T-Storms

July 18th, 2013 at 11:26 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Central Great Lakes sector loop  Live radar here – Numerous storms across the Great Lakes this Friday.    They had lots of wind damage reports from the U.P.,  a 69 mph at Aurora, Illinois west of Chicago this PM out of a relatively small storm.  Plainfield IL had small hail and 1.25″ of rain in 25 minutes.     Houghton has picked up 1.32″ of rain since 11 pm

95 Thursday in G.R.  The 3rd time this week we’ve reached 95 and the 5th 90-degree day in a row.  It was 97 in Cadillac, 96 in Traverse City and 84 on the beach at Muskegon with a SW wind coming across 100 miles of water.  Note the circulation in the image here…with the center of the heat bubble near Cincinnati.  (satellite loop, current temperatures/weather obse11 PM rvations, Michigan weather map).  The Lake Michigan water temperatures have reached their highest of the summer  Thu. AM with 78 at both Grand Haven and Saugatuck, 73 at Mears.  The winds, storms and northerly breezes will likely start to sent those temperatures down as we head into the weekend.  Someone asked about Clean Air Action Days (formerly Ozone Action Days).  None have been called during this heat wave.  Here’s their website.  Over the last few decades, many pollution levels have been going down, including CO2 emissions in the U.S.  Read this.   While CO2 emissions are going down in Europe and the U.S., they are soaring in China.  The USA has already reduced its CO2 emissions/head by ~32% since its peak in 1970.  Here’s a good article with lots of facts, data, graphs, references on the topic.

The Thurs. morning run of the NAM model (not the best model, but the first to come out) only gives G.R. 0.20″ of rain between 4 PM and midnight Friday (that looks underdone).  It also does take us above 90 degrees tomorrow before the rain and it has southwest winds of up to 20 knots tomorrow afternoon – which could create a significant breakwater current at Grand Haven State Park tomorrow midday into the evening – don’t swim or jump off the breakwater tomorrow at Grand Haven.   If you’re swimming at Grand Haven St. Park tomorrow (or the side of any breakwater open to a southwest wind) stay well away from the breakwater.

69 Responses to “T-Storms”

  1. INDY says:

    F I R S T ……….I N D Y …..

  2. AlleganJoe says:

    SECOND!!

  3. Travis (Lake Odessa) says:

    THIRD………………………………………………………..

    1. Jack says:

      4th…… Plus ” FIFTH’ S !!!!

      1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

        Fifth? Jack? You made a funny.

        1. Jack says:

          Lol, Mark I was Wondering who Connect The SHOTS ( instead of Dots) !!! http://www.nashvillescene.com/binary/21b4/1338858437-jack_daniels_bottle-10208.gif. :-)

  4. Jeff (Richland) says:

    Raining outside right not. I am in Oshtemo currently.

  5. Redd_Leader (Hamilton) says:

    Resisting the urge to say “Fourth”
    Just bring the rain! Still at 0.7″ for the month. Confirmed by the station at Tulip City airport, and my cheap $2 rain gauge.
    While trying to find more data, I discovered that this product, courtesy of NOAA is laughably inaccurate…
    http://water.weather.gov/precip/index.php?yday=1374105600&yday_analysis=0&layer=0&layer=1&layer=4&timetype=RECENT&loctype=STATE&units=engl&timeframe=month2date&product=observed&loc=stateMI

  6. Daniel G says:

    Interesting as to how Kyle on the noon news says there is nothing out there now but…well BUT there is a line of thundershowers popping along I94 as I type. Richland Jeff confirms.
    Kyle look at your radar would ya???

  7. Daniel G says:

    And from up here on Myers Lake yesterday late afternoon I was watching a thunderhead to the south…guess where it was….nope, south of Coldwater in Indiana, I will assume in the Goshen area. Kinda neat to watch it form up.

  8. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    GR will not be seeing any severe thunderstorms on Friday, however we will get some much needed rain. I think that I will be heading out the golf course, because I am sure the course will be slow due to all of the heat advisory hype that the media has been driving home. Simply hydrate before you head outdoors and stay hydrated while outside along with keeping a cool wet towel near by and the heat will not be a problem. Enjoy summer people!

    1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

      You couldn’t pay me money to golf in this heat.

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        whimp!

    2. Rodey (Rockford) says:

      Didn’t you also say Grand Rapids wouldn’t be seeing any 90′s this summer?

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        fixxxer your comments are one step above totally worthless!

        1. Rodey (Rockford) says:

          Just like all of your predictions, absolutely worthless.

