Severe Weather Risk

June 21st, 2013 at 10:36 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook 1630 UTC Day 2 Outlook 1630 UTC Day 3 Outlook These are the SPC Severe Weather Risk Areas for today, tomorrow and the next day.  We are in the General Thunderstorm Outlook for the next several days, with the severe threat continuing from Wisconsin back into the Plains.  Check out the radar of the t-storm complex that has come thru MN and WI.

There was a “wake low” that caused strong E-SE winds across parts of N. Wisconsin.  Antigo’s wind is SE 29G38 at 11 AM EDT Friday.   There have been some extremely heavy rains over the past 48-hours from NW Wisconsin and the U.P. back to eastern Montana.  Just in the last 24 hours:  6.85″ near Benson MN, 6.45″ Gordon WI, 6.3″ in four hours at Valley City ND,  4.20 Long Prairie MN, 4″ Melrose MN, 3.45 near Brainerd MN, 1.95″ Minneapolis, 1.81″ Duluth, 1.62 Twin Lakes MI, 1.28″ Watersmeet MI.  Up to 4″ of rain fell near Browning, MT and   Tropical Storm Barry produced up to 10″ of rain near Jalapa and Tuxpan, Mexico – on the east coast.  Heavy flooding and a State of Emergency in Calgary, Alberta – hundreds evacuated.

Check out the GRR NWS discussion and the latest surface map. Check out Regional radar to see the rain across the Great Lakes. Here’s GRR radar, local lightning data, meso-discussions and current watches from SPC and a satellite loop. Here’s current Michigan temperatures, National lightning data and the latest discussion from GRR NWS. Here’s National Storm Reports for today and yesterday. Here’s a live pic. of the beach at Grand Haven, Here’s the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion.

38 Responses to “Severe Weather Risk”

  1. snowsearch says:

    The storm almost appears to have an eye as it crossed the MN-WI border?

  2. Jeff (Richland) says:

    It’s so frustrating to see areas just to our west in the severe outlook for 3+ days in a row in the same areas, that NEVER happens here.

    1. fixxxer says:

      you guys should be used to this here by now.

      1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

        Get outside fixx. This is your kind of weather.

        1. fixxxer says:

          yeah ill go pitch a tent and live out there. “rolls eyes”

          pretty sure were gonna get some decent rain today, probably will drop the temps down a bit.

        2. ian says:

          decent rain? drop the temps down?
          lol…

      2. Jeff (Richland) says:

        I am used to it, doesn’t mean I can’t be unhappy about it though.

    2. Craig (Holland North Sider) says:

      Yes, because flooding rains are cool…

      1. Jeff (Richland) says:

        No one said anything about flooding rains.

        1. Craig (Holland North Sider) says:

          You want severe weather right? You gotta take everything that comes with it. Never understood why people get geeked up over storms. Is it the destruction that is so fasinating?

  3. Kevin(Rockford) says:

    Wow, this will be some disappearing act if that rain does not make it here.

    1. ian says:

      Check radars, it’s going to miss us as always..
      Maybe a few sprinkles, but we probably won’t even hear any thunder =(

      1. Brad (Lawrence) says:

        I agree, it is falling apart at a rapid pace. When it hits LM it is a gonner.

        1. kalamazooguy says:

          Weaken? Yes. Gone all together? No. We’ll get rain and maybe some rumbles.

        2. Jeff (Richland) says:

          Kalamazoo area won’t see anything out of this other than clouds. GR is more likely to at least get a little rain.

        3. kalamazooguy says:

          I don’t know. The closer it gets, the more our chances increase. I’m disagreeing with the majority here and will say that it just may rain with this line in Kalamazoo. Unless it falls apart really rapidly, we’ll see something. And the trend has been that the air in place over our sector and the Lake has weakened it tremendously but hasn’t completely killed it. I think chances for rain should be increased across the Southwest. But that’s just me.

        4. Brad (Lawrence) says:

          Kalamazoguy, your right. It is holding together long enough for us to get a little something. Some nice rain, maybe even a clap of thunder.

        5. Jeff (Richland) says:

          You guys still think we are going to get anything? Disappearing rapidly on radar.

        6. kalamazooguy says:

          I’m sticking with it Jeff, because I actually see some more formation out ahead of it. If stuff can form, it can stay alive. We’ll see some rain.

        7. Jeff (Richland) says:

          Man, sometimes I hate it when I’m right.

  4. mr. negative says:

    Storm free

    1. Jeff (Richland) says:

      I shall it will stay.

      1. Jeff (Richland) says:

        *And

  5. Jeff(Northern Ionia County / Muir) says:

    I think Ionia and Grand Rapids has a pretty good chance of getting heavy rain and and decent chance of hearing some thunder. But I have been wrong before.

    1. fixxxer says:

      well as much as i want some good storms i think most can agree we don’t need anymore heavy rains.

      1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

        Not entirely feeling it either with this system like the last 2. But it’s humid out for sure.

      2. Hugh says:

        You posted here on 11:34 am 6/21 you wanted some “decent rain.” You need serious help.

    2. Jeff (Richland) says:

      Shredded

  6. fixxxer says:

    boy i sure hope the long range changes up. the 4th looks cold and rainy and im not digging the temps im currently seeing going into july at all.

    1. Jeff (Richland) says:

      I saw that, 70 degrees for a high, perfect for spring, but a little cool for summer.

  7. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

    Seems to me we have quite a line of storms crossing the lake and staying together, but than again each radar makes them either look like something or nothing much. We shall see once they hit land and this humidity.

    1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

      Looks like SW Michigan(as usual) and Il is going to be hammered here soon, and things seem to be surviving the lake and igniting on land, but that doesn’t mean they will hold once they hit the Kent County wall

      1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

        LOL how fast things change and again different radars but I now am seeing the infamous split as it’s approaching Muskegon shore.

        1. GunLakeDeb says:

          The NWS loop looks like the Shredder is at work…LOL!!

        2. Jack says:

          Yeah.. Sad But True. Swat_Zoo, If we Want a Good Storm to Come Through, We Need To GO FISHING…. Works almost Every Time !!! Stay Cued….. ” GONE FISHING”. ;-)

        3. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

          We need to fish, wash our cars, and dance to mother earth…..CUE from the movie “The Proposal”….http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7wwQWyo0J3E ;-)

  8. Kevin(Rockford) says:

    The Lake, not to be outdone, turned up the shredding rate to eleventy!

  9. Cliff (Scotts) says:

    Hmmm, well looks like the line will survive the lake down to the south through, will it make it to kzoo? Crazy weather, first no mention of rain by NOAA, then 10% then 20% for kzoo.

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