July Weather Wrap – part 1

August 1st, 2013 at 2:31 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

butterfly beach bum joe reportit   This monarch butterfly was captured by Beach Bum Joe and sent to us via ReportIt.  See it full screen.  Behind the pay wall at Accu-Weather, they keep track of weather stations in Michigan.  There are 36 listed.  I looked at the temperature departure from average for July at all the 36 stations.  Some stations were complete thru the 31st, some only through the 30th.  Here’s a list showing the 36 stations in order from the warmest relative to average to the coolest relative to average:

Flint +2.4°, S. Ste Marie +1.7°, Traverse City +1.5°,  Chippewa +1.1°, Holland and Houghton Lake +1.0°, Pellston +0.9°, Battle Creek +0.8°, Port Hope and Bay City +0.7°, Mt. Clemens and Adrian+0.6°, Detroit Metro and Cadillac +0.4°, Lansing and Howell +0.3°, Grand Rapids +0.2°, Muskegon and Pontiac +0.1°, Alpena -0.1°, Detroit City, Jackson and Marquette -0.2°, Iron Mt. -0.3°, Ironwood -0.4°, Gaylord -0.5°, Hancock and Manistique -0.6°,  Kalamazoo -0.8°, Ludington and Copper Harbor -1.3°, Ann Arbor -1.5°, Escanaba -1.8°, Benton Harbor -1.9°, Menominee -2.6°, Manistee -3.1°.   If you add up all the stations, you get -0.1 degree for the state for July.  Like

The U.P. had substantial rainfall:  6.68″ Copper Harbor, 5.97″ Hancock, 5.74″ S. Ste Marie, 4.78″ Marquette, 4.66″ Manistique.  Ray Hackman reports 7.19″ of rain in Oshtemo for July.  Rainfall for G.R. in July was 3.21″.  That was 0.57″ below average.  Other rainfall totals for July:  4.90 Battle Creek, 4.14″ Detroit, 3.54″ Kalamazoo Airport, 3.53″
Alpena, 3.16″ S. Bend, 3.03″ Holland, 2.83″ Traverse City, 2.29″ Muskegon, 1.98″ Jackson, 1.75″ Lansing, 1.74″ Flint, 1.14″ Houghton Lake.

Seattle had only a trace of rain in July, tying 1958 and 1960 for least rain in July.  Their average rainfall in July is only 0.70″.  Here’s video of a waterspout over Tampa Bay Tues. and a waterspout over Lake Chapala.  Lake Chapala is the largest freshwater lake in Mexico.  It’s south of Guadalajara.

39 Responses to “July Weather Wrap – part 1”

  1. Jacob G (Kent City) says:

    It looks like the original forecasts came in as expected. Joe B did have southern MI in slightly cooler than average, with warmer conditions to the north and east. I would say that would be pretty darn close. August looks cool, September may warm up if we can get some hurricanes into the pattern and that will backlog the jet stream for a bit. Not even close to last year’s July that is for sure!

    1. michael g (SE GR) says:

      Yeah, if you look at his forecast for July, put out in May, and compare it to actual temps nationwide, he nailed it. (In spite of the fact that Travis declared his forecast to be terrible back around the 10th.)

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        Travis is out of his mind!

  2. Dan says:

    Looks like August may be cooler than average by the time the month is over. Interesting stats her, Bill! We had some cool days by Julys standards for sure. What would these stats look like without that week of 90 degree temperatures?

  3. michael g (SE GR) says:

    Look at that. 36 stations all of them between -3.1 and + 1.7, except for Flint at +2.4

    Seems perfectly natural to me Travis.

    There was a dry summer a few years back when GR had it’s thermometer sitting on a patch of dried out dirt and it was reading higher than Holland, Kzoo, and Battle Creek every day. Not saying it’s some kind of conspiracy, just that Travis refusing to acknowledge it is ridiculous.

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      + 1 million!

  4. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    Lower Michigan, on average, was warmer than average in July after a warm May and a warm June. Most of the negatives came from the UP. The UP is so far away it’s pretty irrelevant to our weather, in my opinion.

    I would not call that a good prediction overall – at least for our neck of the woods.

    Let alone, michael kept saying Joe B never even made the prediction during the heat wave. Now he’s saying he did. Hmmmm… flip flop?

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      You are on drugs and your warm weather bias disease is running rampant! Keep the below average temperatures rolling right into winter! I love it!

    2. yooper4021 says:

      “Most of the negatives came from the UP”?? Looking at the list, 5 of the 8 coolest averages were from the LP, and 3 of the coolest averages were from southern LP (BH, AA, Kzoo). Perhaps we should exclude the UP and the southern third of LP to arrive at a result that supports your point-of-view??

