Sunday

March 30th, 2013 at 6:57 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Local  CAN YOU BELIEVE THE MICHIGAN/FLORIDA GAME!   20 points!  Our sports dept. told me Michigan matched up well against Florida and that they’d reach the Final Four!  Showers will be moving thru tonight.  Most will be gone by mid-morning tomorrow…though I can’t totally rule out another light snow shower during the day, most of the daytime should be dry.  Monday and Tuesday will be a solid 10 degrees cooler than average.  The high in G.R. Saturday was 56.  The low temperature this AM was 24.  The high was 5 degrees above average, the low was 8 degrees below average, which would be a mean of 1.5 degrees below average.  However, the NWS now rounds the mean to the warmer value, so it’s only going to go into the record book 1 degree below average.  That’s man-made global warming, I guess.  They ought to do it like the possession arrow in basketball.  The European model gives us .09″ of rain tonight, not much.  It gives us low 50s Sunday afternoon, mid 30s Monday afternoon, back to low-mid 50s by Friday.  For current Michigan weather observations and wind speeds, click here. Here’s NAM model snowfall thru 84 hours, the GFS snowfall thru 120 hours and the HPC snowfall predictions. Here’s WOOD-TV Interactive Radar, looping radar. Check out regional radar, GRR radar, northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the College of DuPage Radar Map, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the WOOD lightning tracker and U.S. lightning, the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures.

59 Responses to “Sunday”

  1. Brian(Grandville) says:

    FIRST off, what a great day. Spent a lot of time outside. Second, I think Michigan matches up better against Florida tomorrow, than they did beating the #1 seed yesterday. GO BLUE!

    1. Jack says:

      AGREE, With all of your Comment. Yes inDeed……GO BLUE !!!!!!!!!!!!! ;-)

  2. DF (SE Mich) says:

    Lol. Rounding up does meet the literal definition.

  3. GunLakeDeb says:

    It was 57 at work (upwind of Gun Lake) and a whopping 46 at my house (the water temp is 42 degrees). Just a glorious day to be outdoors!!

  4. Nathan says:

    Today was the perfect day to go golfing. I have a new grip on my nine iron and fixed a few things on my form. I noticed that more clouds have been developing the past few days during the afternoons because of the sun. I didn’t know it was that strong already! Hopefully the buds start blooming soon, we need to color up the trees a bit!

    1. Nathan says:

      BTW Happy Easter Eve ppl. Going to church early tomorrow and then heading over to run outside. Im hoping the rain clears out by mid morning.

    2. Brian (Grandville) says:

      Keep your eyes on the ball Nathan.

  5. fixxxer says:

    April showers i guess. Have a good easter billy bob. Bring us some warm weather soon please!

  6. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    Coast to coast warmth. CPC is grabbing ahold of what many on here have been seeing.

    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif

    1. michael g (SE GR) says:

      Yeah, like the sneaky unforecast heat wave the last 4 days. (1.5* BELOW normal in GR).

      1. fixxxer says:

        the bottom line is we should start warming up pretty soon. we all knew it wouldn’t be as hot as last year mike.

      2. big Daddy BC says:

        Even if it had, Mike would be dismissing it as natural variability. LOL Last year’s March had the biggest deviation from normal temps of any month on record. …Kind of a high mark to measure against.

        1. fixxxer says:

          Im still thinking summer will be pretty warm amd above average.

        2. Robert (Plainwell) says:

          It was natural variability.

        3. Bill Steffen says:

          March 2012 was unseasonably warm in the Great Lakes, but globally, temperatures were average. In March 2013, it’s been significantly colder than average in West Michigan (+4 deg. colder than average), but again, global temperatures are very close to average. Of greater importance is that global temperatures have been flat for over 10 years. This means the IPCC computer models from 10-15 years ago are “deeply flawed” as Dr. Judith Curry of the BEST group has stated. Phil Jones of the U.K. Climate Center and James Hansen have admitted it:

          http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif

          https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/314205289421361153/photo/1

          The five-year mean global temperature has been flat for the last decade…” – James Hansen et al.

          Kevin Trenberth: “The fact is that we can’t account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can’t.”

