Warm Weekend

July 12th, 2013 at 10:56 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

veen observatory  Today is the anniversary of the hottest temperature ever in G.R. (and Michigan).  On July 13, 1936, Grand Rapids topped out at 108 degrees.  Newaygo recorded a scorching 111.  It’ll be mostly sunny and warm this weekend…mid 80s this Saturday and upper 80s to near 90 on Sunday.  It will be up to 10 degrees cooler near Lake Michigan.  This will be the 11th consecutive day with a high temperature in the 80s.  Here’s the latest Lake Michigan beach water temperatures, and satellite estimated water temperatures for the lake.  With mostly clear skies, it’ll be a great night to view the moon, Saturday and deep space objects through the powerful telescopes of the Veen Observatory on Kissing Rock Road near Lowell.  There is a nominal charge.  Here’s more information and directions.  Here’s more on what you can see now in our mid-July sky and here’s when you can see the International Space Station cross our Michigan skies.   Our average high/low temperature is now 83/62.  Grand Rapids is +0.2 degree warmer than average through the first 12 days of July.  Rainfall has been light over most (but not all) of the area, with just 0.51″ officially in G.R.  That’s 13% of the average amount we see in July.  Today (Saturday) is the 11th consecutive day with high temperatures in the 80s.  For the 2nd straight year, we have had a relatively low tornado count in the U.S.  Michigan has had 8 tornadoes this year (average is 17).  Wisconsin has had just five tornadoes this year and all five had been relatively weak (EF0 or EF1).   The greatest number of tornadoes has shifted west back into Tornado Alley this year.  The most tornadoes for 2013 so far:   56 Texas, 54 Oklahoma, 52 Kansas, 49 Nebraska.  Ten states have not had a tornado this year:  AK, AZ, HI, NM, NV, RI, VT, UT, WV, NH.

59 Responses to “Warm Weekend”

  1. TomKap (Michigan St. & Fuller) Grand Rapids says:

    Sure wish everyday was as nice as today was.

  2. Jack says:

    Whenever I Look Up in To The Glorious Sky, This Tune Comes To Mind. CUE: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mtPDyqdms3k. ;-)

  3. Jevon Murphy (Muskegon) says:

    Well, I recently looked at the 00z model run (which is some older data attm, but I have limited access) and it looks like the heat wave will be in full force next week (as Bill stated both in the 5, 5:30, 6, 10, and 11 O’clock news and blog, However the SPC has both above average temps. and above average precip. in the 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks, and based on model guidance I will agree on the above average temps., but will hold off on agreeing with above average precip. because the model guidance that I looked at was inconsistent and jumps around that far out. Although, models are hinting at the possibility of showers/storms next weekend, I don’t think that we’ll get enough rain within the next two weeks to provide for some above average precip.

  4. Jevon Murphy (Muskegon) says:

    interesting look at a Haboob near Pheonix, AZ earlier on Friday.

    http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-video/haboob-blankets-greater-phoenix-area/2194113410001

  5. Hardy Tom says:

    Bill, all I ask is please keep us out of the 90′s!
    Thank You.

    1. Jevon Murphy (Muskegon) says:

      Hardy Tom just letting you know that, that is probably not going to happen unless you go to the immediate lakeshore/up north (towards the Traverse City, Petoskey, Mackinaw areas and points north!

  6. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    The current CPC 8-14 day forecast shows average temperatures. Fantastic!

    1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

      And you trust the CPC! We will see about that!

    2. Rodey (Rockford) says:

      Hot and humid for the coming week. I love it. Fantastic. Get used to it. Above normal temps this coming winter. I love it. Fantastic. Get used to it.

      1. Jevon Murphy (Muskegon) says:

        Well…Rocky, Nathan, and Rodney, I would agree with the CPC on there temperature outlook because models are hinting at a cool down starting next weekend. I wouldn’t necessarily agree with them on their precip. outlook however!

        1. Jevon Murphy (Muskegon) says:

          It looks like the 8-14 day outlook says below average precip. now, but still am holding off on agreeing (not saying they’re wrong) with the CPC’s 6-10 day outlook.

