Plains/Midwest Severe Weather

May 19th, 2013 at 12:45 am by under Bill's Blog, News, Weather

Virginia-Sharrai-6-miles-west-of-larned KSN May 18   Tornado in Kansas Sat. PM – pic. from KSN.   The early Sunday AM severe weather count from Saturday:  11 tornadoes, 46 reports of wind damage and 102 reports of large hail (up to tennis-ball size.  Nine states had at least one severe weather report with the largest concentration in the High Plains from the Dakotas to North Texas.  Here’s updated SPC severe reports.  Here’s video of the Rozel KS tornado.  Here’s some pics.  A policeman was injured by debris at Garfield OK.  4″ of rain fell near /Dupree SD.  85 mph winds were reported at Okreek SD.

Model update…the NAM caribou gives G.R. highs of 83 the next couple days.  The GFS caribou goes to low 80s Sun. and 85-86 on Monday.   It also takes low temperatures down to the mid-upper 30s next Sat. and Sun. AM – both days are partly-mostly sunny and dry, but too cool for most people for getting wet at the lake or pool.

Also, it looks like it’ll be the latest ice break-up on record at Nenana, Alaska.  The only other year when the ice lasted this long was 1964.  The contest goes back to 1917!  The tripod at the link is bigger than it looks in the picture and it’s 300 feet offshore.  The ice there was actually 2″ thicker on April 25 than it was on April 1…that’s incredible.  What’s also incredible is the money!  The jackpot last year was $350,000.  Speaking of jackpots, I heard that 80% of the possible combination of numbers were picked in the Powerball drawing.

74 Responses to “Plains/Midwest Severe Weather”

  1. TomL says:

    The amount of money up for grabs in last night’s powerball jackpot drawing truley was amazing!!
    One caution, however, for all of those folks who think that they should start investing their hard earned cash in this and future lottery drawings; don’t.
    In actuality, considering last night’s drawing, if someone had started buying tickets from the time of the New Testament to last night, at the amount of one per month let’s say), they still would have only had less than an even chance of hitting the winning combination of numbers!!!
    If, on the other hand, those same folks were to save five dollars a week for a period of, let’s just say, ten years? They would have saved $5,200. Not anywhere near 600 million, granted. Enough, however, to have a nice amount saved up for a vacation they always wanted to take, for the grandkid’s college fund, etc. Just saying….

  2. Dan says:

    Could be coming this way, Tuesday or Wednesday. The severe weather chances look greater for Wednesday. Until then, ENJOYING the absolutely awesome weather we are having right now! Supposed to get to 85 degrees today! Get out and ENJOY!

  3. Dan says:

    Also, have to give a shout out to the Red Wings! Way to go WINGS!!! You played a GREAT game yesterday in Chicago! Now, the series comes home to the Joe all tied up!! Its the best of 5, GO WINGS!!! Keep that GREAT playing going and just maybe you’ll pull a HUGE upset on Chicago!!

    1. Mike M. says:

      As a CYA, the warmists have made as many places as possible “ground zero” for “climate change.”

      http://tomnelson.blogspot.com/2012/03/settled-science-every-place-is-change.html

    2. big Daddy BC says:

      You’re a fricken nut job, Mike. Get a life.
      Here’s your canary, Fudgetard.

      http://www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/features/2012-seaicemin.html

      1. Mike M. says:

        Really impressive. Let’s check out the place where 90% of the world’s ice sits…

        http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/seaice.anomaly.antarctic.png

        Riddle me this, Fatman, why is the South pole getting bigger? Didn’t Homer Hansen tell us the mythical warmth would be greatest at the poles, as in plural?

        1. Mike M. says:

          Why, yes, he did…

          http://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/capture125.jpg?w=640

          Of course, Hansen hasn’t had a prediction come true yet. He’s the Harold Camping of the climate world.

        2. Bill Steffen says:

          LOL! Harold Camping…Nice, Mike!

        3. big Daddy BC says:

          The warmth IS greatest at the poles, Dill Weed. This phenom you and Billy like to post about has been explained a countless number of times here. I get that you don’t believe in the ‘religion’ of science, but continually asking the same question harkens of a fundamentalist stupidity, one mired in superstition and fanaticism. Please, Brother, pay attention or don’t continually troll for reaction. Stupid is…

          Read.

          http://www.nature.com/news/global-warming-expands-antarctic-sea-ice-1.12709

        4. Mike M. says:

          Please follow Big Dummy’s link, folks. You will be amazed and pleased to find out that global “warming” makes ice grow on and around Antarctica. Wow! Climate change: is there anything it can’t do?

