Shiverin’ Snowman!!!!!

January 12th, 2013 at 1:18 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

   Click the pic. to enlarge.   Insatiable icicles!!! This map will give a penguin goose bumps!  OK – it’s the GFS model and it’s way out 276-hours (the morning of Jan. 23rd), but if this is close to right…it’s going to be colder than the 2008 Detroit Lions!  That’s about a 479 thickness with a 10-20 mph wind coming off a 39-degree Lake Michigan.  More:  again, keep in mind it’s just the GFS…but…it snows pretty much continuously from Jan. 20-27.  The GFS gives Holland 0.78″ precipitation, which at even a 20-1 ratio would be 15+” of snow.  It takes the temperature to -19 in Milwaukee, -7 in Holland, -8 in G.R. and -34 just north of Lake Superior at Geraldton.  Our 850mb temp. goes to -32 (Note, that’s probably too cold and probably way too cold…but still).  The evening run of the European has the (100-500 mb) thickness in G.R. down to about 499 the evening of the 21st.  That’s pretty cold air, certainly the coldest of the season on both models.  And the European would also have some decent lake-effect snow showers going in the lakeshore counties.  I’ll have more on this over the weekend!  Stay up with the blog and with the latest forecast on 24-Hour News 8!

Also, Friday it was warmer in Traverse City than it was in Las Vegas, warmer in Fremont than in Tucson, Arizona (where they had snow flurries!) and warmer in Lansing than it was in San Diego and Phoenix!

156 Responses to “Shiverin’ Snowman!!!!!”

  1. INDY says:

    Hey MATT u guys will have over a foot of snow on the ground by mid week it’s coming!!! West winds are about to blow in with a cold front is rolling over West Michigan right now the snow will hit the ground!!!! INDYY…..

    1. Brad says:

      Fires will rage here in the States this summer. Heat and drought will wither crops. It’s going to be ugly, folks.

      1. Fires, Droughts have been around forever, made worse due to lack of the ability to thin out forests. Drought conditions will improve through the winter.

        1. Mike (Mattawan) says:

          well so far they really havent….

  2. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    I went for a nice walk outside, while a little cooler then it was earlier its still nice out for mid January. In fact while I am sure it has happened before (but I do not recall seeing it) I seen not one but seven dandelions in bloom. I have seen them in December but this is the first time I have seen them in January. its now down to 54 here.
    SlimJim

  3. Stephen (North Muskegon says:

    Woooooah the GFS has us at NEGATIVE 5 On the 23rd burrrrr. I know it won’t pan out but finally the low teens will likely be here!

    1. fixxxer says:

      i think you know better to look that far ahead. i can’t see why anyone would enjoy that cold of a temp.

      1. You should pray for that kind of cold fixxxer

  4. Jimbo says:

    What’s Up,,Indy???

    1. INDY says:

      yaaa Jimbo….INDYY..

  5. fixxxer says:

    http://www.intellicast.com/National/Temperature/Current.aspx

    talk about extremes. i really hope it isn’t this cold the rest of the winter. sadly i know were due for a cooler summer as well.

  6. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

    I’m liking the 12Z of the GFS. Snow Wednesday to whiten things up, a couple inches Friday. Then the front on Sunday bringing us sustained colder temps with lake effect snow from the 20th to the 27th like Bill said.

  7. fixxxer says:

    “winter nuts”

  8. Steve G says:

    I just have to laugh at “Bill’s Blog” sometimes. Even during record warmth he is advertising all the cold that is coming and pays no attention to what is happening now. Just think if we had the equivalent cold to what we’ve seen in warmth. Bill would be hyping the living sh#t out of it. Shiverin’ snowman my a$$.

    1. INDY says:

      Well it is winter daaaaa!!!! INDYY…

    2. Brad says:

      I will say I have read more here about cold Europe than record-breaking heat in
      Australia.

