Comments on: Scattered Showers

By: Rocky (Rockford)

Rocky (Rockford) — Sun, 11 Nov 2012 20:53:51 +0000

The bottom line is that this was an imcompetent statement by the NWS! Outrageous!

By: Kimoeagle

Kimoeagle — Sun, 11 Nov 2012 02:55:04 +0000

Ah. I just read this (NWS advisory), which fits with my previous revelation: The NWS Storm Prediction Center has expanded the Slight Risk area for severe weather to include areas from Texas to Minnesota. While the primary risk remains from strong winds and hail, there is a possibility of a few tornadoes in the Central Plains.

By: Kimoeagle

Kimoeagle — Sun, 11 Nov 2012 02:51:09 +0000

That’s a nasty front coming NW out of Kansas right now. Looks like it’s riding the jet stream!

By: Kimoeagle

Kimoeagle — Sun, 11 Nov 2012 02:50:07 +0000

As they say in Lower Slobbbvia: Phbbbbbt!

By: Rocky (Rockford)

Rocky (Rockford) — Sun, 11 Nov 2012 00:31:53 +0000

They are still horrible at predicting snow storms however!

By: Rocky (Rockford)

Rocky (Rockford) — Sun, 11 Nov 2012 00:30:50 +0000

Now that is some good information. Thanks

By: Cort S.

Cort S. — Sat, 10 Nov 2012 19:36:16 +0000

Yes, to call it “heavy snow” is likely overdone, but consider what you are looking at. It’s a generalized hazard outlook map. It is designed to be an awareness booster for medium-term hazards which are coming down the pipe. This is not meant to replace location-specific forecasts which are issued by the WFOs. Do you think every single rain gauge within the “heavy rain” outline is going to see what you would consider heavy rain amounts?

From the hazards outlook page:
“Please consult local NWS Forecast Offices for short range forecasts and region-specific information.”

Okay, so let’s do that. Read the forecast discussion that I posted above. This is certainly not being blown out of proportion like you think it is.

Perhaps you’re mad because you won’t be able to go golfing on Monday?

By: Cort S.

Cort S. — Sat, 10 Nov 2012 19:23:41 +0000

Cool your jets. Life is more complicated than this. Consider the following…

If the National Weather Service’s very accurate prediction of Sandy four days in advance — and the NWS’s coordination with emergency managers — ended up preventing just 2%-5% of the $20-50 billion total damages which Sandy wrought, then the NWS has already paid for itself this year.

http://theweatherguru.com/2012/11/national-weather-service-pays-for-itself-again/

“A nationwide study indicates that the U.S. public obtains several hundred billion forecasts each year, generating $31.5 billion in benefits compared to costs of $5.1 billion.”
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/2008BAMS2604.1
(If you do not have free access to this article, please let me know.)

By: Barry in Zeeland

Barry in Zeeland — Sat, 10 Nov 2012 13:16:26 +0000

Um, by next weekend it’s back in the ’50′s again…….

By: Rocky (Rockford)

Rocky (Rockford) — Sat, 10 Nov 2012 13:08:45 +0000

They are a farce and waste a lot of the tax payer money, especially when posting totally inaccurate information.