Tuesday Snow

February 5th, 2013 at 4:28 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Local  6:05 PM – a band of snow is coming thru the area this PM from W to E.  The Lake Effect Snow Advisory  for Muskegon, Oceana and Mason Counties was cancelled.  Flake size has been small, limiting accumulations, though it’s been enough to cause some slipper roads  The BIG story is the potential for a significant synoptic (not lake-effect) snowstorm Thursday.  The European is the most bullish and it prints out a solid band of 5-10+” snow the I-96 corridor and north with even 3-5″ to I-94.  The Caribou numbers for Big Rapids are 6.4″ off the NAM and 11″ off the GFS.  For Grand Rapids we get a solid 3″.   The NAM looks too week.   The GFS would give at least 5″ to GRR with up to 10″ north of I-96.   This is going to be a decent storm for the “snow desert” or the “Mt. Pleasant Triangle” (spoof of Bermuda Triangle) where snow is harder to come by in winter.  Git yer shovels ready!!!   The following storm Sunday night will be mostly rain with the temperature on the GFS going up to 49 in G. R. on Monday (I think that’s too warm, we’ll have a fair amount of snow to melt thru).  The European is about 39 for Sunday night and I lean that way now…cool but not drastically cold temperatures for Tues. to Sat. of next week.  Nice Blizzard coming for New England!   For current Michigan weather observations and wind speeds, click here. Here’s NAM model snowfall thru 84 hours, the GFS snowfall thru 120 hours and the HPC snowfall predictions. Here’s WOOD-TV Interactive Radar, looping radar. Check out regional radar, GRR radar, northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the College of DuPage Radar Map, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the WOOD lightning tracker and U.S. lightning, the Marantha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures. Here’s storm total precipitation for W. Michigan.

Now, the biggest news beyond today is the European model snowstorm Thurs. night…the other models don’t have nearly as strong (phased) a storm.  If by chance the Euro. is right (it is the outlier, so don’t get excited)…you’ll get your synoptic snowstorm in places like Big Rapids and Mt. Pleasant…yes, the so-called snow desert would get a snowstorm!  The Euro. would bring a band of 6-10″ across the U.S. 10 corridor.  The storm could give 6″ of snow to G.R. if the European is right.  The other models have a much weaker system…the FIM ramps up quite a storm for New England.  The GFS has a weaker system Thurs. night and keeps the Sunday night system mainly to our south.  I’d side with relatively minor events, and while we could come up to 40 Sunday evening/Night, the overall pattern stays cool into mid month.

Well, what else is in the news…Reg Presley passed away yesterday (real name Reginald Maurice Ball – he hoped to get ahead by adopting the Presley surname).  He was the lead singer of the Troggs (originally the Troglodytes).  You might remember Love is All Around Us (Purportedly inspired by a television transmission of the Joy Strings Salvation Army band’s “Love That’s All Around” – Presley famously spent some of the proceeds, which he received for composing the song, on crop circle research), With a Girl Like You, or Wild Thing (The Troggs’ version was recorded in mono on the second take.  Because of a distribution dispute, The Troggs’ single was available on two competing labels: Atco and Fontana.[2] Because both pressings were taken from the identical master recording, Billboard combined the sales for both releases, making it the only single to simultaneously reach No. 1 for two companies at the same time.   So…happy trogging thru the snow…stay up with Storm Team 8 for the latest forecast updates, road conditions and the like.

115 Responses to “Tuesday Snow”

  1. Larry from Hastings/Barry Co says:

    First one today. Looks like another fun afternoon and evening driving. Thursday’s weather sounds even more interesting. Everyone drive safe and enjoy this wonderful winter day. I am sure we will get a 2 inch snow fall today here in Hastings.

  2. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

    Well, well JEM model looking to stay on track for this storm coming, COME ON SNOW DAY Friday!!

    1. Annie says:

      Don’t get your hopes up :)

    2. GunLakeDeb says:

      I hope you get your wish, Swatz!!! ;-) And if they don’t issue a Snow Day – maybe you just need to take one anyway….LOL!!

