Dry Weekend

August 17th, 2013 at 2:41 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

max temps.   This is a map showing afternoon high temperatures for Friday.  Click on the image to enlarge.  The most striking numbers are the highs from NE Alabama to Virginia.  Atlanta, Augusta, Greenville (SC) and Columbia all with highs of 67.  They’ve had a lot of rain down there…Columbia had 3.88″ in 24-hours.  Another cool area the past few days has been E. Nebraska and S. Dakota.  Highs of just 71 at Sioux Falls (SD) and 70 at Norfolk (NE) are about 15 deg. cooler than average.  There were hot spots…3 stations in Montana reached 100.   South Texas was cookin’ with highs of 105 at Laredo and 100 at San Antonio.  Parts of Texas had heavy and much-needed rain:  2.14″ at Childress, 1.8″ at Houston, 1.74″ at Wichita Falls and 1.43″ at Austin.  Severe storms hit parts of Oklahoma with hail over 2″ in diameter near Sweetwater and Beckham.  The Southwest was hot, with highs of 113 at Phoenix and 115 at Needles CA.   Unseasonably hot conditions continued in E. China and Japan with 100F at Wuhan and 95F at Nagasaki.   Also, the Gaylord NWS is having an Open House on Sat. 8/24 from 9 to noonSkywarn Spotter Training is now onlineMore on our recent cool spell from the Detroit (Southeast MI) NWS.   EF1 tornado confirmed near Cleveland.

66 Responses to “Dry Weekend”

  1. Jack says:

    BEAUTIFUL, Dry Weekend On TAP ! Love It !!!! Good Night ……And GOOD MORNING !!!!! Cue, Townes Van Zandt !! I’ll Be Here in the Morning ….Enjoy ,! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AjGOxo0KDMs. :-)

  2. Jack says:

    Followed By….EAGLES…. MY MAN, Only on BILL’ S BLOG ::::: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2y8tl9hhD0s.

  3. Jack says:

    AND finally , The Nitty Gritty Dirt Band….. Ahh Little “Ripplin Waters” to wake YOU…. CUE: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rA9Acz7HDW0. PEACE. :-)

  4. Dan says:

    Picture Perfect WEATHER! I’m loving it. Summer has come back for the time being. Perhaps we will make up for the cool temps earlier this month!
    Now, we need to get them Tigers playing perfect ball to take the next two from the Royals!!

  5. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    The heat is on through September. WXYZ shows nothing below 80 for the next 10 days.

    And then likely a warm fall again:

    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/lead01/off01_temp.gif

    1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      Its about time. Been so cool lately.

    2. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

      September may start out on the warmer side of average but as we head into fall it could very well turn to be on the colder side of average.
      SlimJim

    3. michael g (SE GR) says:

      How did their warm summer forecast turn out. (Excluding Flint.)

      1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

        Pretty good so far for SE Mich. Top third warmest summers so far and climbing.

        1. Bill Steffen says:

          Nonsense! Detroit was +0.2° for June, +0.4° for July and is -3.7° for August 1-16. It’ll be an average summer for SE Michigan.

        2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          Travis and his constant warm weather bias strikes again. Nonsense is a nice way to put it! His data and comments should never be taken seriously. BS is a much better way to describe his constant embellishment of the actual data and forecasts! He will tell us it hit 90 degrees this weekend in Flint! You can not believe a word he says.

        3. Mark (East Lansing) says:

          Funny stuff

        4. Travis (Oakland County) says:

          Straight from the NWS Bill

          However, despite the recent cool spell, the average temperature at DTW for the summer so far (June 1-August 14) has actually ranked as the 44th warmest such period out of 140 periods dating back to 1874. This actually ranks this summer so far in the top third warmest summers at DTW!

        5. Bill Steffen says:

          Throw out urbanization (which is one reason why the NWS has for many decades used to most recent 3 full decades for an average) and this has been a cooler than average summer. Again, the numbers that the Detroit (White Lake) NWS uses on their climate page show DTW is cooler than average for this summer.

          Go here: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=dtx The Official Climate Data for Detroit shows that June was +0.2 deg., July was +0.4 deg. and August 1-19 has been -3.6 deg. That’s NOT a “top third warmest summer!

