Tropical Storm Dorian Fizzles Out in Dry Air

July 25th, 2013 at 2:24 am by under Bill's Blog, News, Weather

TC Activity Tropical Storm Dorian weakened to just a few showers/t-showers.  It couldn’t overcome the dry air ahead of it.  Another tropical batch of rain will move up over Nantucket and into Nova Scotia over Sun./Mon.  Here’s the last forecast discussion, forecast advisory, public advisory, (in Spanish), the latest Funktop Satellite loop of the storm (right side of the movie), the Visible Satellite Loop, the Water Vapor Loop (showing a fair amount of dry air ahead of the storm, which will keep it from intensifying rapidly.   The U.S. has now gone the longest period of time since records began in 1851 with a major (Category 3 or higher) hurricane hit, nearly 8 years.  The ACE Index measures the number and strength of tropical storms, and as you can see at the link, the ACE Index has been falling since the mid 90s in generally and significantly since 2005, the year of Hurricane Katrina.  Hurricane Sandy was only a Category 1 storm when it hit the U.S. mainland.

Also, the weekend looks cool – the overnight European model gives G.R. 0.35″ of rain from Friday into Sun. AM and highs Saturday struggling to the upper 60s to low 70s with our 850 mb temperature down briefly to +4.2 – pretty cool for late July.  I’m going to Maranda’s  Park Party today and then to Picnic Pops with my 94-year old mother this Thurs. evening.

43 Responses to “Tropical Storm Dorian Fizzles Out in Dry Air”

  1. Judy says:

    What?!? Simply can’t be. “Global Warming” doesn’t allow for a reduction in tropical storms. They’re supposed to be increasing in frequency. Jeez….how can they possibly be wrong with their predictions? ;)

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      The unprecedented, historic, inconceivable, (insert any other overused AGW adjective), major hurricane drought for the US continues. ;)

    2. Brad says:

      LOL; I love witless “humor.”

    3. Jordan (Twin Lake) says:

      Judy is an expert eh? Judy’s expertise < Looking like Suzanne Geha!

      1. Dan says:

        Isn’t it dangerous to use all of your vocabulary words in that post, Jordan?

        1. YeahThatDan says:

          What great weather! We are having!

        2. Jordan (Twin Lake) says:

          About as dangerous as the thought of you living unsupervised, Dan.

      2. Barb says:

        Was Sandy no big deal? Hardly a boring hurricane season last year.

        1. Brian (Grandville) says:

          Other than Sandy, it was actually a quiet tropical season. That’s at least 3 in a row now. The jury is out on the experts predicting above average activity year after year now.

        2. Mark (East Lansing) says:

          Yeah there were only 19 named storms last year. Do you know what is the average number of yearly named storms?

        3. Brian(Grandville) says:

          Mark, I found a NOAA website that says 12 named storms in the average. I should’ve referred to U.S. land falling storms, that have been on the decline. As well as major hurricanes anywhere in the Atlantic basin forming.

        4. Mark (East Lansing) says:

          Ain’t that the truth. It seems the US has been spared the past few years. No complaints either.

  2. DF (SE Mich) says:

    Unless I am totally mistaken I think Flint set a Record Low this morning at 47°… yet no record event notice yet. No MD-80? =)

    1. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

      If the low was that 47° at Flint that would be a new record low for them (the record for July 25th was/is 48 set in 1984.
      SlimJim

  3. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    Not only dose this weekend look to be on the cold side we could be looking at some record cold. In Grand Rapids the record coldest maximum high temps for July 27th is 68° set in 1915 the next coldest maximum is 69° set in 2004 and in 3rd place its 71° set in 1923. We have a shot of breaking or tying one of the three. The record for Sunday will be harder to break as the record as it now stands is 61° set in 1981 and 2nd place is also a very cold 65° set in 1962 but 3rd place is in reach which is 70° set in 1973. The night time record lows for the weekend are 47° for July 27th and July 29th and 46° for July 28th. We are off to Bay City for a birthday party (outside) so we will bring the jackets with us.
    SlimJim

  4. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Keep the below average temperatures rolling right into winter!

    1. Rodey (Rockford) says:

      Keep the above average monthly temps running into winter. I love it. Fantastic.

  5. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    For those of you looking for 90 degree weather you had better move to the Southern US. We have a great stretch of high temps in the 70′s and low 80′s on the way! Perfect!

    1. Rodey (Rockford) says:

      For those of you looking for winter weather head to South America. It’s summer here. I love it. Fantastic. Get used to it.

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        fixxxer you are a worthless human being!

        1. Rodey (Rockford) says:

          Fantastic. I love it. Get used to it.

        2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          Thanks for listening you racist whiner. Fantastic!

        3. Rodey (Rockford) says:

          Rock on. Get used to it. Fantastic. Keep it coming.

        4. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          Thanks for listening you moron!

        5. Rodey (Rockford) says:

          I’m all ears. Thanks for reading. Fantastic. I love it. Keep it coming. Rock on.

  6. DF (SE Mich) says:

    Finally a write up on the record lows over here this morning. Some of the little cities by A2 destroyed their old records.
    http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=dtx&storyid=96226&source=0

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      The actual NWS office in White Lake destroyed their record record low by 4°, WOW.

    2. Slimjim says:

      This weekend there is a chance that there could be some record low maximum temps
      Slimjim

  7. Jeff(Northern Ionia County / Muir) says:

    IT IS AMAZING OUT… I personally could not ask for a better day. Love theses temeratures.

  8. INDY says:

    No Travis on thee Blog can’t be because of thee BELOW normal temps now could it!! COLDST HIGH TEMPS IN 21 YEARS THIS WEEK’ND ……LOVE IT!! INDYY..

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      ROCK ON!

    2. arcturus says:

      The month will still end up above average.

      1. Bill Steffen says:

        But not by much, Arc – probably less than a degree. Hardly worth jackin’ gas to $9 a gallon to “save the planet”.

  9. ryan says:

    Wonder if anybody is swimming at holland st park today? Water temp=48°

  10. YeahThatDan says:

    A tropical storm wow! Could we possibly see storms from it? I seen it is going to be a cool weekend. Can we set any records? Will it hit 90 again soon? How about them Tigers! I bet they will win more games. Max is on fire! Will somebody drop me on my head to fix me?

  11. michael g (SE GR) says:

    GR down to +2.4* for July through yesterday. We’ll chip away at that again today, and drop the hammer on it over the weekend, likely finishing the month within a degree of normal.

    1. Bill Steffen says:

      Add Thursday and G.R. is now +2.1 deg. for July. Detroit and Lansing are also +2.1 deg. for the month. Other departures from average thru Thurs: Ann Arbor +1.0, Bay City +2.3, Port Hope +2.4. Flint’s +4.3 deg. departure definitely an outlier.

  12. TomKap (Michigan St. & Fuller) Grand Rapids says:

    Those storms in Wisconsin won’t arrive until ‘daybreak’?
    Really?? Seems to me they’re just a few hours away.

  13. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

    Well another season where the U.P. and The south get in on the goods once again. I’m use to it now.

  14. Barb says:

    Considering the UP was in a severe drought last year, they need the rain. The northern lower also could use the rain as well as GR (at least at my house).

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