Snow Update

January 14th, 2013 at 3:52 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

      First, the puddles from the Sunday (mostly) rain have frozen and made for random icy spots, mainly on sidewalks, driveways and parking lots.  With temperatures hanging in the 20s, they may hang around for a couple days, so beware of that.  Sunday, we had a band of 1/2-1″ of snow from the Kalamazoo Area up through the Lansing/St. Johns Area and a little freezing rain north of a line from Muskegon to Big Rapids.  Season snowfall:  Grand Rapids 9.4″, Muskegon 8.7″, Lansing 5.8″ Indianapolis 15.3″, Evansville IN 10.7″, Little Rock AR 10.3″.   They’ve had some snow in the U.P.  Laurium in Houghton Co. reported 16″ of new snow.  Click on the images to enlarge.  The first map is U.S. snow cover, which is down to 45% (average depth 4.9″) from the high of 67% (average depth 5.9″) on 1/1/13.   We had a 33% snow cover on 1/13/12 with an average depth of 1.9″.   The graph on the right shows Northern Hemisphere snow cover in December, which has been in general increasing of late and set a December record (since 1967 when records began).  (The map on the left is from NOAA and the graph on the right is from the Snow Lab at Rutgers Univ.).

The heat wave has broken over a good portion of Australia.  On the 4th, the Hobart airport reported a high of 102 (the city 107).  Yesterday the high was just 64 with a few light showers.  Check out the high temperatures for Melbourne over the past 6 days:  91, 68, 79, 104, 75, 66.  That’s a lot of up and down!   Sydney reached 109 on the 8th and 97 on the 9th, but yesterday it was only in the low 70s with scattered showers.  Perth on the West Coast reported 82 with showers and in the interior (usually a hot place in mid-summer), Ayers Rock had two relatively cool days in the mid 80s after 9 of the first 11 days of the month reached 100.   Europe is chilly with a few temperatures in the upper teens in the Netherlands and light snow falling around Paris.   And…here’s video of a Russian Volcano.

It’ll be cooler this week…mid-upper 20s today, upper 20s to near 30 on Tue…a chance of light snow (esp. north) on Weds. and again on Saturday.  The coldest air should be over us early next week, when we’ll have at last one day with high temperatures in the teens.

113 Responses to “Snow Update”

  1. TomKap (Michigan St. & Fuller) Grand Rapids says:

    Hurry April! ;)

  2. Yup (Grandville) says:

    Hilarious that I woke up to lake effect snow this morning…..

  3. Beth says:

    Looks like it may be getting really cold soon. Crank up that lake effect snow machine!!!


  4. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

    I was pleasantly surprised to wake up to a half inch (maybe more?) of snow this morning.

    1. Todd In Nunica says:

      really? only a dusting here. Still not even close to plowable. maybe ill be able to do some salting tonight. ahh well….

      1. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

        Looks to be a half inch or more here in NW GR

      2. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

        Now that it is light out….it looks more like a fourth to half inch. Snow starting to pick up now.

    2. GunLakeDeb says:

      My sister arrived from CA – and this morning, my nieces (ages 12 and 14) were beyond ecstatic to see 1/2″ of snow on the ground….LOL!! They were taking pictures to show their friends. I guess it’s all in one’s “perspective”

  5. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    I haven’t went out to measure yet, but the roads and ground is white. And here on the NW side of GR we are now getting light snow falling. Now how often has that happened this year? Its 22° here with that light snow fall.

  6. Mike (Caledonia) says:

    NWS said snow would be near and NW of a line from Muskegon to Mount Pleasant, looked to all be south of that line. What is new, have to keep the pattern for the year. I think they have been opposite on every snow fall.

  7. kevin. w says:

    Any company that plows snow has got to be hurting this year and last with the lack of anything significant. The amount of expense to plow is ridiculous with fuel, insurance, work comp. hiring help, maintenance, etc. I know a couple companies here in Mt. Pleasant have gone bust due to the weather pattern were in and also the last couple of summers with no rain is just really unbelievable.