      1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

        Our 10 closest stations here in Lower Michigan were +0.47 above average for July.

        I just think it’s convenient the UP is included in the discussion only when it’s cooler and helps the cooling bias of this blog as evident by all the posters here on this thread.

        1. yooper4021 says:

          Isn’t it equally as convenient that you use the 10 closest stations here in LP to support your point of view. Why 10? Why not 6 or 12 or 15?

        2. Travis (Oakland County) says:

          LOL I use all 10 of the southern most LP stations as stated by on NWS’s website.

          I think this is a much better representation of our local weather than weighting GR the same as Escanaba or Menominee.

          But I guess that’s just me.

        3. yooper4021 says:

          I don’t disagree with you. It’s one way of looking at our “local weather”. I don’t disagree with Bill either, looking at the entire state. You could divide the state logically six ways to Sunday (LP west and east, UP north/west and south/east, exclude the UP altogether, etc.) and arrive at a variety of conclusions.

          As far as the “cooling bias” I’m first to admit that I believe global warming/cooling is a non-issue, but I also believe in healthy, respectful debate and learning more about it.

    3. DF (SE Mich) says:

      Are we seriously arguing whose 0.1° is correct, LOL?!? You can’t get more average around here for a month.

      1. yooper4021 says:

        Not arguing the data at all. The data is what it is – an average month for Michigan. I just think it’s pretty entertaining when folks start slicing-and-dicing the data to support their point-of-view.

    4. Bill Steffen says:

      If you want to toss out the U.P…we could do that and we could add South Bend (-1.2 deg. for July), Fort Wayne (-1.4 deg. for July) and Toledo (-1.3 deg. for July).

      1. DF (SE Mich) says:

        Sounds fair to me.

      2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        + one million!

  5. Mark (East Lansing) says:

    “Most of the negatives came from the UP. ”

    Nine negatives were from the UP, seven were from the LP.

    If you look just at the LP stations, July was warmer than average. The average departure from normal using just the LP stations was +.012.

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      Some people don’t understand that every month can’t be 0.0°…

    2. Travis (Oakland County) says:

      Yep, exactly.

      And going off the official major NWS stations, only 2 out of the closest 10 stations in lower Michigan were negative. 8 were warmer than average.

      The average is +0.47 degrees above average out of these stations for our neck of the woods.

      1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

        0.47 degrees above average is really just average. Not even worth mentioning.

      2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        You are 100% wrong Travis and your warm weather bias is outrageous! The month of July ended up with average temperatures and the CPC forecast for the month of August is for below average temperatures. Face the facts Travis and get ready for a cool August which will have us end up with below average temperatures for the entire summer. Fantastic! Get ready for winter – we will be getting hammered with cold and snow baby!

        1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

          Said by the guy who said the past two winters would be cold with lots of snow and that we wouldn’t hit 90 degrees this summer.

          0 for 3, RJ

        2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          This from a man that cannot even look at the raw data and get it correct! Too funny. Get ready for a rocking winter season!

        3. Rodey (Rockford) says:

          I love it. The person who is consistently wrong in his predictions is calling out Travis. Fantastic. I love it. Get ready for a slightly warmer than average winter. I love it. Fanstastic.

        4. DF (SE Mich) says:

          ^ why not just use the fixxxxx login?

  6. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    Crazy video of a petroleum coke cloud blowing from Detroit’s riverfront to Windsor. That can’t be good to breathe.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=35cIPgOLt3g

    1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      Hash Bash???

        1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

          Is that you front and center in the tie dye?? LOL

        2. Jack says:

          Maybe Mark….. I’m Pleading The Fifth Amendment on That Question . Lolol…stay cued… ;-)

    2. DF (SE Mich) says:

      I saw that, at least it blew to Canada ;)

      1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

        Probably improved the smell of Windsor.

      2. Travis (Oakland County) says:

        I blame it on the Transformers in town for Transformers 4:

        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3mG0rBHZ5kA

  7. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

    Wow today is much warmer than yesterday. I am beginning to see some altocumulus clouds building in though…

  8. mr. negative says:

    Clean vehicle now wet at 44th/E. Beltline…

  9. ray oshtemo says:

    I averaged 1.7 degrees below normal in July just west of Kalamazoo compared to the 60 years I have been recording weather. I don,t live close to those heat islands where most of the offical weather stations are located so my info is not affected by heat buildup on pavement like runways or buildings.

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