April Starts Cold, 2nd week Warm

March 31st, 2013 at 4:07 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

modis Picture is the MODIS satellite picture from shortly after 2 PM Sunday PM.  Click on the image or click here to enlarge.  1 AM -  We had a nice snow shower here in Alpine Twp. The Ford Airport added 0.1″ of snow prior to midnight, so we are up to 65.3″ of snow for the season.  The ground is (at least temporarily) half white at my house after probably 1/4″ of snow.   It’s about to go below freezing, so watch for an icy spot on a road/driveway/sidewalk in the morning.  It’s only in the low 20s in the U.P. with single digit wind chill factors, so we have a chilly 48-hours coming up.   Check out the surface map – there’s some pretty chilly air across NW Wisc. and Minn. headed our way.   Daytime temperatures will be in the mid-upper 30s, but this is the last of the real cold air.  We’re back at least to mid 40s Weds. Temperatures will reach the 50s later this week.  The Arctic Oscillation has been very negative (which usually means cold air in the Great Lakes) and it’s forecast to go positive – a sign that it’ll be much warmer during the 2nd week of April.   Same thing for the NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation)…it has been negativeit’s going to go positive.  Pattern change late this week and 60s and 70s in mid-April and our first good thunderstorms as the warm air comes in.  We’ll catch a couple showers/t-showers next weekend.

33 Responses to “April Starts Cold, 2nd week Warm”

  1. Brenda says:

    We got to enjoy another beautiful day : )

  2. Jeff (Portland) says:

    Ahh yes, cant wait for some good old Michigan t-storms !! Hoping your having a great Easter Bill !!

  3. Deb says:

    That’s great news finally! Looks like we’ll be camping by the 2nd weekend in April!! Can’t wait!

  4. Cort S. says:

    Yeah, it’s starting to look warmer!
    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/interactive/index.php
    Right now, CPC (automated today, but still pretty good chances) gives us a 55% chance of above-normal temperatures, and a 10% chance of below-normal temperatures for April 8th through 14th.

  5. Jack says:

    I’m Thrilled 2 SEE Thunder Storms in The Long Range. I love the THRILL of BOOOOOOOMMM T-STORM.. Almost as Thrilling as THIS….CUE: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FVMhZN-9V7c. ;-) enjoy!!!!!!! ;-)

  6. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    Got up in the upper 50′s again here today with more sun! In fact, it’s still 54 degrees.

    What another great game by Michigan! And Opening Day for the Tigers looks like great weather. Happy Easter!

  7. Beth says:

    Wind is really picking up!!!

  8. Michael (Berrien county) says:

    GEM is quite the outlier model I guess with it still showing a decent snow/mixed precip event for next Sunday. http://meteocentre.com/models/get_anim.php?mod=gemglb&run=12&stn=PT&map=na&lang=en

  9. Barb says:

    I’d just be happy to get the snow out of my front yard so I can clean up.

  10. Barry in Zeeland(currently in Houghton, MI) says:

    Anyone see or hear about this?

    http://www.weather.com/news/science/environment/ice-fractures-video-beaufort-sea-2013

    Pretty impressive seeing that it is 600 miles of ice that just collapsed. Hate to be some one who got stuck out there!

    Really cooled down here in Houghton now. It’s dropped about 20 degrees with off and on lake effect snow showers. Surprised at the complete lack of snowmobiles or anyone for that matter around town. Seems like a ghost town.

    1. Bill Steffen says:

      Cool video. The article on the ice fracture says: “In February and March, the weather pattern has been consistently offshore and unfavorable for the sea ice, pushing the ice away from shore. These weather patterns are not uncommon.”

      While Arctic ice has declined in the satellite era (since 1979), the Antarctic ice extent has been growing: http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/seaice.anomaly.antarctic.png

      1. big Daddy BC says:

        Only the sea ice and that’s thanks to an increase in humidity due to global warming. Sure wish we could glue that sea ice onto the disappearing glaciers.

        1. Bill Steffen says:

          Only the “sea ice” has declined in the Arctic! LOL! The ice in the Antarctic has been GROWING FOR 25 YEARS. It’s not temporary ice, it’s become permanent ice of an ever expanding icecap: http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/seaice.anomaly.antarctic.png

          You guys thought snow and ice was going to disappear! http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/snowfalls-are-now-just-a-thing-of-the-past-724017.html

          How’s that working out for you: http://climate.rutgers.edu/snowcover/table_rankings.php?ui_set=1 and http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/files/2013/02/Figure41.png

  11. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

    Nice to know the following week after his week will be warm with my baby goslings due to hatch! WOOO HOOO, the YardOfDucks/Geese is expanding! Looking forward to thunderstorms if any do come and survive the Lk Michigan storm shredder, ah yes we get to look forward to the Shredder again.

