quality, and data adjustment. We have demonstrated that these do not unduly bias the results.

        Many of the changes in land-surface temperature can be explained by a combination of volcanoes and a proxy for human greenhouse gas emissions. Solar variation does not seem to impact the temperature trend.”

        Now these are ACTUAL scientists. LOL I’m linking the page below. Have a look, Mr. Magoo, and please don’t post your prewritten 10 link response below.

        http://berkeleyearth.org/results-summary/

        1. Michael S says:

          Wait big daddy… you don’t believe a college dropout weatherman over professional climate scientists? :)

        2. big Daddy BC says:

          My Bad ;)

        3. Bill Steffen says:

          You mean professional climate Scientists like Dr. Roger Pelkie, Dr. Roger Pelkie, JR, at least 4 State Climatologists, Dr. Reid Bryson, Dr. Bill Gray (the most famous hurricane climatologists), William Happer (physics professor at Princeton). Here’s more: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_scientists_opposing_the_mainstream_scientific_assessment_of_global_warming And more: http://www.petitionproject.org/

          And bigD…you are such a hypocrite for not calling on Micheal S.’s employer to pay their fair share of taxes: http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/general-electric-paid-federal-taxes-2010/story?id=13224558 You rant and rave about oil companies…but oil companies pay a LOT of tax! http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/xom/financials GE not only didn’t pay ANY tax, but they got millions from the Federal Government! And GE is a far bigger lobbyist than any oil company! http://www.dailyfinance.com/2011/12/13/30-major-u-s-companies-spent-more-on-lobbying-than-taxes/

        4. big Daddy BC says:

          So your assertion is that because there are oil companies that pay US taxes, it’s justified offsetting those taxes by billions with unnecessary subsidies. The way it sits now, the US tax payers buy gas twice, once with their hard earned tax dollars and a second time at the pump. How many billions in subsidies does GE get? If you read at all, you’d know that GE didn’t pay taxes because GE financial took a huge loss during the Bush Recession. They spread that loss over several years. Stop watching FOX NEWS. They lie, and frankly I agree that GE should be paying more in taxes. Who said I was a GE Fan? LOL They should ALL be paying more!!

        5. Bill Steffen says:

          I’m all for ending unreasonable subsidies. Let’s start with the $50 million Michigan film subsidies…for the ultra-rich in Hollywood. I believe in free-market economics. That produces wealth and innovation. I can’t believe you want to pay everyone the same. Do you really think Cabrera and Valverde should get equal paychecks? I don’t want massive taxes on gasoline to boost the price to “European levels”. I don’t want “skyrocketing” utility rates. Gasoline is already more than double the price it was when Bush left office.

          I want to remind everyone that global temperatures have been flat for over a decade: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif

          And that CO2 emissions in the U.S. are falling and are now at a 20-year low: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif

    1. Bill Steffen says:

      You’re right, I’m wrong. I was looking at my climate data at home and the 2011 data for July was not added to the list here at home. July 2011 is officially 5th. It looks like July 2012 will be 2nd. Let me add that the GRR NWS (or someone higher up the food chain) decided to change the 1939-56 (I’m not totally certain of the years, but this is close) data in the Grand Rapids climate data from downtown to the airport (both sites took readings during those years). Therefore 1955 was shoved down from 2nd place to 6th place. It still leaves the 4 coolest Julys all occurring since 1992 and 2011 and 2012 as the only top ten warmest Julys since 1955.

  3. Brad says:

    Where does July rank in the “cool spectrum” for these Alaska locations?

    1. big Daddy BC says:

      According to NOAA, Nome’s at .3 degrees above normal. OF course that’s the ’81-10 adjusted normal, so that puts them at .8 degrees above the historical average. http://www.nws.noaa.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=pafg

      Here’s the outlook using that adjusted average. Even adjusted, we’re broiling!!!
      http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/30day/off14_temp.gif

      1. michael g (SE GR) says:

        And by historical, you mean forever right?

      2. Bill Steffen says:

        Nome is one degree cooler than average for July: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/climate/getclimate.php?wfo=pafg (see Preliminary Monthly Climate Data). If you go to the archived data, the monthly departure from average for Nome starting with last October is:

        -0.8, -9.7, -3.0, -21.9 (for January – that’s astonishing! 21.9 degrees below average…a greater departure from average than anyone is going to have on the plus side in July!) +2.1, -9.9, -0.2, -3.7, +0.2, -0.9. Divide by 10 and you get a 10-month departure from average of 4.8 degrees below average.

        1. big Daddy BC says:

          Actually, Nome IS .3 degrees above normal for the month. Click on the monthly summary, Bill. You’re looking at the daily, I believe.

        2. Bill Steffen says:

          Wrong BigD. Check out the monthly climate summary for Nome: http://www.arh.noaa.gov/wmofcst.php?wmo=CXAK59PAOM&type=public More than a degree COLDER than average in July. That’s 8 months out of the last 10 colder than average! That’s still 4.8 degrees colder than average over a 10 month period. And January!! Wow!! 21.9 degrees colder than average! That’s a much greater departure from average than ANY station this month from the heat! Wow! They had 6.27″ of rain in July in Nome and that was 4.16″ above average. Hope the cold hasn’t been too tough on the polar bears.