  7. Jack says:

    GLORIOUS….. RESSURECTION….MORNING…….TO ALL !!!! A CUE 4 ALL ! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q4eteIxIdwE. :-)

  8. INDY says:

    HAPPY BEERSTEER BILL…INDY YARD ofBRICKS…..

  9. kevin. w says:

    The last sentence from what they said this morning from the NWS must be a relation to Rocky from Rockford the winter nut thats always on here. Gotta good laugh with that one. Happy Easter all.

    A QUICK LOOK AT THE ARCTIC OSCILLATION SHOWS THAT THE CURVE IS
    STEEPLY UPWARD AND GOING ABOVE 0 TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE MONTH.
    GIVEN THAT MOST OF THE ENSEMBLE MEMBERS SHOW THIS TREND…CONFIDENCE
    IS INCREASING THAT WE/LL SEE A SUSTAINED WARMING TREND BEGIN TOWARD
    THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE NAO SEEMS TO BE ONBOARD WITH THIS AS
    WELL. BUT FOR THOSE WHO LIKE COLDER WEATHER…JUST REMEMBER WE START
    LOSING DAYLIGHT IN A LITTLE OVER 80 DAYS FROM NOW!

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Just the facts kevin and in about 6 months let the WINTER, COLD and SNOW hype begin. I am skiing this weekend and I may head back up on Wednesday for more GREAT SPRING skiing! I love it baby!

  10. michael g (SE GR) says:

    Last 10 days of January, below normal, February, below normal, March, significantly below normal.

    And now, April looks to kick off with three days at least 10* below normal, that will knock over 1* off of the departure from normal for the whole month.

    1. big Daddy BC says:

      You’re not talking about nationally or globally. What percent of the world’s land masses are you using to make judgements about climate?

      NOAA’s seasonal forecast doesn’t share your perspective.
      http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/lead01/off01_temp.gif

      1. Robert (Plainwell) says:

        Oh there seasonal forecasts are never wrong, because they will adjust the data to be right.

      2. Bill Steffen says:

        Here’s the global picture – temperatures steady for over 10 years:

        http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif

        https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/314205289421361153/photo/1

        The five-year mean global temperature has been flat for the last decade…” – James Hansen et al.

        Kevin Trenberth: “The fact is that we can’t account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can’t.”

        1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

          I think it’s funny when only 10 years are always brought up. That’s like using last March’s abnormal temps as your new measuring stick going forward.

          The earth has clearly been warming when you look further out (say 20, 40, 80 years, etc). Not to say it’s manmade, but the long-term trend is certainly up.

        2. Travis (Oakland County) says:

          This is a good post about the manipulation of statistics (such as no warming in 10 years). All you have to do is look at the bigger trend.

          http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2374

        3. Robert (Plainwell) says:

          Hey Travis look at how they get to the no cooling with tampered data.

          http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/data-tampering-at-ushcngiss/

        4. Bill Steffen says:

          Masters (an alarmist BTW and now Weather Underground is part of the NBC/Weather Channel group) rails on picking a 16-year steady temperature trend. I don’t do that. I use 2002-present, which is clearly flat (Masters graph shows that):

          http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif (from NASA). Look especially at the last 6 years (2006 – 2012). James Hansen acknowledges that fact:

          “The five-year mean global temperature has been flat for the last decade…” – James Hansen et al.

          Professor Judith Curry, who is the head of the climate science department at America’s prestigious Georgia Tech university, told The Mail on Sunday that it was clear that the computer models used to predict future warming were ‘deeply flawed’.

          Even Prof Jones admitted that he and his colleagues did not understand the impact of ‘natural variability’

          Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2217286/Global-warming-stopped-16-years-ago-reveals-Met-Office-report-quietly-released–chart-prove-it.html#ixzz2PBhj1VAZ

          http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2294560/The-great-green-1-The-hard-proof-finally-shows-global-warming-forecasts-costing-billions-WRONG-along.html

  11. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    3-5 inches of SNOW is on the way in NW lower MI!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  12. fixxxer says:

    looks chilly for a few days then it looks as my mid april we may be close to 70. i say bring it on.

    1. fixxxer says:

      looks chilly for a few days then it looks as by mid april we may be close to 70. i say bring it on.

