Record Heat in Central/SW Florida

January 10th, 2013 at 2:25 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

   Sunset earlier this week in Fort Myers, Florida – looking west toward Sanibel Is (from the NBC station in Ft. Myers).  My father went to Ft. Myers in 1927.  They found a boat and went out to Sanibel Is.  There wasn’t much there, he said, but mosquito and alligator infested swamps.  Before mosquito-control and air-conditioning, Florida was a different world.     An all-time record January high temperature was tied in Fort Myers, Florida yesterday (Weds.) at 88 degrees (tying 1/22/62, 1/2/82 and 1/19/90) and also at Sarasota, Florida at 87 degrees (tying 1/23/90).  Daily records were also set at Tampa (85) and Lakeland (87).  A major “chinook” also brought warm temperatures to the lee of the Rockies, with Denver hitting 60, Great Falls MT at 53 and Calgary, Alberta at 44.  It was odd to see Denver 23 degrees warmer than Marfa, Texas – where the high was just 37.  Heavy rain fell over much of Texas and Louisiana, with Baton Rouge picking up 4.56″, Waco TX 4.35″, Beaumont TX 3.48″ and 3.13″ at Dallas.

Model update.  The European has 0.58″ of rain Thurs. night into Friday AM in G.R., the GFS has a similar 0.61″ and the NAM (Caribou) only 0.35″.  I’ll side with the higher total.  The rain starts in the early evening at the Indiana border and works north to U.S. 10 by midnight or shortly thereafter.  Northeast of G.R. there is a chance that there could be a brief hour or two of freezing rain, which should melt off by daybreak as temperatures warm.  The European is the warmest with a forecast high for G.R. of 55 on Friday and 58 on Saturday.  The daily record high for both Friday and Saturday is 55.  The NAM caribou has just 45 Friday and 49 Saturday, while the regular NAM has 55 Friday and 50 on Saturday.   The GFS has 54 on Friday and 57 on Saturday.   The highest temperature ever in G.R. in January (from Threaded Extremes) was 68 on 1/22/1894, followed by 66 on 1/1/1895 and 1/25/1950.

Beware of slick roads Sunday AM.  All 3 models (GFS, NAM and European) now have rain, possibly changing to freezing rain or wet snow as temperatures cool.  This would start Saturday night and continue into Sunday AM.  The GFS has the most with 0.34″, the European has 0.12″ .  There is more precipitation to the southeast of G.R. (0.31″ on the European), but a greater chance that most all of it would be rain.  But there could be a narrow band across the area where there could be a couple hours of freezing rain or wet snow…not a big ice storm and roads and the ground should be warm from the 50s on Fri./Sat.  However, keep up with later forecasts.  Remember DAYBREAK on WOOD., TV-8 is live from 6-8 AM both Saturday and Sunday.  Keep that in mind on the weekends when you get up…you can get a fresh forecast, radar and road conditions in the AM.  Also, here’s water temperatures for Lake Michigan…mid 30s to low 40s.  There’s still potential for lake-effect snow if we could ever drag some Arctic air down here and have the other parameters line up.  Happy January Thaw!

36 Responses to “Record Heat in Central/SW Florida”

  1. jeff(cape coral,fl)from portage,mi says:

    sure didn’t fell that hot here. miss my michigan winters

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  3. Brad (Lawrence) says:

    Hey Bill, with some snow still on the ground, rain mixed in and warm temps, is there any chance of fog tomorrow AM?

    1. chuckles says:

      Most of the snow in the area melted yesterday- and with a high in the mid 40′s today I would assume that any snow that is still around would be gone by tomorrow.

  4. Yup (Grandville) says:

    I hope that weather holds, I’ll be in Miami beach next weekend!

  5. DF (SE Mich) says:

    Cold morning over here, 19° at the moment.

  6. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    My sister in law lives in Cape Coral, FL and while we were down there last week we had temps in the upper 70′s and (0n the car)got as high as 82° That high of 88 yesterday must have really felt warm to say the least! On the mosquito issue we were down there in the summer time a couple of years ago and on the second day on my walk I was covered with the little critters I will never go for a outside walk in FL in the summer time again! BUT you would think I would have learned my lesson, right? Wrong we played golf several days later and guess what??? mosquitoes everywhere had to use large amounts of deep woods off. BTW I both went for walks and play golf last week and there were almost no mosquitoes but I did think of of the ancestors of the ones from a couple of years ago did find me as I did have one bite.
    A cool 25 here this AM

  7. INDY says:

    Bill glad we have rain coming Michigan is still in a verry berry bad drought!!!! We need it!!! We wan’t it!!!! We will feel it!!! Prays the Lord we will have corn!!! Feburary looks verrry cold burrrr ….Stay tuned INDYY….

    1. Storm waning says:

      What is a “berry” drought. Is it a lack of Michigan blueberries? I was not aware there was a berry drought! That’s berry sad.