  9. Zach says:

    New mesodiscussion, watch possible for the viewing area

    http://mesodiscussion.com/view/20131423/

  10. Stephen (North Muskegon) says:

    MODERATE risk area out today for the UP and Minnesota and they say tomorrow is suppose to be the peak day. Wouldn’t be shocked to be in the moderate risk area for tomorrow here soon

  11. 04 GTO (gaines 68th & Kzoo) says:

    that cell just south of Alpena looks to have a nice hook forming! looks to have some rotation in it!

  12. Teresa says:

    Raining in Marshall, Calhoun County, for a good 20 minutes. I mean RAINING.

    1. GunLakeDeb says:

      I’m jealous!! I’ve been a slave to my sprinkler the entire week…..

      1. Kevin (Msrshall) says:

        It’s rained every day since Sunday in Marshall. You can have it.

  13. Crayfish (Sparta) says:

    New mesoscale discussion out for counties north of Kent.

      1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

        *SIGH* Notice once again everything is to our North or South :-( I hope this isn’t the tread/path tomorrow, other than storm deprived our lawns are water deprived badly.

  14. Dan says:

    Did we break 100 yet with the heat index? Chance for storms but I bet they’ll go south of us on Friday. Looks like it could amount to a wind shift line unless all the other ingredients are there. Less chance for favorable conditions.

    1. Crayfish (Sparta) says:

      According to Weather Blunderground, the heat index is 100 here in Sparta right now.

  15. INDY says:

    YEAAA with out bot Zach we can feel mesoscale in thee air on Bills blog..Its hot and just wait for tomorrows Mod risk for west Michigan..INDYY

    1. Zach says:

      I’ll take the bot comment as compliment due to my efficency in people informed. Thank you

  16. yorkycreeky says:

    hoping for a big thunderstorm

  17. Zach says:

    New Mesodiscussion… Watch likely for parts of MI

    http://mesodiscussion.com/view/20131424/

  18. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    What’s the difference between the Heat Advisory in West Michigan and the Excessive Heat Warning for SE Mich?

    Currently 97 degrees in Traverse City and Cadillac. 106 heat index for Monroe.

    You know the heat wave is long when it has its own hash tag now:

    #HeatInTheD

  19. Wolverdog says:

    Little Popper storm down south of Kzoo, huge droplets for two or three minutes and then done.

  20. Paul (Barry State Game Area/eastern Yankee Springs Twp) says:

    Rain needed !!! Nothing in the rain gauge here for two weeks !

  21. Slimjim says:

    We are now in KC (overland Park, KS) it’s sunny and hot here, but there is a nice breeze that makes it a little better. It going to be hot at the Tigers game here tommarow. I sure hope we are setting in the shade. BTW it’s 98 here now!
    Slimjim

    1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      Go Tigers! Represent Slim.

  22. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

    I can’t help but feel as some others do here that by just looking at radar and the tracking of those storms tomorrow will take the same track, N, E, S, SE, SW of Kent. We here in W. Michigan very well may stay in our own little secluded bubble.

    1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

      I hope I’m wrong though I hope everyone sees rain we need it bad!

      1. Brad (Lawrence) says:

        Your not wrong…I believe you’ve nailed the 24 hour outlook.

    2. Jack says:

      I Hope and Pray, That Does NOT Happen Swat_Zoo, We are ” Over DUE ” here In Kent Co. We Shall See, and Stay CUED !

  23. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

    Grass is burnt, flowers are wilting, sweat is pumping… Thunderstorms approaching!

  24. Jevon Murphy (Muskegon) says:

    Hey Bill, it’s a whopping 93º here!

  25. Cliff (Scotts) says:

    I will go out on a limb and say west Michigan will be put in a moderate risk tomorrow. I was right yesterday about them moving the slight all the way over to Wisconsin and Illinois yesterday. Just got a feeling we will get hit hard. The lake shredder will be turned off tomorrow. Just look at the storms rolling over superior right now for all you nay sayers.

    1. Jack says:

      I’m Out on That Limb, With You Cliff ! Sooner or Later it’s Gotta Be Our Turn !! I’ll Even Go Out on A CLIFF( pun intended), and Predict, Severe Weather Reports, Through- Out ALL of MICHIGAN… On Friday !! And My Shot in The Dark on Time Wise 4 , Kent County , 2 pick up a Severe STORM……….. 8:18 P.M. ;-) . STAY CUED !!!

