Flood Watch – Fog AdvisoryJanuary 28th, 2013 at 2:36 am by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
This is the HPC 5-day precipitation forecast (click to enlarge). That’s a LOT of rain for W. Michigan and much of the eastern U.S., especially considering this is January (wish we could pull the area a little to the west to help the dry parts of W. OK up into S. Dakota). The G.R. National Weather Service has issued a Flood Watch for Tuesday Evening into Wednesday Morning. Model data suggests 1 1/2″ to an isolated 2 1/2″ of rain will be possible thru Weds. PM. The combination of the rain and melting snow could cause significant rises in area rivers. There is also a fair amount of ice in the rivers and ice jams are a possibility. There is also a Dense Fog Advisory for the entire area until 7 PM tomorrow (Tues.). The European would take the G.R. temperature to 56 Tues. PM (I could see an isolated 60 degree reading S or SE of G.R.), with steadily falling temps. on Weds., a high of 21 on Thurs. and maybe 15 on Friday. Temperatures in the snow on Sat. would be in the low 20s. The GFS has a similar high of about 56 Tues. night, but down to 28 by Weds. evening and mid teens for Thurs. PM. The NAM is 57 for Tues. Friday we might get to +16 with mid 20s on Saturday. Lake-Effect snow could be moderate to heavy in a few bands that develop from Weds. night to Thurs. night. So after this wonderful weekend for winter sports…it gets to 55…the cold and snow come back and ski areas (with a little help from the snow guns) could very well be back to very good conditions for next weekend. You gotta love Michigan weather!
Lots of REALLY warm air to our south. Columbia, Missouri tied their warmest day ever in Jan. with a high of 77 on Monday. Other daily records: 66 Quincy IL, 74 Kansas City MO and Wichita KS and 80 at Wichita Falls TX.