      You can pray to The Lord

      You can praise The Lord

      So…. Pray+praise = prays to end the berry drought.

      Lots of blueberries next summer! Prays The Lord!

      1. INDY says:

        And storm waning
        or storm whinning

        on a major fizzer of a storm Blogging
        No More waning or winning

        on Bills Blogg thank u!!!!

        Keep up The Good work!!!!
        the name is INDYY!!

    2. fixxxer says:

      only indy would believe anything that is a month out yet.

  8. Storm waning says:

    “Happy January Thaw”?????

    I must have blinked during the “freeze”

    1. INDY says:

      Winter is coming STARTS MONDAY enjoy the thaww u all!!!! INDYY….

      1. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

        Yay fer sknow! Sew Xsighted! :P

  9. Travis (Oxford, MI) says:

    I always heard that you need a 20-25 degree difference between air/water to get good lake effect snow.

    If the water temps are in the 30′s and lower 40′s, that would mean you’d need to see some really cold air to get the lake effect snow machine cranked back up this late in the season. 10-22 degree air. Not seeing any of that.

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      The potential is there is all he said, which is absolutely true.

      1. Travis (Oxford, MI) says:

        Well, the potential is always there in weather for anything ;)

        1. DF (SE Mich) says:

          Very true.

      2. Travis (Oxford, MI) says:

        Just expanding on Bill’s discussion and putting some numbers on the page to watch for

    2. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

      We just had lake effect about a week ago, and it was 30° here. We typically get our best lake effect when our temp is in the mid 20′s. 20° or colder usually means tiny flakes, and not as much accumulation.

  10. Jeff(Northern Ionia County / Muir) says:

    So in a few weekends I am supposed to be participating in a ice rescue scenario,does anyone think there will be any ice back for this or not?

    1. GunLakeDeb says:

      Are the lakes thawing? Here on Gun – the lake is many inches thick with ice; and although we’ve had warm days, the nights have still been in the 20′s. Last night, around 11 PM, the ice was responding to the temp drop with a LOT of noise – sounds like a gunshot followed by thunder -makes my dogs bark at it…LOL!! I don’t think we’re going to lose much ice.

      1. Jeff(Northern Ionia County / Muir) says:

        I hope not, I was out on some lakes around here last week and had 4-5inches of ice. But i haveent been around a lake since so wasnt sure. Im really hoping it stays at least a few inches thick.

  11. millekat says:

    I think we need some really cold air to kill all these germs!

    I wonder if because we had a warm winter last year lots of the flu viruses and other bugs never were killed off, thus making this year worst than last for the flu. And I’m wondering if we have another warm winter than will mean that 2013-2014 will be just as nasty.

    **off to use some more Clorox Wipes here in the office!!**

    1. fixxxer says:

      im getting tired of hearing how bad this flu is going around. and i told you why it’s soo bad this year, it’s not the weather.

      1. millekat says:

        I don’t usually read all of your comments. Care to reshare?

        1. Lisa (Caledonia) says:

          Fixxxer believes that the reason for the flu being so bad is that the area public schools are filthy. Glad I don’t work wherever his kids attend, because our school is cleaned daily, and I also “above-and-beyond” clean my classroom myself.

    2. GunLakeDeb says:

      While a mild winter might not kill off bad bugs – as in “insects” – the flu virus likes to hang out where it’s warm: our bodies, and surfaces we touch at home and work. So the severity of the winter really shouldn’t affect flu one way or another. Your Clorox wipes (and hand sanitizer) are your friends!

      1. millekat says:

        Thanks Deb! :-)

        I’ve got the jumbo size container of Clorox Wipes sitting right here! :-)

      2. fixxxer says:

        washing your hands is good practice but won’t stop influenza as it’s airborne. one problem is people return to work too soon and send their kids to school sick. that’s why we have these outbreaks. alot of this is media hype as well but i will admit this season is alot worse for illnesses.

        1. Tonka says:

          Fixxer, once again Amen. I never understand why some come to work so utterly sick and then do nothing but infest others. This is where employers should look at the bigger picture. Stop an outbreak, send sick people home! Same with kids going to school!

        2. Skot says:

          My work gives out points for attendance. Not only do you miss work with no pay….I must go to the Doc with a Co Pay office visit. My guess is thats why.

        3. Tonka says:

          Skot I agree. Same boat here. That’s why employers need to be aware how these types of policies have unintended consequences, i.e. sick people feeling forced to work.

        4. big Daddy BC says:

          Sounds like Skot needs a union. The good part about the right to work crap the nuts in Lansing just passed is that it made it much easier to form one. You just can’t ask everyone who’s benefiting to pay their fair share.

        5. Bill Steffen says:

          And when you get into the union…you can demand that you can be drunk four times or deal drugs on the playground at school and not get fired:

          Or you can vandalize the property of your opponents and destroy the catering equipment of a poor hot-dog vendor and not get arrested:

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