Leonid Meteor Shower
November 16th, 2012 at 1:16 am by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
The best time to see the Leonid Meteor Shower is from 1 AM to twilight early Saturday morning (there could be a second minor peak early Tuesday morning). You could see as many as 5-15 meteors per hour. The meteors associated with the comet Tempel-Tuttle. It takes the comet about 33 years to make one orbit around the sun. The sky should be clear to partly cloudy and the crescent moon sets in mid-evening. Temperatures will likely be in the mid 20s to low 30s early Saturday, so it will be cool. The Leonids radiate from the constellation Leo, the Lion, which this time of year rises around local midnight, and by 3:00 a.m. is high in the eastern sky. So you’d be best looking toward the east-northeast. Here’s a cool picture of the Leonids taken from space.
Also check out This Week’s Sky at a Glance, some great pictures of the solar eclipse Thursday in Queensland, Australia, a schedule of flyovers of the International Space Station and some pretty cool waterspout video from Japan.
I think I might wait for the December meteor shower. Probably 3-5 times more meteors per hour.
Sonny Elliot passed away =/
Just going to ask how good of a “show” this one was. We watched this summer’s shower.
I grew up on the other side of the state and remember Sonny Eliot. Sorry to hear of his death.
Was the space photo taken from the ISS? That would be a little scary…..I’d worry about one of them hitting the ISS. Even a small one would do a lot of damage. Do they adjust the path of the ISS to avoid the meteor showers?
My son and I were heading east on Chicago Drive last nite around (9pm) and saw a meteor in the eastern sky – lasted about 5-6 seconds. It was very bright – pretty cool to see.
Off topic, but looks like lots of snow chances towards the end of the month.
Sprites
Yes. Everyones been saying snow since early-mid October, yet here we are in mid-late November and nothing but 50′s and 60′s in sight. You people are starting to sound as desperate as last winter already. Good grief, can we just get through and ENJOY our Fall first?
Fall is almost over you didn’t enjoy the much above average temps in October? After Thanksgiving it can get cold ill compromise.
Go live in the south if you can’t handle snow or talk about it. Any sane person knows we need it this year.
Or you could just go live in the north where we don’t have to hear you complain about our lack of snow.
Looks very cold near the 1st of December. Cmon Bill let us get a decent snow storm by the end of the month please!
Did you male yet another name indy?
*make
From the NWS:
ALSO AS NOTED YESTERDAY THE PROBLEM IS RELATED TO BLOCKING AT HIGH
LATITUDES. NAMELY THE UPPER HIGH…THAT AT 00Z FRIDAY… WAS NEAR
178E AND 73N. IT IS CAUSING THE NORTHERN BRANCH OF THE POLAR JET TO
STAY NORTH OF 65N AROUND THE HEMISPHERE. THUS LOCKING THE TRULY
WINTER LIKE TEMPERATURES WELL NORTH OF HERE THROUGH THE END OF NEXT
WEEK. THE PRIMARY POLAR JET IS STAYING NEAR THE CANADIAN BOARDER
THROUGH THANKSGIVING. MEANWHILE THE SUB-TROPICAL JET IS DOWN NEAR
THE GULF COAST AND WILL LIKELY STAY THERE UNTIL THANKSGIVING. SO…
UNTIL THAT BLOCKING UPPER HIGH MOVES OUT OF THE WAY THIS OVERALL
MILD AND DRY WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE HERE OVER SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.
ENJOY THIS MILD WEATHER WHILE YOU CAN….
Seems like they like the chances at cold weather finally on its way after Thanksgiving
Thanks, Stephen! We’re having a big family gathering this weekend and I’m grateful for the safe driving conditions! Snow after Thanksgiving will feel just about “right”
Yep we play football every Thanksgiving morning so its nice there wont be any rain and decent temps
I wish I worked at NWS sometimes. “It’s going to start to get cold after Thanksgiving.” That’s like saying it’s going to be mild in July.