      1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

        We would if one of my other sons cared more about his work and grades and turning his assignments in. My dh and I have talked about it and if their grades aren’t good C or better they don’t skip a day.

        1. GunLakeDeb says:

          Yup! Skipping school is a *privilege*. Or a highly-punishable crime, depending on who decided to do it…LOL!

  3. Yup (Grandville) says:

    Pretty cool ice pillars this morning on the way in to work.

    1. Yup (Grandville) says:

      Or light pillars, whatever you like to call them.

  4. INDY says:

    WINTER STORM WATCHES COMING FOR THURSDAY STAY TUNED ….WINTER STORM WATCHES COMING FOR THURSDAY SATY TUNED……INDYY..

  5. Jim S.(Saugatuck Twp) says:

    06Z NAM is stronger with the storm on Thursday, GFS about the same. Still, models paint the heaviest snow up around the Cadillac area with some snow and perhaps a mix south.

  6. Mike (Wyoming) says:

    Any idea on the very long term when we might get out of this really cold weather? The office heat is on the fritz or it might not seem to bad…

    1. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

      Very long term?? May looks about right by then we usually warm up and stay some what warm.
      SlimJim

      1. fixxxer says:

        try june slim.

        1. Mike (Wyoming) says:

          This is what worries me… ;p

  7. Snow Bubble Is Tearing the snow as it crosses lake Michigan lol, go figure and hits dry cold air could it be the Alma to Saginaw area gets robbed, will see

    1. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

      I saw that too. Lol. Unreal…

  8. Dan says:

    HAVE a great National Weatherperson’s Day today, Bill, Terri, Laura, Kyle and Matt! Bring on the SNOW!

    1. SS (Pwell Area) says:

      I was just going to post that…. Have a GREAT day!!!

  9. Jim S.(Saugatuck Twp) says:

    The Detroit NWS discussion has a more detailed assessment of the storm Thursday. I just noticed the 00Z Canadian gives much of lower Michigan some good snow…but I rarely see that model referred to in discussions.

    THE PRIOR FORECAST IDENTIFIED THAT A NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE WILL
    HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PHASE WITH THE REMNANTS OF THE SOCAL CLOSED
    LOW ENERGY BY THURSDAY EVENING. THIS PHASING HAS BEEN CONSISTENTLY
    SHOWN BY THE ECMWF. BY AND LARGE…THE REST OF THE MEDIUM RANGE
    SUITE HAS SWUNG OVER TO THE ECMWF. ECMWF/GEM/UKMET ARE ALL DEPICTING
    THAT PRECIPITATION WILL INITIALLY BE DRIVEN BY RIGHT WING ISENTROPIC
    ASCENT IN ADVANCE OF A NOTABLE INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH. THE PV
    ANOMALY/NORTHERN SHORTWAVE IS EXPECTED TO BE IN A FAVORABLE BULLWHIP
    CONFIGURATION WHICH SUPPORTS A DEEPENING OF THE SYSTEM AS IT TRACKS
    DIRECTLY OVER THE CWA. NOT SURPRISINGLY…AN ELEVATED WARM FRONT
    WILL DEVELOP QUICKLY…BUT THEN SLOW DOWN AS THE ORIENTATION OF THE
    DEFORMATION FLATTENS OUT. THIS STALLING OF THE FRONTAL ZONE…MAINLY
    NORTH OF THE AREA…BUT INCLUDING THE SAGINAW VALLEY…IS THE REASON
    FOR A SOMEWHAT LONGER DURATION OF HIGHER POPS FOR THE NORTHERN
    COUNTIES. BY THIS TIME…THE REMNANT CALIFORNIA ENERGY LIFTS INTO
    THE MIDWEST THURSDAY EVENING AND IS SHOWN TO MELD IN WITH THE
    DEEPENING MIDLEVEL TROUGH/NORTHERN WAVE. THIS ACTION WILL FORCE A
    DOWNSTREAM ADJUSTMENT OF THE THE PRECEDING LARGE UPPER LEVEL JET
    STREAK INTO AN ANTICYCLONIC CURVATURE. THIS CHANGE TO ANTICYCLONIC
    CURVATURE TYPICALLY CAUSES UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE TO INCREASE
    SUBSTANTIALLY. IF THIS SOLUTION DOES INDEED OCCUR…HIGHER RATES
    WILL BE THURSDAY EVENING. WILL SEE HOW THE SOLUTION SPACE OF THE
    MEDIUM SUITE EVOLVES…BUT COULD BE LOOKING AT A NICE SYNOPTIC SNOW
    EVENT FOR A PORTION OF THE CWA THAT MAY REQUIRE HEADLINE DECISIONS.