        5. big Daddy BC says:

          Again, don’t mock what you don’t understand, Fudgetard. I’ll be glad to tutor you on phase changes if you like, but not for free.

        6. Paul says:

          It’s great to have “Bill’s Blog” resident cross-dressing moron (bdbc) back on. So how has life been treating you fudge packer? lol

        7. Bill Steffen says:

          Not only is ice growing like crazy in Antarctica…Snowfall is increasing in the Northern Hemisphere: http://climate.rutgers.edu/snowcover/chart_seasonal.php?ui_set=nhland&ui_season=1

          This is what you alarmists forecast: http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/snowfalls-are-now-just-a-thing-of-the-past-724017.html

          Couldn’t have been more wrong. And…it’s not getting warmer…hasn’t for over a decade: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif

          Sure left you climate profiteers scratching your heads:

          From Kevin Trenberth:

          “The fact is that we can’t account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can’t.”

          Even James Hansen admits that the warming as stopped: “The five-year mean global temperature has been flat for the last decade… ” – James Hansen et al.

          Say “NO” to “skyrocketing” utility rates. Say “NO” to $9 a gallon “European level” gasoline prices. Say “NO” to climate profiteers.

      2. Bill Steffen says:

        Arctic ice now at a greater extent for late May since 2005: http://www.natice.noaa.gov/ims/images/sea_ice_only.jpg

        Antarctic ice at a RECORD extent for May, a historic HIGH: http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/S_timeseries.png

        Antarctic ice extent has been growing for 25 YEARS: http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/seaice.anomaly.antarctic.png What’s truly amazing is that it didn’t even get back to average extent during the Southern Hemisphere summer!

        1. big Daddy BC says:

          Here goes Bill with his cherry picked nuggets of nonsense. LOL He’s even more confused than Mike the hunch-backed creeper.

          http://www.nature.com/news/global-warming-expands-antarctic-sea-ice-1.12709

        2. Bill Steffen says:

          From BigDaddy’s link: “Scientists have struggled to explain why sea ice near the South Pole has grown in extent over the same period.”

          Sure they’ve struggled…it not what they predicted. Now, working backwards, they have to find some explanation to fit reality. They’ve come up with a lame explanation. Not only is sea ice expanding around Antarctica, the ocean water surrounding Antarctica, is (for the most part) COLDER than average, which you can plainly see in this image of global sea surface temperature anomaly: http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/anomaly/2013/anomnight.5.16.2013.gif (blue color around the edge of the Antarctic icecap.

          And mostly importantly, it isn’t getting warmer: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif

      1. Mike M. says:

        I trust the “climate scientists” at NASA as much as I trust Susan Rice or David Axelrod. Let’s check the real current temp of the planet, not the “adjusted” and tortured numbers the liars at GISS put out…

        http://www.drroyspencer.com/wp-content/uploads/UAH_LT_1979_thru_Apr_2013_v5.5.png

        One tenth of a degree Celsius above the thirty year average. Wow. How we gonna survive?

      2. Bill Steffen says:

        NASA shows, bigDaddy, that the Earth isn’t warming. Global temperatures have been flat for over a decade: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif

        Even James Hansen admits the obvious: “The five-year mean global temperature has been flat for the last decade…” – James Hansen et al.

      3. big Daddy BC says:

        Of course. Of course. The greatest scientists with the most eyes on the world are lying to garnish more grant and tax money. Who do you believe, my lazy eyed extremist compadre? Watts? Exxon-Spencer? No chance of those two charmers falling under the influence of the evil temptation to lie and misrepresent for cash. It’s just a coincidence that Spencer’s on Exxon’s payroll. And never mind Watts’ lack of credentials. That makes him MORE trustworthy doesn’t it!? LOL

        NOAA has this to say: http://www.climate.gov/#climateWatch

        1. Mike M. says:

          Roy Spencer coming off of a four day bender of Wild Turkey, Ritalin, and Pop Tarts makes more sense than your boys Homer Hansen and Michael “Piltdown” Mann combined.

        2. Bill Steffen says:

          LOL! Right, Mike. And keep in mind that Hansen is a serial lawbreaker: “…Hansen had already become an activist…taking vacation time from NASA to appear at climate protests and allowing himself to be arrested or cited a half-dozen times! (this from the NY Times)

          HALF A DOZEN TIMES!!