    2. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

      Not trying to be a nay sayer but I’ve been an onlooker while others get the goods and it seems to be the pattern over the last few years where storms have remained N, S, SW, SE, or poop out if the lake doesn’t kill them and as soon as they pass Kent they rebuild even stronger than what they were over the lake, I just hope finally the entire county N, E, S, W, center of Kent gets a good hefty thunderstorm and down pour we need it so badly as do our farmers and crops

      1. Jack says:

        Nay, Nay, This Time it Will Happen Just as I Say, All of Kent County Will Get HIT (Eta 8:18 )….. It’s Just a Guess, and,I Really Don’t Know S—, about Weather. Music well That’s another Story. So…..Stay Cued….Swat-Zoo. Lolololo…( I know I’m Crazy).

        1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

          Jack why be normal??? It’s no fun, you got to put FUN in dysFUNctional, LOL!!The crazier the better as long as it’s a fun crazy

        2. Jack says:

          Lol, Whole Lotta Things, That I ain’t Done. But I ain’t Never Had, Too Much FUN!!!! Re: Comander Cody and The Lost Planet Air-Men !!! Stay Cued, and God Bless You, Your Family, and The YARDofDUCKS!! Question…What is Flock PREDICTING, 4 FRIDAY Storms ??? ;-)

        3. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

          They really haven’t had their tail feathers in a bunch this week or today, so that is why I’m kind of wondering about tomorrow, I haven’t even had pain meds all day so, I don’t know not feeling it but I’m not afraid to admit I’ve been wrong before.

  26. Watchman Tyler (Kentwood 28th/Patterson) says:

    Not a whole lot is going on up there despite the storm watch.

    1. Cliff (Scotts) says:

      Noticed that as well up by Minnesota, the yoopers are having more fun with the storms then the moderate risk area.

      1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

        This can be a good sign for things to come or not come tomorrow for us. All we can do is continue to watch the updates and prepare and hope for the best storms of the season.

  27. Barry in Zeeland says:

    Keep an eye out for the northern lights again tonight. Several waves predicted to sweep through in the next 24 hours and they have us at about 40% chance. Going to be a hazy night time sky though. We’re over due for a big show.

    1. Jack says:

      Thanks Again, 4 The Reminder Barry ! Is This the Link You Use ? http://www.softservenews.com/. Keep Looking Up!! And of course STAY CUED ……..;-)

  28. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    It was a fantastic day on the golf course. A nice breeze and very comfortable!

  29. Russ C. says:

    Interesting set up for tomorrow, looks very similar to one I saw in the late ’80s (I feel so old). Remember 100+ mph winds in Traverse City of a wicked squall line that developed in the southern U.P and roared SSE across the whole lower peninsula. I remember watching Bill on 13 with frequent updates monitoring the advance of the line, T-storm warnings galore, and reporting the damage as the reports came in.

  30. Brad (Lawrence) says:

    “T-Storm over Lake Michigan heading toward Berrien Co. is weakening over the lake.” This is exactly why I don’t think we will see any storms tomorrow.

    1. Travis (Lake Odessa) says:

      The storms are supposed to move from northwest to south east….there will be storms tomorrow.

  31. Travis (Lake Odessa) says:

    So….moderate risk tomorrow? anyone else think so?

    1. Jack says:

      Yes, Sir Travis !!! That is a BINGO!!!! ;-)

      1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

        My flock of ducks tail feathers are still smooth and calm not all bunched up and in a tizzy and my body is actually feeling pretty good most of the day, so I’m not so about tomorrow honesty, but as stated above I’ve been wrong before and I’m not afraid to admit it. Doesn’t mean I won’t wake up hurting like hell and the birds are all freaked out.

        1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

          This probably means I will miss it and I’ll be the spectator looking over the fence at everyone else having fun

        2. Jack says:

          Half The FUN, in Watching for Storms, is The Anticipation ………. Of The Storms, Hitting in Your or Mine. Neck of The Woods……. hence… Stay Cued.. Swat-zoo… , and Keep on Having FUN!!! ;-)

        3. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

          Well if this gives you any indication the fish were biting tonight, they have been just about every night but more so tonight, brought my sons to Pine Lake as well as one of my pet ducks who had a blast and went fishing and swimming.

        4. Jack says:

          Now There Ya Go Swat-zoo…… Thinking Positive…..about Our Chances 4 STORMS !! Fish Don’t LIE, My Grandpa, Always Knew if A Storm was Ahhhh BREWING !! By The FISH, activity, or Lack There of. Positively , Waiting on a DOOOZZZZYYYY of a STORM….. Stay Cued.. ;-)

  32. Travis (Lake Odessa) says:

    I AGREE BILL….MODERATE RISK TOMORROW!!!! WOO HOO!!

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