          Looking at recent models it looks like the heat wave for much of next week is still going to be in full force, low 90s, but with the humidity it’ll feel like the upper 90s to near 100*! It’ll remain mostly dry through the day on Thurs. (if you see any rain at all you’ll be lucky, although it’ll definitely be muggy after the rain falls/passes by), the chance of rain will be minimal, at best, through Thurs.maybe 20%-30% if that. The next best chance of showers/storms is Fri. morning through about Sun. morning, and then the skies will start to clear Sun. afternoon/eve. And following that we’ll be right around average temps. for the work week and as the models bounce around I’m am going to go with a relatively dry forecast, so precip. will be around to a little below average.

          The gfs 18z model run is hinting at another warm period between the 27th and the 29th so far, although this may not be a heat wave it could still indeed be pretty warm (highs between 80*-90* and maybe humid).

    3. Travis (Oakland County) says:

      You were wrong again, and we’ll see lots of 90′s this week. I love it.

      1. AlleganJoe says:

        I didn’t see any above temps. for the 8-14 day outlook on the CPC.

        http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/

    1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

      Which means if will be a warm winter. Joe B said we were going to have a cold July. He can’t even get one month right let alone his awful winter predictions lately.

      1. michael g (SE GR) says:

        That’s not Joe’s map Einstein. It’s the CFS.

      2. Mark (East Lansing) says:

        Joe B said West Michigan was going to have a cold July?

        1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

          Yep Joe B posted it in May and then retweeted it a couple weeks ago (which was also retweeted by Bill) showing his predictions for a cold July.

      3. Rodey (Rockford) says:

        Yup. The amazing Joe B. said this summer would be cold for the great lakes. Kind of like his last 3 winter predictions of bitter cold.

      4. michael g (SE GR) says:

        @BigJoeBastardi 1h
        Left to right:http://Weatherbell.com July forecast.. from mid may! 2)July so far3)CFSV2 rest of month ) July last yr pic.twitter.com/XgtqiS75An

        1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

          Wait til after next week and we’ll see about his prediction. It was never in comparison to last year.

  7. INDY says:

    Come Out And KISStheeBRICKS today out thee YARDofBRICKS … IT’S PARTY TIME,,,HAVE A GREAT SATURDAY …..INDYY..

    1. Jack says:

      Yes Sir Reeeeeee, Indy, What Wonderful Weather, 2 KISS the BRICKS!!!! See Ya SOONNNNN….Stay CUED..Brother..SPRITES !!!!! Ahhhhhhh, Ice Cold… ;-)

  8. Dan says:

    This is about the best weather we have had this Summer! Do we actually hit 90 or above this week? We will have to see . Seems as if the NWS is backing off from the hotter temps. I’m not complaining. This weather is AWESOME!

    1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      I agree Dan. Doesn’t get much better than this.

  9. Dan says:

    I’d like to see where Joe B made a forecast for West Michigan. Can you post that link for us, Tyler?

    1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

      This was his prediction he tweeted twice if you go to his or Bill’s twitter account.

      https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BOgXdknCUAAq_XM.jpg

  10. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

    Hottest week of the year ahead… Then temps go downhill from there!

  11. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

    The NWS says summer is here on their Forecast Discussion! http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=GRR&issuedby=GRR&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1
    Also, take a look at these heat index values:http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=grr&storyid=95996&source=0 yay?
    Just imagine the tennis courts during the early afternoon! I would add 5-8 degrees onto the actual temperature- Depending on how cloudy it is. Some days could feel like 103-105 on the courts!

    1. Gun Lake Deb says:

      Stay hydrated and drink liquids like Gatorade that contain electrolytes!

      1. ( RAD ) Jenison / Hudsonville says:

        That has a TON of sodium in it,Best to stick with pure ICE Water.

    2. Barry in Zeeland says:

      Wow. Not looking forward to that at all. Last week we hit 111 indoors at work. Can’t even guess what the “heat index” was. Looks like next week we’ll be back where we were a year ago with temps nearing 120 at work. I don’t think I can take to many more years of this.

      1. Brian(Grandville) says:

        I feel for yo Barry, what do you do for work?

        1. Barry in Zeeland says:

          Cooking. With all the ovens, grills, and stovetops going it just gets insanely hot. Could feel it today already. Probably drank over 2 gallons of water working 12 hours.

  12. Jack says:

    Yup, The 3 H’s are Coming…HAZY,HOT, HUMID!!!! Stay CUBED!!! Lol….

  13. Jevon Murphy (Muskegon) says:

    I posted this before, but it was in the form of a reply, so have decided to re-post this…

    It looks like the 8-14 day outlook says below average precip. now, but still am holding off on agreeing (not saying they’re wrong) with the CPC’s 6-10 day outlook.