  10. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    And here is this AM discussion from the Milwaukee NWS where there is less hype this runs thu Monday of next week

    WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY…FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM LATEST MODELS HAVE TRENDED COLDER AND WETTER WITH THE SYSTEM WED NIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY. THOUGH THINK THERE DOES STILL EXIST A CHANCE FOR A MIX WITH SLEET TOWARD THE ILLINOIS BORDER…NOT SEEING ENOUGH WARM AIR ALOFT ANYMORE TO MENTION RAIN. GIVEN COLDER TREND…WENT WITH ALL SNOW THROUGH THE EVENT…KEEPING SNOW RATIOS LOWER IN THE SOUTH. LOOKS LIKE A 2 TO 4 INCH EVENT IF CURRENT MODEL SOLUTIONS PAN OUT. AMOUNTS DEFINITELY SUBJECT TO CHANGE THOUGH…AS LATEST NAM/ECMWF HAVE EVEN MORE LIQUID…UP TO AS MUCH AS SIX TENTHS OF AN INCH…ABOUT DOUBLE THE QPF IN THE FORECAST. WHILE AMOUNTS COULD BE HIGHER DUE TO HIGHER LIQUID…ANY MILDER AIR AND MIXED PRECIP WOULD CUT DOWN ON TOTALS. NEEDLESS TO SAY…THIS ONE NEEDS TO BE WATCHED AS MODELS HOPEFULLY SETTLE ON A SOLUTION SOON. FRIDAY AND SATURDAY…FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES FOR MUCH OF FRIDAY AND SATURDAY…SO EXPECTING A WHOLE TWO DAYS OFF FROM PRECIPITATION. SHOULD SEE NEAR NORMAL TEMPS CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. SUNDAY AND MONDAY…FORECAST CONFIDENCE LOW NOT VERY GOOD AGREEMENT AMONG MODELS FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THE ECMWF BRINGS STRONG LOW PRESSURE TO JUST NORTHWEST OF THE FORECAST AREA BY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WOULD RESULT IN A MILD SETUP…WITH MAINLY RAIN EXPECTED. THE GFS MEANWHILE KEEPS THE LOW SO FAR SOUTH THAT THE FORECAST AREA WOULD REMAIN FAIRLY DRY. THROUGH SUNDAY…THE CANADIAN LOOKS SOMEWHERE IN BETWEEN. FELT POPS WERE NEEDED GIVEN THE ECMWF…GOING WITH RAIN/SNOW DUE TO THE LEVEL OF UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME. GENERALLY TRIED TO GO DOWN THE MIDDLE WITH EXPECTED TEMPS AS WELL.

    SlimJim

  11. DF (SE Mich) says:

    A cold morning out there, 6° here. I see the GR airport made it down to 4°, chilly. A lot of negatives just north of GR.

    1. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

      I was down to +8 but now up to 17° here. (Walker)
      SlimJim

  12. Daniel (Denver, CO) says:

    The Denver NWS is not as hyped about the storm either and with the ECMWF ejecting the low out quicker than the GFS, I don’t think the models will latch on to a more consistent track until the storm makes landfall. Interesting enough though is that these March-like storms seem to be coming earlier in the season. Last year, we got our March-like snowstorm in early Feb. Only time will tell.

  13. Larry from Hastings/Barry Co says:

    Bill, Happy Weatherman’s Day, and also to each person on your team. I bet Wednesday afternoon we will have winter storm watches. Everyone stay warm.

