Mix later this PM/Night

March 15th, 2013 at 4:32 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Local  12:35 PM  Look for a mix of rain/snow to develop eventually this afternoon or evening.  Just flurries at Ludington now.  Two batches of precipitation – one in SE WI now, N. IL moving SE – the next back in the Dakotas that won’t get near us until later tonight.  So, most areas dry early afternoon…chance of rain/wet snow late afternoon evening – most main roads just wet, then snow later tonight after midnight.  The temperature falls below freezing around 10PM (earlier to the NW of G.R.) – so roads get slick after that.  The new NAM caribou gives G.R. 2.6″ of snowfall…some melts as it falls.  Temperatures will initially be a little above freezing.  The snow may melt on the main roads initially. After sunset, temperatures will drop below freezing and roads will probably become very slippery.  Most areas should see 1-3″ accumulation with an isolated 4″ tonight into early Saturday.  Looks like very little snow south of I-94. The snow ends early Saturday and we’re set for a great weekend of winter sports, especially across the U.P. and N. Lower Michigan.  We’ll get another round of mixed precipitation to snow Monday into Tuesday and Tuesday will be windy and cold with snow showers and temperatures much of the afternoon in the upper 20s.  The pattern overall looks cooler than average to the end of the month.  For current Michigan weather observations and wind speeds, click here. Here’s NAM model snowfall thru 84 hours, the GFS snowfall thru 120 hours (with up to 10″ forecast over 120 hours alonhg i-94!) and the HPC snowfall predictions. Here’s WOOD-TV Interactive Radar, looping radar. Check out regional radar, GRR radar, northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the College of DuPage Radar Map, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the WOOD lightning tracker and U.S. lightning, the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures.

Season Snowfall in the U.P.:  Marquette 162.4″, Munising 160.1″, Herman 189.1″ and Twin Lakes 214.9″.  Marquette has 41″ of snow on the ground at the airport.  A very wintry week coming up with a mix of precipitation on Monday (which could include a brief period of freezing rain in the AM) and very cold (for this time of year) air and snow showers for Tuesday to Thursday.  Accumulations are likely and the wind will keep wind chills low.  Save a couple extra dollars for the March heating bill!   Had a great time at the Leadership Breakfast this AM and at the Muskegon Skywarn Session this afternoon.  Now it’s off to a dinner in downtown G.R.  Busy day!   Tomorrow I have to work on Science Olympiad.

44 Responses to “Mix later this PM/Night”

  1. Skot says:

    FIRST!!!.. Has there ever been a DEFINITIVE word why BILL cannot publish a Summer forecast?? Tradition means nothing today.

    1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      Why should he?

  2. Mark (East Lansing) says:

    If he’s a half-degree off on his daily forecast, trolls from both sides of the state beat on him like a rented mule.

    1. Pat G Garfield Park GR says:

      That is the truth!! In Michigan, it takes a lot of guts to even go out a day! Thanks for all your hard work, Bill. I am thinking of doing a seasonal place near South Haven for the summer and would appreciate a hint…Snow Shovel, rain gear or Beach Umbrella?

      1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

        It’s Michigan. Bring all three.

  3. Lisa (Caledonia) says:

    The GFS is out to lunch on this one… http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overlays.php3?STATIONID=GRR

    1. Jim S.(Saugatuck Twp) says:

      It is. The 06z no longer shows it.

    2. Well, it show alot of heavy snow still, but now is south a bit to northern IN & OH

      1. Jim S.(Saugatuck Twp) says:

        The NAM shows nothing. GFS still has some 4-6″ areas far northern IN and OH.

    3. GunLakeDeb says:

      Sigh…. if only.. ;-)

  4. Tammy says:

    “Most areas should see 1-3″ accumulation with an isolated 4″ today. The snow ends early Saturday and we’re set for a great weekend of fall sports, especially across the U.P. and N. Lower Michigan.”

    So, I understand the snow references…easy-peasy…But – please explain the “fall” sports reference?

    1. Ned S. (Now in South Holland) says:

      Bill posted this at 4:32 a.m. That should provide you with a clue :-)

    2. GunLakeDeb says:

      That made me giggle, too – I could see Fixxxer having a heart attack, thinking we were headed back into winter again ;-)

    3. phlrnnr says:

      Looks like he fixed it. It says “winter” now :-)

  5. Sandi says:

    UGH! I am sooooo ready for spring! Hopefully April is more promising.