    Looking at recent models it looks like the heat wave for much of next week is still going to be in full force, low 90s, but with the humidity it’ll feel like the upper 90s to near 100*! It’ll remain mostly dry through the day on Thurs. (if you see any rain at all you’ll be lucky, although it’ll definitely be muggy after the rain falls/passes by), the chance of rain will be minimal, at best, through Thurs.maybe 20%-30% if that. The next best chance of showers/storms is Fri. morning through about Sun. morning, and then the skies will start to clear Sun. afternoon/eve. And following that we’ll be right around average temps. for the work week and as the models bounce around I’m am going to go with a relatively dry forecast, so precip. will be around to a little below average.

    The gfs 18z model run is hinting at another warm period between the 27th and the 29th so far, although this may not be a heat wave it could still indeed be pretty warm (highs between 80*-90* and maybe humid).

  14. Barb says:

    We really need the rain over much of the state, esp. north. My plants down south are thirsty!

    1. Jevon Murphy (Muskegon) says:

      Well you’re probably not going to get it until next weekend if that because that is the next best chance of rain…

      1. Jack says:

        Hey Jevon, Don’t You Usually Blog, From Chicago ? Just Wondering, If My OLD Memory Bank ? Is Severing Me Correctly! These Days……… Your on our Best Chance of Rain, Btw. Stay Cued, ;-)

        1. Jevon Murphy (Muskegon) says:

          Yes Jack I normally blog from Chicago! But am on vacation and am from Muskegon!

  15. Jevon Murphy (Muskegon) says:

    Here’s an interesting link to a rapping meteorologist:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tN8xOv16X_s

  16. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

    If anyone has the right to complain about it being hot is my husband and the troops over in Afghanistan, he Skyped me yesterday and said in the shade it was 117, but get out in the sun it was 142, they had a category 4 out 5 heat danger yesterday. I don’t know how they do it, I don’t know how our troops can wear those hot uniforms and gear in that heat!! GOD BLESS THEM & THANK THEM they and their families sacrifice a lot.

    1. Jack says:

      Amen,and Amen Swat-zoo. Freedom ain’t Free !

  17. fixxxer says:

    warm but not that hot. i really wish these clouds would clear up. i guess we can thank the lake again.

    1. INDY says:

      Never Happy ..Get Some Sun Fixer…..INDYY

      1. Jack says:

        Lol….So True !!

    2. Brian(Grandville) says:

      Not hot, really.

  18. Dan says:

    Tigers get it done with JV! He almost pitched a no-no! Is it just me or is this team ready for a big run after the All Star break? I say they come back and play their best baseball to take control of the AL Central.

    Its hot outside…..I’ll take it! Summer is just too short. I think, it 89 degrees.

  19. Barry in Zeeland says:

    According to this Zeeland hit 98 today!

    http://www.weather.com/weather/today/USMI0905:1:US

    Don’t know where in Zeeland that is, but we hit 92 at our house in three different spots.

    1. AlleganJoe says:

      … L O L … :) (it’s)

  20. Dan says:

    Just reported that GR hit 90 for the first time this season! July 14th, 2013. Mark it down! How many days within the next week will we hit the 90 degree mark?i say 3 out of the next 4. We shall see how this plays out and when the next cold front arrives!

    1. Barry in Zeeland says:

      All that’s missing now is Rocky to tell us all how GR will not hit 90 this summer and we are still running below average on temps. Oh wait…….

    2. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

      Hopefully the cold front gives ALL of us some doozy thunderstorms worth talking about and tracking instead of looking over the fence at the “neighbors” having all the fun wishing we could join in.

      1. Jack says:

        Thou Shall Not COVET, Thy Neighbors STORMS ! Lol….. Just Kidding Swat_Zoo. Stay Cued ! ;-)

        1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

          LOL, but Jack my surrounding neighbors seem to always get the “Goods”!! I’m a sinner and I admit to it. I can’t help but covet thy neighbors STORMS.

        2. Jack says:

          North,South, East or West, Somebody Else, Always Gets THEEEE Best !! I Hear Ya, and that Leads me to This Musical Question ! Why Me LORD ? By The Highway Men … CUE: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rnWBgqh_Lck. Enjoy and God Bless !

        3. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

          I try not to question him, but sometimes it’s hard not to.

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