Hurricane SandyOctober 24th, 2012 at 11:55 am by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, News, Weather
(click graphic to enlarge). Wed. night run of the European model for Monday evening takes Sandy near Washington D.C. with a huge push of water up Delaware Bay. There could be significant damage/flooding in Delaware, New Jersey, in Philadelphia, with +2 FEET of snow in the high mountains of W. Virginia. There’s a chilly north wind in Michigan. Here’s the NOGAPS model for Sunday evening. Here’s the latest European model for Mon. AM and the latest European for Tues. AM – bringing a tropical storm up into Delaware. Keep in mind there is full moon and that means higher tides and an even greater risk of coastline flooding and erosion. The GFS model is trending toward the European and bringing a strong storm into the NE U.S. Here’s the GFS night run for Weds. evening…doesn’t look real good for trick or treat. This would be a cold rain or rain/snow mix and temperatures perhaps in the mid-upper 30s. If that’s the case, this is going to be a tens of millions of dollars in damage storm (if not hundreds of millions), with wind damage, heavy rain, mountain snow and flooding. For Michigan it means an extended period of cold north winds. Hurricane Sandy will move north across Jamaica and eastern Cuba, then into the Bahamas. The center of the storm will pass east of Florida, but could give gusty winds and heavy rain to SE Florida. The storm will likely pass east of the Outer Banks of North Carolina, perhaps giving that area a shot of wind and rain. The big question is what happens then. The NWS will be launching extra weather balloons and taking other measures to enhance base data and improve forecasts with the storm. Here’s the latest track map, the latest forecast advisory (inc. the watches and warnings), the latest forecast discussion, the public advisory, wind probabilities, Jamaica radar (“temporarily down” as I write this), eastern Cuba radar, Cuba general radar, Guantanamo Cuba radar (not working as I write this), Miami radar, eastern North Carolina radar, zoomed-in Funktop satellite, Caribbean-centered Funktop satellite loop, visible satellite loop (infrared at night), many more satellite images, Jamaican weather blog, Bahamas weather blog, Jamaican weather stations, Bahamas weather stations, and a surface weather map of the Caribbean to SE U.S. Also, here’s the latest on Tropical Storm Tony, well out in the Atlantic.