Umbrella Week

April 8th, 2013 at 12:11 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Local   1:55 PM -  Gusty winds this afternoon, gusts 35-45 mph possible.  Low pressure over Lake Michigan will cross Lower Michigan this PM.  Winds are a steady 20-30 mph in the Chicago area from the SW with gusts to 40 mph.  Temps. this PM should warm to near 60 south of Benton Harbor to Lansing and into the 50s elsewhere. The heavier rain is shifting north toward Houghton Lake and Cadillac at this hour.  Still a chance of a shower this PM, but they will become widely scattered and light.  BOTH the new NAM (caribou) and GFS (caribou) give G.R. between 3 a 3 1/2 inches of rain this week!   The NAM (caribou) would have a very nasty period of freezing rain Weds. into Thurs. along and just north of U.S. 10 with over an inch of freezing rain and temperatures between 28 and 32 for Cadillac.  G.R. hangs around 34 in the rain and Mt. Pleasant is around 32 at the coldest.  The NAM (caribou) has a mid-afternoon temperature of 38 for G.R. on Weds. and 36 on Thurs.  The GFS is 41/52/41 for Weds., Thurs., Fri. (that’s a mid-aftn. temp….the high temp. would be a couple deg. warmer than that).  The warmest on the NAM (caribou) for G.R. is 59 on the hour on Tues. (so maybe a high of 61).  The GFS is around 50 Tues. PM.  Like I said, keep the umbrellas on and off for at least the next several days.  We could easily see 2-4″ of rain across the area, before it all ends with a few snow showers late Thurs. night or Friday.  .  It’s certainly cold enough for at least a dusting if not an inch of snow Friday night/Saturday AM.  The European has the 850 mb. temp. approaching -12C Saturday AM – that’s outrageously cold for mid-April.   I’ll update this thread when I can, but it should be active for a few days.  This system will produce lots of severe weather from Indiana to the Gulf of Mexico, heavy snow from Colorado/Wyoming to the U.P.  There could be another foot-plus of snow in parts of the U.P. before this winter is over.  There will be record warmth in the Southeast and record cold from Kansas up into the Dakotas.  We’ve had a rather dull last 12 months for severe weather, this is more typical of the April events that we tend to get in the U.S.   For current Michigan weather observations and wind speeds, click here. Here’s NAM model snowfall thru 84 hours, the GFS snowfall thru 120 hours and the HPC snowfall predictions. Here’s WOOD-TV Interactive Radar, looping radar. Check out regional radar, GRR radar, northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the College of DuPage Radar Map, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the WOOD lightning tracker and U.S. lightning, the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures.

69 Responses to “Umbrella Week”

  1. Scott (robinson twsp) says:

    Bring on the rain. Helped my grass sprout a little from sat rain.

  2. Jack says:

    Yup, Better Get The Unbrella out of The Closet for This Weeks Rain, or ya find Yourself Singing This old TUNE: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PPGA4-8oSUI. ;-) . P.S. First Again!! Lol… Happy Monday !

    1. TomKap (Michigan St. & Fuller) Grand Rapids says:

      Stranger…..

      1. Jack says:

        Weider……;-)

        1. Jack says:

          WEIRDER…..

  3. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    Its a cloudy and cold 37° here. The Whitecaps have 3 games this week and I have to wonder how many they will get in? They all look wet and cold. Speaking of cold here we are on April 8th and as of yet GR has not been any warmer then 59° all year so far. I can not find a year going back to 1991 where we have gone this late into the year without getting into the 60′s and in most years we have gotten up to 70 or better by now. And unless we can get well into the warm sector this week I do not see 60° happening this week so at the earliest we are looking at past mid month. I wonder what is the latest GR has gotten before we reached the 60° mark and then the 70° mark???
    SlimJim

    1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

      Along with the Lk Michigan shredder, maybe GR has a temperature bubble around it too? ha

      Chicago and Detroit have been in the 60′s multiple times beginning in January. Heck, Chicago hit 70 over the past weekend.

  4. Dan says:

    Singing in the Rain? Rain, rain go away! Although, we certainly need it!

  5. Steve Wood says:

    My one weekend a month home and it’s going to SNOW? WTF. No wonder I hate Michigan weather so much! Give me a break. Most miserable weather in the country.

    1. kevin. w says:

      NO move to Seattle and see how much rain/crappy weather you get then report back to us. This rain and cold is nothin’ compared to what they get out there.

  6. Yup (Grandville) says:

    When is everyone going to start fertilizing anyways?

    1. michael g (SE GR) says:

      I did my yard yesterday.

      For Fix, spreading “fertilizer” is an hourly event.

