Rain!!!April 9th, 2013 at 2:15 am by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
7:55 PM 2,354 without power in G.R., east of US 131 and north of 28th St. That is supposed to be back on very soon. Just a little lightning left in the Lansing area and in far southern Ionia Co. The late afternoon squall produced a wind gust of 48 mph on top of the Press Box at East G.R. High School, 45 mph at the Ford Airport and 39 mph downtown. Models continue to print out more showers and a chance of a t-storm. The precipitation should add up to 2-3″ over most of the area with a few spots up to 3.5″ for the week combined. It may end with snow showers Thurs. night/Friday.
WOW…I spent 5 minutes just watching the lightning shortly after 1 PM…very intense cloud-ground lightning in central Kent Co…north of downtown, moving east. I’ll bet 80% of the lightning was cloud-ground! I saw the strike that hit the Old Orchard Apts…where fire units have been called…another lightning fire in NE Kent Co. Showers and a few thunderstorms (not severe – no strong winds or large hail – though small hail is certainly possible with continue, mainly north of I-94. Lots of ponding of water here. Smaller creeks are certainly headed toward bankfull around here. The warm front is just south of I-80. Look at the difference in temperature from the Chicago lakeshore (40s with an ENE wind off Lake Michigan) to Kankakee and points south where it’s partly sunny and in the 70s (a few spots are going to make the 80s south of the front. 2PM temps: 41 Big Rapids, 44 Grand Rapids, 56 Kalamazoo, 63 Benton Harbor, 73 Michigan City, Indiana, 80 Indianapolis. Chicago has 46 and a NE wind at 10 mph. Kankakee is 73 with the wind SSW at 24 gusting to 32 mph. That’s some surface air convergence! The storm is producing heavy snow in Colorado and S. Dakota. Fierce winds out there…one report of a snow drift 9 feet high near Scottsbluff NE.
The models continue to forecast a deluge. The morning run of the NAM gives G.R. a high of 57 this afternoon, but that’s too warm. It’s going to run about 6-7 deg. too cool – the model can’t handle the sharp temperature difference along the front. The NAM does give us an additional 1.8″ of mostly rain this week, right on thru Friday, with 1/4″ of snow late Thurs. night. It only gives us a high of 40 tomorrow with a stiff ENE wind at 15-22 mph. The NAM still has the potential for a major ice storm north of Grand Rapids. It gives 2.95″ total precipitation to Big Rapids with 1.65″ of mostly freezing rain with temps. fo 29-32 and then 1.2″ of snow. Cadillac gets 3.22″ total precip. this week with 1.32″ of mostly freezing rain with temps. of 26 to 31. It ends with 2.6″ of snow. It’s only one model pretty far out, but do keep up with later forecasts and do try and formulate a plan if you do come under an advisory or warning for freezing rain. Are you going to stay where you are? Do you have flashlights, a supply of food/water, blankets, etc.
The overnight GFS (caribou) gives G.R. 2.31″ of rain from today through Saturday with trace amounts of snow to end this Friday night. Then another 0.54″ Sunday into Monday AM. The NAM (caribou) has 1.18″ by Weds. night, then another 1.81″ by late Thursday. Then it gives us 1.6″ of snow late Thurs. night. If the NAM is somehow right, we could have slick roads here for the Friday AM commute…a longshot, but possible. WARNING: If you live north of Kent Co. – pay special attention to the forecasts. The NAM has a devastating freezing rain/snow event for Cadillac. They get an inch of freezing rain Thursday, then 8″ of snow. Don’t go crazy over this…it’s probably way overdone and it’s a long ways out…but there is the potential for significant freezing rain/snow…not saying any of that will happen, just keep checking in for the latest. For current Michigan weather observations and wind speeds, click here. Here’s WOOD-TV Interactive Radar, looping radar. Check out regional radar, GRR radar, northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the College of DuPage Radar Map, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the WOOD lightning tracker and U.S. lightning, the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures and the HPC snowfall predictions. Here’s NAM model snowfall thru 84 hours, the GFS snowfall thru 120 hours.