Lake Effect Snow Warning Ends at 1 PM

February 1st, 2013 at 5:02 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

  Noon Sat. -  The Lake Effect Snow Warning ends at 1 PM.  There is still some snow south of a line from Holland to Lansing.  As of 9 AM, Grand Rapids officially had 3.6″ since midnight and we’re up to 30.6″ for the season with 7″ on the ground.  SW Grandville had 15″ on the ground, with 9.4″ new.  Muskegon is up to 8″ on the ground, while Lansing east is around an inch.  East G.R. had 8.6″ of new snow and 10″ on the ground.  Walker added 8.5″ to jump to 13″ on the ground.  WOOD-TV downtown had 7″ new, Bangor added 9″ and Howard City reported 2.5′.  Bloomingdale checked in with 8″ new, Holland had 5-6″ on the ground.  Statewide snow cover:  25″ Munising, 24″ Marquette, Newberry and Charlevoix.  Alba had 22″ on the ground with 12″ at Gaylord, 8″ at Muskegon and 7″ at Fremont and Cadillac. From the GRR NWS morning discussion:  “…if you like snow, this should be your week”.  Good convergence in N. Allegan, Ottawa and Kent Counties now.   Still looks good for some significant snow overnight.  The new NAM gives G.R. 5.2″ of new snow from midnight to noon (that’s at the airport).  It also gives us an inch of snow on Sunday and 1.3″ of snow on Monday.  Kalamazoo gets 1.8″ tonight/Sat., 1.2″ Sunday and 1″ on Monday.  With a SW Wind, the lake-effect snow is coming right over  parts of Kent Co.  A “clipper system” is now moving into W. Michigan and that can only enhance the snow will have falling now.  So, the coverage of snow will increase after midnight.  It’s been dry south of a line from Benton Harbor to Lansing this evening and that area should see some light snow overnight and into the early morning, perhaps a couple inches.    We are in a snowy pattern, with clippers and lake-effect snow likely thru Tuesday.  We could easily see accumulating snow each of the next 4 days.   Nice warming from Lake Michigan today.  At 1 PM it was +6 in Milwaukee and +17 in G.R., zero at Green Bay and +13 at Ludington.  Northome MN was -39 his AM.  Click the image to enlarge.  The Lake-Effect Snow Warning continues thru Saturday AM for Mason, Oceana, Newaygo, Muskegon, Ottawa, Kent, Ionia, Allegan, Barry and Van Buren Counties.  It’s a Lake-Effect Snow Advisory for Lake, Mecosta, Montcalm, Eaton and Kalamazoo Counties.  The Flood Warning continues for the Muskegon River just upstream from the Rogers Dam in Mecosta Co.  There are a number of Flood Advisories.  The Grand River will come up to bankfull on Saturday morning (the crest has passed Ionia).  Check the Grand Rapids NWS discussion.  We have already had a foot of snow this week  near Allegan, and over 10″ at Oshtemo and Bloomington.  Grand Rapids has added 1.8″ new snow today so far.  You can scroll down to the radar thread for the usual links.    The cold pattern continues with temperatures in the mid teens today, low-mid 20s over the weekend and we probably stay below freezing at least thru next Tues. or Weds.  I’ll add more on January weather when the official NWS summary comes out, but snowfall in January was 31.4″ in Muskegon (3.4″ above average!), 17″ in Grand Rapids and just 5.9″ in Lansing (you can see that most of our snow was lake-effect).  Twin Lakes in the U.P. had 72.9″ in January.  As of 5 PM Friday, Muskegon’s season snowfall is up to 41.5″.  Grand Rapids is up to 25.5″ for the season and Lansing has picked up a paltry 10.8″.    Snyder Lake in the U.P. reported 37″ of snow on the ground Thursday.  The NAM (Car.) would give G.R. another 6.1″ of snow thru Sunday – Holland would get 12.6″ during that time.  The GFS gives G.R. about 1/2″ precipitation between now and next Tues. evening and that would come to 8-10″ of snowfall.   This light, fluffy snow compacts easily and quickly, so you wouldn’t see 10″ of accumulation out of 10″ of snowfall, but it would be significant.  Here’s 84-Hour snowfall off the NAM model and 120-Hour Snowfall off the GFS model (note the snow from the clipper that runs from S. Wisconsin to N. Ohio).

228 Responses to “Lake Effect Snow Warning Ends at 1 PM”

  1. Jack says:

    happy FEB. And Happy FRIDAY !!!!! ;-)

  2. INDY says:

    Last year we had one day in the teens for highs thee YARDofBRICKS has had 9 days in the teens for highs don’t even wan’t to here we are having a warm winter ….We are on our way for above average snowfall…..Yes tomorrow s clipper we bring us 4-7 more …..Winter is rolling hard!! stay tuned ..INDYY..

