What a difference a year makes!

March 16th, 2013 at 1:46 am by under Bill's Blog, News, Weather

610temp.new   610prcp.new  These are the 6-10 day temperature and precipitation forecasts from the Climate Prediction Center.  Wow!  Look at all that blue!  March 2012 high temperatures starting with the 14th:  80, 74, 79, 78, 75, 81, 83, 87, 85.  The month was 15 degrees warmer than average!  This year thru Friday we are running 1.3 degrees cooler than average and we’ll only add to that in the next 10 days.  You can see we’re also in the green higher than average precipitation probabilities  and some of that will be snow.   The high temperature map from Friday shows a lot of cold air north of the U.S. Canadian border poised and ready to push into the Lower 48 states.  Could this be the coldest end to March in the U.S. since 1996GFS 7-day snowfall doesn’t snow a lot for us (a little), but it’s snowing quite a bit down into S. Missouri and thru the Ohio Valley.  GFS showing an amazingly cold end to March across the U.S. east of the Rockies.  In fact, look at the GFS (remember, it’s the GFS…so don’t get too excited) for late March and April.  If this is right…this means the blossoms definitely won’t come out early this spring and we’ll continue to see very few tornado days.  This is hard to believe, but we have had only ONE tornado (a small EF1 on 3/5 in E. Georgia) in the entire U.S. in the first 15 days of March!  It’s not just here in the U. S.  Tanks have been called out in Hungary to rescue snowbound motorists from three-foot drifts.  BBC also reports “Heavy snow paralysed parts of south-eastern Poland, where police were redirecting heavy lorries for fear they would get stuck.”  and an Arctic blast in Spain.   Heavy snow and temperatures below zero in MoscowMid-winter snow, ice and cold has hit Britain, France, Belgium, the Netherlands and Germany.  Cool pictures here.  Temperatures have been a little colder than average this month all the way across Russia into Siberia.  The Antarctic icecap is at a historic record highest extent (records since 1979).   The Antarctic icecap (which has been doing the opposite of the Arctic icecap) has been growing steadily for the past 25 years.  Here’s the Arctic icecap extent for the past 9 years.  The low temperature at Summit Station in Greenland was -52F Friday morning!   Friday morning 22.2% of the Lower 48 states had a snowcover of 1″ or more.  That’s slightly above the 10-year average of 21.3% for March 15, and well above the 10.1% we had in the midst of the warm March 15th last year.

Overnight model data.  SHIVERIN’ SNOWMAN!   The GFS has high afternoon high temperatures Tuesday to Thursday for G.R. at 27 – 21 – 28!  The European has 2 PM temperatures of 24 on Tue., 26 on Weds., and 30 on Thu.   The European, for you real weather geeks, has our thickness from 510 to 516 for 48+ hours from Tues. AM to Thurs. AM.   Nothing like a shot of lake-effect snow in the 2nd half of March!  The Whitecaps called me Friday, a little concerned about the pattern we’re in.  Whether the baseball’s are fair or foul, whether the weather is fair or foul, it’ll be nice to see the boys of summer back in town!  Have a good weekend.  Woo Hoo for my Wisconsin Badgers…a big couple of b-ball wins.  Had a nice time at the Leadership Breakfast this AM and the Muskegon Skywarn Meeting this PM…now off to a dinner downtown.  Busy day!  Sunday I have to work on Science Olympiad.

Quick 6 PM UPDATE:  With the 1-3″ snowfall last night, season snowfall is up to :  60.3″ Grand Rapids, 60.6″ Kalamazoo (WMU), 26.9″ Lansing, 94.5″ Muskegon.

139 Responses to “What a difference a year makes!”

  1. steelie says:

    Good Day,

    Near Breton and 52nd… This afternoon’s sun really put the hurt on the snow. All I have left is what is shaded on the North facing side of the house. The rest… gone.

    That said… (And we will know more tomorrow afternoon.) It appears as if the Monday system is not going to be that big of a deal. At this point it looks to me as if the Wed/Thurs time frame may have more of a localized impact. I also see highs around 40* by the end of next week, which I believe is still below average. So while the CPC is indicating cooler than average temps with above average precip – I have a feeling it may materialize as a cold rain. Ick…

    Steelie

  2. fixxxer says:

    Gotta warm up eventually…gulp. Right bill?

