Tues. SnowstormMarch 3rd, 2013 at 11:45 pm by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
Click on the image to enlarge. This is the Winter Weather Watch, which will likely be upgraded to an Advisory with the 3:30 PM forecast update. It includes Van Buren, Cass and Berrien Counties in Michigan and much of N. Indiana and looks pretty good. The new 12Z NAM has the north edge of the snow from just north of S. Haven to Jackson, with nothing north of that line. It gives only 0.6″ to S. Haven and 2.1″ for Kalamazoo. The 4″ line would come up into Berrien Co., with the bulk of the snow in N. Indiana. Here’s the latest NAM snowfall map and the GFS snowfall map. Here’s the larger NAM model snowfall map and the national watch/warning map. This storm should be a significant snow producer for Chicago, S. Bend and Ft. Wayne. Anyone traveling toward Chicago on I-94, or along the Indiana Toll Road or south of I-69 or I-75 will run into moderate to occasionally heavy snow, slick roads and low visibilities, tomorrow (heaviest in PM) and tomorrow night. Chicago is 1o” shy on season snowfall and they’ll probably make up a good chunk of that with this storm. 12Z European model: trace for G.R., Holland. Approximately 4″ Benton Harbor to Sturgis, 6″ New Buffalo, 7″ S.Bend, 8″ Chicago, 3″ Milwaukee, 2-3″ Coldwater, 0.5″ Jackson, 2″ Kalamazoo (south side of town), Join me at 5, 6 and 11 PM on WOOD for the latest.
During the day today check the visible satellite loop (daytime) to see where the clouds are. Also, there is no chance (0%…not even 0.01%) that March will be anywhere near as warm as last year. Looks pretty average right now…with a lower than average tornado count for the U.S. for at least the first 3 weeks of March. Tornadoes this spring may center in the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys west into E. Arkansas and SE Missouri, moreso than in “tornado alley”, which runs from NW Texas up into Nebraska and S. Dakota. Watch the news on WOOD for more.