Spring 2012 vs. 2013 and more

June 16th, 2013 at 10:08 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Spring 2012 Temperature Anomaly U.S. by State  Spring 2013 Temperature Anomaly U.S. by State Spring 2013 Precipitation Anomaly by State   Please click on the images to enlarge.   The image on the left is the Spring (March, April, May) 2012 Temperature Anomaly (difference from average temperature) rank by state.   We had the warmest spring ever over the Lower 48 states.   Now, look at the image in the middle.  That’s the Spring 2013 Temperature Anomaly by state for the Lower 48 states.   What a difference a year makes!  Fourteen states had a top-ten coolest spring ever.  The third map on the right is the Spring 2013 Precipitation Anomaly by state.   The Northern Plains into the Great Lakes had a wet spring.  Iowa had the wettest spring ever, and Michigan the fifth wettest in 119 years.  Often, the core of the summer heat sets up where it’s been dry.   My thinking has been that the upper level (heat) ridge will be over the SW U.S. into the Central and Southern High Plains.  The ridge wobbles back and forth, so the heat will try and come east into the Great Lakes from time to time this summer…but I think it will be hard to get the extended heat that we had last July.  The heat may last a day or two…then retreat back to the southwest as temperatures come back to average or a little below.  We have had a very wet year here in the G.R. area and being on the edge of the ridge with WNW flow much of the summer, we’ll probably continue to get periods of short-lasting WNW flow showers and thunderstorms.   In this pattern, we are certainly susceptible to wind damage events.   Note the difference in water temperatures in the western Gulf of Mexico from mid-May to mid-June.   There’s been significant warming.  We haven’t had many real humid days so far this month, but the humid air is going to be trying harder to get up to the Great Lakes.   If we stay close to the edge of the ridge, farmers should see, overall, ample rain during mid-summer.   At this point, the fruit crop is looking good.  Here’s global sea-surface temperature anomaly.   There has been significant warming of the water off of Southern Alaska, where they have had some record high temperatures.  Barrow, at the northern tip of Alaska, had a rare thunderstorm with temperatures in the mid 60s, about 20-degrees warmer than average.  See the Barrow webcam here (24-hour daylight  now in Barrow, so look anytime of the day or night.   The water is cold around Antarctica, where they could see a record ice extent (satellite era – since 1979).       (images from NCDC).

29 Responses to “Spring 2012 vs. 2013 and more”

  1. big Daddy BC says:

    http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/service/global/map-percentile-mntp/201304.gif

    Here’s another NOAA produced graphic. Worldwide, climate change rages on.

    “The combined average temperature over global land and ocean surfaces for April 2013 was the 13th warmest on record, at 0.52°C (0.94°F) above the 20th century average of 13.7°C (56.7°F).”

    1. big Daddy BC says:

      According to the June 4 U.S. Drought Monitor Report, “44.1 percent of the contiguous U.S. was experiencing moderate-to-exceptional drought, 46.9 percent at the beginning of May. Drought continued to improve for parts of the Great Plains, but worsened in the West. Several months of warm and dry conditions in California led to nearly the entire state being in drought by early June.”

      I’d also be remiss if I didn’t bring up the record tornadoes this spring. “Despite a below-average preliminary tornado count during May for the contiguous U.S., several large and powerful tornadoes hit populated areas resulting in significant damage and loss of life. Two EF-5 tornadoes, the highest strength rating given to a tornado, were confirmed near Oklahoma City. The EF-5 tornado that hit Moore, Oklahoma, on May 20th destroyed thousands of homes and businesses in and around the city and was blamed for over 20 fatalities. According to preliminary analysis, the EF-5 near El Reno, Oklahoma, on May 31st had a path width of approximately 2.6 miles, the widest tornado ever observed in the United States. ” NOAA

      Climate Change rages on.

      1. Bill Steffen says:

        WOW! 12 other Aprils were warmer! Quick, raise taxes on the middle class so we can have more boondoggles like Solyndra! LOL!!

        So called “global warming” isn’t happening. NASA clearly shows that global temperatures have been flat for over 10 years:

        http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif

        Even the most alarmist of climate profiteers, James Hansen, has had to admit it: “The five-year mean global temperature has been flat for the last decade…” – James Hansen et al.

        Remember the famous Climategate email from Kevin Trenberth: “The fact is that we can’t account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can’t.” It’s a travesty because it may stop that grant money!

        Now this from the NY TIMES on June 10, 2013: “..that lull in warming has occurred even as greenhouse gases have accumulated in the atmosphere at a record pace. The slowdown is a bit of a mystery to climate scientists.”

        Not a mystery to all the climatologists and meteorologists who believe that the sun (solar variability) and ocean currents actually have an effect on global temperature.

