Few Tornadoes in March

April 1st, 2013 at 2:12 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Gay Georgia Tornado  Damage from a tornado at Pike Co., Georgia on 3/18/13.  This was an EF2 tornado.  The U.S. recorded only 17 tornadoes in the whole month of March.  We had 24 of 31 days with no tornadoes anywhere in the U.S. and 12 days with no severe thunderstorms anywhere in the U.S.  There were no tornado fatalities or significant injuries.  Last year, we had 154 tornadoes in March and the 43 fatalities were more than the other 11 months of the year combined.  The biggest day for tornadoes last year was March 2nd (it was still winter).  The tornado season really calmed down after that.  This year will be the opposite with the severe weather season quiet thru the first week of April and then picking up.  I think (like last year), the greatest threat for tornadoes will be east of “Tornado Alley”, that runs from NW Texas north to S. Dakota.  I look for SE Iowa south to Arkansas, east to NE Georgia and north up thru Illinois, Indiana and Ohio, to have an above average risk for tornadoes.  Lower Michigan will be on the northern edge of that risk area and those areas esp. along and south of a line from Benton Harbor to Flint to have a couple of days when we’ll have to be on our guard.  Lake Michigan water is cold and that may diminish surface based t-storms in early spring, but remember storms that are not surface based don’t care if there is a cold lake underneath them.  Lake Michigan wasn’t even a speed bump for the derecho of 5/31/98.       Here’s ACCU-WEATHER’s Severe Weather Outlook, which doesn’t look too bad, with the severe weather farther east than usual and the best chance of severe weather in Michigan during May and June.

Also, worldwide only 2 tropical storms in March…a quiet month.

49 Responses to “Few Tornadoes in March”

  1. INDY says:

    We have to be on guard Bill says love it!!! Bring on theeee LIGHTNING ZOOMS AND THUNDER BOOMS INDY IS READY!! INDYY..

    1. hsoJ in Zeeland says:

      OH MY GOSH
      THEY MUST HAVE DONE A MOUTH CHECK ON YOU FOR YOUR MEDS
      YOU TYPED SOMETHING WITHOUT CAPITAL LETTERS!!
      CONGRATULATIONS!

  2. Hudsonville BarnCat says:

    Let’s hope Mother Nature doesn’t decide to balance things out in April and May. I have no desire to see a tornado. I’ll rent “Twister” instead.

  3. Nathan says:

    Hmmm… Im not seeing any warm air until April 14th or after. And by warm, I mean 60+

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      Agreed. We will see though.

  4. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Forget the tornadoes – lets keep the COLD and SNOW rolling along well into April! I love the temperatures today. FANTASTIC! Currently it is SNOWING in Rockford!

    1. fixxxer says:

      Go troll somewhere else.

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        Go back under your rock and quit whining!

        1. fixxxer says:

          And go admit yourself back to pinerest.

  5. fixxxer says:

    We will probably have a quiet severe weather season here as usual.

  6. fixxxer says:

    A bit crazy to be 31 on april 1st. I wonder if most of the spring will be chilly?

    1. Nathan says:

      Things turn warmer the second half of April

      1. fixxxer says:

        Yeah hopefully the weather is nice that weekend. I got front row passes.

        1. Jack says:

          I hope it will be GREAT Weather 4 Ya Fix, as Well….ENJOY !! ;-)

        2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          With you luck fixxxer it will be raining and 55 degrees. Enjoy!

        3. fixxxer says:

          No becuase at least detroit doesnt have to deal with all th lake effect cold and clouds all the time.

  7. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    The CPC prediction is no longer for above normal temps for GR! Get ready for a lot of cold Spring weather!

    1. Nathan says:

      And you trust them?!

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        Yes if they predict cold then I trust them and if they predict above normal temps then forget it!

        1. fixxxer says:

          Im gonna laugh when the 80′s and 90′s arrive. You gonna go cry in a corner?

    2. Cort S. says:

      Get your information directly from the primary source, folks.
      http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/

      1. SBPortage002 says:

        Thanks Cort…he never backs up his talk with links. That in itself does not make him credible one bit.

  8. Uncle Sparkee says:

    Well well my little weather hobos, it’s damn chili up here in the north country. Gettin low on wood and your aunty Edna’s back is out. Wish tokes new how to trout a log but no such luck! Survival in the back woods sometimes means puttin the skins down and Rollin up the bones. Will get er done!

    1. Jack says:

      Hang in there Uncle …I’m WILLIN 2 help Ya Out……CUE: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RNqv85coyTw. ;-)

  9. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    The long range GFS shows a possible SNOWSTORM on April 16th!

