Rain!!!

April 9th, 2013 at 2:15 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Local  7:55 PM  2,354 without power in G.R., east of US 131 and north of 28th St.  That is supposed to be back on very soon.   Just a little lightning left in the Lansing area and in far southern Ionia Co.   The late afternoon squall produced a wind gust of 48 mph on top of the Press Box at East G.R. High School, 45 mph at the Ford Airport and 39 mph downtown.  Models continue to print out more showers and a chance of a t-storm.  The precipitation should add up to 2-3″ over most of the area with a few spots up to 3.5″ for the week combined.  It may end with snow showers Thurs. night/Friday.

WOW…I spent 5 minutes just watching the lightning shortly after 1 PM…very intense cloud-ground lightning in central Kent Co…north of downtown, moving east.  I’ll bet 80% of the lightning was cloud-ground!  I saw the strike that hit the Old Orchard Apts…where fire units have been called…another lightning fire in NE Kent Co.   Showers and a few thunderstorms (not severe – no strong winds or large hail – though small hail is certainly possible with continue, mainly north of I-94.   Lots of ponding of water here.  Smaller creeks are certainly headed toward bankfull around here.   The warm front is just south of I-80.  Look at the difference in temperature from the Chicago lakeshore (40s with an ENE wind off Lake Michigan) to Kankakee and points south where it’s partly sunny and in the 70s (a few spots are going to make the 80s south of the front.  2PM temps:  41 Big Rapids, 44 Grand Rapids, 56 Kalamazoo, 63 Benton Harbor, 73 Michigan City, Indiana, 80 Indianapolis.  Chicago has 46 and a NE wind at 10 mph.   Kankakee is 73 with the wind SSW at 24 gusting to 32 mph.  That’s some surface air convergence!  The storm is producing heavy snow in Colorado and S. Dakota.  Fierce winds out there…one report of  a snow drift 9 feet high near Scottsbluff NE.

The models continue to forecast a deluge.  The morning run of the NAM gives G.R. a high of 57 this afternoon, but that’s too warm.   It’s going to run about 6-7 deg. too cool – the model can’t handle the sharp temperature difference along the front.  The NAM does give us an additional 1.8″ of mostly rain this week, right on thru Friday, with 1/4″ of snow late Thurs. night.  It only gives us a high of 40 tomorrow with a stiff ENE wind at 15-22 mph.   The NAM still has the potential for a major ice storm north of Grand Rapids.  It gives 2.95″ total precipitation to Big Rapids with 1.65″ of mostly freezing rain with temps. fo 29-32 and then 1.2″ of snow.  Cadillac gets 3.22″ total precip. this week with 1.32″ of mostly freezing rain with temps. of 26 to 31.  It ends with 2.6″ of snow.  It’s only one model pretty far out, but do keep up with later forecasts and do try and formulate a plan if you do come under an advisory or warning for freezing rain.  Are you going to stay where you are?  Do you have flashlights, a supply of food/water, blankets, etc.

The overnight GFS (caribou) gives G.R. 2.31″ of rain from today through Saturday with trace amounts of snow to end this Friday night.  Then another 0.54″ Sunday into Monday AM.  The NAM (caribou) has 1.18″ by Weds. night, then another 1.81″ by late Thursday.  Then it gives us 1.6″ of snow late Thurs. night.  If the NAM is somehow right, we could have slick roads here for the Friday AM commute…a longshot, but possible.   WARNING:   If you live north of Kent Co. – pay special attention to the forecasts.  The NAM has a devastating freezing rain/snow event for Cadillac.  They get an inch of freezing rain Thursday, then 8″ of snow.  Don’t go crazy over this…it’s probably way overdone and it’s a long ways out…but there is the potential for significant freezing rain/snow…not saying any of that will happen, just keep checking in for the latest.   For current Michigan weather observations and wind speeds, click here.   Here’s WOOD-TV Interactive Radar, looping radar. Check out regional radar, GRR radar, northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the College of DuPage Radar Map, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the WOOD lightning tracker and U.S. lightning, the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures and the HPC snowfall predictions.  Here’s NAM model snowfall thru 84 hours, the GFS snowfall thru 120 hours.