  3. Ben (Charlotte MI) says:

    Somewhere between 2-3 inches here last night. Difficult to tell with the drifting.

    Even with some melting today, the ground is still covered and the snow is hanging on to the trees!

  4. Nathan says:

    Looks cold for next week before temperatures return to NEAR normal for the following week! Hopefully the NAO goes positive ASAP!

  5. Rodey (Rockford) says:

    I agree, unfortunately only the “best” aren’t on here too often. Only a few hypemasters who don’t know anything about facts. I agree that the hypemasters should be cued on out of here.

  6. Bullwinkle (Rockford) says:

    GREAT NEWS! The sun is out the snow HAS MELTED! Get used to it! NO more snow or cold for 8 LONG months at the EARLIEST! I will be kayaking, golfing, fishing, camping, gardening, grilling, etc! GET USED TO IT! ALL the long range models point to spring and summer – cue it up jack! Spring and summer are all over the long range models! GET USED TO IT!

  7. kevin. w says:

    Well Colorado fires are underway and it looks like it could be a record burn this year as the summer high pressure sets up over that area for most of the spring/summer. My brother in law has been evacuated there but said they should be able to return in about a week. He says its parched out there with very little winter moisture and it won’t take much to get the fires going out. Sure glad its not last year with the barn burning March and horrible summer. Here’s hoping for an average summer this year.

  8. kevin. w says:

    I agree bullwinkle I’m seeing a more moderate type of air masses coming and not that real cold arctic air. I think this week should be the truly last real week of any kind of winter weather. Get used to it spring is on theeeee way.

    1. Bullwinkle (Rockford) says:

      GREAT KEVIN! What a great early spring day out! I was outside soaking up the early SPRING sun all day. YES! I can’t say it enough to these winter nuts that SPRING & SUMMER are all in the long range models! GET USED TO IT! SPRING AND SUMMER ARE ON THE WAY! Get out the lawn chairs, grill, camping equipment, boat, etc etc etc!

      1. Jack says:

        MAY I , add a CUE 2 THAT, PLZ !!!! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6UbxeryZlgo. ;-) Lol…..ENJOY !!!!

        1. Bullwinkle (Rockford) says:

          That’s right Jack! Cue up Spring! It’s here folks GET USED TO IT!
          BTW I prefer Whiskey! :)

        2. Jack says:

          Hey BULL- Winkle if it’s WHISKEY, U Prefer ?? It’s whiskey U GET.. CUE : http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qgeUmlu6k5g. ;-) . OLD School TUNES… Peace, ;-)

      2. Rodey (Rockford) says:

        Fantastic. These cold weather nuts just don’t understand. Spring is here. Get used to it people !!!!!!!!!!!!

        1. Jack says:

          Hmmmm, Lots of Folks, Pretending on thee Blog 2 Nite. Hence a Cue, From Me 2 Them. SPIN: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AQiXQUGbac0. ;-)

        2. Rodey (Rockford) says:

          The Only pretenders are the hypemasters. We all know who they are don’t we?

  9. Michael g (se gr) says:

    ….or as Travis (somewhere far away) says, “looks like another warm week ahead”.

  10. Brian(Grandville) says:

    Some of those pictures from France were amazing. That must have been some storm.

  11. DF (SE Mich) says:

    High at my house today was only 33. Chilly for this time of year.

    1. GunLakeDeb says:

      Wow, DF! A regular heatwave! My grandkids were *trying* to fish this afternoon – but the 25-degree temps and cold wind brought them back in the house after a half-hour…LOL!!

  12. Michael (Berrien county) says:

    Well haven’t been on here much lately because of this miserable flu bug, but I’m not liking our snow forecast compared to a few days ago. Unless it REALLY gets cold enough & the lake effect machine can really get cranking by mid-week, & preferably at night, rather than during the day due to the warm sun angle, then it looks like we’ll either be cold & rainy or cold & dry over the next 2 weeks. YUCK!!!

  13. Ben (Charlotte MI) says:

    I just want it to rain, snow, or anything in between until that little area of D0-abnormally dry conditions over south central Michigan on the drought monitor disappears.