  14. Jeff(Northern Ionia County / Muir) says:

    Wow looking like the snow coming in off the lake is going to split around Ionia County (Just My Luck). Hoping for some decent snow Thursday but not going to get my hopes up until it happens.

  15. Ray says:

    Happy weatherpersons day to Stormteam 8!

  16. Jim S.(Saugatuck Twp) says:

    12Z NAM pretty similar…keeps the bulk of Thu. storm through northern Michigan.

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      Still a chance of some heavy wet snow.

      1. GunLakeDeb says:

        Oooh – that’s been the beauty of these LE snows: they’re light as a feather. Shoveling the driveway has been fun! Won’t be quite so happy about heavy snow – although we could really use a good “base” around here. The fluffy stuff compresses to nothing….

        A whopping ZERO down in the Gun Lake Bowl this morning at 7:30.

  17. Yup (Grandville) says:

    LOL at the Bubble…. it’s in full effect!

    1. fixxxer says:

      i have no idea why you need anymore snow? isn’t this enough for you?

      1. Jeff(Northern Ionia County / Muir) says:

        NOPE, Still not enough to do much riding on snowmobiles around here.

        1. Yup (Grandville) says:

          Responses go into a tree hierarchy. Now this response is for you Jeff ;)

      2. Yup (Grandville) says:

        I commented on the Bubble. Not sure how you deduced that I want more snow. Stop making assumptions please.

        Now, to answer your question, I’m content with the snow we have. My kids were able to get some good sledding in, and I was able to x-country ski which I have not been able to do in a long time.

        1. Jeff(Northern Ionia County / Muir) says:

          Not sure if thats directed at me or fixxer but I was just responding to Fixxer not you.

  18. Kevin(Rockford) says:

    I thought the snow was supposed to start later on

  19. Jim S.(Saugatuck Twp) says:

    12Z GFS now on board with a stronger system for Thursday as well. Heaviest snowfall north of 96.

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      It is looking warm for Monday/Teusday also, but right back to cold after that.

        1. DF (SE Mich) says:

          I have no idea what the graph is using but it certainly isn’t the GFS which we were talking about. That thing and CPC said it would be way above average about 6-7 days ago, yet it is still below average.

  20. Jim S.(Saugatuck Twp) says:

    Here is the 12Z GFS snow map. Mt. Pleasant may finally get their snow.

    http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overlays.php3?STATIONID=GRR

    1. Jim S.(Saugatuck Twp) says:

      The Canadian model continues to take the Thursday storm a bit further south through northern Indiana, thus shifting the heaviest snow a bit further south.

      1. Max (Zeeland) says:

        Hopefully it keeps coming more South!

  21. Travis (Oxford, MI) says:

    The snow desert is right! Send the snow this way!

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      Flint is 6″ behind average snowfall through January.

  22. Harry (Battle Creek) says:

    William Marino with the NWS GRR is awesome.

    He always tells it like it is, especially with the latest updates.

    1. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

      Agreed!

    2. Brian(Grandville) says:

      How do you know when it’s him doing the write-ups. I can never find anywhere in the forecast discussion where it says “written by”.

      1. Jacob G says:

        WDM is his initials

      2. Mike in Hamilton says:

        At the very bottom of the forecast discussion there’s a little list of who wrote what portion:

        UPDATE…WDM
        SYNOPSIS…93
        SHORT TERM…93
        LONG TERM…DUKE
        AVIATION…LAURENS
        HYDROLOGY…93
        MARINE…93

      3. Brian(Grandville) says:

        Got it, thanks guys.

  23. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

    The groomer just went by our house down the snowmobile trail for the first time in 2 years! For anyone that snowmobiles or has ever snowmobiled knows how awesome that is. Should be the best trails all year.

    With today’s snow we should be pushing 30″ of fluffy snow since last Wednesday night, and pushing 60″ overall.

    1. Jacob G says:

      Nice! I have been on the Allegan country trail system and it is a fun one to ride on. Glad to hear we are at least getting it groomed for a changed.

