Thursday PM

August 29th, 2013 at 4:11 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

glerl  Midday update.  Lots of sun now, but we’ll go partly cloudy this afternoon.  It’ll be dry and warm for Football Frenzy this Thurs. night…players and even fans should be drinking water and stay hydrated.  A thunderstorm is possible for Football Frenzy Friday night, so stay up with the latest forecasts.  We also have Western Michigan playing MSU in East Lansing and there is a chance of a shower or storm during and after that game.  The chance of rain for the CMU/U of M. game isn’t zero, but it’s probably just 20% at this point.   Here’s the college football schedule for Thurs. to Sat.   The NAM gives G.R. 0.17″ of rain Friday evening.  That may be underdone in this humid air.  The chance of rain is good then, but it’s not a sure thing for all locations….I’d put the chance of rain around 75%.   The morning run of the NAM model gives G.R. low 90s Friday (hot and humid), 83 Sat. and 84 Sun. with cooler air to follow for Monday and beyond.  Two significant cold fronts are on the way for next week.  The first Sunday evening and the second around late Weds.  The second will have some significantly cooler air behind it.  This early Thurs. PM, there’s a band of strong storms that has plowed thru N. Minnesota moving out over Lake Superior.   There has been some wind damage with this line of storms, which should eventually weaken as it continues to the east.  ALSO, the Rim Fire in California is now 31% contained.  The fire has consumed 191,000 acres, making it the 7th largest fire since records began (and I don’t know when that was) in California.

The picture here was the sun setting into some distant cirrus clouds Weds. evening from the GLERL camera at Muskegon.  We’ll start this Thurs. with patchy fog.  It should be another dry and warm day with temps. up into the mid-upper 80s.    We’d get a couple showers/t-showers Fri. PM/night and Sunday night/early Monday.  The European has .13″ of rain Fri. evening/night and a paltry .03″ Sunday night into early Monday.  I think those numbers are underdone.   The European model would give G.R. upper 80s (to near 90) today, low 90s Friday, low 80s Sat. and maybe 73 on Monday (definitely cooler on Monday).  Another cool front comes thru about Weds. PM next week, and that’ll have even cooler air, with highs Thursday possibly low 70s or even upper 60s.  Also, it was warmer in Escanaba Weds. than it was in Miami Beach.  Here’s timelapse of the Rim Fire out in California, the 7th biggest fire in California history.  Since 1960, we have had only 5 years without an Atlantic hurricane before Sept. 1st.  This year should be #6.   It’s also the lowest # of tornadoes in the U.S. since at least 2o02.   Extreme cold in S. America (State of Emergency in Peru) may have killed 250,000 alpacas (by contrast, the polar bears seem to be doing  just fine) and a severe winter storm has hit the Brooks Range in Alaska, stranding numerous trucks on the Dalton Highway amid heavy drifting snow , high winds and zero visibility.

23 Responses to “Thursday PM”

  1. michael g (SE GR) says:

    Ready for that cool weather. Yesterday afternoon’s run almost killed me.

    1. michael g (SE GR) says:

      First flakes are likely less that two months away!

    2. Travis (Oakland County) says:

      Shocker

  2. Larry from Hastings/Barry Co says:

    Happy Thursday everyone. I have decided to spend couple more nights out here in Yankee Springs. It is a little cool this morning and some fog. Sounds like Alaska is having a early winter. That is a large number of alpacas to be killed by extreme cold. I love alpacas. Be safe on the roads and highways this holiday weekend. I am sure the highways will get busy today.

  3. Cort S. says:

    Here is a well-written article about Tim Samaras, Paul Samaras, Carl Young, and the May 31 tornado. Worth the long read. Lots of new details about that terrible day, and a very moving tribute.

    http://www.miaminewtimes.com/2013-08-29/news/tornado-chaser-tim-samaras-death/full/

    1. Todd A (from Holland, in GR) says:

      Thanks for sharing this link, Cort. It helps paint a better picture surrounding the events of that day. Hopefully the pictures/video retrieved from the cameras can help researchers continue what TWISTEX was doing when they were killed.

  4. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    Back to average for me and Saginaw for August with three more warm days coming. It will be four warm months in a row.

    Heading up north for a great weekend! Lake temps look very nice for this time of year.

    http://coastwatch.glerl.noaa.gov/statistic/gif/avgtemps-m_1992-2012.gif

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      You picked a good calm period for nice water temps, have fun. Those poor people in late July and most of August lost out.

  5. bluegill says:

    Cold in Peru but not so much in Sanitago, Chile, which is a considerable distance south of Peru – and the equator by comparison. Theoretically still winter here but the temp hit 84 yesterday. We did feel a few minor earthquakes yesterday as well. From downtown Santiago we can see the snow line moving up the Andes mountains.

  6. Dan says:

    Looks like another couple of warmer days. Then, the cool down! Not sure, if we cool into the 60s. This weather is perfect for the last official weekend of summer from the tourism perspective!

  7. kevin. w says:

    Update long range monthlies come out next week. I see snow being forecasted early in the northern Canadian territories next week. So maybe the Euro model maybe on to significant cool down toward next weekend???

  8. arcturus says:

    I was wondering when chatter about early snow would start. It seems to happen every year starting around now.

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      I am pretty sure they started last month if you look back ;)

  9. fixxxer says:

    Finally a nice day..love it, right rj? It could stay like this all year. ;)

    1. Cliff(Scotts) says:

      Wow^^^ good job fixxxer!!!

    2. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

      I agree, it’s been perfect only wish the days were still longer for better and longer fishing opportunity. Oh well!

  10. Mark (East Lansing) says:

    Football season. Oh how we missed ye.

  11. Dan says:

    Yes, Football season! You missed all the talk about snow in July. Forget it, you’ll have to wait until people start offering their snowfall predictions.
    Enjoy the Labor Day Weekend, Bloggers!

  12. Zach says:

    Mesodiscussion for severe potential in the UP http://mesodiscussion.com/view/20131796/

    1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

      GRRRRR as usual, either up there or Southern counties.

  13. Mark (East Lansing) says:

    Torii Hunter three-run walk off! Woohoo!!

    1. Brian(Grandville) says:

      I heard the call on the radio while driving to Stanton. That was awesome!

  14. Larry from Hastings/Barry Co says:

    Another wonderful day out here in Yankee Springs. It’s starting to clouded up little. Just woke-up from a nice afternoon nap. Two years ago this weekend, I stopped smoking. I smoked off and on for about 30 years. I have been lucky no health problems. Now I enjoy fresh air.

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