        6. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          The NWS is out to lunch and Travis is in never never warm weather fantasy land! What a joke!

        7. Travis (Oakland County) says:

          The numbers are the numbers. You said they were nonsense but they aren’t. Straight from NWS which you always cite.

          Now all you have to fall back is the false urbanization argument.

          And the averages were also recently adjusted upward since the past couple decades have been so warm. That’s often forgotten.

        8. Bill Steffen says:

          The 30-year averages will move a little one way or the other as each new decade is added. They were a bit lower as we moved through the 50s-70s and they are a little higher now, since we came through a period with an active sun and both a warm AMO and PDO. The PDO has turned cool and global temperatures have leveled off…steady since 2002. With a quiet sun, chilly air at the Poles and the potential for the AMO to turn cool in the next decade, I wouldn’t bet on any significant global warming in tne next 10-20 years.

  6. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    I am not sure of their track record but here is a winter outlook that is a little different then the warm one that the CPC has in their outlook for the winter. Will either one of them be right?? Well who knows but come April we will all know.

    Anyway here is the winter outlook from Snowbrains.com thru Weatheradvance.com

    http://snowbrains.com/usa-winter-weather-forecast-for-2014-from-weatheradvance-com/

    As you can see if this guess were to be right the cold and snow lovers on this blog will have a good winter of course even if the CPC guess in right there still could be a lot of snow lovers as even the CPC is calling for average precipitation and that still could mean a good amount of snow fall.
    SlimJim

    1. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

      BTW that SnowBrains also had the CPC long range guess as well.
      SlimJim

    2. michael g (SE GR) says:

      First clue that it’s not a credible forecast is that they’re calling for “BELLOW AVERAGE” snowfall along the gulf coast.

      1. Bill Steffen says:

        Yeah, they spelled below “BELLOW” twice!

    3. Travis (Oakland County) says:

      LOL not a very good source there

    4. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Lats see their website is called snowbrains.com? It must be correct then – bring on the COLD and SNOW. The more the better! ROCK n ROLL baby!

  7. mr. negative says:

    B-17 at the Ford Airport today and tomorrow. 4pm flight scheduled for today…be there by 3:30 to hear four 18 cylinder radial engines come to life. No comparison.

  8. kevin. w says:

    http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-parameter.php?group=Model%20Guidance&model=gfs&area=npac#

    Watch if it shows up the mammoth polar vortex form over the north pacific on the end of this loop

  9. kevin. w says:

    Go to 500 vort and loop it pretty cool and shows how the pattern is going to shift about mid september.

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      How is this possible because Travis has stated it will be a warmer than average Fall? Who knew?

      1. Rodey (Rockford) says:

        Yes, just like you stating we were going to have a snow storm every other day last winter. What a joke. Who knew. I love it.

    2. Travis (Oakland County) says:

      It always shifts around then. It’s called fall.

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        You are a train wreck and as usual 100% wrong!

        1. Rodey (Rockford) says:

          You should know when people are wrong since you are an expert at being wrong. Total fail. Rock on. I love it.

  10. Dan says:

    Rocky give it up! Travis doesn’t want to hear it if has to do with cold. Look at Bill making him look foolish!

    1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

      Actually Bill called it nonesense before I backed it up with actual NWS fact. You guys are too much.

      1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

        Are you this popular in Flint, Oakland County, or whatever bridge you live under?

        1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          LOL!

      2. Dan says:

        Nope, he called your post about SE Michigan having the one of the warmest summers NONSENSE, Travis. Do you really ever see anything besides warm?

        1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          ROCK ON Dan. Travis is a joke!

        2. Rodey (Rockford) says:

          Not as big of joke as you are. Rock on. Fantastic. I love it.

        3. Jordan (Twin Lake) says:

          Dan had sex with fixxxer last night and now he’s in love!!

      3. Bill Steffen says:

        I thought Detroit would qualify for “southeast Michigan”.

        However, check out the warmest summers in Flint! http://weatherhistorian.blogspot.com/2011/09/another-hot-summer-across-southeast.html (top FIVE from the 1930s!)

  11. Dan says:

    Travis you do not report anything from fact. If it is fact, it very heavily tainted by your warm bias! That does not make it true! You reported on the other blog that it would be warm for 8 months. You are aware that we are goung into Fall and Winter, right?