315 Responses to “Rain!!!”

  1. GunLakeDeb says:

    I just checked a bunch of NOAA Hydrology charts for mid-to-northern Michigan Rivers and they are shooting upwards!! Some can be regulated by opening dams (looks like the Rogue recently did that) – but others like the Pere Marquette, don’t have dams and are predicted to be at Flood Alert Stage in a day or so. Saturday will be a nice day – don’t let your fishermen/paddlers/boaters go out without consulting the stage levels first!

  2. INDY says:

    Wow back on it lightning made my puter jump off the table right into my lap I had a puter lap dance going on when the storm was going over thee YARDofBRICKS had some funny voices coming out of my speakers about a earth quake hmmmmm somthing is going on mabe its n orth Korea coming!!! Stay tuned ..INDYY..

      1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

        Oh sure Indy rub it in, rub it in while once again I get shafted. *SIGH*

  3. Cort S. says:

    Severe thunderstorm warning for one-inch hail near Hays, Kansas, where the temperature is 28. No, not Celsius. I’m talking Fahrenheit.

    http://i.imgur.com/VjsBNqr.png

    1. fixxxer says:

      Doesnt seem normal to me cort.

      1. Cort S. says:

        It’s not! This is a crazy day! Check out the temperature difference in the Texas panhandle:

        http://twitpic.com/ci80pz

        Imagine if Lansing was 91 and Muskegon was 55 (without Lake Michigan’s influence).

  4. Cort S. says:

    Possible ice storm for Central Michigan.

    Probability of a 0.25 inch of freezing rain, Thursday:

    http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/day2_pice_gt_25.gif

    http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/pwpf_48hr/prb_48hicez_ge.25_2013041000f072.gif

    1. Did you see the images coming out of South Dakota today? They got hammered with ice up there.

    2. fixxxer says:

      Hopefully it stays east of here. Seems we may be in for another year of extreme weather conditions. Last year was the heat and dry. This year who knows.

  5. Hello everyone!! Earlier this afternoon I captured some of the best thunder I have ever heard. There are some strikes visible in this video too, but the main attraction is the thunder. Turn up your speakers and enjoy!! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8sS3BptOV5s

  6. Lynne VandeBunte says:

    Next to nothing in Kalamazoo. All the needed rain is north. I am going to have to water my lawn! We are in a dry spot–I hope not like last year!

  7. Cort S. says:

    According to the temperature profile of the atmosphere in TX / OK / KS, the type of precipitation that should be falling out of those thunderstorms is sleet. Or, if the hail is big enough, it would be a hail-sleet hybrid.

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      Awesome, I just saw that. Sever thunderstorm sleet :)

  8. Uncle Sparkee says:

    Well well my little hobos, your ol uncle sparks just lit up a spring duber while listening to some of mothers natures most spooky sounds. All this rain on the ol luv shacks tin roof is driving tokes crazy. He’s howling! It’s all music to my ears. Wet n wild in the back woods!

  9. INDY says:

    Puter is still acting up Lightning killed it I think never had such a electric storm since 1980 when lightning hit our house and blew my 23 inch zenith flat screen on the floor into pieces in our living room Bill in thoughts???? INDYY..

    1. ~Sherry~ Comstock Park says:

      Did your power go out Indy? I hope the “puter” is not fried! Loved the storms earlier. It is always nice to hear that first spring thunder!

    2. fixxxer says:

      Wasnt that bad indy.

      1. Cort S. says:

        He’s talking about the storm that passed through the north side of GR at 1:30, not the one that happened a few hours ago. The storm at 1:30 had a lot of cloud-to-ground lightning.

        1. Nathan says:

          Yea, I was in Language Arts watching a movie when the storm went through. It was awesome!!

  10. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    What? Ice and SNOW is in the forecast. How could that be possible as many people on here have claimed WINTER weather has been done now for the last three weeks? What happened to all of those 60 degree forecast highs and nice Spring weather that was supposed to here by the first or second week of April? More WARM weather HYPE! Guess what – we are entrenched in COLD pattern so get used to it people! ROCK n ROLL will never die!!!!!