    1. Travis (Oxford, MI) says:

      We are having a warm winter with well below average snowfall.

      +4-5 degrees above average in December and January. And both months have had below average snowfall.

      1. INDY says:

        Travis we still have 2 months of winter to roll my friend!!! Come on over to the Westside WE HAVE A WINTER!!! INDYY..

        1. Rocky (Rockford) says:


        2. Brenda (Otsego) says:

          Sure has felt like winter the last two weeks when walking my dogs out in the open hay fields with wind driven snow!

  3. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    SE, GR had off and on snow showers all the time I was at work (some of the snow showers were heavy) now back home I received a good half inch of new snow today but still only have a total of 5″ on the ground (Lots of air in the snow and it compacts) Just clouldy here now with a temp of 17° here in Walker.

  4. INDY says:


  5. Jack says:

    N.E. G.R…..Bright Blinding SUNSHINE Now, Will be followed by Snow Showers ( heavy at Times), Then more Blinding Sunshine, Repeat this Over and Over AGAIN….Well ya get The Picture !! Sssssssssssssssss… ;-)

  6. INDY says:


    1. Jack says:

      INDYYYYYY…..CUE: Manfred Mann – Blinded by the Light – YouTube

      ► 7:19► 7:19

  7. michael g (SE GR) says:

    Flow has gone WSW. Looks like coverage and intensity may pick picking up just a little bit on the radar.

  8. North side of holland says:

    Huge flakes :)

  9. Nathan says:

    About 1 inch of snow today… Maybe a little more. So not too bad, but maybe more tonight!!

  10. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    It is a FANTASTIC day outside! Temp around 14 degrees with a little wind and SNOW! I don’t see how it could be any better, unless were getting about 12 to 18 inches of SNOW tonight. We will need to settle for about 4-6 inches of SNOW over the next 24 hours! We are in for quite a stretch of COLD and SNOW. Four or five clippers over the next 6 days!!!!!!! I LOVE IT!!!!!!!!!! COLD and SNOW ROCKS!!

    1. Travis (Oxford, MI) says:

      20 degrees here. Sure is cold to the west. Lots of single digits in Illinois right now.

  11. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    I just checked my NWS point forecast it shows 11 inches of snow over the next 48 hours! Ya baby!!!!!!

  12. millekat says:

    Amazingly huge and gorgeous flakes in downtown GR! :-)

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:


  13. Nathan says:

    Very heavy snow falling! Radar is underestimating it

  14. Mike (Mattawan) says:

    Been snowing on and off here, we’ve gotten trace amounts today thus far. The sun peeks through the clouds periodically as well. The plows FINALLY came through a couple of hours ago and plowed the 9 inches of snow off my road.

  15. Scott (west olive) says:

    All my snow is blowing into the yard of bricks! :(

  16. Ben (Charlotte) says:

    Not quite enough snow here yet to cover the blades of grass. Maybe a 1/2 inch so far.

    We get some fringe lake effect over this way, but overall, winters in Mid Michigan are BORING without synoptic snow!! And we have had almost NONE this winter. I’ve actually had LESS snow than last winter, which I didn’t think was possible.

    These lake effect events make me miss living on the west side.

  17. Yup (Grandville) says:

    Why is there a warning out for kent still? This snow isn’t bad, nor has it been bad all day. I don’t see it getting worse tonight either.

    1. SW Kent says:

      Be patient, you will get at least 4 inches tonight

      1. SW Kent: That’s what she said!

    2. Nathan says:

      The snow is expected to increase tonight into tomorrow morning.

  18. Bill says:

    Area forecast discussion
    National Weather Service Grand Rapids Michigan
    334 PM EST Friday Feb 1 2013

    issued at 326 PM EST Friday Feb 1 2013

    A clipper system will bring another round of heavier lake effect
    snow to the region tonight into Saturday. Another system will
    arrive for Sunday with more snow. The temperatures will remain below
    normal for the weekend.


    Short term…(this evening through Sunday night)
    issued at 326 PM EST Friday Feb 1 2013

    The heavier bands of snow will shift northward and strengthen
    overnight. Typically with a 220 to 240 flow the bands go north of
    I 94 so that is why I downplayed the snow for most of the kazo to
    kjxn region. Even for Lansing…the main band is expected to stay
    northwest of them. As the middle level wave passes by later
    tonight…the band of snow will shift southeast Sat am. So a
    period of snow is expected for the I 94 corridor then.

