Wind Advisory ends at 8 PM

January 7th, 2013 at 12:21 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

  We have a Wind Advisory for the lakeshore until 8 PM from Allegan Co. northward.  It’s a pretty marginal situation.  Here’s current conditions, the current conditions on the beach at S. Haven, the Holland Channel, the Grand Haven Channel and the Muskegon beach.  Here’s webcams from the beach at Holland.  Wind gusts as of noon have been up to 38 mph on the beach at Holland, 36 mph on the beach at Muskegon and 35 mph at the Muskegon Airport.  We’ve had gusts to 30 mph in G.R.   The morning run of the NAM (Caribou) gives G.R. a high of 35 Tuesday and 38 on Wednesday (probably a little low…we have out 39 and 42).  The models all have a cold rain developing on Thursday by late in the day.   Here’s the precipitation forecast for the week, showing the heaviest rain from Texas up into the Ohio River Valley and in the Pacific Northwest.  We could see an inch of rain SE of G.R.  We may have temperatures only in the mid 30s as the rain starts, so Thurs. PM won’t be pleasant.  There’s even a chance of a little freezing rain at the start in north and northeast Lower Michigan, where we still will have some snow on the ground.  Snowcover Monday AM:  Just a trace in Muskegon and Grand Haven, 2″ Grand Rapids, Rockford, Hastings and Grandville, 3″ at Big Rapids, 5″ at Baldwin and Houghton Lake, 7″ at Lake City, 8″ at Cadillac, 10″ Newberry, Gaylord and S. Ste. Marie, 12″ at Grand Marais and 13″ at Marquette.  With the rain and warmer air later this week, hit the ski areas between now and Weds. evening.  The U.S. has a 56.8% snow cover this AM with an average snow depth of 5.2″.  Where it was clear and calm last night, Cadillac dipped to 12 degrees and Baldwin bottomed out at +5.   ALSO:  Gas prices are going up this PM – fill up if you can early this PM.  AND…The Rutgers Univ. Snow Lab reports that Northern Hemisphere snow cover in December set a new record for greatest extent (records have been kept since 1966).  Here’s the forecast of the Arctic Oscillation (going negative…signaling colder weather for next week, esp. for northern Michigan), the North Atlantic Oscillation going negative to neutral (also a colder look) and the PNA (Pacific North America Pattern) going to neutral.  All this shows a more typical winter pattern developing over much of the Great Lakes.

39 Responses to “Wind Advisory ends at 8 PM”

  1. Barry in Zeeland says:

    Big warm up on the way, tranquil weather across most of the U.S., and gas prices are shooting up again. Makes perfect sense. At least heating bills will be well below normal, until they can find a way to wack us there to.

  2. kevin. w says:

    I’m not buying anything on the long range (past 3 days) anymore and anyone saying anything about winter coming back. My type of winter is snow, blowing snow, wind chills fo 20 or greater below zero, highs of 10 above and lows below zero. Until I see this happening its 10 months of summer and 2 months of fall, oh wait 1 day of winter. The no snowstorm pattern continues and there I said before Rocky did. :)

    1. fixxxer says:

      your in the minority because i sure don’t want that kind of crappy weather.

    2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      I agree kevin, however my ideal winter would be if the temperature was between 15-25 degrees with about 6 inches of fresh snow every week for about 16 straight weeks and then throw in about 3 or 4 BLIZZARDS. The past two winters have been horrible!

      1. Irish coffee says:

        I’ll call your 6″…make it 24″/week…x 24 straight weeks…6 BLIZZARDS(1 of them a midnight truffle dark chocolate)..Past 2winters beyond horrible!..snowmobiling has been almost non-existent for like 11 months now!

        1. GunLakeDeb says:

          My sled’s still in the garage looking VERY sad…..

  3. Storm waning says:

    Whoa!!

    Heads up on Thursday!!,!,!,!

    As quoted from Bill’s posting “The models all have a cold rain developing on Thursday. ”

    COLD rain! C – O – L – D!

    Winter is back baby!!!!!

