Sunday ShowersDecember 15th, 2012 at 10:39 pm by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
1:55 PM update: I’m listening to the Bears/Packers game on my computer (WBBM). I’ve also got the game play on ESPN, which is running a play ahead of the radio (which has a time-delay). So, I’m really impressing my wife by “predicting” what the teams are going to do. She figured it out pretty quick…I was a little over the top. Green Bay leads 21-10 right now. How come the Bears/Packers game isn’t on FOX? They’ve got a Shrek movie on now. We’ve got our small group (from church) Christmas party later this PM. We decided on tacos…we do a white elephant gift…then maybe some board games. Lions play at Arizona at 4:05 pm. I’ve got some hot chocolate and the cats are zonked…nice afternoon. Still a few sprinkles/light showers/drizzle – most are SE of G.R.
Sunday PM models update: Chance spotty drizzle/sprinkles thru this evening…temps. above freezing, roads dry to wet. NAM (caribou) gives G.R. a high of 41 tomorrow, 43 Tues. with 0.09″ of rain Tuesday mid-afternoon into the evening, then 45 for a high on Weds. The GFS has upper 30s most of the day tomorrow (dry), low 40′s Tuesday with .02″ in the PM…then low 40s Weds. and mid 40s Thurs. Thursday we get rain changing to snow with 1-2″ accum. Thursday night. The GFS has the cold taking hold, with temperatures no warmer than the mid 30s from Dec. 21 to Dec. 31. The water temperature of Lake Michigan is still low-mid 40s, so the lake will provide lake-effect snow from time to time for the last 10 days of the month and we still have a decent chance of white Christmas. The European really brings in winter later this week. Thursday we start with rain, then it goes over to snow and it looks like G.R. would see 3-6″ of snow after the rain with a total of 1.51″ of precipitation. Then it’s below freezing over the weekend with snow showers. Bottom line…best to get your shopping done early in the week…the roads could be slick starting Thursday evening.
I’m back from Tennessee. We stopped and did some shopping in Shipshewana. We got a few gifts and some things for us. I was recognized several times in the store. That’s nice when people come up and say “hi”. I enjoy talking to and meeting people and if they recognize me…that means they watch me. It was a fantastic trip. We saw both Holiday concerts at the local high school and went out to dinner the 3rd night we were there. I got to see my sister’s (2) dogs and (6) cats. A couple of the cats actually like going out in the rain and a couple of them climb up on the roof of the house (by climbing a tree – they all have claws). We didn’t have to travel on slippery roads. We had several frosty/foggy mornings in Tennessee. We also had showers/wet roads coming back Saturday, but no snow or ice to slow us down. Gas was as low as $2.99 in NE TN and SE KY and $3.05 up I-75 in Ohio. One place had it at $2.93 with a “member’s discount”. Here’s NAM model snowfall thru 84 hours and the GFS snowfall thru 120 hours. I work the 23rd, 24th, 25th and 31st. Here’s WOOD-TV Interactive Radar, looping radar. Check out the current conditions, regional radar, GRR radar, northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the College of DuPage Radar Map, Storm total rainfall, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the WOOD lightning tracker and U.S. lightning Marantha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime). Here’s Lake Michigan water temperatures. Here’s storm total rainfall for W. Michigan and E. Michigan. Here’s data from the mid-lake buoy and the Wind Map. And…here’s the 84-hour NAM snowfall amount forecast for W. Michigan and the 120-hour GFS snowfall amount forecast.
Also: Here’s a doomsday clock counting down the time until Dec. 21 (note: the doomsday clock for the Detroit Tigers missing the playoffs has already reached 00:00:00:00). The GFS is looking mighty chilly over much of the U.S. for the last week of December. The European model also has the cold air…Mickey Mouse may need earmuffs on Christmas Eve! OK, it’s the GFS, but it has a major snowstorm for the East Coast Cities on the 27th. The 850-1000mb thickness in W. Michigan is about 512. That’s maybe low 20s with lake-effect snow and flurries. The Canadian model is also cold and snowy. Here’s Cyclone Evan near Figi. Winter has come to a significant part of Arizona before it’s come to parts of Lower Michigan. Snowfall totaled 20.5″ at Bellemont AZ and 20.3″ at Flagstaff. High temperatures out West on Saturday: 46 Sacramento, 49 San Franciscon, 51 Las Vegas..it never got past the mid 50s in Tucson and stayed in the 50s in L.A. and San Diego. ALSO: Snow sculpture from Simon Beck.