Mild – Sunday AM update

April 27th, 2013 at 2:22 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Lake Michigan sunset from Mary at ReportIt   Modis Lake Michigan 3  The first picture is a Lake Michigan sunset from Mary at ReportIt.  It looks much better full screen.   The second picture is the MODIS satellite picture from Friday.  Here it is full screen.   You can see the muddy water that’s come out of the Grand River along the shore and extending out for a good 3-4 miles.   It looks there might still be a little ice in Green Bay.  Saturday we had our first 70-degree day in G.R.  That was 43 days later than our first 70-degree day of 2012!  The GFS has backed off on the cold and our temperatures will be warm early in the week and cooler, but not terribly cold later this week .  Here’s the GFS maps.  May is the month when you can get these “bowling balls – closed low pressures that are detached from the main Polar Jet and they move very slowly and tend to wobble around.   It would be good if this system brought needed an substantial rain to KS and OK.  I think west Texas will continue to be the center of the drought into early summer.

G.R. thru 4/27 is 4.7 deg. cooler than avg. for April.  Rochester MN had their first 60-degree day of the year on Friday – tying 1951 for the latest first 60 deg. ever.   That year turned out to be a cool summer for the Great Lakes.  G.R. is at 66″ of snow for the winter and 10.76″ of precipitation for April.

50 Responses to “Mild – Sunday AM update”

  1. TomKap (Michigan St. & Fuller) Grand Rapids says:

    So much for ‘computer models’. Can’t believe we put such credence in them.

  2. Jack says:

    FLIP A COIN….I’ll Call…..EUROPEAN !!!! ;-)

  3. INDY says:

    Get outside and love sombody…..INDYY..

  4. Sally says:

    66 inches of snow for GR. Which weather person in the area was the closest for predicting snow?

    1. michael g (SE GR) says:

      Bill forecast 67″. Hard to beat that.

  5. Mark (East Lansing) says:

    Me and my boy are golfing today. He’s six and I’m not sure which of us is more looking forward to it.

  6. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    A nice sunny mild late April day this AM with temp well into the 50’s already! But how long will it last??? I did do some yard work yesterday and may do some more today. I have several spots in the yard were the grass did not survive last summers heat. As for the garden I will wait, while I will start some preparations I will wait until at least mid May (at the earliest) before doing any planting. With all of the snow still on the ground to our northwest we still could get some real cold shots well into May and maybe even June. Who knows it could be a summer like 1992 and be cold all summer….time will tell.
    While it has warmed up in the UP there is still a lot of snow on the ground in parts of the UP here is the cam from Michigan Tech

    http://www.mtu.edu/webcams/townsend/

    Looks like there is less snow on the ground in the central UP.

    http://www.exploremunising.com/weather.html

    And lest hope that heavy rain winds up somewhere where it is needed and not in our area.
    SlimJim

  7. Cort S. says:

    So the Euro is back to cutting off the low over the Plains, and the GFS is sticking with the Great Lakes / Ohio Valley. I’m cheering for the Euro. And here we have another 7-10 day temperature forecast contest. Who will win???

    1. Nathan says:

      Yea and the Euro is more reliable under these cercumstances so im favoring that model for the time being.

      1. Remember the the Euro likes to hold back systems like this so I’m actually leaning a bit towards the GFS

  8. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    My advise – NEVER, EVER beleive any long range forecast from the GFS model. The EURO has proven to be MUCH MORE RELIABLE! Boy has it been nice not having to hear fixxxer whining and complaining about the weather!!!!!

    1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

      Im pretty sure Fixxxer was banned or he has a new name. Either way, he is likely still reading through our comments!

      1. michael g (SE GR) says:

        Nah, he resigned from the blog after he accidentally posted a link to porn, and then blamed it on hacking. And yes, he’s still out there.

      2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        fixxxer is a sorry excuse of a human being!

    2. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      Dare ye invoke that name….

    3. Jack says:

      master must be Blind, bye Now ? ;-)

  9. Barry in Zeeland says:

    Must be getting close to tulip time, here comes the crap weather late next week.

    1. cbm says:

      I used to take the family to the tulip festival. Those were happier times. Now it doesn’t even sound like a good time. And that is when the tulips are even open or when some lunatic teen ager does not chop them down with his car door.

  10. DF (SE Mich) says:

    The CPC is seeing cold and more cold for what it is worth.

    1. whatisthedeal says:

      DF,

      It isn’t anymore. I haven’t looked at the newest GFS data, but the GR NWS says even the GFS is starting to hint that late next week’s cut off low could end up southwest of here. I am hoping that trend continues, and Wood TV-8′s 5pm updated forecast has all but taken rain out for the end of next week with temps still in the mid 60′s.