    1. Jordan (Twin Lake) says:

      Dan the man just told you Travis!

      1. Jordan (Twin Lake) says:

        Dan is a queer!

  12. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    I have heard enough of Travis and his fantasy land warm weather bias!! I am off to the golf course. It has been a great summer for golf. Below average temperatures and reasonable humidity levels. Keep it going!

  13. Jack says:

    Wow, What a Great August Day Simply Perfect…IMHO ! I also know, That The FUSE ! Is Lite For FALL, to Explode…Soon in all Her RADIANT Beauty…..Spin….Jackson Browne !! ” The FUSE” :::::::: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D_Ae75dJI1M.

  14. Barb says:

    The landscape looks pretty dry on the way up north today. The corn doesn’t look that great and neither do the soybeans, etc.

    1. Bill Steffen says:

      I saw the same thing in northern Kent County…and everything will be a lot drier by Thurs. AM.

    2. Brad says:

      There’s barely any yellow (abnormally dry) east of the Mississippi but we’ll see if that changes soon. Strange pattern of crop health this year- the corn at least is bonkers in some places, and looks like crap elsewhere, often not very far away from the healthy stuff. http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/

      1. Bill Steffen says:

        There may be a slight lag-factor with the Drought Monitor. They also may emphasize long-term drought over short term drought. I don’t think it matters to the corn that G.R. had heavy rainfall in April and above average rainfall in June. Parts of the High Plains that show up on the drought monitor have had well above average rainfall for the past month.

  15. Brian(Grandville) says:

    I just heard a d-j on a radio station say, a recent survey found that the worst drivers on the roads today drive a Prius. He went on to say, its hard to drive while patting yourself on the back.

    1. Jack says:

      What Song Did the D.J. Play, after That Survey INFO. ?? I would have Played, The Playmates !! Tune called BEEP,BEEP!!! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l5Aae9ReI5Q. Lolol….. Stay cued… ;-)

      1. Brian(Grandville) says:

        Not sure Jack, how about the Miggy walk off though!

        1. Jack says:

          MIGUEL Cabby !! Does it AGAIN!!!!!! He just ain’t HUMAN, I swear !! Once in A Lifetime Pleasure and I stand IN AWE. !!!!Every Time He Just DDDDDDDDOOOOOOOOOEEEESSS His Thing ! :-)

    2. Brad says:

      Is this a scientific study? Otherwise, perception (people patting themselves on the back) is reality, and we learn nothing. That said, stereotypes often mirror reality to some degree. I drive a SUV.

      1. Jack says:

        I drive ahhhh Tractor or ahhhh Truck !!!! Yeeeee Haaaaaaaw….. !! CUE: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GQWNVsr0XKw.
        ;-)

  16. Jack says:

    A CUE, From 1976 ….Sutherland Brothers and Quiver, Singing……. ” Saturday Night”… Cue it You’ll LIKE IT BILL and Blog:::::::www.youtube.com/watch?v=tmQ-seiJglA. ;-)

  17. Jack says:

    The MOON Tonight, Looks like a EGG !!! Check it out and you Will See “EGG”actly What I am Talking About ! No Kidding….LOL.. Stay Cued !

  18. Jack says:

    I drive ahhhh Tractor or ahhhh Truck !!!! Yeeeee Haaaaaaaw….. !! CUE: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GQWNVsr0XKw. ;-)

  19. ron (wayland) says:

    NWS says low to mid 90′s possible this weekend.. what happened to the cold front?

  20. Dan says:

    Yes, I hear you ron. The extended now has highs in the mid 80s after Friday. I thought this was when the cold front was going to come through. I’m sure the highs will change at least 3 times before Friday gets here! Big question is, do we stay warmer than average for a longer period of time?

    1. SBPortage002 says:

      Apparently their thinking is the front will come into part of the area then move back north as a warm front, preventing our temps from cooling next weekend. We will wait and see how it plays out.

  21. Mark (East Lansing) says:

    “95F at Nagasaki”

    The only one that I’d be willing to bet that was human-influenced. See 08/09/44 – BOOM.

    1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      Make that 08/09/45.

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