      1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

        LMAO

      2. fixxxer says:

        You make no sense mike. Keep trying.

  7. Ned S. (Now in South Holland) says:

    Just began raining here at 104 and Ottogan. Temperature is a sultry 41.9 degrees.

  8. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    Bring on the April showers and storms. NWS hinting at some possible severe storms for at least the southern counties.

    Go Blue!

  9. tony says:

    How can it be that im looking at our 3 networks here in town and their forecasts vary greatly. 8 and that station over by alpine and 96 are pretty close but 3rd wheel’s forecast is calling for 60′s today and tomorrow and 70 on wed. The other 2 stations only show highs in the mid 50′s. Are they using a different model? Ive never seen such a discrepancy if different forecasts before.

    Trying to make plans for the w/e but it s hard when one station is calling for snow and the other says will be upper 50′s this week-end!

    what gives?!?!?

    1. Bill Steffen says:

      Keep track and see who comes out the best. It’s going to be cold and wet Weds. afternoon. We (WOOD) never bought the GFS forecast of highs in the low 70s Weds. PM. We have sided with the colder European model all along…NWS the same. I haven’t watched the other TV stations, but I’ve had lots of comments and emails from people wondering why FOS-17 is going for 70 on Weds.

      1. GB says:

        Well the two predictions are 12 degrees apart so if the high is above 64 then Fox is more right if it is below 64 then Wood is more right.

        well just wait two days to find out.

        My bet is that the Kzoo area gets above the 64 mark but GRR doesn’t.

      2. Ryan (Algoma) says:

        FOS-17…I bet that stands for “Full Of Self”…. Lol.

      3. steelie says:

        Good Day,

        Indeed. I had a chat with a buddy over at NWS, that seems to be the consensus over there for a pretty miserable weekend.

        Steelie

    2. GunLakeDeb says:

      It’s a damp 47 here at the moment – a LONG way off from 60 degrees. I think the GFS is way off the mark this week?

      1. GB says:

        Deb it’s 59 right now in Hopkins.

        1. GunLakeDeb says:

          Yes it is….LOL!! Amazing how that wind blew the warm air right in!!

        2. GunLakeDeb says:

          I need some salt for my crow, please? ;-)

  10. Nathan says:

    Leading edge of rain is almost here, my current temperature is 41… Our only hope of reaching the expected high of 55 is a nice burst of air from the south, which actually looks likely! Nothing is better than a warm spring rain!

    1. Nathan says:

      http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=grr&storyid=93786&source=0
      Check that out! Nearly 4 inches of rain for GR, or 4 feet of snow :p

      1. Cort S. says:

        With this warm front draped to our south, imagine how bad an ice storm could be if the temperatures at the ground and aloft were juuuuust right.

        1. Yup (Grandville) says:

          I don’t want to think about it Cort!

        2. Jim S.(Saugatuck Twp) says:

          12Z NAM suggests an inch of ice for mid Michigan..up around Mt. Pleasant. That would be huge.

  11. INDY says:

    Get the grass seed ready move over mudd and lets see some fresh grass from all the rain we are going to get this week thee snow is gone thee cold is old now it’s time to start tracking racking stacking severe weather…Look out great plains Tornado outbreak is about to blow in, going to be the bigg’est since May 2010 .. We could see some lightng zzoms and thunder booms Wed. temps in the low 70′s stay tuned….INDYY..

    1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

      Getting dark and rainy up here in the wet, muddy, YardOfDucks with a little baby gosling positioned to hatch in the next 24+hrs!! NOT liking the forecast for temps this week with little ones on the way and I don’t foresee 60′s or 70 Wednesday, but oh boy my back just LOVES this system…..NOT!

  12. SS (Pwell Area) says:

    Just heard a rumble of thunder….

  13. Dan says:

    MICHIGAN will beat Louisville tonight! Mitch McGary will be the X FACTOR, once again. Although, I also think its time for Trey Burke to lead his team in points tonight! GO BLUE! Hail to Victors!
    I say, Michigan in a very close battle!!

  14. Dan says:

    * Should be “HAIL TO THE VICTORS” Geez, what kind of Michigan fan am I?

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      They did some nice couch burning in town I see… Classy.

      1. Dan says:

        Dude, get over yourself. This is good for the State of Michigan.
        You know what I mean right? I’m not talking about the stupid stuff!
        Michigan has NOT been here for 20 years! GO BLUE!

        1. DF (SE Mich) says:

          Lol, all the ridicule UM dishes out for other schools and then are just the same hypocrites… I love it.