  24. Jeff(Northern Ionia County / Muir) says:

    Looks like we may get a little bit of snow from the system that pushing through now, still looking like most of it will miss us. But at least I should be able to watch it snow for a little bit.

  25. Kevin(Rockford) says:

    The new snowblower is here…oiled and ready to go…BRING. IT. ON.

  26. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

    Thursday looks be our biggest widespread synoptic snow all winter to date. The NAM, GFS, and Canadian all give the most snow between US-10 and I-94. The pattern still looks to be active through the whole 384 hours of the 12Z GFS.

    1. Bnoppe(Albion) says:

      96?

  27. Jim S.(Saugatuck Twp) says:

    .UPDATE…
    ISSUED AT 141 PM EST TUE FEB 5 2013
    Update…

    MY CURRENT PLAN IS TO DROP THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVIOSRY WHEN I
    ISSUE THE 4 PM ZONE FORECAST. THERE IS A DECENT BAND OF MODERATE
    SNOW CROSSING THE WEST CENTRAL CWA AS I WRITE THIS BUT IT WILL BE
    SHORT LIVED AND I DO NOT SEE MORE THAN TWO HOURS AT ANY ONE
    LOCATION SO I BELIEVE TOTAL SNOWFALL WILL BE TWO INCHES OR LESS.

    AFTER COORDINATING WITH APX AND DTX… I DO NOT PLAN TO ISSUE A
    WINTER STORM WATCH ON THIS SHIFT FOR THE THURSDAY EVENT. NOT SO
    SAY LATER SHIFTS WILL NOT DO THAT… THAT IS MORE THAN POSSIBLE
    BUT I AM NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO DO THAT AT THIS POINT.

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      Well, they went a month or so without having to outright cancel something that didn’t happen, not bad =)

  28. Jack says:

    Currently Snowing at Decent CLIP, here N. E. G.R…..Roads Getting SLICK Again…. Drive SAFE, and Stay Cued 4 …JEM Model Updates…RE: Coming Storm Thursday !!! ;-)

  29. Todd In Nunica says:

    if the lake effect does not kick in, that band only dropped less than an inch in my area…actually its probably less than 1/2″

    wow means I may have a night off….imagine that

    1. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

      Another synoptic system that drops less than an inch. Imagine that….

      1. Todd In Nunica says:

        Ill take it though! I could use a night to relax, stick the heat pad to my back (its the sitting in the truck that gets me) recharge and get ready for more money! er ahh I mean MORE SNOW…..lol

  30. Larry from Hastings/Barry Co says:

    Starting to snow here in Hastings.

  31. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    Had a quick burst of snow here while still snowing its now lighter. Maybe we got a half inch or so. I am not sure how it will turn out but here is a list of snow fall amounts for some of the bigger cities as you can see even in a low snow fall season (so far) we have gotten more snow then most of the countries bigger cities in the east do in a average winter.

    Here are some snow totals and departures through Feb. 4 of this season.

    City Total Snowfall Departure From Normal
    as of Feb. 4, 2013

    Pittsburgh 31.7 inches 7.7 above

    New York City 7.0 inches 6. 4 inches below

    Chicago 8.7 inches 13.5 inches below

    Denver 17.0 inches 14.5 inches below

    Flagstaff 33.0 inches 22 inches below

    Minneapolis 25.2 inches 9.5 inches below

    Bluefield 34.8 inches 15.9 inches above

    Washington, DC 1.5 inches 7.8 inches below

    Birmingham, Ala. 2.1 inches 1.4 inches above

    the list is from acculess weather I think that Bluefield is in WV.

    SlimJim

    1. Travis (Oxford, MI) says:

      Exactly what I’ve been saying. The clear majority without lake effect are missing the snow big time!

    2. DF (SE Mich) says:

      Every year there are hits and misses. It is a warm winter so far and these cities sure weren’t picked at random. I can only imagine that most of this list is at or above liquid precipitation.

      I found these cool season snowfall maps on the Detroit NWS:
      http://www.crh.noaa.gov/dtx/cms.php?n=seasonal_snow

  32. dano (Norton Shores) says:

    …fizzle…

  33. Travis (Oxford, MI) says:

    As a follow up to yesterday’s conversation on long-range temps, WOOD just bumped Monday’s forecasted high from 26 to 38. Guess Fox 17 wins that round.