    1. fixxxer says:

      Next week you will be hiding under your moms bed rocking yourself to sleep while crying. And FYI there is NO snow in the gr forecast.

    2. Nathan says:

      Rocky it is only a temporary cool down, then highs will return back into the fifties and sixties! If anything, your wrong and don’t want to admit it. (Similar to Fox 17′s bust!!)

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        That would be funny if it wasn’t totally inaccurate! YOU AND MANY OTHERS HAVE BEEN PREACHING FOR WEEKS NOW THAT temps will be in the 60′s! Oh really we have not seen a temp even up to 60 degrees and there is absolutely no warm air in sight! Face the facts people – it is COLD and it is going to stay that way for at least another one to 2 weeks!!! I love it!!!!!

        1. fixxxer says:

          Lol… try a few days of chilly with NO snow then back to average.

        2. SBPortage002 says:

          Back to back mid 60s here…I love it!!!

        3. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          I see you guys are still living on fantasy land! Sweet dreams!

        4. fixxxer says:

          I see you refuse to take your meds or join jordan at pinerest.

        5. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          I see that you are still in denial and a Debbie Downer! Thanks for listening!

        6. TomKap (Michigan St. & Fuller) Grand Rapids says:

          nobody’s listening….

        7. Brad (Lawrence) says:

          Temps have been in the 60′s for the past few days here. Actually, it was 68 here today.

  11. Uncle Sparkee says:

    Your old uncle sparks is lit like a jelly bean on the mars space station. Thinking bout all my little weather hobos! Playin my harmonica while your ol aunty Edna is makin sum bean soup! Partying on a crazy Wednesday and gettin ready for the weekend! Wow man tokes just did a back flip and landed on his tail! Crazy mut!

    1. Jack says:

      Uncle S…You must be Lit….It’s Ruby Tuesday, not Wed………… ;-)

  12. INDY says:

    Well my puter is some what better still getting japan talk out of my speakerrs but everthing els is running a little faster what a electric storm we had today Sherry did have the old lights blink a few times just a start on whats to come this summer I think…I remember about 1984 laying on the pull out bed with my cousins and seeing lightning ball strike out of the sky rolled right down our driveway and hit our house knocked my old mans tray of the top of the refridge smelled like a skunk in our house that night!!! INDYY.

    1. fixxxer says:

      Umm… you might have fried your mother board indy.

  13. kevin. w says:

    Yep this will be the week that many will be without power due to an icing event. Then will be getting hammered time after time with endless amounts of severe weather with all kinds of damage and more power outages, plus localized flooding. Gotta real gut feeling about the weather the next two months its going to be a very active nasty stormy period coming. A total opposite of the persistent hot sunny day after day weather of last year. We have several people in my neighborhood already pumping water out of there basement. Oh did I mention the fun is just getting started and we have 8 more weeks of this. Oh and one other thing both the GFS and high res euro have a major snowstorm coming around the 20th here: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=gfs&area=namer&param=1000_500_thick&cycle=18&image=gfs%2F18%2Fgfs_namer_300_1000_500_thick.gif

    and here: http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Geopotential%20500%20hPa%20and%20Temperature%20at%20850%20hPa!240!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2013040912!!/

    Although the high res euro is deeper and colder. Who knows but the way things are going will just have to wait and see, but for spring..mmmmm!

    1. fixxxer says:

      Talk about going out on a limb kevin.

    2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      There you go – someone that is facing reality! Lets review the facts.
      1. GR has not seen a temperature of 60 degrees or higher yet this Spring!
      2. COLD and SNOW is in the short term forecast!
      3. Freezing rain is in the short term forecast!
      4. Northern Lower MI and the UP will be getting hammered with SNOW!
      5. As kevin just pointed out we have plenty of COLD and SNOW showing up on the long range models!
      6. The 8 to 14 day CPC outlook has MI in the below average temps!
      7. We are entrenched in a COLD pattern!
      8. fixxxer will be complaining about the weather no matter what!
      9. COLD and SNOW ROCKS!!
      10. I will be heading up to Northern MI for some more skiing – this will be 12 weekends in a row! Amazing!!!