          And even HE has been forced to acknowledge that global temperatures are NOT going up: “The five-year mean global temperature has been flat for the last decade…” – James Hansen et al.

    3. big Daddy BC says:

      Here’s a nice graphic illustrating what was actually happening in the northern-most latitudes. You can’t cherry pick your out of a scientific argument. LOL

      http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/climatechange/january-2012-surface-temperatu/61648

      “As you can see by the January 2012 temperature anomaly map from GISS below, Alaska was incredibly cold last month, while much of the rest of the far northern latitudes were UNSEASONABLY WARM, including much of the Lower 48 states.”

      1. Bill Steffen says:

        Global temperatures have been flat for 11 years: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif

        Arctic ice extent greater than any late May since at least 2005: http://www.natice.noaa.gov/ims/images/sea_ice_only.jpg

      2. big Daddy BC says:

        The only thing flat is your tired old argument.

        2012 was a phenomenal year for climate change. Record after record shattered. Climate change predictions realized. Extreme events characterized every season or don’t your remember?

        http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/service/global/extremes/201213.gif

        1. Mike M. says:

          2012 had weather and that’s all you have left in your depleted arsenal, claiming that common weather is “extreme.” With your loose definition of “extreme” I can safely predict that every year from now on will also be extreme. Of course, I can also backcast to show every single year since Man first brewed beer has been “extreme,” too. You have the intellectual depth of a nine year old, Big Dummy BC.

        2. big Daddy BC says:

          Can we agree that an increase in record breaking events is note-worthy or is that too much? Your confusion is warranted as this trend has become the new norm, but that doesn’t make it any less significant. It’s not ‘normal’ for the Arctic to shrink at the rate it is or for summers in Michigan to reach 108 degrees. These events are unusual because they occur outside of what we consider normal. It doesn’t take a doctorate to figure this stuff out, but considering you quit school in the sixth grade to pursue a career with the carnival…

        3. Paul says:

          bdbc = fudge eating cross-dressing knob gobbler, lol.

        4. Bill Steffen says:

          The 108 that BigDaddy referred to was in 1936. The warmest last summer was 104. 24 of the 50 states have their all-time record high temperatures from the 1930s! Seventy-five years later, with 10 times as many weather stations, we still have not broken those heat records.

          Regarding extremes

          1) Last year and this year so far have had very low numbers of tornadoes, both in the U.S. and worldwide. Michigan had 12 tornadoes that ranked either F4 or F5 from 1953-1977. We haven’t had a single EF4 or EF5 tornado in Michigan since 1977.

          2) We have now gone the longest periods of time in at least 150 years without a Category 3 or higher hurricane hitting the U.S. Sandy was barely a hurricane when it hit the East Coast.

          3) The drought last year was not as bad as the droughts of the 1930s and it was not caused by “climate change” This is from the State Climatologist of Texas: “There is no evidence that climate change contributed to the lack of rainfall, because rainfall has risen over the past century in the state.”

          4) The floods on the Grand River in G.R. in 1904 and 1905 were significantly worse (in impact and in volume of water) than the flood of this April.

          5) Arctic ice extent is greater today than on any May 19th going back to at least 2005: http://www.natice.noaa.gov/ims/images/sea_ice_only.jpg Antarctic ice is at a record maximum extent.

    4. Robert (Plainwell) says:

      Hey Mike it looks like you struck a nerve.

      1. Mike M. says:

        Gee, how can you argue with a whole month of UNSEASONABLE WARMTH over 1.5% of the whole planet’s surface? Why, it MUST be man made “climate change!” Greentards like BD will believe anything.

        1. Mike M. says:

          Yeah, you would keep picking smaller and smaller areas. So it’s not “global” warming anymore, just regional? Then what are you lunatics so scared about?

        2. Dan says:

          Mike: Ask Big Daddy about the DOJ’s handling of the IRS and the President’s handling of Benghazi.
          I would like to hear what talking points he regurgitates.

        3. Mike M. says:

          Funny, Dan, when I see the word “regurgitate” I automatically think of BDbc.

        4. big Daddy BC says:

          I saw a pole yesterday that reported that most Americans don’t care about the FOX NEWS slant on Benghazi. It’s a non-story outside of the teabag circle. It’s an attempt to discredit Hillary in advance. Good luck. As far as the IRS thing goes, why would it surprise anyone that more right-wingers are getting busted for tax evasion than democrats? Besides, I haven’t seen anyone that has been able to link the President to this. Again, more FOX NEWS garbage.

        5. Bill Steffen says:

          A “pole”??