    Now let’s see if GR gets into the 40′s this weekend or not to see who wins that.

    1. michael g (SE GR) says:

      What was Fox 17′s forecast for yesterday from 5 days out?

      1. Travis (Oxford, MI) says:

        Let me travel back into my time machine and check it out ;) I only notice when there’s big differences from time to time.

    2. Bill Steffen says:

      No!!…we never went 26, Travis!!…we flip the high and low when we expect the high to occur in the AM and the low to occur in the PM. So, the high temperature is placed where the low temperature usually is and vice versa. We still have a high of 36 for Sunday daytime and 38 overnight Sunday into Monday (it could easily reach the low 40s very briefly), but the colder air will be moving in by late morning on Monday.

  34. Tyler says:

    We got another 2 inches of snow this morning up here. I think we are up to at least the Mid 30′s for season snowfall. Actually very close to G.R. this year.

  35. Travis (Oxford, MI) says:

    Slim, here are the updated local snow deficits:

    Saginaw: -13″ below average

    GR: -18″ below average

    Muskegon: -15″ below average

    Alpena: -30″ below avearage

    Flint: -6″ below average

    Marquette: -29″ below avearage

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      … and the snow excess from the same article.
      http://www.mlive.com/weather/index.ssf/2013/02/some_parts_of_michigan_have_ha.html

      Detroit: +3.5″
      Sault Ste Marie: +7.3″

      1. Travis (Oxford, MI) says:

        haha DF, you sure love to take the other side every single time ;) We were just talking about snow deficits and how most major cities in Michigan are in them. We heard ya about Detroit flipping to above average. Too bad, I’ve missed all that recent snow.

        1. DF (SE Mich) says:

          I just happened to see that article too a moment ago, you had bad timing :)

        2. DF (SE Mich) says:

          We just keep each other in check peacefully.

        3. Travis (Oxford, MI) says:

          The ying and yang from southeast Mich

        4. Bill Steffen says:

          Above average snowfall so far this winter: Detroit, S. Ste. Marie, Pittsburgh, Indianapolis, Evansville, Lexington, Madison WI.

    2. DF (SE Mich) says:

      I’d actually love to see the total precipitation comparison. No doubt it has been warm but it has been wet as well.

  36. Jeff (Portland) says:

    Not looking like nothing much as in snowfall today. An inch would be pushing it.. Looks like thursdays storm will be north of here . Maybe a 2-5″ coverage for the 1-96 area.

    1. Jeff (Portland) says:

      I-96*

  37. INDY says:

    WINTER STORM WATCHES COMING FOR THURSDAY STAY TUNED!! WINTER STORM WATCHES COMING FOR THURSDAY STAY TUNED…..FOR GRAND RAPIDS 6-10 INCHES OF SNOW COMING!! MAKE A LIST CHECK IT RIGHT AND HAVE SOME SPRIITES!!! INDYY..

    1. Jack says:

      You, Getting on Board, with Uncle Jacks… JEM Model !!! Aye INDY ??? ;-)

    2. Jack says:

      Indy…. STAY CUED for JEM Model…Theme SONG… Cueing SOOOOONNNN …. ;-)

  38. Steelie says:

    Good Day,

    Near Breton and 52nd… Only .75″ of new snow…

    Steelie

    1. Jeff (Portland) says:

      Snow about for over here.

  39. fixxxer says:

    Horrid winter so far.

    1. Nathan says:

      Better than 2009 though! (For the non-snow lovers)

    2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      I agree, definitely not enough cloud cover, COLD and SNOW :) Bring it on!!!!

  40. Nathan says:

    Todays snow was not as significant as anticipated. NWS had GR under 4 inches of snow, I barely received .5 of an inch. It does appear that the system coming this Thursday may drop about 1-3 inches south of I-96, 2-4 inches along I-96, and 4-6 inches north of I-96. If the system does sift south, however, then the heavier band of snow will fall over our area. Something to watch for sure!