    Mid 30s and COLD rain

    1. Tim from Zeeland says:

      It’s funny. Not laughing at Bill but rather radio DJ’s that say it’s a cold day when it’s 32 out. Like crying about a heat wave in Mid July when the tempts hit 79. lol

      1. Irish coffee says:

        No, it is FUNNY! People need to visit North Slope of AK, Mt. Washington, Siberia(during winter) or Vostok in July.. to just once in their lifetime experience truly bitter, brutal, frigid-air!

  4. Brad says:

    The forecast is still underdone. We’ll be in the 60s at least one day. Even Bill seems stunned by this utterly unpredictable “winter,” but folks have been warning him for awhile now.

    1. Travis (Oxford, MI) says:

      I thought it was supposed to be a snowy new year with an arctic blast coming mid December and then another the first week of January? ;)

      This just goes to show you. The trend matters. 2012 was the warmest year ever recorded with below average precipitation. It’s tough to try to climb out of that.

      With that said, the past two winters have made meteorology look like palm reading.

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        I agree 100% with your comments. You are right on target!

      2. Tim from Zeeland says:

        I’d be learly of it when Rocky say’s your right. lol Like me grading Engish papers. Hahahaha

        1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          :)

  5. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    I see the year of NO WINTER continues! We are still entrenched in a NO SNOW PATTERN and NO SNOWSTORMS ARE IN SIGHT! What a joke of a WINTER, in fact what WINTER? The supposed arctic blast for next week is all speculation based on garbage 100% inaccurate long range models!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Wake up people winter is a BUST!

    1. Tim from Zeeland says:

      Oh go play golf would ya.

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        Yes, I might try golf by this THURSDAY!

    2. Jack says:

      Not ALL MODELS…JEM Model.. Winter will ROAR..2/4/13… Oh Rocky of little Faith…. Lol

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        Feb 4th? That is a long time to wait for winter to finally start! If I have to wait that long we might as well just forget winter and face reality. The winter of 2012-13 is the year without WINTER!

  6. dano (Norton Shores) says:

    Muskegon snowfall totals since 2000

    2000/2001 88.4
    2001/2002 51.2
    2002/2003 56.5
    2003/2004 65.7
    2004/2005 91.1
    2005/2006 74.1
    2006/2007 86.8
    2007/2008 110.3
    2008/2009 148.2
    2009/2010 73.6

    I am not drawing any kind of conclusions. Just for something to look at.

    Some other interesting years..

    1977/1978 164.8 Year of the 78 Blizzard

    1981/1982 173.9 Record snowfall in Muskegon for one year.
    1982/1983 35.0 Least amount I could find.
    Interesting on how the least amount of snow came one year after the most.

    Although most of the early 1900s were very lean on snow.

  7. Jeff(Northern Ionia County / Muir) says:

    Im really not liking the warm up, ruining my ice fishing and hopes of ever riding my snowmobile. I know most people have lost hope, but im still hoping that a snow storm will hit. But my hopes keep getting less and less, I would love to see another Ground Hogs Day “Blizzard”.

    1. Irish coffee says:

      Keep the FAITH Jeff!!…we’ll have our turn- even if it only consists of a solid one week’s worth of ride-able snowcover….

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        Are you sure about that prediction in the year of NO WINTER!

  8. Ullr says:

    I have read your words of anguish and doubt. Do not despair. Significant snow will fall on the 16th day of this month. This is my gift to you.

    Ullr

    1. GunLakeDeb says:

      Oh Mighty Ullr (everybody’s going “huh??” But *I* have Viking Blood in these veins and know who you are!) PLEEEEEEASE bring us some snow!!!

      1. Jack says:

        Hey GunLake Deb….Did You Attend Last Years Festival ?? http://buzz.snow.com/cfs-file.ashx/__key/buzz-components-profileattachments/00-00-00-30-45/UllrHeadline.jpg. He Kinda Looks, Like a Old Hippie, Like. Myself ! ;-)

    2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Ya right. There are definitely NO SNOWSTORMS IN SIGHT!

    3. fixxxer says:

      Lol @ any snow predictions.

  9. Honey Boo Boo says:

    Your Honey Boo Boo needs ice to fish so I can feed my brothers and sisters .. COLD AIR OR BUST!