        CO2 emissions in the U.S. are falling and are now at a 20-year low: http://content.usatoday.com/communities/ondeadline/post/2012/08/in-a-surprise-co2-emissions-hit-20-year-low/1

        Global sea ice ABOVE average: http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/global.daily.ice.area.withtrend.jpg

        Arctic sea ice at a 10-year greatest extent for mid-June: http://www.natice.noaa.gov/ims/images/sea_ice_only.jpg

        Antarctic ice extent about to set ANOTHER all-time record extent: http://www.natice.noaa.gov/ims/images/sea_ice_only.jpg

        This from June 3, 2013 – from Oxford University in England: “Professor Myles Allen, Oxford University’s professor of geosystems science and head of its Climate Research Network, says what a lot of people have been saying for years. He says global warming has been one long con and billions wasted.

        Read more: http://www.thisisnottingham.co.uk/Scientist-agrees-global-warming-trick/story-19170216-detail/story.html#ixzz2WRGozPJ0

        “Extreme cold” with ten fatalities in Bolivia: http://www.dailypress.com/videogallery/76316563/News/Ten-killed-in-Bolivian-cold-snap

        Dr. Lennart Bengtsson, a top Swedish climate scientist, formerly affiliated with the IPCC, said in February “We are creating great anxiety without it being justified…there are no indications that the warming is so severe that we need to panic…

        “The warming we have had the last 100 years is so small that, if we didn’t have meteorologists and climatologists to measure it, we wouldn’t have noticed it at all.”

        1/3rd of Britain’s bees have died from the cold winter/spring: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-22861651

        Overall the number of strong to violent tornadoes (EF3 to EF5) has declined since the 1970s (when we had 7 F5 tornadoes IN ONE DAY: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Super_Outbreak)

        Check this graph of tornadoes by year: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/torngraph-big.png We’ve had a very low count overall this year and last year.

        The Moore Oklahoma tornado of 2013 wasn’t even the strongest and most deadly tornado to hit Moore Oklahoma in the last 15 years! http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1999_Oklahoma_tornado_outbreak

        Finally, the State Climatologist of Texas (the state hit hardest by the La Nina drought of 2012) said: “There is no evidence that climate change contributed to the lack of rainfall, because rainfall has risen over the past century in the state.” reference: http://texasclimatenews.org/wp/?p=5113

      2. Mike M. says:

        Bigduddy does not understand science. Do you know what “ocean cycles” are, BigDuddy? No, you don’t. Look! We can tell when and where we will have droughts here in the US…

        http://bobtisdale.files.wordpress.com/2013/06/figure-14.png

        See? We are in a “Negative PDO/Positive AMO” period right now. You’re not very smart or you would have pointed out the record precipitation in Iowa as “climate change.” Ha, ha. Actually, for grownups we call it weather, not “climate change.”

      3. Mike M. says:

        I trust NOAAA as much as I trust the EPA, IRS, DOJ, and the State Department. Global temps in May are a measly 0.07°C above the thirty year average…

        http://www.drroyspencer.com/wp-content/uploads/UAH_LT_1979_thru_May_2013_v5.5.png

      4. Mike M. says:

        Your whole house of cards is tumbling Bdbc. Keith Briffa has just blown up a hand grenade underneath all of Michael “Piltdown” Mann’s tree ring proxies…

        http://climateaudit.org/2013/06/16/briffa-condemns-mann-reconstructions/

        This goes to the very heart of the IPCC’s climate sensitivity estimates. Time to go back to the consensus that existed. before Mann crawled onto the scene. The Medieval Warm Period DID exist, it was global, and that means that all the warming we’ve been blessed with for the last 160 years is easily within natural parameters. Go find another scam.

      5. Robert (Plainwell) says:

        Oh Big daddy if you keep screaming maybe someone will hear you.

        http://typhoon.atmos.colostate.edu/Includes/Documents/Publications/gray2012.pdf

      6. Dan says:

        Ahh, if EF5 tornadoes is your own data that you are using here. Then, what about this data? It is taken from the NWS.
        No EF5 Tornadoes Touched Down in 2012

        58 May 24, 2011 El Reno/Piedmont OK
        57 May 22, 2011 Joplin MO
        56 Apr 27, 2011 Rainsville/Sylvania AL
        55 Apr 27, 2011 Preston MS
        54 Apr 27, 2011 Hackleburg/Phil Campbell AL
        53 Apr 27, 2011 Smithville MS

        No EF5 Tornadoes Touched Down 2009 – 2010

        52 May 25, 2008 Parkersburg IA
        51 May 4, 2007 Greensburg KS

        No EF5 Tornadoes Touched Down 2000 – 2006

        50 May 3, 1999 Bridge Creek/Moore OK
        49 Apr 16, 1998 Waynesboro TN
        48 Apr 8, 1998 Oak Grove/Pleasant Grove AL
        47 May 27, 1997 Jarrell TX
        46 Jul 18, 1996 Oakfield WI

        No EF5 Tornadoes Touched Down 1993 – 1995

        45 June 16, 1992 Chandler MN
        44 Apr 26, 1991 Andover KS
        43 Aug 28, 1990 Plainfield IL
        42 Mar 13, 1990 Goessel KS
        41 Mar 13, 1990 Hesston KS

        No EF5 Tornadoes Touched Down 1986 -1989

        40 May 31, 1985 Niles OH
        39 Jun 7, 1984 Barneveld WI

        Looks like there were even more in 2011, 1990 and 1998!
        That is flawed data and its very narrowly focused!
        Its like saying all mosquitoes carry swine flu. It just isn’t true!!