    1. Mike (Caledonia) says:

      I plow snow for a Caledonia landscape company. Your right owner of our company says it is not going to bust us but it is not helping to pay for the trucks we bought to handle the extra accounts we took on. If we don’t get some snow soon we could have handled the winter without the extra equipment. And speaking as an employee I know how hard it is on the budget.

      1. Sue (Belmont) says:

        Mike I also have landscape plowing service and they are making out like a bandit again this year. We pay for the season in October and so far, they have been here twice. Last year, I think that it may have been 4 times. I did away with the salting this year as that was a waste last year. You and I would both like a little more snow, but for different reasons…lol

        1. big Daddy BC says:

          Consider it snow insurance. If you hadn’t paid for it seasonally, it would have snowed more.

    2. Andy says:

      I know a lot of plow companies that have all there customers under contract for the season. They are doing quite well.

  8. arcturus says:

    Just repeating a post from a few days ago: Joe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi – ECMWF going to unload biggest US cold shot since 94 winter also.

    Lol he’s already wrong.

  9. phlrnnr says:

    We had a good inch in Hudsonville this morning. It’s sad when I get excited about an inch of snow in January.

  10. Well Well! Kyle Underwood was right on last night with his forecast. He said we could be seeing some snow south of where the NWS prdicted it would be. I think your one up on Bill, and your sure made George L. from 13 take a try again.

  11. It looks like the snow is starting to increase again on radar.

  12. Travis (Oxford, MI) says:

    I think it’s crazy Detroit is beating GR in snowfall in mid January. Considering they average like half the snow, the odds of that have to be enormous.

    Detroit meteorologist said we could be close to 40 this weekend.

    Models now show only a day or two of cold before temps make a big recovery.

    The beat goes on…

    1. Cindy says:

      You are talking about possible 40 degrees on Saturday right? I live just barely south of Detroit and while they may get slightly more than us at times, I am pretty sure we’ve only seen 8-10 inches over here this season.

      1. Travis (Oxford, MI) says:

        Yep, GR is under 10″. Last I saw, I believe Detroit had 12″ for the season so far.

        1. INDY says:

          lolololo blogging about Detroit’s weather on Bill’s blogg who cares go RED WINGS!! INDYY…

        2. DF (SE Mich) says:

          Blackhawks are much closer to you Indy…

    2. DF (SE Mich) says:

      I think we did that for most of the 2007-2008 winter as well where it set an all time snowfall record here. Amazing the difference in only five years =)

    3. It’s going to get cold and then colder, any recovery will be short and NOT big

  13. 11 Bravo (Yankee Springs/Barry State Game Area) says:

    21 degrees now…..some light snow….got .5″ snow overnight with ice underneath, and it’s my day off. Yippee !

    1. 11 Bravo (Yankee Springs/Barry State Game Area) says:

      Up to 6.6″ for the season !!!

      1. GunLakeDeb says:

        Thank you!! I *thought* we had less than GR!

  14. INDY says:

    Well we all new the cold air would bring lk effect snow to west Michigan good to see the ground white again helooo winter!! I hope Matt in Spring lk is happy ..More snow and cold to come ..INDYY…

  15. Jim S.(Saugatuck Twp) says:

    12Z GFS looks cold with quite a few chances at lake effect…no big storms. Actually looks like the cold air arrives by Sunday…we’ll see. My bet is the first reply comes from Rocky.

    1. Stephen (North Muskegon says:

      First! ;)

  16. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

    I’m still waiting on Jacks JED Model for 2/4/2013 Snow Storm to see who’s models will be accurate, Jacks or Rocky’s ;-)

    1. Jack says:

      Lol Swatz-zoo. It’s JEM Model, though ….Stay Tuned or Cued, Last Check it’s Still a goooooo for a Blizzard , The Week of … 2/4/13 ….!!!! ;-)

      1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

        LOL, I was close! Hopefully the JEM is dead on my boys school is hostesting a Pando Group outting that night to go tubbing the more snow the better and dh will be home on R&R!

  17. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

    We got a surprise 0.5″ of snow this morning to turn everything white again.