          This is from Bob Woodward in the Huffington Post:

          “”Well it’s a big mess, obviously,” he said. “I know there have been these comparisons to Watergate. I would say not yet, Joe. You’ve made the point which I think is absolutely correct that you’ve got to investigate all of these things.”

          Some minutes later, though, he raised the issue of Benghazi.

          “If you read through all these emails, you see that everyone in the government is saying, ‘Oh, let’s not tell the public that terrorists were involved, people connected to al Qaeda. Let’s not tell the public that there were warnings,’” he said. “And I have to go back 40 years to Watergate when Nixon put out his edited transcripts to the conversations, and he personally went through them and said, ‘Oh, let’s not tell this, let’s not show this.’ I would not dismiss Benghazi. It’s a very serious issue.”

        6. Paul says:

          The little fella or should I say “little lady” (wink, wink) gets confused when you start talking about poles and long objects. I wonder what he/she (bdbc) does when they go by a high rise??? Must be a very confusing sight to see, lol.

          Btw bdbc, was that your trailer park that got hit yesterday? Now it makes sense why I saw all those wigs and other unmentionables flying in front the camera, lol.

          Have great day!

        7. Dan says:

          You might be right Big Daddy. The President was acting presidential and he may have been away golfing. Fact of the matter of is, he is supposed to have the intel about events that were leading up to and including the tragedy in Benghazi! So he gets on the media and claims he knows nothing about it.
          C’mon, you are going to try to tell me nobody can link the President to this? What about electronic email records? Oh yeah, then the President comes on two days later and makes up another huge lie. Then, the IRS ? More Scandal. Face it, Obama is out of touch with what the people want. He also said that Obamacare would cost less for American Families. Have you checked the facts on this one? It is costing four times as much for Obamacare. Point is, he tells lie after lie after lie! He governs from the left only he doesn’t have the backbone or the resolve to really take a stand. So, he listens to Pelosi and Reid, etc!

  4. Monday and Tuesday both looking like they could be decent severe weather days here! Instability looks extreme for tomorrow and good on Tuesday as well. Models this AM are showing better shear than yesterday as well.

    1. Cort S. says:

      Yeah, looking relatively good. 1500-1800 surface-based CAPE on Monday, storm tops 35-40,000. Just need the mesoscale and shortwave weather features to cooperate. Shear could be better. Looks like hail and wind; tornado threat fairly low.

  5. bodawg says:

    Somebody needs to move their weather reporting system away from their grill. Wunderground shows 100 in the Georgetown Forest. Inaccurate.

    1. michael g (SE GR) says:

      That’s Big Daddy’s station. He has the temp sensor in a box of mirrors sitting in the sun to fabricate some warming data.

      1. big Daddy BC says:

        Clever

        1. Bill Steffen says:

          http://www.welt.de/print/die_welt/hamburg/article115689956/Wissenschaftler-sollten-nicht-Priester-spielen.html

          http://www.heute.de/Klimawandel-Skeptiker-amtlich-unerw%C3%BCnscht-28010994.html

          part translation:

          “science like to use ‘stories that point to a catastrophe,’ said the professor of meteorology. One example was the assumption that our region would see ‘murderous violent storms’. But there was no data showing this.”

  6. michael g (SE GR) says:

    Severe storms in south central Wisconsin already, but they’re headed north east toward Green Bay.

  7. Cort S. says:

    Tornado Emergency for Wichita. Passed just SE of the airport and the NWS office. The folks at the NWS briefly went to their shelter and had Topeka issue their warnings. The TV crews, including the meteorologists, at KSN evacuated their studio and went to shelter.

    https://twitter.com/CortScholten/status/336223532491083777/photo/1/large

  8. Barry in Zeeland says:

    90 here in Zeeland! I see the Holland station is also reporting 90. Since the snow people start in August already guessing how many inches of snow we will get, how about we guess how many 100 degree days we’ll get this year. Not basing this on anything other than gut feeling, but I’m saying three. Last year was horrible since we were re-siding and re-roofing right during the heat wave we had. Don’t ever want to do that again.

    1. michael g (SE GR) says:

      I’ll take zero, you can have any other number.

    2. mr. negative says:

      None

  9. michael g (SE GR) says:

    Warmest so far this year here, 86*. A/C on for the first time.