      1. Bill Steffen says:

        Tropical Cyclone Narelle is threatening NW Australia: http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDW60281.shtml Here’s a satellite picture: http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/hurricanes/archives/2013/h2013_Narelle.html Here’s current forecasts for Australia: http://www.weatherzone.com.au/

    3. Bill Steffen says:

      The Globe is very close to average for the first 12 days of 2013: http://models.weatherbell.com/climate/ncep_cfsr_t2m_anom_ytd.png It’s going to turn cold over Europe within the next few days. Australia overall has cooled a touch with Narelle and a cool front coming up from the south. Central North America is going to flip to cool.

      First of all, it’s my blog, Steve. I write about what I want to write about. You’re free to do the same. Neither of us has to run content through a few politically-motivated censors. Second, the cold in Asia (and now Europe) has been a big story. I check content on the BBC to look for weather news worldwise and that’s what they are talking about…hundreds dead from the cold and it’s been cold from Japan to eastern Europe.

      Part of the success of the blog is to provide content that cannot be found elsewhere. The mainstream media often reacts as a herd. They overplay some stories and underplay others. The mainstream media is going nuts over the Chris Christie pic. on the cover of Time Magazine. In reality…most people don’t care about Time Magazine. Time is headed toward the same slow fade as Newsweek.

      I’m just one person and I have a schedule to keep, so I am limited and I really appreciate those who come here and provide content through comments. Steve, you are free to do that…find a link to the Australian heat and post it as a comment.

      1. Patricia says:

        I don’t know anything about weather, but I appreciate the higher forms of knowledge Bill has to offer in his blog. I always learn something new. Thanks Bill!

      2. big Daddy BC says:

        Careful Patricia, Bill’s ‘higher forms of knowledge’ are politically derived opinions. Weatherbell, for example, is the product of a right-wing activist who’s been featured on Limbaugh.

      3. Bill Steffen says:

        Yeah, everything that disagrees with bigDaddy’s narrow, politically-driven agenda is “right-wing”. If he can’t refute it, he just throws out some insults. “Weatherbell” has not been “featured on Rush Limbaugh”. An individual (Dr. Ryan Maue, originally from Manistee, MI) who currently works for Weatherbell was quoted once by Rush Limbaugh years before he worked at Weatherbell. It’s the same “guilt by association” that Sen. McCarthy used to do. I’m hoping my readers are perceptive enough to see through his insults and lies (like when he said that Romney was a polygamist).

  9. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

    Look at this awesome snow pic from Newfoundland! This is what it looked like around here during the Blizzard in 2011.

    https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=535250169832403&set=a.510507338973353.123356.509090472448373&type=1&theater

  10. 2:50pm
    Newaygo has seen the winds go NW and temperatures fall from 53 to 49 over the last 2 hours.

    Breckenridge, winds now W temp down 1 degree and will watch the dew point temp which is now at 42.5

  11. Oh Newaygo’s Dewpoint has crashed and is now down to 34.1

  12. Somebody between St Johns to Harrison is going to see more snow that expected 4+ I think, maybe not but this could be a sneaky storm. Ice for sure but I have a feeling Mt Pleasant could be bullseye for the snow area.

  13. Tonka says:

    Can some one tell me what sites you guys look at? What about all the terminology like 500mb or 12z. I’m lost.

    1. Bill Steffen says:

      Instead of using height above the ground, meteorologists often us a constant pressure surface, in this case 500 millibars. It’s measured in meters above sea level. Here’s more: http://www.atmo.arizona.edu/students/courselinks/fall12/atmo336/lectures/sec1/info500mb_2ndpass.html

      Meteorologists also use the time in Greenwich, England as Universal (or Zulu) Time. That way we don’t have to worry about all the different time zones and the random switch to summer time and winter time. 12Z is 7 AM EST and 8 AM when we move to EDT.

      1. Jack says:

        Good Afternoon Bill, Speaking of Icicles, Remember This OLDIE,If You don’t I’m Sure Your Wife Will. SPIN: The Murmaids – Popsicles and Icicles – YouTube
        ► 2:33► 2:33
        http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jg3HNnNewXs
        Nov 21, 2009 – Uploaded by TheManofDistinction
        This song reached # 3 on the billboard charts on December 7th 1963! A special thanks to …
        ENJOY.. Lol

        1. Bill Steffen says:

          50 years since that song came out…they were pretty much one-hit wonders. They have a website: http://www.themurmaids.com/

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