Snow and Cold is Coming!

January 16th, 2013 at 4:35 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

   First, clouds move in today.  Snow starts in NW Lower Michigan and develops down toward G.R.  We could see as much as 1-2″ north of a line from Muskegon to Big Rapids with a dusting down to I-94.  The fairly strong wind may cause some drifting.  Run errands in the AM if you can.  Colder with lighter snow showers possible on Thursday and Friday (not much).  Saturday things start to get interesting.  A cold front will bring snow…right now maybe 1-3″ Saturday PM/Night. with some drifting.  We could see a couple hours of moderate to heavy snow late in the day or early night.  The cold air pours in with temperatures stuck in the mid-upper teens Monday and low-mid teens on Tuesday (and this is with the lake-warming…Milwaukee goes to -4 with a 17 mph wind.  The combination of cold air (we go to -23 at 850mb) and the relatively warm lake could touch off some significant lake-effect snow (we’re talking over a foot in the favorable lake bands) from Saturday to Wednesday.  The European takes G.R. to +3F Tues. evening.  If you take the measurable precipitation the European prints out for G.R. from Saturday thru Tuesday (0.35″) and give it a 20-1 snow to precipitation ratio….that’s 7″ for G.R.  There is some concern about flake size given the cold air…but if it snows for 48 hours at the rate of just 1/4″ per hour, that’s a foot of snowfall.  It would settle down, so 12″ of snowfall might be 7″ of measured snow on the ground.  Coastwatch still has the Lake Michigan water temperature around 40 degrees.  With 0 degree air coming over the lake, that’s going to set up quite a contrast.  Bottom line…the Arctic air is coming…we’re going to get shovelable/plowable snow – heaviest in NW flow lake bands and the areas that get the most snow it could be over a foot of snowfall.  There will be periods of and areas of nasty driving (not all the time, just periods) between Saturday PM and Weds. AM.

Also:  Grand Rapids is 6.7 degrees warmer than average so far this month…next week will cut into that, but it’ll be hard to knock that back close to average by the end of the month.  High temperatures Tuesday:  39 Houston, 49 McAllen TX, 47 Tucson (4th day only in the 40s), 45 Las Vegas.   The cold air has gone down into northern Mexico.  The high/low at Chihuahua Weds. was 41/21.  The average high is 68.  Tampico has had 4 days this month that have failed to get above 60.  El Paso is 6.7 deg. cooler than average for Jan., Las Vegas is down 7.1 deg. for the month and Tucson is 8.9 deg. colder than average for January.  On the other hand, would you like to be in Miami, where every day this month has seen highs between 79 and 83?

117 Responses to “Snow and Cold is Coming!”

  1. Look at the radar, that band of snow saw grand rapids bubble and truned to the E-NE.

    1. INDY says:


      1. arcturus says:

        Can I have what you’re smoking?

        1. Lisa (Caledonia) says:

          “Sprite.” :)

        2. INDY says:

          Just taco smoke!! INDYY….

  2. Mindy ( Mason MI ) says:

    Where is the INCREASING CLOUDS?? 100% Sun today!!!!!

    1. phlrnnr says:

      How about now?

  3. Kevin(Rockford) says:

    Light snow falling here

  4. INDY says:

    Lght snow falling out thee YARDofBRICKS!!!! JUST A START!! INDYY…

    1. Jack says:

      INDY + Swat-zoo…..It’s just the START !!!!! Agree !!!! CUE: Rolling Stones – Start Me Up.avi – YouTube
      ► 3:29► 3:29
      Aug 27, 2010 – Uploaded by STARTMEUP3000
      Rolling Stones – Start Me Up.avi. STARTMEUP3000·1 video. Subscribe Subscribed Unsubscribe …

      1. Ned S. (Now in South Holland) says:

        Good tune Jack!

  5. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

    Light snow and very gusty up at the YardOfDucks, feather are beginning to fly as the wind pushes my birds around freaking out so I’m actually going to agree with Indy.

  6. INDY says:

    SWATZEE winteer is back get all your kids ready!! INDYY..

  7. Yup (Grandville) says:

    I don’t see that snow hitting GR proper. Is there supposed to be more behind this?

  8. Jack says:

    INDY,Your SPRITES are Already FLOWIN…Keep the Burn Ahhhh ROLLIN,, Billys BLOGGING ,Yard of BRICKS + DUCKS, are Aaaa Showin…. YESSSSS it will SNOWIN….. BLOWIN, I Know Where I’m GOIN…. A Train is CUEIN ;-)

  9. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

    Winds look to start out of the NW on Sunday, and turn to the WNW for Monday and Tuesday before shifting to the W, and finally WSW by Wednesday. There’s a decent chance of seeing a 2-3 day long lake effect advisory/watch/warning for the lake shore counties. Hopefully we get at least an inch or 2 of heavier/wetter snow on Saturday so it freezes Saturday night giving us a prime base with the lighter lake effect on top.

  10. Mark (East Lansing) says:

    Funny. That little disturbance fizzled (no pun intended) and disappeared from the radar as soon as it hit Kent county.

    1. Mike (Mattawan) says:

      well it REACHED Kent county…. didn’t see any snow here at all.

  11. kentwoodchicken says:

    BWWAAAAK! Time to get my NASA approved glowing thermal beak warmer ready!

    1. Jack says:

      Baaaaawwwwkkk…That’s True kentwoodchicken… Not good to have aaaaaa, Cold Pecker !! ;-)

  12. Sandy From Dewitt/Clinton County says:

    Going to Florida for a few days, but i will be back just in time for the cold !!

    1. Bruiseviolet (Cedar Springs) says:

      Have fun! My brother in law always goes to Flordia for a week during the winter, and we always get a lot of snow when he leaves. I am hoping this year is no different- I want snow next week. LOL

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