          I agree it is good, this spartan is married to a wolverine. The best reason is that my school gets the same payout as UM thanks to the big ten’s equal shares :) . So does Bill’s Badgers :) . Keep winning.

      2. GunLakeDeb says:

        I’ll take burned couches rather than my daughters overturned-and-burned CAR at MSU back in the early 2000′s, because the Spartans didn’t make the Final Four or something like that?? It was prominently featured on the news for several days :-( So I consider the loss of a few couches to be “dignified” in comparison ;-)

  15. INDY says:

    Get ready to burn Ann Arbor doown tonight I hope we will see the smoke from over here GO BLUE!!! DF is ready !!! INDYY…

  16. Nathan says:

    Special Marine Statement for winds over 40 knots to our SW…

    1. GunLakeDeb says:

      Seems weird, because it’s almost calm here – at least for the moment.

  17. Dan says:

    Yes, DF! It is also the reason that MAC schools come to play the Big Ten schools. They want to share those big dollars!

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      True :)

  18. Dan says:

    They (NWS) aren’t really talking about snow and/or freezing rain for later this week, are they? I thought, we were done with the frozen precip!

  19. steelie says:

    Good Day,

    I think this what they mean by good weather for ducks. On the other hand… I know more than steelie minded person out there that are excited for this rain to make for a big push of FISH! Hehe…

    Steelie

    1. Jack says:

      Here, Fishy, Fishy,Fishy….Hee,Hee ..Steelie is here… ;-)

      1. steelie says:

        Good Day,

        That’s right Jack! (Not quoting Sy Robertson mind you…) Fishermen and women of all types tend to be weather nerds, it can really make or break your day on the water.

        Steelie

        1. Jack says:

          Steelie, I have Fished this great State of Michigan, for Many ,Many Years. Started fishing at the Age of 3, with Dad and Moms Help. Some Pepole think Fishing is Boring.,Heck No, I’ve been Hooked since The Early Years. Ain’t nothing Better To Forget, a Bad Day, or better yet Enjoy a GOOD DAY. And I shall End with That, as You Began IT….peace…Say cued……and GO BLUE,! ;-)

  20. Cort S. says:

    The dry slot is bringing some clearing into Michigan this afternoon.
    http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/satellite/1km/index.php?type=Michigan-vis-12

    The sun will help mix the lower atmosphere and bring gusty winds aloft down to the surface. The NWS has issued a wind advisory for this afternoon. Chicago’s winds have shifted to the southwest and have increased to 40-50 mph gusts.
    http://www.crh.noaa.gov/grr/

    1. Nathan says:

      Will this diminish the fog threat for tonight?

      1. Cort S. says:

        If the winds decrease to near calm as predicted tonight, patchy fog will still be possible.

    2. Scott (Hartford Van Buren Co.) says:

      Sun came out here for a little while temps are up to 60, the wind picked up also

    3. bnoppe(Albion) says:

      Do you happen to know the highest single day rain total for GR or lansing?

      1. Cort S. says:

        That’s a good question, but I don’t really know for sure. Short of pointing you to this website and having you page through the precip records for each and every day, I could send you to this website. The GR and Lansing airport data on this site have a period of record going back to 1951, and you can look at the Top 30 Rainfall Days for each location. Looks like it was 4.15″ on 5/15/2001 for GR, and 4.95″ on 6/11/1986 for Lansing. It’s possible that there were rainfall events which were greater than those amounts which crossed over two calendar days.

        1. bnoppe(Albion) says:

          thanks

    4. GunLakeDeb says:

      Sun just popped out!!

      1. GunLakeDeb says:

        And here comes the wind….. sheesh….I’m always amazed when they pinpoint a forecast to the hour – and it happens?!

  21. Jim S.(Saugatuck Twp) says:

    If the 12Z Candadian were correct, all of west Michigan would get rain, followed by heavy freezing rain, then a period of heavy snow. Heavy snow on top of ice…..I’ll chalk it up as a big time outlier. If not, I better invest in a generator.

      1. Jack says:

        ROFLMAO…..Nice. My laugh for The Week…..Hilarious !!!! :-)

  22. Mark (East Lansing) says:

    Wow! 67 in Toledo right now.

  23. GunLakeDeb says:

    There is NO “perfect state” – and I’ve visited most of ‘em. There’s a LOT to love about Michigan. If you are willing to trade a string of rainy days, for earthquakes/mudslides/hurricanes/drought/forest fires – well…. go ahead. I’m staying here and loving it!

    1. Teresa says:

      agree

  24. fixxxer says:

    +1000 mark. Michigan isnt known for great weather.

  25. fixxxer says:

    More crap weather.

  26. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Ridiculous statement! Are you related to fixxxer?

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