Hundreds left homeless in Portugal after tornado strikes a city today.
http://stormchasermovies.com/waterspout-tornado-hit-portugal-november-16-2012/
The kind of hype predicting above normal snow for us this winter.
http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/meteomadness/winter-snow-forecast-plus-the-cold-is-coming/1638183
Hype – yes. Could it happen – yes. Will it happen – we can only hope, however until I actually see the pattern change I am not counting on it!
I’m ready for winter, hope it snows a ton in December, like it did in 2008.
Enjoy next week cause its comin’
Hey Look At Mr. Henry M. from Accu Weather. He has us in above normal snow fall.Change is on the way. Ya right heard that before.
Bill thanks for the great weather what a nice day outside I hope most get off there A$$ and go enjoy it!!!! INDYY….
I’m not sure it’s hype.
NOAA says we’re on track for the warmest year on record:
http://www.climatewatch.noaa.gov/video/2012/the-making-of-the-hottest-year-on-record-usa-temperature-update
Don’t Count on it Little daddy
GLOBAL temperature Jan. 1 thru Nov. 15 (NASA IR data) is 0.043 degrees warmer than average. That’s 43/thousands of a degree or approx. 4/100 degree warmer than average…or essentially average. Nortb American and the Arctic have been significantly warmer than average. Most of the rest of the world has been slightly cooler than average: http://models.weatherbell.com/climate/ncep_cfsr_t2m_anom_ytd.png
Global temperatures have been steady for a decade:
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif
No warming last 10 years:
http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/1-s2-0-s0921818112001658-gr11.jpg
No warming last 10 years:
http://suyts.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/image_thumb5.png?w=580&h=325
No warming last 10 years:
Professor Judith Curry, who is the head of the climate science department at America’s prestigious Georgia Tech university, told The Mail on Sunday that it was clear that the computer models used to predict future warming were ‘deeply flawed’. Even Prof. (Phil) Jones admitted that he and his colleagues did not understand the impact of ‘natural variability’ – factors such as long-term ocean temperature cycles and changes in the output of the sun.
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2217286/Global-warming-stopped-16-years-ago-reveals-Met-Office-report-quietly-released–chart-prove-it.html#ixzz2CKm0nmy5
Well if that’s true, NOAA must by lying. LOL I guess NASA’s lying too!
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/
GLOBAL temperatures are average for this year and steady for the last 10 years.
GLOBAL temperature Jan. 1 thru Nov. 15 (NASA IR data) is 0.043 degrees warmer than average. That’s 43/thousands of a degree or approx. 4/100 degree warmer than average…or essentially average. Nortb American and the Arctic have been significantly warmer than average. Most of the rest of the world has been slightly cooler than average: http://models.weatherbell.com/climate/ncep_cfsr_t2m_anom_ytd.png
Global temperatures have been steady for a decade:
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif
No warming last 10 years:
http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/1-s2-0-s0921818112001658-gr11.jpg
No warming last 10 years:
http://suyts.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/image_thumb5.png?w=580&h=325
No warming last 10 years:
Professor Judith Curry, who is the head of the climate science department at America’s prestigious Georgia Tech university, told The Mail on Sunday that it was clear that the computer models used to predict future warming were ‘deeply flawed’. Even Prof. (Phil) Jones admitted that he and his colleagues did not understand the impact of ‘natural variability’ – factors such as long-term ocean temperature cycles and changes in the output of the sun.
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2217286/Global-warming-stopped-16-years-ago-reveals-Met-Office-report-quietly-released–chart-prove-it.html#ixzz2CKm0nmy5
Anyone gone to see Chasing Ice yet. These guys put time lapse cameras up on a number of glaciers. Cool flick.
http://extremeicesurvey.org/
Here’s more: http://iceagenow.info/category/glaciers-are-growing-around-the-world/
BIG TIME WEATHER SHIFT COMING COLD AND SNOW AFTER THANKSGIVING!!! INDYY….
Get the sprites ready. Cans,of course. Plastic bottle sprite tates odd.