  12. DF (SE Mich) says:

    Just had a cloud pass with 1/4″ hail. Wind is picking up. I am ready for some warm after this awesome day!

    1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

      Hail? Nice! Just a really quick burst of heavy rain here.

  13. Nathan says:

    I did a really funny April Fools’ joke on my brother! There is this thing called Google Nose, and its an April Fools’ joke from Google. So I tried it out on my brother… But I took it a step further! Because it didn’t technically work, I wanted to make it seem like it worked. So I went to the maple syrup smell and added some REAL syrup ONTO the top of my phone! I told my brother to smell it and it worked! If your confused, look up Google Nose first.

    1. Brian (Grandville) says:

      I hope you didn’ t do this today. Because then the joke would be on you.

  14. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    Now that March is over, was it as cold globally as here? Do we have a chance at breaking the streak?

    According to NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), February 2013 was the 336th consecutive month with global temperatures warmer than the 20th century average. In fact, the last below-average month of any kind was December 1984.

    Here’s NOAA’s site:

    http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/2013/2

    1. Bill Steffen says:

      Raw temperatures from constant weather stations that have not been urbanized (like Las Vegas NV) do not show that warming. It’s only when the data is manipulated (making the past colder and the present warmer) that you get these numbers. Your link also shows about halfway down that they used the 1961-90 climate normals. Why would they do that? The rest of NOAA has moved to the 1981-2010 climate normals. Why not 1931-1960 or 1971-2000? I think that’s done on purpose, because the 1960 and 1970s were the two coldest decades of the 20th century. The unchallenged truth is that global temperatures are flat, they’ve leveled off. NASA shows that clearly. The U.K. Met Office and James Hansen have admitted that.

      Just like March 2012, March 2013 will come in globally very close to average (that’s the current 1981-2010 average that every NWS Office uses for their climate normals.

      1. steelie says:

        Good Day,

        Indeed. There was a recent article that discussed the nearly 20 year hiatus of any so called “warming” and how it is confounding many and placing climate change models in question.

        Steelie

      2. big Daddy BC says:

        By moving to the ’81 norms, they’ve had to increase temp averages to account for global warming. The comparison is not to a true average. The best you can do is use the century average. BTW, Berkeley pulled the so-called urbanized stations from the record and the trend remained unchanged. Sorry to burst your balloon, Magoo.

        1. Bill Steffen says:

          We’ve always used the most recent 3 full decades for an average. http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/normals/usnormals.html The climate profiteers have tried to force a certain outcome by using the 1951-1980 or 1961-1990 3 decades so that they can include the coldest decades of the 20th century in order to make their graphs look scary. If you haven’t read this thread, you’ve got to read it to see how real data can give you two different impressions, depending on how you make the graph: http://blogs.woodtv.com/2011/01/25/january-temp-by-decade/ Fascinating, isn’t it.

          Regardless of the base, global temperatures have stopped rising: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif

          Even Hansen admits the data is valid: “The five-year mean global temperature has been flat for the last decade…”

          As Dr. Judith Curry has stated: “The climate models are deeply flawed”.

          Don’t let the climate bullies force “skyrocketing” utility rates and “European level” ($9 a gallon) gasoline prices on the poor and middle class!

  15. Travis (Lake Odessa) says:

    YES! YES! YES! TIME TO GET EXCITED ABOUT THUNDERSTORMS!!! I CAN’T WAIT! BRING IT ON!

    1. Jack says:

      Heck YA,…Can’t Wait, 2 Rack, Track, Stack,Storms !!!! And ride EM OUT…On Billys BLOG!!! CUE: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HTBv4kAdk_w. ;-) . Whoo….Hooooooo….!!!

      1. Travis (Lake Odessa) says:

        Wont be long…couple more weeks!

  16. Vincent(N.E.Kent CO) says:

    Welcome to April. I stepped outside at 12:15am and it is snowing like crazy. Vis less than 2 miles,and sticking to my wood fence. Windy and 32°. Still snowing good now. Come on warm air!! GO TIGERS!!!

  17. Vincent(N.E.Kent CO) says:

    Snow has stopped now,but the ground is white again. Just a good dusting. It came down hard for awhile. 31.6° now. When will the 60′s° be here?

    1. Jack says:

      Fingers Crossed, for Next Weekend, The 8th of April ….for the 60′s To Arrive !!! Stay Cued….4….. THUNDER~ Boomers ! ;-)

  18. Dan says:

    Michigan in the Final Four! They blew the gators right out of the building! Tigers open their season in Minnesota. They be opening at home against the Yankees on Thursday. Go Blue! Go Tigers! The boys of summer a sure sign of spring!

  19. Dan says:

    *They will be

  20. fixxxer says:

    I just wish we would get warm and stay that way. Im tired of this up and down BS.

  21. phlrnnr says:

    Can’t wait for the warmup!

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