      1. fixxxer says:

        he’s talking about severe weather, NOT SNOW.

    3. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

      I guess I better fire up the generator again to get it warmed up for the possibility of that and future weather events however I look at radar and I’m getting shafted again by the storm down in Rockford *SIGH* Yup I see many, many fails/shafting again for me up here in CedarTucky

      1. fixxxer says:

        you need to move out of the sticks swatz lol.

        1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

          Yeah but than Fixxx all the storms will go where I am not, I’m not in Rockford, or GR, so they’ll go there, I go to Canada storms come over Cedar Springs, I’m jinxed! LOL!

        2. Jack says:

          Hey Swat~ zoo, Just had window RATTALING. BOOM….here N.E.GR…. ;-)

  14. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Earlier today someone reported that Boyne Mt is closed – that is incorrect as they still have GREAT ski conditions and will be open this weekend and potentially all the way thru May!! I love it!!!

    1. fixxxer says:

      why don’t you go move up there and bug those people then.

      1. Ryan (Algoma) says:

        Or try Oklahoma City???

    2. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

      yes they are still planning on opening on weekends.

      http://www.boyne.com/Winter/Two_Mountains/Current_Conditions/boyneMountain.html

      SlimJim

  15. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    Heavy thunderstorm here rolling through after mid 60′s yesterday. I love spring!

    Hopefully this greens the grass. Just what we needed.

    1. fixxxer says:

      yeah my son lives in oakland county and says there getting hammered.

      1. whatBillwantstosaybutcant says:

        Indy lives in Kent and he is getting hammered.

        1. Ryan (Algoma) says:

          I also live in Kent and I’m hammered.

  16. Nathan says:

    Nice squall is forming and I just heard a rumble of thunder!! (Not severe but still a storm)

  17. kevin. w says:

    Yep boyne will be open for the next 3 weekends and that I know because my son was on the ski patrol. Yep snow is in the forecast we just have to deal with it. Yep more heavy rains, flooding, and severe weather. Yep its going to stay on the cool side for a good while. Yep fixxer its just how Michigan is. Yep with all the snow and cold with this storm out west and all that is on the ground up north its going to be a cool pattern. Yep with all the warm air over ridding the cold air lots of baroclinic storms coming. Yep alot of severe weather and tornadoes coming for the next 8 weeks. Yep, Yep and did I mention Yep for the other stuff and Yep for anything I missed dis tat and the other thing. So good night and yep its going to rain tonight, tomorrow and the next day to only yep change to freezing rain and snow, oh and yep no I don’t see much sun coming, and nope I really don’t care what anyone has to say about much of anything….Good night…LOL

    1. fixxxer says:

      there is no snow in any gr forecast.

      1. There will be at least some snow

        1. fixxxer says:

          Not in gr.

    2. Scott (robinson twsp) says:

      Yuuuuuuuuup! Hehe

  18. fixxxerswrist says:

    its getting old billy boy we need a break when are you going to give us sun and warm temps?

    1. Brian(Grandville) says:

      no kidding. the kids are driving us crazy. was gonna get them bikes, but i think we will have to get them more wool socks instead. crap weather.

      1. fixxxer says:

        But i thought you like the cold brian? Anyways it will warm up “eventually”. I think april is shot though.

        1. Brian(Grandville) says:

          It’s not that I like the cold. I just hate the heat. It’s gonna be an interesting spring/summer season for sure. We may be on the north side of the ring of fire this year. Could be intense.

  19. mr. negative says:

    Cold, windy, from here on out…time to accept it, there is no hope.

    1. fixxxerswrist says:

      i for one think we are paying for last summer, may not get above 70 this year. gross.

      1. fixxxer says:

        I for one think you fail at life.

  20. TomKap (Michigan St. & Fuller) Grand Rapids says:

    Bill, better fix that graphic for next Wednesday.
    I’m pretty sure we won’t hit 71 for a high.

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