  13. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    The current DGEX 3 to 8 model shows all of Central Lower MI picking up 8-12 inches of SNOW!!

    1. fixxxer says:

      Rj west michigan will not be getting any snow. Go hibernate until nov please.

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        I love it. More comments that will end up being 100% WRONG. Thanks for the material!

        1. fixxxer says:

          What facts? If you mean the fact your trolling and wrong then yes.

  14. fixxxer says:

    Hopefully these clouds give way to some sun for the kids easter egg hunt.

  15. Mr. Negative says:

    April…snow remains, with more snow on the way. Yep…nothing but piles of good news around here.

    1. fixxxer says:

      Lol…there is no new snow coming.

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        You are 100% wrong again, however you should be used to that by now!!!

        1. Nathan says:

          Rocky, support your data please!Im not seeing any snow in the next 6 months!

        2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          Nathan, Nathan, Nathan – if you want documentation just go to the NCEP site and look it up for yourself! DGEX 84 to 192 hour accumulated snowfall map! Read it and weep!

  16. big Daddy BC says:

    Here’s how NOAA sees April. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/30day/off14_temp.gif

    Fear not, Fixxer, spring has arrived!

    1. Nathan says:

      I agree. Once spring break wraps up, things will turn much warmer! Im thinking the first buds will also appear around April 10th-15th! (There are actually a few buds on the tree next door already, but thats all)

    2. Bill Steffen says:

      Here’s the big picture:

      Global temperatures have been flat for over 10 years. This means the IPCC computer models from 10-15 years ago are “deeply flawed” as Dr. Judith Curry of the BEST group has stated. Phil Jones of the U.K. Climate Center and James Hansen have admitted it:

      http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif

      https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/314205289421361153/photo/1

      The five-year mean global temperature has been flat for the last decade…” – James Hansen et al.

      Kevin Trenberth: “The fact is that we can’t account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can’t.”

  17. ~Sherry~(Comstock Park) says:

    Happy Easter everyone!!

    1. Skot says:

      You too Sherry.

  18. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Imagine that the 12Z GFS now shows a decent SNOWSTORM for all of Central MI for next Saturday! Bring it on!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      How could this be possible? fixxxer just said no more SNOW for all of WEST MI! I guess this just proves that you can not believe everything that you hear on the internet :) Who knew?

    2. Stephen (North Muskegon says:

      Clearly all rain. If you look at the 540 line its up by Traverse City. Please stop trolling people by now. Sure we love winter but your just trolling now.

      1. Rodey (Rockford) says:

        Hey there. Leave the little kid alone, he clearly doesn’t understand how to interpret the data he’s looking at. Maybe when he gets a little older he’ll do better.

    3. Rodey (Rockford) says:

      Imagine that the 12z and 18z GFS show a little rain and temps near 50 for next Saturday. Get used to it. Etc etc etc

  19. INDY says:

    Happy Easter Bill and Bills best even Fixxer FROM THEE YARDofBRICKS……INDYY.

  20. Barry in Zeeland(currently in Houghton, MI) says:

    Made it to Houghton!! Man is it windy up here. Once we got to Munising our van was blowing all over the road the rest of the way to Houghton. Super foggy when we crossed the Mac Bridge, couldn’t even see the water/ice below us. Snow was pretty spotty all the way up here until about Munising, then the dirty snow piles are about 10 foot high. Probably a good foot or two on the ground here, but it’s also 40 degrees and looks like its been melting for a while as it’s a dirty snow. Tomorrow we tour Michigan Tech!

  21. Jack says:

    GO BLUE……GO BLUE !!!!!!!!!!! ;-)

  22. fixxxer says:

    it’s for sure a far cry from what it was like last year at this time. still hoping for warmer weather soon.

  23. Jack says:

    MICHIGAN WOLVERINES….ROCK….. http://twitpic.com/cfgoh0. :-)

  24. Jack says:

    HOW…..SWEET IT IS !!!!!!!!!! ;-)

  25. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    The DGEX still shows 8 to 12 inches of SNOW for Central Lower MI? Bring it on!

  26. Rodey (Rockford) says:

    Imagine that DGEX still shows rain For central lower Michigan. Who would have thought it. Get used to it etc etc etc

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