  10. GunLakeDeb says:

    Bill, thanks for the graphic on rainfall totals through next Sunday. I sent it to my sister and said “this points out the best route to drive!” (from CA to MI) Looks like OKC to St Louis to Chicago will be the best/driest roads!)

    1. fixxxer says:

      I wouldnt worry about anything they predict for the weekend. Its much to far away yet. For all we know it could be dry. I am hoping for some more sunny days.

  11. Storm waning says:

    You gotta know when to hold em. Know when to fold them.

    Time to to fold em on this winter.

    The dealins done

    Count em

  12. arcturus says:

    You know global warming is here when the weatherman says temps are going to ‘plummet’ on the weekend … to old normal averages.

    1. Bill Steffen says:

      It’s not “global” unless it’s happening over the entire (or most of the entire) globe:

      Another 114 people dead in India from the cold: http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/breaking-news/more-than-100-dead-as-cold-snap-hits-india/story-fn3dxix6-1226547279652

      Record cold in Korea: http://english.yonhapnews.co.kr/national/2013/01/03/67/0302000000AEN20130103005900315F.HTML

      Record cold in China: http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/china/2013-01/02/c_132076347.htm

      Ice roads open early in frigid Canada: http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/local/cold-revs-up-highway-network-185134621.html

      2/3rds of U.S. has snow on the ground! http://iceagenow.info/2013/01/usa-current-snow-cover-10-years/ …the most in over a decade as we start the new year.

      Coldest in decades in Russia: http://english.chosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2012/12/28/2012122800375.html Over a hundred dead from extreme cold and 16 1/2 FEET of snow!

      UK – 2012 second coldest year since 1996: http://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2013/01/04/uk-weather-2012cold-and-wet/

      Dozens dead from the cold in the Ukraine: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-20809898

      Dozens dead from the cold in Poland: http://www.breakingnews.ie/world/dozens-die-in-poland-cold-snap-578660.html

      “The deep cold that took ahold this winter so far is unseasonably early…”
      (in Alaska): http://homertribune.com/2012/12/ice-breaker-opens-basin-for-troubled-barge/

      “Severe Cold” in Pakistan: http://www.thefrontierpost.com/article/201194/

      “Historic” snowfall in Washington State: http://www.missionridge.com/news/item/historic-start-to-the-season.html

      “Harsh Winter” in Mongolia: http://ubpost.mongolnews.mn/?p=2385

      2012 was the second coldest year since 1996 in the UK: http://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2013/01/04/uk-weather-2012cold-and-wet/

      1. Travis (Oxford, MI) says:

        By the same accord, don’t forget about the record heat in Australia!

        Brrr… China is cold!

      2. bryan says:

        Speaking of boat races…..Bama 35 – ND 0 in the 3rd Qtr…wow

        Bill-

        I know you call’em like you see’em, but would you rather see a couple of one inch of rain events or a few 8-10 inch snow storms in January to make an impact on the low Lake Michigan water level? I would guess snow, as it is a gradual melt during a typical spring rather than a rain immediately running over the top of a frozen surface directly into creeks and streams. I know you have documented before that the Lake level as been up and down before over the last 120 years, but I am wondering if we a going to see a land bridge start to appear from Grand Haven to Madison. Thus allowing you walk to watch your Badgers play by next fall if precipitation doesn’t pick up for 2013.

        Curious on your thoughts?

        1. Bill Steffen says:

          Here’s a depth chart for Lake Michigan: http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/mgg/image/michiganlarge.jpg We’d need a whole lot of dry years before we could trek to Badgerland. I still think there is more than just precipitation/evaporation to the lake level drop of Lake Michigan/Huron. Grand Rapids has had above average precipitation over the last 2 years.

          I think if you had to pick between snow and rain, you’d have to consider the impact on people. You’d want to minimize flooding, minimize damage and loss of life from weather related rain (lightning, wind) and snow (driving accidents, slip-and-fall, etc.).

  13. Travis (Oxford, MI) says:

    New CPC shows the cold fading and retreating… unable to make its way east

  14. Tonka says:

    70 days till spring.

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