Lake Effect Snow Warning Ends at 1 PM

February 1st, 2013 at 5:02 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

  Noon Sat. -  The Lake Effect Snow Warning ends at 1 PM.  There is still some snow south of a line from Holland to Lansing.  As of 9 AM, Grand Rapids officially had 3.6″ since midnight and we’re up to 30.6″ for the season with 7″ on the ground.  SW Grandville had 15″ on the ground, with 9.4″ new.  Muskegon is up to 8″ on the ground, while Lansing east is around an inch.  East G.R. had 8.6″ of new snow and 10″ on the ground.  Walker added 8.5″ to jump to 13″ on the ground.  WOOD-TV downtown had 7″ new, Bangor added 9″ and Howard City reported 2.5′.  Bloomingdale checked in with 8″ new, Holland had 5-6″ on the ground.  Statewide snow cover:  25″ Munising, 24″ Marquette, Newberry and Charlevoix.  Alba had 22″ on the ground with 12″ at Gaylord, 8″ at Muskegon and 7″ at Fremont and Cadillac. From the GRR NWS morning discussion:  “…if you like snow, this should be your week”.  Good convergence in N. Allegan, Ottawa and Kent Counties now.   Still looks good for some significant snow overnight.  The new NAM gives G.R. 5.2″ of new snow from midnight to noon (that’s at the airport).  It also gives us an inch of snow on Sunday and 1.3″ of snow on Monday.  Kalamazoo gets 1.8″ tonight/Sat., 1.2″ Sunday and 1″ on Monday.  With a SW Wind, the lake-effect snow is coming right over  parts of Kent Co.  A “clipper system” is now moving into W. Michigan and that can only enhance the snow will have falling now.  So, the coverage of snow will increase after midnight.  It’s been dry south of a line from Benton Harbor to Lansing this evening and that area should see some light snow overnight and into the early morning, perhaps a couple inches.    We are in a snowy pattern, with clippers and lake-effect snow likely thru Tuesday.  We could easily see accumulating snow each of the next 4 days.   Nice warming from Lake Michigan today.  At 1 PM it was +6 in Milwaukee and +17 in G.R., zero at Green Bay and +13 at Ludington.  Northome MN was -39 his AM.  Click the image to enlarge.  The Lake-Effect Snow Warning continues thru Saturday AM for Mason, Oceana, Newaygo, Muskegon, Ottawa, Kent, Ionia, Allegan, Barry and Van Buren Counties.  It’s a Lake-Effect Snow Advisory for Lake, Mecosta, Montcalm, Eaton and Kalamazoo Counties.  The Flood Warning continues for the Muskegon River just upstream from the Rogers Dam in Mecosta Co.  There are a number of Flood Advisories.  The Grand River will come up to bankfull on Saturday morning (the crest has passed Ionia).  Check the Grand Rapids NWS discussion.  We have already had a foot of snow this week  near Allegan, and over 10″ at Oshtemo and Bloomington.  Grand Rapids has added 1.8″ new snow today so far.  You can scroll down to the radar thread for the usual links.    The cold pattern continues with temperatures in the mid teens today, low-mid 20s over the weekend and we probably stay below freezing at least thru next Tues. or Weds.  I’ll add more on January weather when the official NWS summary comes out, but snowfall in January was 31.4″ in Muskegon (3.4″ above average!), 17″ in Grand Rapids and just 5.9″ in Lansing (you can see that most of our snow was lake-effect).  Twin Lakes in the U.P. had 72.9″ in January.  As of 5 PM Friday, Muskegon’s season snowfall is up to 41.5″.  Grand Rapids is up to 25.5″ for the season and Lansing has picked up a paltry 10.8″.    Snyder Lake in the U.P. reported 37″ of snow on the ground Thursday.  The NAM (Car.) would give G.R. another 6.1″ of snow thru Sunday – Holland would get 12.6″ during that time.  The GFS gives G.R. about 1/2″ precipitation between now and next Tues. evening and that would come to 8-10″ of snowfall.   This light, fluffy snow compacts easily and quickly, so you wouldn’t see 10″ of accumulation out of 10″ of snowfall, but it would be significant.  Here’s 84-Hour snowfall off the NAM model and 120-Hour Snowfall off the GFS model (note the snow from the clipper that runs from S. Wisconsin to N. Ohio).

228 Responses to “Lake Effect Snow Warning Ends at 1 PM”

  1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    I love Bill’s comment from above. “We are in a SNOWY PATTERN”!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Imagine that and this after all of the warm weather nuts and skeptics said this weeks SNOW would be no big deal and that it warm up with rain by next Tuesday. Ya right, we will getting a ton of SNOW tonight and then many clippers rolling through over the next few days. If this isn’t a SNOWY pattern I don’t know what is!! Enjoy WINTER and COLD and SNOW!!