  6. bluegill says:

    Two inches of snow this morning making 7 for the week and 120″ YTD in NE Grand Traverse County. The Antrim County Road Commission has 114.5″ as of 2/28 (they only post at the end of the month), so Mancelona must be over 130″ YTD.

  7. Jim S.(Saugatuck Twp) says:

    NAM now shows the heaviest snow north of 96. Back to its original solution.

  8. Jeremy says:

    Bill, what’s causing the possibility of that much snow in Southern Michigan? Nobody’s been talking about a massive snow that far south. It was looking more likely in the North. Was there a track change?

  9. Jeremy says:

    I’m talking about early next week.

  10. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    Got up to 42 yesterday here with just about all sun… very nice day! Unfortunately, I was unable to see the comet last night with no binoculars around to help.

    North Dakota is fun to watch this time of year. Parts of ND approached 70 yesterday, and yet the day before a record low of -11 degrees was made in the state.

    The southern suburbs of Denver have a shot at 80 degrees today.

  11. Dan says:

    Interesting late winter systems coming together here.
    There is the Clipper system for today/tonight. Could get interesting later on this evening. Then, we have the Monday/Tuesday system. Seems the NWS is not sure on this yet. We could dumped on. They were also tracking a system for the end of next week!! Winter continues to deliver in the bottom of the 9th inning and two outs!!

    1. ~Sherry~(Comstock Park) says:

      Sometimes that is the most exciting part of the game! Just when you least expect it, it is a whole new ballgame!!

  12. Matt (New Era) says:

    Is it me or does anybody else see this storm is breaking apart!!! I honestly don’t for see any snow from this!!!!

    1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

      The part that’s organized that you can currently see on radar will dive south of Michigan, but the weaker bands will likely form in and bring us a few inches. Nothing big.

  13. Jim S.(Saugatuck Twp) says:

    12Z NAM has a more interesting track for the Sunday night/Monday event, however, it still does not seem to bring in enough cold air to give the area much, if any snow.

  14. As we get closer to the storm, the models will jump to the idea of more QPF and likely more snow for much of the area.

  15. GunLakeDeb says:

    So did anyone see the comet last night? From my vantage point here at Gun Lake, Bill’s prediction that high clouds to the west would block my view, was dead-on. But it seemed more clear to the south – wonder if anyone got a second peek???

  16. fixxxer says:

    man the rest of march going into april looks like crap. i can tell what kind of year this will be.

  17. Jim S.(Saugatuck Twp) says:

    Models are all over the place. NAM has a minor storm, some ice then rain. GFS is mostly rain with a low well NW. Canadian drives a strong storm right at us, with snow to ice to rain.

    1. I think the GFS is not phasing the system and leaving the northern energy apart and I think the main low will be over Ohio or far southeast michigan then crawl into Ontario

  18. BlueRooster (NE GR) says:

    Can you Fixxxer? Can you really tell? That is amazing! Can you tell us what the Powerball numbers are going to be as well?

    1. fixxxer says:

      It’s not hard when you live over here.

  19. Dysnai37 says:

    I am looking at the FUB map, and it is saying that we’ll get at least 6 inches tonight and maybe even a foot on Tuesday.

    1. GB says:

      What map are you looking at?
      I wouldn’t hold my breath on that one.

  20. Nathan says:

    Only 2-4 inches tonight but maybe a bigger storm for next week! THEN I hope we moderate toward average after that!

    1. Nathan says:

      Gfs has areas in GR to the north in the 4-6 inch range of snow for 84 hours out

        1. Nathan says:

          Yea that’s what I meant, thanks. Btw the models are all over the place, now the heaviest snow will likely fall across the Northern parts of the cwa. Also, it appears long range has it colder through the entire rest of March before temperatures rebound in early April!

    2. fixxxer says:

      We don’t need anymore snow.

      1. I agree, but if it’s going to snow I needs to be huge or none, none with 60s would be just fine by me.

  21. bnoppe(Albion) says:

    Monday system looks very interesting we should know a lot more TMW when she comes on shore

  22. bnoppe(Albion) says:

    NO WARM UPS ARE IN SIGHT.

    Straight from the source

  23. GunLakeDeb says:

    Raining here now – a cold yucky rain. But I see snow lurking to the west – hope the temps don’t switch over to freezing until AFTER the Friday rush hour….

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