    1. Barry in Zeeland(currently in Houghton, MI) says:

      Just like all your calls for snowstorms the whole month of March and we never got more than a dusting at any one time?

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        Thanks for listening and keep up the good work!

        1. Barry in Zeeland(currently in Houghton, MI) says:

          If you want snow so bad, come up here to Houghton. 15 foot dirty black snow piles everywhere. Was kind of hoping to go on the ski slopes, but they are closed for the season already.

        2. hsoJ in Zeeland says:

          Yeah really. And I can’t listen to you, because im deaf because of all of INDY’s screaming

    2. Cort S. says:

      If the GFS showed a heat wave more than two weeks in advance, then…?

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        I wouldn’t buy that for a minute. Only COLD and SNOW baby!

        1. fixxxer says:

          Jesus..rocky congrats you bug me more than indy, jordan and all of his personalities combined. Good job.

          No offense indy. ;)

        2. Jack says:

          Fixxxxer, Please don’t Use, My Lord’s Name in Vain…. Thank-You……. Stay cued!

        3. fixxxer says:

          sorry jacko im not a religious nut. no offense.

    3. fixxxer says:

      Theres no damn snow or snow storms coming.

  10. Mr. Negative says:

    “Not” breaking news…2013 cold and storm free

    1. Nathan says:

      So far…

  11. I might chase down by Indiana line or down by Wayland this spring. I just worry what I am driving is dependable.

  12. Mr. Negative says:

    Coldest April 1st since 1985…obviously nothing but good news for us.

  13. INDY says:

    BILL IT’S COLD OUTSIDE TONIGHT !!!! I HOPE TRAVIS KNOWS IT’S APRIL NOW !!! INDYY……

    1. Jack says:

      Good- Nite 4 a Bon- Fire, aye INDY…. ;-)

    2. Jack says:

      Add a SPRITE~ Slushie… ;-)

  14. big Daddy BC says:

    http://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/global-warming-and-hurricanes

    “Anthropogenic warming by the end of the 21st century will likely cause hurricanes to have substantially higher rainfall rates than present-day hurricanes, with a model-projected increase of about 20% for rainfall rates averaged within about 100 km of the storm center.”

    1. Bill Steffen says:

      From Dr. Chris Landsea at the National Hurricane Center (copied directly from the website of the National Hurricane Center:

      Though there is evidence both for and against the existence of a detectable anthropogenic signal in the tropical cyclone climate record to date, NO firm conclusion can be made on this point.

      No individual tropical cyclone can be directly attributed to climate change.

      The recent increase in societal impact from tropical cyclones has largely been caused by rising concentrations of population and infrastructure in coastal regions.

      Go to this page: http://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/global-warming-and-hurricanes

      It says: “It is premature to conclude that human activities–and particularly greenhouse gas emissions that cause global warming–have already had a detectable impact on Atlantic hurricane activity.”

    2. big Daddy BC says:

      http://ossfoundation.us/projects/environment/global-warming/antarctic-ice-melt

      “The sea ice-extent is increasing as expected based on observations and model studies. Context is important here. While it is warming in the Southern Hemisphere (SH), there are other things changing that influence Antarctic Sea Ice Extent. While it is warming in and around Antarctica, It remains cold during winter which allows ice extent to grown each winter. The growth of Antarctic Sea Ice is likely due to changes in ocean and wind circulation combined with changes in moisture levels and related factors that are related to the ice extent increase.”

      This is from the NSIDC, not me. Have a look. I can’t find a single expert that agrees with you, Bill. Sorry. You’ve got blog masters and Exxon. That’s it. ;)

      1. Bill Steffen says:

        This is from NSIDC, not me. Have a look: http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/S_timeseries.png (WOW! Near RECORD maximum ice extent in Antarctica)

        And this from the Univ. of Illnois Cryosphere: http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/seaice.anomaly.antarctic.png (The ice cap just keeps growing and growing and growing!)

        Global Temperatures aren’t warming, they’ve been steady for 10+ years: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif

        You climate profiteers sure are upset: “The fact is that we can’t account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can’t.” – quote from Kevin Trenberth (or another way to put it: “It’s a travesty that we might not be able to score all that grant money!”

        Say “NO” to “skyrocketing” utility rates! Say “NO” to $9 a gallon “European level” gasoline prices! Say “NO” to green energy boondoggles! Say “NO” to climate profiteers!

  15. Meg says:

    The United States has been really calm in 2013 so far. However, things may change sooner or later. Let’s hope no EF5 tornadoes hit this year.

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