  41. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    1. This clipper was a 100% BUST!
    2. All of the models got this one WRONG, including the RBD model!
    3. I am heading out to the trails to enjoy our current SNOW COVER!
    4. Lets hope the Thursday storm is a good one!
    5. The IWS and the JEM model are already on board with the STORM!
    6. COLD and SNOW rules and ROCK n ROLL will never die!!!!!!!

    1. SW Kent says:

      Very warm temp’s and snow melt coming early next week.
      3-5 inches for the Thursday storm.
      Get out and enjoy. Winter is fading fast.

  42. Nathan says:

    http://204.2.104.196/gfs/WINTER_GFS0P5_SFC_ACCUM-SNOW_120HR.gif

    http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=grr&storyid=92364&source=0

    Not too much agreement between the two! I don’t really trust the NWS or the GFS because of the many failures throughout the year. So its another wait and see event for us! I would probably tilt toward the GFS predictions for the moment because I really don’t see too much lake enhancement with the warm temperatures… And the track would favor areas north of I-96… Especially toward Big Rapids. (Of course, if the track shifts south, then we will receive more snow… Which is what I would like!)

  43. Jim S.(Saugatuck Twp) says:

    Hoping it tracks south, but the 18z models are slightly north with the main precip.

  44. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

    I would consider today’s clipper system more of a snow shower. We only received 0.25″.

  45. Mike (Shepherd, Mi) says:

    Finally looking like some snow here. Of course we were supposed to get 2″ today and ended up with a dusting.

  46. dano (Norton Shores) says:

    Short term…(this evening through Thursday night)
    issued at 416 PM EST Tuesday Feb 5 2013

    Next up is the system for Thursday. Finally all of the models
    (gfs…ECMWF…NAM and canadian) are coming into agreement on the
    system. It is looking stronger and stronger on the models with the
    track of the greatest precipitation north of line from South Haven
    Lansing. The track of this precipitation field has been shifting
    south slowly over time on most of the models. If the current trend
    continues we will likely need some sort of winter headline for
    this event.

    1. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

      Exactly what I said earlier when everyone else was saying north of I-96. Either way it looks like just about everyone will be getting some decent snow.

    2. Brian(Grandville) says:

      It also mentions a good agreement on 4-8 inches for the I96 corridor.

    3. dano (Norton Shores) says:

      Looking good, we will see. Right now it’s misting outside and 28*

  47. INDY says:

    18 INCHES OF SNOW ON THE GROUND OUT AT THEE YARDofBRICKS DONT REALLY SEE HOW WINTER IS FADING FAST SOME NEED TO OPEN THERE EYS AND LOOK OUTSIDE “FIZZER” LOOKS LIKE A SNOWY WEEK COMING NEXT WEEK WE ARE WELL ON OUR WAY BRAEKING BLACK HISTORY MONTHS SNOW FALL MOST EVER ……STAY CUE DONT SUE ..INDYY….

    1. SW Kent says:

      Indy. I love winter like you do. But next week looks wet early and then zonal
      . Most of the snow goes away by Monday PM Indy!!!

  48. GunLakeDeb says:

    Re: Trogs and “Wild Thing” – my now-hubby proposed to me with that music – only it’s was Screamin’ Sam Kinison’s version……

    I might be old, but yes, I’m still a Wild Thing ;-)

    1. Jack says:

      ROFLMAO.. G.L. DEB, That’s HILARIOUS !!! Another 1 of SAM K., Line I Recall Was…. I WAS MARRIED 4 ? F—IN..YEARS !!!!! LOL. ;-) . RIP Peace….SAM K.

  49. 11 Bravo (Yankee Springs) says:

    Currently getting freezing drizzle – freezing rain in south Kent County down to Yankee Springs….

    1. GunLakeDeb says:

      YES! I just came here to report the same thing!! My car thermometer says it’s 28 degrees. My neighbor was out walking and said the roads are starting to glaze, too. Glad I only have to drive a mile from work to the house.

      Be very careful, folks!!

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