  18. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

    Here’s a short(12 second) video of the current lake effect snow in the U.P. Lets hope that is what it will look like around here early next week!

    1. Sprites(Holland) says:

      Jealous of that. Its been awhile. Two winters ago that was a common occurance in Holland. I think we got 120″ plus the ’10 ’11 winter.

      That being said, I am liking the looks of the forecast models. If everything pans out, I really think some areas(Grand Haven- – Benton Harbor along the lakeshore counties) will get burried over the course of Sunday-Wednesday. It seems like once we get a good lake effect set up, the snow just keeps piling up. The models also show lots of clipper opportunities/lake enhancement/lake effect opportunities throughout the long range. We may finally have a chance to build up a snow pack. Here hoping we can atleast finish out the last month and a half of winter strong!

  19. Katie in Kentwood says:

    I drove to Ann Arbor last night around 5pm and conditions near Lansing were bad. slick, icy roads made travel really tough and I must have counted a dozen or more slideoffs and spinouts. Fortunately, the drive home at 1am was clear and dry. There was a nice coating of snow down in Lansing, trees and everything were covered. Wish we would get some more snow here in GR!

  20. Steelie says:

    Good Day,

    Near Breton and 52nd… Well, the sun came out and in just a few minutes (about 20) my lawn went from white to green.


  21. Mindy ( Mason MI ) says:


  22. arcturus says:

    Good old BigJoe says next week looks wild. Bring out the suntan lotion.

  23. Jeff(Northern Ionia County / Muir) says:

    I am so glad to see the temps take a dive and the snow hit the ground. ( At least the little we did receive) Let the lakes freeze, and the ice grow thick. Cant wait until I can actually do some of my favorite winter activities!!!

  24. Travis (Oxford, MI) says:

    Pretty much 100% sunshine over here all day. Check out this loop and look to eastern Michigan. You can see the snowcover melt away.

    1. Jeff (S.E. Ionia County) says:

      Pretty cool Travis. Yea, sun is getting higher in the sky and that each day that passes the more the sun will have an effect on melting of any snow we see..

    2. DF (SE Mich) says:

      That is cool. I can tell you most of what you see was very low level clouds for us all day. I only saw the sun for a few minutes today.

  25. INDY says:

    It’s cold out thee YARDofBRICKS 24* been a while since it’s only been in the 20′s for highs!!!!!INDYY……

    1. Jack says:

      Brother INDY, just put another Log on The Fire…. ;-)

  26. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

    I’m liking the 12Z of the GFS. Still light accumulations Wednesday, then sustained cold and lake effect all next week. And our first hint of a snow storm around the 30th.

    1. Brian(Grandville) says:

      I saw that to. That would be a big storm if it were to happen. Still way to far out to say for sure. A birthday snowstorm would be great.

      1. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

        Yup, but at least there is a little hope.

    2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      There is a point .00000000000001% chance of that storm actually happening!

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        In fact this storm will not even show up on the next GFS model run!

        1. bobcat says:

          Crap! Thought you chose golf over Bill’s blog. But you’re back. Sigh.

  27. Deb (Oklahoma City) says:

    If this is correct Matt Muskegon could be looking at 4-5″ by the end of the 5 day forecast you can only hope!

    1. INDY says:

      Hey Deb who are u reallY ????? INDYY…

      1. Deb (Oklahoma City) says:

        I’m deb and not jordan can you people please drop it, it really pisses me off!!!!!

        1. INDY says:

          WOW U kind of blogg, sound like him why Oklahoma??? INDYY…

        2. Deb (Oklahoma City) says:

          My Mom moved didn’t ya here what I said on the blog at the end of summer?

        3. INDY says:


        4. fixxxer says:

          I told you its jordan indy. Maybe pinerest lost a patient.

    2. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

      That doesn’t look very accurate to me. Parts of the U.P. is getting hammered with lake effect right now, and northern lower is suppose to get some decent snow this week as well.

    3. Mike (Mattawan) says:

      That would pretty much DOUBLE the snow amounts for this season so far! That’s sad considering we are half way through January!