Definitely go with the cans. I can’t wait till the first big snowstorm of the year. Sprites for everyone!
kegs of sprites will be rights!!! INDYY….
I’m hoping the new model runs continue with the big cold push for the first of Dec. I’m getting tired of this warmer DRIER pattern.
I hope it stays mild all winter. Screw the snow.
No comment other than i HATE this time of year. This stomach virus ive had for three days is the worst ive ever had. Bring on summer again billy bob. And to all of this early xmas BS i say bah humbug!
Hey fizzer take 3 more days off from the blogg sure has been a fun run!!! INDYY..
Hey Indy and fizzzzer….You Kids Fight it out Among Yourselves…LOL
http://www.clipartguide.com/_named_clipart_images/0511-1011-1515-1906_Two_Boys_Fighting_clipart_image.jpg
Yet another nice November day. GR has only had 2 cloudy days this month so far. Not sure what the sun shine percentage is but it must be well above average average for November.
Here is some information from some other NWS offices here in Michigan.
Winter long range guess (SE Michigan)
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/dtx/web/dtx_winter_2012_2013.pdf
Thanksgiving weather for up north
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=apx&storyid=75431&source=0
SlimJim
I think we’re at 38% sun for November – average is 28%.
I try to stay out of the political battles, but I would recommend signing this petition- http://wh.gov/XILM
WAY too foggy here to see any meteors tonight!
URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
934 PM EST FRI NOV 16 2012
MIZ038>040-044>046-051-052-171045-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FG.Y.0008.121117T0234Z-121117T1500Z/
LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MONTCALM-GRATIOT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…BALDWIN…REED CITY…CLARE…FREMONT…
BIG RAPIDS…MOUNT PLEASANT…GREENVILLE…ALMA
934 PM EST FRI NOV 16 2012
…DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY…
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A DENSE
FOG ADVISORY…WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
* VISIBILITIES AT OR BELOW A QUARTER MILE.
IMPACTS…
* SLOWER TRAVEL SPEEDS.
.UPDATE…
ISSUED AT 934 PM EST FRI NOV 16 2012
ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR THE NORTHEAST CWA. OBS SHOW VSBYS
ALREADY AOB A QUARTER MILE IN A FEW LOCATIONS. THERE IS SOME HINT THAT THE
HIGH WILL BEGIN DRIFTING EWD OVERNIGHT AND LOW LEVEL WINDS MAY
INCREASE A BIT. HOWEVER…THAT LIKELY WON/T OCCUR UNTIL LATE
TONIGHT IF IT DOES AT ALL. SO STAGNANT CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY
PERSIST OVERNIGHT.
Big pattern change on the way we’ll finally be ending this dry boring pattern bring on winter and snow !!
I do not know how much more stress and sadness I can take I just received a call about an hour ago saying that my brother was in an accident so guess I’m on my way to Alabama to spend a week there because that’s where he lives! I’ll let all you Michiganders know how the weather is down there I’ll be back Wednesday just in time for Thanksgiving
P.S he’s going to be fine but he did have some head injuries so I just wanted to go down their to take care of him!
Uh oh…trouble brewing for WOOD-TV8?
http://tinyurl.com/cfet4u5
lol!
Wow, check out the accuweather 25 day forecast. I know it’s not right all the time, but check out that sharp temperature drop!
This won’t happen.
Agreed won’t happen nor will the 12 inches of snow that everyone is talking about c’mon people do you know Michigan or not? if you do you know it won’t happen!
With all this Warm Weather Forcasted, i think i will PLANT SOME PALMS and or Trees in my Yard !!! Maybe then it might get COLD!!!! Oh but wait, there are a Ton of COLD HARDY Palms, Trees that are COLD HARDY. Never Mind!!!!!
No kidding. I have an alligator living in my lake.
http://extremeicesurvey.org/
Extreme ice: http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/seaice.anomaly.antarctic.png
http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/S_timeseries.png
http://iceagenow.info/category/glaciers-are-growing-around-the-world/