  2. Cliff (Scotts) says:

    Ohh big daddy you make me laugh, don’t drink the kool aid buddy

  3. Mary (Barrow, AK) says:

    What? A t-storm in Barrow?? Thanks for telling me, I hadn’t heard! And I go back to Barrow in two weeks so I missed it!! People up there always discuss the last time they heard thunder there….I never have. Just really enjoying a couple more weeks of beautiful Michigan weather (and the storms too) :)

  4. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    That’s what happens when you compare to March 2012, the hottest March on record by far.

    If you exclude March, I’m only 1 degree off last year’s warm spring thus far.

    Just got back from a beautiful weekend up north. Plenty of swimmers already as the water temps are rising quickly. Looks warm coming up too!

    1. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

      I see temps are only in the 40′s in the UP this AM.
      SlimJim

      1. DF (SE Mich) says:

        Flint and only Flint matters Slim… =)

    2. DF (SE Mich) says:

      If you exclude March… LOL. How to lie with statistics has reached a new level.

      1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

        Technically spring doesn’t start til March 20th anyway.

        1. DF (SE Mich) says:

          Yes, but has nothing to do with weather.

    3. Bill Steffen says:

      March this year was 4.1 deg. cooler than the 1981-2010 30-year average. That average doesn’t even include 2012. If you included that it would have been even cooler than 4.1 deg. below average. We didn’t have a day in March 2013 warmer than the mid 50s and only 5 out of 31 days were warmer than average.

      1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

        Here’s my 2013:

        Jan: +4.5
        Feb: Even
        March: -2.0
        April: -1.3
        May: +5.0
        June so far: +0.8

        A very nice 2013 so far!

        1. Bill Steffen says:

          Here’s the last 90 days for Michigan: http://climate.geo.msu.edu/MWCC/tmaxdev-90days.png Looks pretty cool to me.

        2. DF (SE Mich) says:

          I think they built an air condition unit next to the Flint station.

  5. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    Well its almost gone!!!! The snow pile on Mt Ripley in Hancock MI is now all but gone. There looks to two small areas of what looks like it could be snow just left of center.

    http://www.mtu.edu/webcams/ripley/

    Not sure but there still could be other areas of snow piles still on the ground in parts of the Keweenaw area.
    SlimJim

  6. Jeff (Fremont) says:

    This year has been great for weather here in West Michigan. Mild temps and relatively few severe weather events. I understand that there were a couple of tornados up here, but fortunately no one was killed as far as I know.

    1. Bill Steffen says:

      Yeah, the climate models are “deeply flawed” as Dr. Judith Curry, head of Climate Science at Georgia Tech. said last year. The climate profiteers know it. Remember the famous Climategate email from Kevin Trenberth: “The fact is that we can’t account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can’t.” They’ve really got to work on those Algore-rhythms in the climate models.

      1. Mike M. says:

        What’s a travesty is Trenberth claiming that the heat has slipped past all the sensors and is hiding below 700m in the oceans. Why, global warmening is just waiting to pounce, I tells ya! Ar!

        1. Bill Steffen says:

          Al Gore’s found the missing heat 700m down…or 2 km down or whatever: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zMrxC-qEHb8

  7. DF (SE Mich) says:

    Too bad those models weren’t correct. We have COLD climate change in Mongolia…
    http://cnnphotos.blogs.cnn.com/2013/06/16/from-nomad-to-climate-refugee/?hpt=hp_c4

    :)

  8. Dan says:

    Did Big Daddy or any of the others that buy into the hype of warming see the latest climate data from that was just released? EMPHASIS on the word, DATA. I think, there are many who truly do NOT understand the meaning of that word! The most recent data takes into account the last 50 years. If the criteria were truly being met for warming then, wouldn’t there be some other information besides here say, politics and talking points? Just because somebody said it, does it make it true? PLEASE, why not look at all the DATA?
    Why continually make fictitious claims? Especially given that you have tried this so many time before? How far has it gotten you? Please don’t talk to me about Co2 levels and greenhouse gases to lead others astray. We all know there isn’t even sufficient data to support these wild claims. For starters, why dismiss the UPCC study? The greenhouse data and logic would lead us to believe that that you cannot run outside in the summer without heat protection all over your body or you would melt. Point is, failed logic.

  9. David says:

    I don’t know what to make of the arguements for both sides? You all seem so Confident! Wow! No one knows!
    I don’t know what to believe, but I do know Man is Trashing this Earth!

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