Friday Sunshine

March 8th, 2013 at 3:43 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

    A couple of cool pictures here from ReportIt.  The first is birds in a blue spruce tree from Walter.  You really have to see the picture full screen to appreciate it.  The second pic. is an early crocus blooming on 3/7 from Scott.  You can see that full screen here.  This will be the sunniest of the next several days, so enjoy.  So far this year, we’ve had only 24% of possible sunshine, so it’s been even drearier than an average dreary Michigan winter.  Over the past 49 days, we’ve only had 6 days with more than 48% sunshine.  The first week of March wound up 4.3 degrees colder than average.   Much of the southeast was unusually chilly during the first week of March.  Here’s temperature departures from average for the first week of March:  Tampa -11.0 (not the best week to be on vacation in Florida), Gulfport MS -9.2, Knoxville TN -11.3, London KY -12.1.    Grand Rapids has now had 37 consecutive days with an inch or more of snow on the ground and 46 of the last 48 days.   The models continue to predict a healthy soaking Sat. night into Sunday night.  The 00Z European has an even inch for G.R. (with a little snow as it ends Monday) and the GFS has 0.88″.  The models take us close to 50 on Sunday, so we’ll have a decent snowmelt with the rain.  Smaller creeks and rivers could see significant rises.   The European remains significantly colder than the GFS for midweek next week.

Unrelated:  Lifespan Calculator, Bubble Explosion and Marriage Proposal in terms of Physics.

61 Responses to “Friday Sunshine”

  1. Skot says:

    In the first several lines You said, “24% of possible sunshine” I declare William, What is, theee most “Possible Sunshine we can get?”

    1. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

      The possible sunshine is the amount of time the sun could be out from sun rise to sun set.
      SlimJim

  2. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    Its a sunny cold 20° here in Walker this AM but that is up from the 17° it was earlier. I do not have any crocus planted on the south side of my house (they are out in the yard and still covered by several inches of snow) I do have daffodils,hyacinths and tulips that are popping up, but that is common this time ever year.
    With the rain and temps in the upper 40′s or better this weekend then most of the snow should be gone (except for the piles) But there is a chance we could get several inches of wet snow Sunday night into Monday morning. Obviously March this year is nothing like last year.
    SlimJim

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      … and good thing. My Village is one week away from the tornado anniversary. I am probably going to do the Dexter F3.1 to celebrate, west siders are invited! =)
      http://www.active.com/running/dexter-mi/dexter-f31-tornado-run-walk-2013

  3. arcturus says:

    Global Temperatures Highest in 4,000 Years

    ‘Global temperatures are warmer than at any time in at least 4,000 years, scientists reported Thursday, and over the coming decades are likely to surpass levels not seen on the planet since before the last ice age.’

    http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/08/science/earth/global-temperatures-highest-in-4000-years-study-says.html

    Bring on the armchair skeptics below!

    1. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

      I know Earth is getting warmer and some of that warming is coming from man made issues. But one issue that dose not seem to come up is what caused the Earth to go from being warm to being cold!!! Lets face it if the Earth was getting colder that would posse a very big issue of life on Earth as well. So in the long term up and downs of the Earth’s climate I am not sure if we are heading toward “average” or away from “average” and that average is the Earth’s life time not man’s life time. Until we find out the causes of both warming and cooling and the time frame we are just guessing what direction we are heading in and if its natural or not.
      I know there is a chance that some identities will chime in with all kinds of information defending their position one way or the other. And I am sure they for the most part mean good but they are not always looking at the whole picture only their “special interest” issues (pro warming or anti warming) Gee if only life were that simple.
      SlimJim

      1. GunLakeDeb says:

        Long ago, before AGW became such a hot topic and “source point for study grant $$$$$” – I saw a chart put out by NASA, that showed that in “Earth Time” – we are actually headed out of a cool phase and back towards “normal”. It’s just that our collective memory (the last several hundred years) have been below normal – and that’s what we have been measuring against.

        While I think it’s good to treat the Earth as though we make a difference, I suspect, in light of the warmer and cooler cycles over zillion of years – this old Earth is going to do exactly what it wants to do and we’re just passengers along for the ride ;-)

        1. Irish coffee says:

          Hi Slim & Deb!!…i probably appear, at times, as an extremist zealot on the issue of AGW..but in reality i only seek common sense and intellectual honesty.Do humans have ‘SOME’/any INFLUENCE on climate? Yes…but is it overwhelming and MAJORITY of influence? ..NO , i do not believe that to be the case.That said, i take issue when future progs are held in such high regard as to potentially ‘throw the baby out w/ the bathwater’ syndrome…i think it wise and prudent to be cynical and skeptical of blanket statements on future modelling of temps.Common sense solutions(voluntary…PSA’s..education on good stewardship of our earth) are fundamental to our mission.Technology, given room to flourish, WILL provide answers in the future to our energy/transportation/manufacturing needs that offer cleaner alternatives…….NOT overnight..NOT in 3-5 YEARS…perhaps 15-20? Remember how ‘impossible’ it was supposed to be to travel to the moon 15 years before it happened?
          Finally, as to intellectual honesty, how many times is research performed(and reported on ad nauseum in the news media TWC,etc) into the potential POSITIVE benefits of 1+ degree global warming? We could all live as the Amish do starting TOMORROW, but w/ China burning MORE COAL the past year than the rest of the world COMBINED, how much influence on global temps. will such a change on our part impart? .01C?