      The new CPC 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks also have reversed course and are keeping us in average to slightly above avg temps at worst. Of course, that would be much better than previous forecasts. Go Euro model!!!!

      1. Jack says:

        Yes, The CoinFlip (above )…. WasRight….Thank~You…..Stay Cued! For PERFECT Spring Weather…..Lol..;-)

      2. michael g (SE GR) says:

        CPC weekend forecasts are completely automated, and even less reliable than the ones they put out during the week. But, you know what they say about the blind squirrel….

        1. Jack says:

          Ohhhhh….”NUTS” !!!!!!!….. Lol…. ;-)

  11. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    Awesome weather! Pretty much summer temps for most of this week.

    Even northern Michigan is getting into the action. 67 degrees in Boyne City right now, 64 in Gaylord.

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      It is awesome out!

      1. Jack says:

        YES, INDEED !! I was actually SWEATING , While Watching My Sons Lacrosse Game Today! Love It, Wish It was Like This YEAR~ ROUND ! Stay- Cued! ;-) and God BLESS ! :-)

  12. Jen in Middleville says:

    Oh I really hope we stay warm. We had could use the rain…. another time.

  13. Dan says:

    Finally, some really nice weather that we all can get outside in!
    Did we top 70 degrees yet? I’ll take this all summer if I get to choose!

    1. GunLakeDeb says:

      We drove to Traverse, and it was 71 there, too – which seemed strange, being that warm and yet still seeing snowdrifts that hadn’t melted away….LOL!!

  14. Tyler (Escanaba) says:

    I cant believe even how far ahead Escanaba is then Munising and Houghton. Our snow is gone, today driving through town it is hard to find any left. I think there a couple banks left that are just about gone.

  15. Tyler (Escanaba) says:

    The grass is starting to have a green tint to it as well.

  16. Tyler (Escanaba) says:

    Major flood watch now issued for Marquette and the Houghton areas.

  17. Mike (Mattawan) says:

    71.2 here in Mattawan at the moment! It feels GREAT!

  18. Nathan says:

    Yes!!!! Warm weather is here to stay!!!!!

  19. michael g (SE GR) says:

    Nice to run in shorts today. There is a LOT of cold air up in Canada. Guessing we have at least one more blast of nasty weather coming before things stay nicer. Hope not though.

  20. arcturus says:

    Lake MI water temps are impressively cold – http://www.coastwatch.msu.edu/michigan/m3.html

    Lake effect may really cap air temps near the shore this summer.

    1. Brian(Grandville) says:

      Imagine a day like today. Inland temps low 70′s, but having a onshore wind at the lake shore with water temps in the 30′s to near 40. Brrr.

  21. Jack says:

    Off Topic….CONSISTENCY at It’s BEST….RED WINGS In Playoffs . 4 22 Consecutive Seasons !!!! Awesome …GO WINGS !!!!

    1. Brian(Grandville) says:

      Getting hot at the right time Jack.

      1. Jack says:

        Yes. INDEED….Brian…. I LOVE IT…… Stay cued….. ;-)

        1. Brian(Grandville) says:

          You’ve been thunder…..
          Cue it up Jack.

  22. michael g (SE GR) says:

    Up until a couple of weeks ago I had little hope for the Wings due to the lack of quality defensemen. But, with the developement of Smith and Kindle, and the arrival of Dekeyser, along with the stellar play of Howard, they have a puncher’s chance. Babcock is one of the best coaches in the league no matter which roster he is dealing with.

    1. Jack says:

      Agree 110..percent ……GO RED~ WINGS!!!… Staying Cued…. ;-)

  23. fixxxerswrist says:

    if we do not get to 90 or 100s soon im gonna crack. at least bring us some severe billy boy.

  24. fixxxerswrist says:

    who knows any thing about casts here,

    1. Brian(Grandville) says:

      You should have healed by now. We’re going on 2 years with this.

  25. INDY says:

    BILL we have a fire a going out thee YARDofBRICKS clean up is going good from flood 2013!! Missing u tonight Bill …….INDYY….

    1. Jack says:

      INDY…FIRE SONG 4 Theeeeeeeeeee YARDofBRICKS, CUE: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2FdAeg8Qu8Y. Turn IT UP INDY ;-)

  26. Jevon Murphy (Chicago) says:

    Hey Bill…Much of IL/MI doesn’t need another front to stall over the region especially with the Gulf of Mexico wide open!

    By the way did you ever get those pictures that I sent?

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