  28. INDY says:

    Yes first hints of a snow storm around the end of the month are coming in!! Fox is calling for that great 8 will be on that snow storm talk after tonight zzm will be across 131 + a Winter Adv. coming tomorrow for Wed. sure looks like a winter forcast even RockyRockford will be happy!!!! Stay Tuned …Uncle Jack how about a cold CUE??? INDYY….

    1. Jack says:

      Cold Cue Indy : James Brown COLD SWEAT – YouTube
      ► 3:36► 3:36
      Oct 6, 2008 – Uploaded by mpontvww
      James Brown ♬COLD SWEAT. … James Brown – Cold Sweat Part 1by …

  29. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    I see the arctic air HYPE is still running rampant. All I can say is I will believe it when I see it! If by some slim chance we do actually see some arctic air let’s hope we can actually can muster a SNOWSTORM out of it or at least some lake enhanced or decent lake effect that gives us more than a measly dusting of SNOW! This is getting beyond the point of pathetic. Currently this is still the year of NO SNOWSTORMS and this winter is about 50% over. Ridiculous winter so far!!

    1. Jack says:

      It’s still a GGGGOOOOOO .. For The Blizzard the week of 2/4/13, JEM Model, Says SssssssOooooo, Stay CUED, Y’all !!!

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        The old JEM model – that may be are ONLY hope!

    2. fixxxer says:

      No one cares what you think.

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        Thanks for your feedback. Your insightful comments are always very thought provoking. Keep up the good work!

    3. SW Kent says:

      Your posts are ridiculous…..the weather is fine.

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        Thanks for listening. Keep up the good work!!

  30. big Daddy BC says:

    WASHINGTON — U.S. government climate experts will announce new data on global temperature conditions in 2012 during a news teleconference at 2 p.m. EST Tuesday, Jan. 15. NASA and NOAA scientists will discuss the new results and the year’s most significant weather and climate events.

    Should be interesting, considering the US weather events of 2012.
    NOAA lists these as the most significant:

    Hurricane/Post-Tropical Storm Sandy
    Contiguous U.S. Drought
    Contiguous U.S. Warmest Year on Record
    Record Wildfire Activity
    Multi-State Derecho
    March 2nd-3rd Severe Weather Outbreak
    Alaska Cold Winter/Snow Records
    Near-Record Low Great Lakes Levels
    Contiguous U.S. Snow Cover
    Hurricane Isaac

    1. Jack says:

      CUE: Jim Dandy—Lavern Baker – YouTube
      ► 2:31► 2:31
      Jun 18, 2009 – Uploaded by railwalker1
      I heard “Jim Dandy” on the radio and thought,”My God, who is that? …. JIM DANDY TO THE …big Duddy to the Rescue !!!! ;-)

    2. INDY says:

      Hey big Daddy whay all the goverment talk don’t u have anything better to do with your time go turn on Fox news or listen to Alan como late night!! Bill only cares about weather!!! THANK U BILL’S BLOGGERS!!! INDYY…

      1. Pretty sure big Daddy’s post was weather-related.

        1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

          US-based weather/climate only, not global.

        2. Cherry Pick is all they know how to do. They live and breath for any warm event to exploit

    3. Bill Steffen says:

      Sandy was a minimal hurricane. The extreme damage was caused because the storm hit at the hour of the full moon (high tide) and the unrestricted development that allowed the build-up at the water. We have now had the longest stretch in history without a major (Category 3 and above) hurricane hitting the U.S.

      Droughts of the 1930s and 1950s worse than the drought now: Texas State Climatologist, John Nielsen-Gammon says: “There is no evidence that climate change contributed to the lack of rainfall, because rainfall has risen over the past century in the state.”

      Contiguous U.S. is 2% of the globe. The global temperature in 2012 was almost exactly average:

      You want to see derechos? These were worse:

      Alaska’s cold and snow was not caused by “global warming”

      Hurricane Isaac – peak winds 80 mph – only 5 mph more than a minimal hurricane! Still no Category 3 or higher hurricane hit on the U.S. in going on eight years!