        2. Irish coffee says:

          EDIT: meant 10-15years(not 15-20)..anyyway, no matter as i’m skeptical & VERY cynical of my OWN future progs!! I had my eldest boy 19y.o pegged for ND QB BY NOW 10 years ago….not to mention, i plan on my 13 year old becoming guitar LEGEND(HERO) someday.OK, 16 y.o wants to live in AK and work in Parks/W/ WILDLIFE– i believe he will ….can’t forget Gracie(Grace) : who i predict will run for PRESIDENT circa ’44- and God knows we’ll need some BIG IDEAS about then ;)

        3. GunLakeDeb says:

          Irish Coffee – back in the early 80′s when I was teaching schoolkids about endangered species and habitat protection, etc – I read a book that was a synopsis of a symposium, a gathering of the most brilliant scientific minds available in 1979 – and they looked to the future and declared that by 1994, we’d be out of fossil fuels and overpopulated and that civilization, as we knew it, was doomed.

          Well, we’re obviously here and doing OK :-)

          Raise your kids to be curious and to “question authority” (politely) – because they’ll learn to adapt and be OK, too. As for me? I’m far more worried about running out of fresh water, than the temperatures raising by a degree.

        4. Bill Steffen says:

          From NASA: http://www.giss.nasa.gov/research/briefs/hansen_15/fig1.pdf

          Corn yields per acre have gone up at an amazing rate: http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-lvcQDaR56xg/Trfc71LwF3I/AAAAAAAAQKs/KKi6Ng03gVU/s1600/corn.jpg

          I read that despite the drought, that the U.S. corn crop of 2012 was bigger than any corn crop prior to 1995.

          Here’s a nice comparison of the droughts of 1934 and 2012: http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/news/nation/story/2012-07-18/milk-dairy-prices-rise/56321228/1

    2. chuckd says:

      Hey look – another kool-aid drinker

    3. michael g (SE GR) says:

      Seems strange that it’s the warmest it’s been in 4000 years, but cooler than it was in 1998. I’m sure thermometers and record keeping were much more accurate around 1000 B.C. than they are now.

  4. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    BTW the latest ECMWF long-range forecast still shows it cold to cool for the rest of March and maybe warming up in the first week of April….
    SlimJim

  5. arcturus says:

    At least the paltry 5 weeks of winter were above average in precip and below average in normal temps.

  6. Mindy ( Mason MI ) says:

    GOOD NEWS !!!!! Saw the first Red winged Blackbirds, counted 6 SINGING LIKE CRAZY !!!! I looked back to last years arrival on my calendar it was March 2nd, i wrote down the first sightings of Red wings. Not to far off from last year, look how warm last March was. SPRING IS IN THE AIR !!!!!!

    1. DanielG says:

      YEA! THE RED WING BLACKBIRDS ARE BACK THE RED WING BLACKBIRDS ARE BACK!!!
      Sorry for the caps but its appropo for the event IMHO.
      Can’t wait for the Spring Peepers in the swamp on the north side of Myers Lake. I always stop and listen on the way home when they come out and sing for the first time…and almost every time after that too. So looking forward to that. And the neghbors say our swans are back on the lake again even though its still 100% ice covered. I assume they commute over from the Rogue mornings.

      1. SS (Pwell Area) says:

        My dad said he saw sand hill cranes…

        1. Cathy (near Gun Lake) says:

          The male Sandhill Cranes return in February every year to find nesting places. The females return later when the weather warms up. Now who’s smarter?

        2. GunLakeDeb says:

          Hi Cathy! Yes, I’ve been hearing them around here, too!

  7. bnoppe(Albion) says:

    Welcome to the roller coaster month of March

  8. Nathan says:

    Again, this is my least favorite month if the year! But it can be exciting if an active weather pattern gets going because we get a mix of everything! I remember how some years the temperature ranges from 20 in the beginning of the month to 70 at the end! (could be flipped around too!)

    1. bnoppe(Albion) says:

      Are you a Junior? or a sophomore?

      1. Irish coffee says:

        11:58 am–He better be IN CLASS!! ;0) J/K “BUELLER…..NATHAN …NATHAN?”