  14. Barry in Zeeland says:

    Made it home from work JUST in time to view the comet for about 5 minutes till the cloud bank rolled in from the west. Looking much better than the other night now that’s it’s rising in darker skies. High powered binoculars were awesome at showing the tail pointing almost straight up from the horizon. If you want to see a great video sequence from Stereo B, click here:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=reizDW0Y-Rk

    You can see the Earth, Mercury, the comet, and several CME blasts coming from the sun. Also there is a geomagnetic storm warning for Sunday. Green skies for St. pattys day!!

  15. bnoppe(Albion) says:

    Kyle said one more week of cold air then spring will make a return!

    1. Nathan says:

      Yea, caught that… We will see

    2. Jack says:

      Makes Sense to Me. March 20th is the Spring Equinox, after all. ;-)

  16. Bullwinkle (Rockford) says:

    GREAT NEWS! As I’ve been telling all the winter nuts WINTER IS OVER! GET USED TO IT! The SUN MELTED ALL the snow! Get used to it! NO more snow or cold for 8 LONG months at the EARLIEST! I will be
    1.kayaking
    2. golfing
    3. fishing
    4.camping
    5. gardening
    6. grilling
    7. etc etc etc etc etc etc!
    GET USED TO IT! ALL the long range models POINT to SPRING and SUMMER – cue it up again jack – SPRING & SUMMER JAMS FOR EVERYONE!
    GET USED TO IT PEOPLE just ask Kyle!!!!! GET USED TO IT PEOPLE!

    1. Rodey (Rockford) says:

      Rock on the big Bullwinkle. Some hypemasters and pretenders are clueless. Get used to it people!!!!!!!!!

    2. fixxxer says:

      Lots of mental illness on here i guess.

  17. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

    We just got home from up north a couple of hours ago. They still had a bunch of snow where we were(Mancelona/Gaylord and north) I’d say there was 12-18″ up there, and the trails were better than we thought they would be. It was chilly up there both days. Temps were in the mid to upper 20′s, and there was a constant wind with about an inch of snow Friday night. We snowmobiled all the way up to the Mackinac Bridge, and the wind chill was around 0° up there! The locals were saying they haven’t had a winter hold on this late for awhile, and expect 1-2 more weeks of winter sports opportunities available.

    Here is a pic of me at the bridge. You can tell how could it was by the fact that I had my hands in my sleeves of my coat from the constant NW/WNW wind.

    https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=10151513339171418&set=a.470520216417.270254.641556417&type=1&theater

    And here is a really beautiful pic of the sun setting over a fresh snowy scene SW of Wolverine, MI.

    https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=10151513331041418&set=a.10151356157446418.523211.641556417&type=3&theater

    We only received 0.5″ over night. I still need about 7″ to make 100″ total.

  18. bnoppe(Albion) says:

    I’m ready to read

    “The storm prediction center in Norman Oklahoma has issued Severe thunderstorm watch number 234 in effect from 2:00 PM 4/3/13 until 10:00 PM 4/3/13 EST,….

    ATT. GRR, DTX, IWX,

    1. fixxxer says:

      Your going to be waiting awhile.

  19. Jack says:

    SIDE Puck……..WINGS 421… In THEEEE 3rd PERIOD… Stay Cued, and or Stay PUCKED ….. ;-) happy IIIIIII -day !!! ;-)

    1. Jack says:

      Of Topic, or Off Puck again. Red Wings 521…. 5 to go in Theeeee THIRD !!! ssweeeeeeeettttt. ;-)

  20. Jack says:

    Wings WIN!!!!!! 5 goals toto 2… Stay CUED….

  21. Rodey (Rockford) says:

    Where is uncle Spunkee tonight?

    1. Jack says:

      Don’t Know, but he would probably say this 2 UUUUUUUU. http://cdn.memegenerator.net/instances/250×250/34577812.jpg

  22. tom says:

    I have seen literally dozens of robins at the park where I walk my dog this past week here in the Alger Heights area. Even though there is still some snow on the ground and the temps are below average, the robins are out singing and searching for food. You just gotta believe that eventually the weather will turn and get warmer! Happy St Patricks Day everyone!

  23. Jevon Murphy (Chicago) says:

    This increases the chances of more SW to NE snowstorms for the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley, which means we may go farther than WS Ukko!!!???

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