      Snow Cover hit 67% of the U.S. on Jan. 1 of this year…the most in 10 years. That’s not what the global warming profiteers predicted! (article from the year 2000)

      March 2-3 Severe Weather Outbreak:,_2012_tornado_outbreak More people were killed in this single tornado than in ALL the tornadoes in the past 2 years in the world:,r:0,s:0,i:125 The number of strong tornadoes has actually declined since the 1970s: (graph from NOAA)

      Most wildfires were started by humans (arson or carelessness) and we not started by “global warming”.

      Carbon emissions are at a 20-year low and falling:

      And, while I’m at it…new study from Stanford Univ. shows public charter schools top traditional public schools:

  31. SW Kent says:

    As I have been forecasting for over a month, the cold air and snow will be coming in on the 20th thru Feb 10th……
    Model certainty is increasing and it looks to be a nice overall pattern for lake effect snow…..especially the NW snowbelts.
    Get your snowblowers ready……..

    1. arcturus says:

      Not going to happen. A dusting here and there at best. Cold alone doesn’t translate into lake effect without a number of other factors which have been lacking this year. The low snowfall trend will continue.

    2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Speaking of ridiculous posts?

      1. Scott (west olive) says:

        He could be right. Our luck would be record butt cold air with no moisture. Then we end up with only a dusting.

        1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          No doubt!

    3. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      There are still NO SNOWSTORMS IN SIGHT!

      1. Yep, no big storms in sight, BUT we are heading into the real deal cold, once there many northwest clipper systems will move in/by/thru now these systems by there very route our way are hard to forecast, ( Fast moving, little data sampling until close to the event) while mostly low moisture they can be very intense and once in a while come with added moisture picked up from the south (phased) as they get into the Great Lake. Some dig south and are often under done by the models until they are within 24 hrs. Not saying we’re going to get one of those strong clippers or hybrids but what does come will stick around so we will be turning white it’s just a question of how fast. One of these systems over the next two weeks is likely to surprise us with a 3-6 or 4-7 inch snowfall.

  32. UNCLE SPARKEE says:

    hey hey all my little weatherrr hobos! your ol uncle sparks took to very dangerous ice conditions and scored youl ol aunty edna 37 nice gills today. amazing how a little back woods smoke can make anything possible. my blood hound Tokes can sniff out fish like your ol aunty edna sniffin out a chocolate bar! gettin chilly in the back woods!!!! TIP UP

    1. Jack says:

      Hey Ole Uncle Sparkeee, Love theeee Name of yer DOG….Lol…TOKES..Say High to Auntieee Edna,from MEee. A CUE : For The Whole Family…Enjoy it Sing it, LIVE IT : The Ice Fishing Theme Song – YouTube
      ► 3:48► 3:48
      Feb 9, 2009 – Uploaded by soyruhere
      The Ice Fishing Theme Song … I Wann’a Ice Fish, Baby! ….. Da Yoopers – If She Farts On …
      Helllo…FishyFishy….. ;-)

      1. big Daddy BC says:

        There’s a pretty good chance Jack’s posting from a mental institution.

        1. WhatBillwantstosaybutcant says:

          I slammed Jack once. I pictured him as either an old wkrp in Ohio dj or Joe Kopecek bored and higher than a giraffes eyebrows, Commenting on Bills blog. No offense Jack but you also conjure up visions of animal on sesame street. Also, contact me on how to cut and paste a youtube vid. But the blog faithful came out to protest so i just enjoy it. But i am tired of little feat though.

        2. Jack says:

          Naaww…. Bdbc, You Must have Me Cunfused, With Your Best Friend DWIGHT ( the guy in your MIRROR )…. CUE : Him Here…..Lol….Enjoy.!!!! Alice Cooper – Ballad Of Dwight Fry (Brutally Live) – YouTube
          ► 3:35► 3:35

          Mar 1, 2009 – Uploaded by xrocker1393
          Great song by Alice Cooper, originally released on “Love It To Death” in 1971. This is being …

        3. Scott (west olive) says:

          You must be loosening up no talk of a meltdown in this post. Actually I’ll look for your update after the govt thing tomorrow. Kinda interested hope Bill puts up a post about it. Something to talk about since we can’t get any weather here.