        1. Nathan says:

          I just finished my DNA test and felt like checking the weather! Plus my teacher didn’t care :p

        2. Jack says:

          Well, well. When I was in HIGH School. I gotta “A” in Parking Lot !!!!! Lol.. just SAYIN …. ;-) . Happy Friday !!!! ;-)

      2. Nathan says:

        Freshman but I take higher classes

        1. bnoppe(Albion) says:

          Ahh that’s cool, I know the hs just had ACT’s

  9. GunLakeDeb says:

    Well, I’m going to enjoy this lovely day, because tomorrow, I drive to Madison WI where I’ll run into the rain forecasted HERE for Saturday night into Sunday

    1. Cathy (near Gun Lake) says:

      Drive carefully, Deb. Enjoyed meeting you last Sunday. I always look forward to your weather observations around Gun Lake while I’m at work in Ada. Helps me know what’s going on at home.

      1. GunLakeDeb says:

        It was nice meeting you, too! Since I’m seldom more than 1/2 mile away from the County park in either direction – yes, I AM Gun Lake’s little weathergirl :-)

        1. GunLakeDeb says:

          Did I tell you Jennifer (O’ville Twp) comes here, too? LOL!!

  10. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    What a great day! 44 and sunny already in Detroit as of 215pm.

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      I had the sunroof cracked open at lunch time =)

    2. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

      I have 43° here with a good amount of snow still on the ground but going fast.
      SlimJim

      1. DF (SE Mich) says:

        We have quite a bit left also.

      2. Travis (Oakland County) says:

        Only major snow left here is in the shaded parts. Up to 46 now.

  11. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Pretty nice WINTER day! The sun is great, however it is too warm. I would prefer it about 15 degrees colder! It will be a great day up at Boyne Mountain on Saturday! Fantastic late WINTER skiing! More good news – the CPC 6 to 14 day outlook still shows us with below average temperatures. Keep the COLD and SNOW coming baby!! Lets see – skiing this weekend and snowmobiling next weekend. I love it!

    1. Sparty says:

      Why in the world would you want it colder? There’s snow on the ground and it’s sunny….what does being 20 degrees do for you other than make you cold?

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        If I had my way it would never get above 25 degrees for about 5 or 6 months straight. If it never gets above 25 degrees the SNOW does not melt! Bring on another SNOWSTORM!!

  12. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    Here at my house its now up to 43°(38° at the airport) with lots of sun. There is still a good amount of snow in the yard but more and more grass is showing up and with the rain and warm temps this weekend a good amount of the snow should be gone. The big piles however will be here for some time to come.
    SlimJim

  13. Nathan says:

    So 40 is warm for a winter high but freezing for a summer low!

  14. Bnoppe(Albion) says:

    That’s just the way the cookie crumbles

    1. Jack says:

      Spoken Like a True MICHIGANDER !!! ;-)

  15. BIG FOOT says:

    Well with sun out now and spring time change will Fixxxer put away his Rocky for the summer???? Bill’s blog can start tracking thunder storms now….

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Good one! ROCKY will not be going away until WINTER is officially over and the WINTER sports are done! Until then let it SNOW baby!!! Nothing better that late winter skiing!!!!

      1. Barry in Zeeland says:

        Hope you like skiing in the mud.

        1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          There will no mud up in Northern Lower MI – in fact by next weekend they will have plenty of fresh SNOW baby! It is still WINTER people! Get used to it!!

  16. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    The long range GFS shows plenty of COLD air and at least three SNOWSTORMS! Keep em rolling! ROCK n ROLL will never forget!!

      1. bodawg says:

        Dough? Doubt? Dought? Let’s bake it and see how it tastes. Salty and disappointing, I imagine.

  17. Jack says:

    Hmmmmm I know what I’m going 2 Do…This Weekend !! Cue: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K6vyTM_qJAE. Old folks Style. ;-)

  18. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

    Everyday this week when my dad walked in the house from work he always says: “boy, we have a lot more snow here than anywhere else”. He works near the airport. I might get 1 more snowmobile ride in tomorrow around the house before we put them back in the barn for the summer.

    1. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

      I’m not excited to see the nasty muddy ground after this weekend. This snow is definitely a lot nicer to look at.

  19. Rodey (Rockford) says:

    FANTASTIC. The long range shows near normal temps with plenty of rain chances. I love it. Get used to it people etc etc etc. I will repeat this 30 times in 2 hours to be as annoying as possible. Get used to it.

    1. goaway says:

      You forgot the !!!!!!!!!!!

    2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Go back under your rock fixxxer and quit whining!!!!!!

      1. Deb says:

        Move to Antarctica Rocky!!!

        1. michael g (SE GR) says:

          Is that the world famous Deb/whatever that dude’s name was?

  20. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

    Rain, sleet, snow, I don’t care this system can hurry up and get done and over with, my body will thank it the sooner it leaves the better, it’s a strong system.

    1. michael g (SE GR) says:

      We’ve been under the influence of high pressure all day, and the low coming this weekend is relatively weak for this time of year, around 1000 mb at best.

Leave a Reply