    1. Cort S. says:

      Tonight is the 2 year anniversary of the Groundhog Day Blizzard!

      1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

        I know, that was the best 24 hour period of my life!

      2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        It was a beautiful thing! We could use a good BLIZZARD before this winter is over with, however this lake effect/lake enhanced event is going to be GREAT! ENJOY!

        1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

          The most it’s snowed up here since this thing started a few days ago, not bad not bad at all. :-) I think the bubble may be shrinking but not yet popped

        2. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

          Swatz, where did the bubble go now? South if you?

        3. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          It will be totally burst by tomorrow AM!!!!!!!!!

        4. Jack says:

          BLIZZARD..COMING.. Week of 2/4/13, JEM MODEL…. UPDATE… Pointing Towards THUR. Or FRIDAY…. STAY CUED, Bill’s Blog…. ;-)

        5. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          Bring it on!!!!!!!!!!!

      3. Lisa (Caledonia) says:

        One of the best storms ever!!

      4. Todd In Nunica says:

        Oh! now THAT was a bad one. That was 20 hrs non stop in the truck, a 4 hr nap and another 12 hrs. I like the snow, but to be honest…..I dont like the huge storms like that.

      5. Harry (Battle Creek) says:

        That was the best snow event that I can remember.

        It will probably be a while before we get another one of those.

  2. JT says:

    That second clipper looks like a dandy. It should bring a good amount of snow later tonight as the lake effect snow wears off. 3-6 in Ottawa and 2-4 in Kent should be expect into early morning, to afternoon on Sat.

    1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

      I’m thinking more than that… Probably 5-8 in Kent/Ottowa tonight and tomorrow morning

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        I’m thinking more like 8 to 12 inches!! This is going to be a great event before it is all said and done. This is really going to be our first actual decent SNOWSTORM of the year!!! It is long overdue!

        1. Harry (Battle Creek) says:

          Yeah that’s a little optimistic… 3-5″ for Grand Rapids by tomorrow evening looks realistic.

        2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          Harry you are wrong again!

    2. JT says:

      Really 5-8 or 8-12 inches alone in this storm clipper? That would be crazy!! I personally highly doubt it but you never know with weather. I’ll stick to my more conservative predictions i guess since both of you went super high. Remember more clippers are supposed to come later in the weekend and into next week.

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        You are wrong also!

  3. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

    Looks like the clipper will arrive around midnight. NWS says snowfall easily in excess of 1 Inch per hour possible with whiteout conditions!! (For WSW wind areas at least)

  4. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

    Just got in from riding the snowmobile in the fields behind my house, and parts of the field that are blocked from the wind easily has a snow depth of 12″, while our yard which is wide open only has about 6-8″. I’m surprisingly getting light but constant snow with this WSW wind. It must have just enough westerly flow to be snowing on me. It looks like the snow is really going to pick up tonight. 20+” 2 weeks in a row for me?

  5. dano (Norton Shores) says:

    Amazing how fast the snow went and came back!!

    1. Todd In Nunica says:

      funny I took a pic I think when we had So much snow, then like 5 days later took another pic of my nice green lawn, now ill take another in a day or so, and yea will look like it did a week and a half ago!…

  6. Jack says:

    OFF TOPIC….HAT TRICK…ZETTERBERG !!!!! Wings Win.. ;-)

    1. JT says:

      If your talking about sports then Go Blue tomorrow against IU. Should be a great basketball game against Michigan #1 vs Indiana #3.

      1. Jack says:

        Yes, Sir…JT.. !!!!

    2. Brian(Grandville) says:

      Good win for the wings tonight. No Chicago needs to start losing.

  7. Ryan (Rockford) says:

    For a change, Rockford has been under the heaviest snow band for awhile now! This is by far the most LES we’ve had in one event this year, and there’s more to come. Hard to tell, but a good 3 inches at least since around 6PM.

    1. Brian(Grandville) says:

      Nice, time to pop the bubble up there.

  8. Tyler says:

    Hey Bill you should put up a blog about the 1996 cold wave so people can leave all their memories about it on here. I know you did one on the 1994 cold wave two years ago. The 1996 cold wave was just as severe or worse then 94 in some places.

    1. Brian(Grandville) says:

      I’m not sure which year it was, but sometime in the mid 90′s in February, I remember the thermometer at -22 one morning.

  9. North side of holland says:

    Since. Its moved more inland , does that mean holland gets less snow now!

    1. JT says:

      They lake effect is getting push inland because of the second clipper coming in. The snow will pick back up in a few hours when the second clipper hits and continue after it passes with more lake effect snow.