        4. Why don’t you elbow him and ask. Sorry couldn’t help it

        5. Dan says:

          Jack, that is CLASSIC Alice Cooper, “The Ballad of Dwight Fry”
          Do you remember the songs, Nurse Rozetta, Gotta Get Out Of Here, off a another album, Quiet Room, Inmates, etc.
          I always liked the Billion Dollar Babies! Great Artist, Entertainer and Writer!

        6. Jack says:

          Thanks Dan… I put the Song ….18, by Alice C. On my son’s Facebook, on his 18th B- Day, He had never heard it Before..Lol. On a side, Note,I used to Do A.C. Impersonation , Got paid, with Free Drinks,Oh theCrazy OLE Days…Peace and Be Safe !

        7. big Daddy BC says:

          2012-Ninth warmest year worldwide in the past 132. Hottest ever in the US. The dice are loaded. Climate change deniers are becoming an endangered species.

        8. Bill Steffen says:

          Well, thought you’d be out picketing in Lansing tonight…probably too cold for ya. At least no one turned over any hot dog carts tonight.

          2012 was also the 4th coolest year out of the last 11 and cooler than 2005, 2006, 2007, 2009 and 2010.

    2. Steelie says:

      Good Day,

      I thought the limit was 25? ;-)

      Also – I hope you have some good ol’ bacon fat to fry up those ‘gills!


  33. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    BREAKING NEWS>>>>>>>>>>>>>> We are still entrenched in a NO SNOW PATTERN with NO SNOWSTORMS in sight! The weather pattern is zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz!

  34. Cupcake says:

    Winter in Michigan = BORING….Heading to the “Land Down Under” in a few weeks to experience some summer!!!

    1. Bill Steffen says:

      Have fun! My youngest daughter was an exchange student to Australia for her senior year in high school. She got to see quite a bit of the country and both the warm and cool seasons.

      1. Cupcake says:

        What an awesome experience for her! It is certainly a great area to visit…especially in their summer months. Hope I don’t miss any exciting weather here during the first 10 days of February!

  35. Barry in Zeeland says:

    So on the 8 day forecast they have 41 for a high and 3 for a low? That’s quite a drop for one day……

    1. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

      Wouldn’t that be something! According to the late night forecast they had 16 for Tuesday.

    2. Cort S. says:

      They’ve been having some problems with the 8th day of that forecast table lately. Bill said something about it being automatically generated unless they fix it. The more official “TV” version of the forecast shows highs in the teens and not the 40s on Tuesday.

  36. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

    Very little change in the 00Z of the GFS. Looking like a WNW lake effect flow next week?

  37. fixxxer says:

    Bring back the 50′s bill! ;)

    1. Jack says:

      50′s at Night in THE KEYS…Fixxxer … ;-)

      1. fixxxer says:

        thats where ill be in march.

  38. Cort S. says:

    CPC painting Michigan purple:
    (Correct interpretation: Greater than 70% chance of below-normal temperatures, January 20-24.)

    Sadly, the precipitation pattern around the CONUS continues to be rather dry and boring:

    1. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

      That has us in the “normal precip” during that time period, which would actually mean a decent amount of snow since it would cold.

      1. Cort S. says:

        Right, it seems the call for normal precip in the Great Lakes during that period is the result of a Clipper (with a modest amount of precip) followed by the Arctic air and lake-effect snow.

        Side note: The GFS ensembles are implying a high confidence in the Arctic air settling in for Monday and Tuesday, despite it being so far out still. The spaghetti charts are all predicting the large-scale jet stream pattern to be a warm ridge over the Pacific coast and a cold trough over the eastern half of the US. The ensemble Means & Spreads for temperature are showing cold temperatures in Michigan with surprisingly little disagreement in exactly what temperature it will be. It’s like there’s a core of Arctic air out there with our name on it.

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