    Conditions look very favorable for a stronger band of snow in the
    Holland…Muskegon to Grand Rapids region later tonight into
    Saturday morning. Strong low level convergence coupled with the
    strengthening frontal zone resulting from the Arctic air wrapping
    around the south end of the lake and deeper moisture supports
    heavier snow rates.

  19. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Get ready Central and Northern Kent County (yes this includes you Swatz_Zoo)! You will be seeing a lot of SNOW over the next 24 hours. With all the factors in play including the WSW wind watch out!!! You could be seeing up to a FOOT of SNOW!!!!
    Get ready to ROCK!!!!!!!!!!

  20. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Parts of Kent County will be seeing over a foot of SNOW over the next 48 hours and you are asking why a WARNING!!!!!! Get to the store and get ready!!!!!

  21. michael g (SE GR) says:

    Updated forecast map from NWS basically unchanged.

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Looks good and then add another 3 to 4 inches on Sat night and GR will be up to 12 inches in 36 hours. Get ready to ROCK N ROLL people!

      1. Nathan says:

        There is no change. The one before was for today, tonight and tomorrow. This one is just for tonight/tomorrow. Before GR was under eight inches… Now we are under seven. But I picked up about 2 inches of snow today, so we are ahead of schedule!

        1. Nathan says:

          And yes Rocky, I actually have a good feeling about this event! Cant wait to shovel tomorrow!

        2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          Yes all of the ingredients are looking good!!!!!!

  22. Jeff(Northern Ionia County / Muir) says:

    Is any of this snow going to make it as far in as Ionia? We did not get anything today so far.

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      The RDB shows Ionia getting 2-4 inches, however soms of the heavier SNOW will be going North of your area.

  23. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

    Oh Rocky how just a few miles can make all the difference in the world I live in my little tiny bubble up here in Cedar how PATHETIC!!

      1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

        LOL, as you see in the picture the other end of the bubble hasn’t popped, so that would be me! LOL!!

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      I guarantee that your bubble will be broken tonight. You should be seeing at least 4 inches of SNOW and if all breaks perfect you could see up to 8 inches!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  24. Mindy ( Mason MI ) says:

    Check this out on SPACE WEATHER!!

    On February 15 a chunk of rock about 50 meters wide will whiz by Earth at nearly 8 km/s, coming within 27,680 km of our planet’s surface — closer than many weather and communications satellites.

    For those of you more comfortable with imperial units, that’s 165 feet wide traveling 17,800 mph coming within 17,200 miles. But regardless whether you prefer meters or miles, in astronomy that’s what’s called a close call.

    Scientists stress that there’s no danger of an impact by this incoming asteroid, designated 2012-DA14, but it’s yet another reminder that in our neck of the Solar System we are definitely not alone.

    “2012-DA14 will definitely not hit Earth,” says JPL’s near-Earth object specialist Don Yeomans. “The orbit of the asteroid is known well enough to rule out an impact.”

    But with 2012-DA14′s upcoming February flyby Yeomans notes, “this is a record-setting close approach.”

    The rocky asteroid will come within about 4 Earth radii, which is well within the orbits of geosynchronous satellites. During its closest approach at 19:26 UTC it should be visible in the sky to amateur telescopes (but not the naked eye), becoming as bright as an 7th- or 8th-magnitude star.

    1. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

      This is probably the one you meant to post. Looks GREAT for tonight! 6 inches plus for much of the area!

      1. Nathan says:

        Yes, thats it… Looks great for both of us!!

        1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

          I’m just on the edge of the 6+ but in the 3-6″.

  25. Wyoming Dog says:

    Thanks Bill Steffen.Your always a class act and nobody else will EVER replace the PRIMO Weatherman.West Michigan loves you my friend.

  26. Jack says:

    Hey BILL, Did YOU Get Your ” Ears Lowered ” , Recently ?? ;-)

  27. Nathan says:

    Ok, I just have to point out Bills typo! You said nice WARNING from lake Michigan… Do you mean WARMING?

  28. Blue Moon says:

    That was awesome Bill, “Any ground hog with a lick of sense will stay underground” LMAO

  29. Nathan says:

    BTW it sounds like the lake effect snow will pick up after 7PM tonight. Most areas are just reporting light snow at the moment.

    1. JT says:

      Snowing good here in Ottawa county. With the wind shift it seems to be the center point of the lake effect snow atm.

  30. michael g (SE GR) says:

    Don’t need the wind to turn any more to the south. Let’s just keep it right at 240.

    1. JT says:

      The winds have shifted from Northwest to Southwest which will bring the Clipper of snow the weather channel was talking about for early Sat. morning.