        3. big Daddy BC says:

          It’s Nome, not Kansas. Temperature swings are much greater the closer you get to the poles. Middle school kids know that. That data on Nome is changing daily, obviously.

    2. Tom says:

      Hey for you Brad the “english teacher”! Your sentence should read Alaskan not Alaska locations-practice what you preach if you are going to try and stir up this blog.

      1. Brad says:

        Bad comparison. If I replace “Alaska” with “Michigan” do you understand the rationale? Would you write “Michiganian locations” or “Alabaman locations?”

        My point stands. I’m not here to police grammar, but it was time to correct the bludgeoning of our beautiful language.

        1. Kimoeagle says:

          Well, what’s wrong with Michiganian locations? Or Alabaman locations? It depends upon the demonym that one prefers, wouldn’t you say? For instance, those in Melbourne, Australia call themselves Melburnians. And what about the Washingtonian, Ohioan, Idahoan, Coloradan folks?
          So, Tom, — and you, too, Brad —-need to chill a bit — for both demonyms are acceptable. Right, o Blogmaster??? :-)

        2. Brad says:

          Note that I did not incorrectly correct myself…

        3. Barb says:

          Michiganian is a noun, referring to people. Michigan can also be used as an adjective, just as with any other state. (I have taught grammar & writing for 20+ years.)

  4. Dan says:

    Nice catch, Tom! It is unbelievable to me that some can call others out and yet make the very mistakes that they are complaining about.

    1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

      as what others do +1

    2. Brad says:

      I made none of the mistakes I complained about, Simple Dan!

      1. Kimoeagle says:

        The only mistake you made, Brad, was in ASSUMING that Tom was incorrect.
        ;-)

        1. Brad says:

          Incorrect- Tom assumed I was incorrect, and posted accordingly.

        2. Kimoeagle says:

          And, you made the comment, “Bad Comparison”…… in reference to Tom’s comment…….. right?

        3. Brad says:

          Right, as in disagreeing that making an elementary vocabulary mistake was equivalent to my use of “Alaska” instead of “Alaskan.”

  5. Dan says:

    Hey Bill: Thanks for all your work with providing all of us with this Blog! I also appreciate your knowledge and expertise!! You do so many great things for the community! Some feel it is their duty to show their disdain and antipathy for you. It is very sad because all that it shows is how unhappy these people are. Keep up the great work, Bill!! Keep on rising above the few that wish to disrupt, hi jack and make themselves out to look very foolish!!

    1. Jack says:

      Hey, Dan. I Agree 100% with You… To Hi Jack..I say No Im Not (wish I Was), I’m Just Tired…. :-)

      1. michael g (SE GR) says:

        Now that’s funny!

        1. Jack says:

          Thanks Michael G. I try my Best…. :-) . :-)

      2. Dan says:

        Jack: Your witty comments are very much appreciated! I’m cracking up!

        1. Jack says:

          Cue: Huey Lewis and The News……. You Crack Me Up…… :-)

  6. Bnoppe says:

    Long term mentions a Severe chance next Friday, just something to feed us weather junkies

    1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

      That is the day we come back into W. Michigan so it won’t happen ;-) The Bubble will be back! Sorry folks!

      1. ~Sherry~ (Comstock Park) says:

        Don’t bring the bubble back with you!! Leave it there!

    2. Jack says:

      Spin: Carly Simon……..ANTICIPATION…………

      1. Kimoeagle says:

        ……Is makin’ me late…….Is keepin’ me waitin’……………. :-)

    3. Brad (Lawrence) says:

      Can’t happen, preparing for a big family get-together at my house. Will have a few canopies set-up…so, NO to severe weather! Then again, mother nature DOES have a sense of humor…right?

      1. Jack says:

        Listening To …… The Guess Who…LAUGHING.. :-)

  7. INDY says:

    Theeee Blogg keeps rolling with out the owennnnn LOVE IT!! INDYY….

    1. Jack says:

      Hey,Hey,My,My, ROCK N ROOOOOOOL, Will Never Die……..

      1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

        http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qCRae5mRoRE You know it Indy!

        1. Kimoeagle says:

          Cut em out (ride em in),Ride em in (cut em out)
          Cut em out (ride em in)———- Rawhide
          Yahhhhh!
          Rollin rollin rollin,Rollin rollin rollin,
          Yahhhhh!
          Rollin rollin rollin,Rollin rollin rollin,
          Yah!
          Rawhide
          Yah! RAWHIDE! :-)

  8. sb (anchorage) says:

    We had a week of mid 60 weather….pretty warm for us.
    The record snowfall (poor man’s fertilizer) has produced many extra blooms in my flower garden this year. Even the grass seems greener than usual this year.
    It’s beautiful in Alaska :-)

    1. Jack says:

      Thank-You sb anchorage…That’s Proof To Me ..That the Grass Is Always GREENER..ON thee OTHER SIDE… :-)

  9. Nathan says:

    Doesn’t anyone go on the blog at this time of day? It is the only time I have for computer, and no ones on…. Anyways, I am really surprised this July is not the warmest on record! It might miss the record by .1 degree… This kind of reminds me of the Blizzard 2011 when GR received .1 of an inch of snow below the record!

    1. Jack says:

      Not Then…But Now… :-)

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