      1. JT says:

        The* really wish you could edit your post…..

  10. JT says:

    It seems my predictions from over 3 hours earlier were pretty close as most of the snow would push inland toward kent county as the next clipper progresses closer. The light/to none snow flurries Wood TV 8 was talking about for kent county seems to be WAY too conservative of a prediction. Interesting they went that root with the Base Reflectivity radar showing what it was with the wind shift.

  11. Michael (Berrien county) says:

    6-8 inches on the ground here & I’m luvin’ the 18Z GFS snow forecast!!… especially considering the GFS tends to under due the lake effect….. http://wxcaster4.com/gfs/CONUS2_GFS0P5_SFC_ACCUM-SNOW_120HR.gif

  12. Brian(Grandville) says:

    Rocky, the RDB has been spot on lately, but I have to call you and Jack out on this 2-4-13 storm. What’s the deal, not looking like anything. Other than that ROCK ON.

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Yes the JEM model has been calling for Blizzard for the week of 2-4-13 and I have been hoping it was correct. We will find out what that model is made of this coming week!! The RDB model specializes in short range forecasting :)

      1. Jack says:

        The JEM Model,Has been Calling for a SNOWSTORM – Blizzard 4….. AT Least 6 or 8 Weeks NOW !!! Even When Rocky Was SCREAMING …NO SNOW PATTERN.!! There for THE JEM MODEL, Has already PROVED IT’S ACCURACY ( LONG RANGE) !!!! It still is calling for SNOWSTORM , THIS WEEK !!! So STAY CUED !!!!! THE JEM MODEL RULES !!!! Not the RDB !!!! Admit ROCKY !!

  13. Jack says:

    The SNOW INTENSITY….WILL INCREASE ……After Midnight !!!!!!! CUE :::: J J CALE After midnight 1971 – YouTube

    ► 4:15► 4:15
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2IZ9feKpJkk
    ENJOY !!!

  14. Harry (Battle Creek) says:

    Very active weather pattern as of lately will continue through next Thursday before warming into the upper 30′s to lower 40′s, and at the current time, warmer weather looks to stick around for a while next week.

    I would expect 1-3″ east of 131 and 2-4″ for areas west of 131 with locally higher amounts (3-6″) in and around Grand Rapids, Holland, and Allegan by this time tomorrow night. The clipper system looks like it will help enhance the lake-effect tonight into the morning hours and maybe even drop a little synoptic snow around I-94.

    As for clippers we have our best shot come Monday with any measurable snowfall being 1-3″ at best. At this point, I believe even 1-3″ is really pushing it but by tomorrow night it will be more apparent on what way accumulations will go.

    Tuesday afternoon we have another clipper headed our way and looks to bring 1-2″ for most areas.

    Thursday afternoon another clipper moves in, but temperatures look to vary from 30 to 35, so it very well could be a light rain snow mix. If it ends up being snow, the impacts would likely remain very low due to temperatures being near freezing and sun-angle melting most snow as it comes down. Around an inch of wet snow could be possible but still plenty of time before that is here to really pinpoint anything major.

    Lake effect looks to be most predominant the next couple days mainly west of 131 and not nearly as much in the way of heavy snow/accumulations as the past few days. Temperatures will definitely moderate in the long-term with most of the area thawing out by the end of next week and through the weekend. Nothing really substantial in the long term with snow. Most areas have less than 2″ of snow accumulating 384 hours out.

    1. Harry (Battle Creek) says:

      Also as for accumulations in the past couple days,

      3″ in Battle Creek
      2″ in Ceresco
      3″ in Marshall
      4″ in East Leroy

      Almost forgot that part lol

  15. fixxxer says:

    Not one lick of snow lansing & eastward into detroit. I come back home to one big mess.

    1. Harry (Battle Creek) says:

      Yeah, it’s not too much over that way at all.

    2. Jack says:

      Glad Ya made it Home Safely, Fixxer !!! Ya, Ole, Snow Lover…. ;-)

  16. Brian (Grandville) says:

    Snow begining to to increase in coverage and intensity as we speak.

  17. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

    We added another 4.5″ today(mostly all before 10am). That gives me a total of 11.85″ since Wednesday night. Here is a pic of the snow depth on my deck. It’s settled down about 2.5″ from the overall snow that has fallen.

    https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=10151418900446418&set=a.10150097766036418.306861.641556417&type=1&theater

  18. bobcat says:

    Love the ‘interactive’ radar on woods site. Now it’s gone?….

  19. If this intensity keeps up we’ll add another foot by morning!

    1. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

      It does look pretty intense on the radar now.

    2. Jack says:

      Ya, Some DARK BLUE. By You !

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