  31. DF (SE Mich) says:

    It only made it to 19° in Detroit today. With the wind it is bitter out. It made 18° at my home today with 0.8″ of snow.

    I am looking forward to the train of clippers to get some snow over here.

  32. JT says:

    Snowing very heavy in Jenison, Hudsonville area right now. Picking up good amounts of snow rapidly. Let the dog out at 4:30 and tracks are almost covered by 6:45.

    1. JT says:

      Thats non shoveled snow dog tracks so deep tracks that are almost covered completely.

  33. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    >>>>>>WEATHER BULLETIN >>>>>> WE ARE IN SNOWY PATTERN WITH NO CHANGE IN SIGHT! SNOW, SNOW and more SNOW on the way! Gotta love it! Grand Rapids get the snow blowers revved up!

    1. JT says:

      As the night progresses onward and with the wind shift that has occurred it seems the heavy snow bands are pushing into GR much better than the northwest winds. GR may pick up more snow tonight than last night. Will have to wait and see!!

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        That is a 100% certainty! Mark it down!

  34. Nathan says:

    Moderate to slightly heavy snow at the moment. About another inch or two has fallen this evening already! And the real LE snow still needs to begin!

  35. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

    We snowmobiled another 70 miles today, and with those miles I have already snowmobiled more this winter than all of last winter. We picked up about an inch today so far. The winds really wrecked havoc on the snowmobile trails, most of the flat open fields only have about 5-6″ in them even though we’ve received 10-12″ in our area. Also there was a lot of water in the low spots of the fields and woods that we had to snowmobile through. We talked to the police officers who were checking snowmobiles for trail permits, and they said the snowmobile club wasn’t going to groom the trails because they were afraid they would just scrape the snow off the ground since it isn’t frozen everywhere.

  36. Ned S. (Now in South Holland) says:

    I used the snowblower today. I measured 10 inches on the ground here. It was a real workout. as the snow at ground level was very wet and heavy. Even with a self-propelled machine it was a heck of a lot of work to push it through some of that stuff. It was like wet concrete! A very good workout indeed!

    1. Ben (Charlotte) says:

      We don’t have that problem over here in the Lansing area. We didn’t enough of the lake effect to cover the grass, so the artic air re-froze everything after the rain. The ground is hard as a rock here.

  37. Tonka says:

    Snow blows…Hah! That was a little funny! I just want roads to be good tues night for school in GR.

  38. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

    There looks to be a pretty decent snow band already setup for you guys in Grand Rapids. Just light snow here, with bursts of moderate snow.

  39. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

    No big flakes but small consistant flakes at 11F. Maybe the bubble will be popped up here but we’ll see if I wake up to a surprise. As one says, “Better late then never” and I guess it is with winter too. Have fun this weekend snow lovers be careful play hard but play careful!

  40. Stacsh says:

    Finally snowing hard in ne gr. lake effect looks to be cut off now though.

  41. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

    ROFLMAO I’m dying over here LMAO at this radar if you maximize it until you see the city of Cedar Springs you’ll actually see a BUBBLE!!! OMG ROFLMAO!!! Now this just proves it!! More pics of bubbles jack, more pics!! to darn funny!

    1. Katie in Kentwood says:

      its coming your way! Why is the snow moving northward? :(

    2. Jack says:

      Swatzeee, OR, BUBBLES !!! Quit CLOWNING!!!! Around…. Tee Hee

      1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

        Hey Jack how’d you get my real picture!? LOL!!

  42. Nathan says:

    FINALLY I am in the hot spot!

  43. Mark A says:

    Hey im in hudsonville how much snow am i gonna get? ive already gone in the ditch once today :(

      1. Mark A says:


  44. DJ says:

    I am in holland near the lakeshore.. how much snow am I gonna see tonight?

  45. Nick (Grand Haven / West Olive) says:

    dead here on the lakeshore :(

    1. Brian (Grandville) says:

      Give it a few hours and then look out your window.

  46. Nick (Grand Haven / West Olive) says:

    That system looks to be coming together nicely. Hitting Chicago now!

  47. ptmartin (grandville) says:

    will the snow in Wisconsin be enhanced? Is that why we’ll get a burst of snow after midnight?

  48. Cort S. says:

    Here comes our clipper:

    Recent evolution of the lake-effect on our side:

    (That was a convergence band which moved across parts of Kent county in the last 2 hours. And the lake-effect is diminishing temporarily, but will flare back up when the clipper arrives. Will be a lake enhancement situation.)

    1. Jack says:

      SWEET!!!! Tx’s CORT !!!! Love IT, I anticipate MORE of YOUR , Great LINKS…… Keep um Coming !!! Happy Friday SIR !

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