  10. Cort S. says:

    The tornado that was near Edmond, OK in the last hour:
    https://twitter.com/MPrendergastTX/status/336234572297666560/photo/1

  11. Jack says:

    Tornado spotted near Wichita, Kan., residents told to take cover‎
    6 minutes ago

    1. Cort S. says:

      A late news report I think. The immediate threat for Wichita is over for now. Damage reported on the SW side of town, luckily we are not hearing about injuries.

      1. Jack says:

        Yeah, Your right, Cort…. Me Bad… ;-)

        1. Cort S. says:

          No worries, you’re cool.

    2. fixxxer says:

      Our weather is so boring jack is chasing out of state storms. You guys should be used to this. The past 3 years have been lackluster.

      1. Jack says:

        What the Hell, is Wrong with Chasing outta State Storms….Fixxxer. Try it you might Learn something. Don’t Go away Mad…just…Go Away!,,, ;-)

      2. Cort S. says:

        Can we officially consider you to be un-quit from the blog, fix? May as well stop pretending.

        1. INDY says:

          Hey fixxer try the huns yellow pages u will find some good looks and fat hooks …INDYY..

      3. Mark (East Lansing) says:

        I thought you left “for good this time?”

  12. Cort S. says:

    Tornado Debris Signature seen on dual-pol radar very near Fallis, Oklahoma. Spotters report a large tornado.
    https://twitter.com/CortScholten/status/336241998531026944/photo/1/large

  13. INDY says:

    Tornado crazzy mid west, I see Sprite 30 for thee INDY today ready to TRACK RACK AND STACK super cell thunder storms in Michigan tomorrow ..What u going to do when a super cell thunder boom comes 4 u!!! Stay tuned my friends…LOCKnLOAD it’s storm codee timee…..INDYY..

  14. Cort S. says:

    Another tornado debris signature on radar, this one is east of Norman and NNW of Pink, Oklahoma. Multi-vortex tornado live on TV out of OKC.
    https://twitter.com/CortScholten/status/336261780277977089/photo/1/large

  15. Mike M. says:

    RECORD EVENT REPORT
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
    500 AM AKDT SUN MAY 19 2013

    …COOLER THAN NORMAL WEATHER CONTINUES FOR ANCHORAGE…

    THE HIGH TEMPERATURE FOR SATURDAY MAY 18TH 2013 PEAKED AT 40 DEGREES
    AT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE ON SAND LAKE ROAD.
    THIS MARKS THE THIRD DAY IN A ROW THAT THE DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURE
    SET A NEW LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE RECORD. IT ECLIPSES THE PREVIOUS
    LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE RECORD OF 45 DEGREES SET ON MAY 18TH 1922.

    THE RECORD FOR MEASURABLE SNOWFALL WAS EXTENDED ONE MORE DAY ON THE
    18TH AS 0.1 INCHES WAS RECORDED. THIS SNOWFALL MAKES THE 2012-2013
    SNOW SEASON THE LONGEST SINCE RECORDS BEGAN IN 1917…WITH 232 DAYS
    BETWEEN THE FIRST MEASURABLE SNOWFALL ON SEPTEMBER 29TH 2012 TO THE
    LAST MEASURABLE SNOWFALL ON MAY 18TH. THE PREVIOUS MARK OF 231 DAYS
    WAS SET YESTERDAY…WHICH BROKE THE 230 DAY SEASON SET 1981-1982.

  16. mr. negative says:

    Tornado festival in the usual places…

  17. Cort S. says:

    A little while earlier, large tornado crossed I-40 north of Shawnee, Oklahoma. Overturned cars and semis.
    https://twitter.com/CortScholten/status/336268072635756544/photo/1/large

  18. INDY says:

    Tornado Watches Coming To Michigan …..Stay Tuned INDYY..

  19. Jerry hoag says:

    Tomorrow is going to be VERY EXCITING!!! Get ready everyone! Same for Tuesday and maybe Wednesday!! Get ready to rock-n-roll.!!!

    INDY!!!!!! I AM SO READY FOR THIS WEATHER!!

    1. Jack says:

      OLD SCHOOL…Ready, Ready, READY…… CUE: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vwq0ZMPsx3Y. Stay CUED…. ;-) . Jerry ,,!!!!

  20. Kinsey says:

    So far, it looks as if the day with the most storms will be tomorrow. Is that true? What do you think the biggest threat is with these storms?

    1. Cort S. says:

      I think Monday (afternoon/evening)’s storms have the most instability to work with, so any storms that do form then will be pretty intense, but they may not be as numerous or widespread as the storms Tuesday-Wednesday. Storms will be mostly hail and wind, but a brief tornado cannot be ruled out.

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