Thursday PMAugust 29th, 2013 at 4:11 am by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
Midday update. Lots of sun now, but we’ll go partly cloudy this afternoon. It’ll be dry and warm for Football Frenzy this Thurs. night…players and even fans should be drinking water and stay hydrated. A thunderstorm is possible for Football Frenzy Friday night, so stay up with the latest forecasts. We also have Western Michigan playing MSU in East Lansing and there is a chance of a shower or storm during and after that game. The chance of rain for the CMU/U of M. game isn’t zero, but it’s probably just 20% at this point. Here’s the college football schedule for Thurs. to Sat. The NAM gives G.R. 0.17″ of rain Friday evening. That may be underdone in this humid air. The chance of rain is good then, but it’s not a sure thing for all locations….I’d put the chance of rain around 75%. The morning run of the NAM model gives G.R. low 90s Friday (hot and humid), 83 Sat. and 84 Sun. with cooler air to follow for Monday and beyond. Two significant cold fronts are on the way for next week. The first Sunday evening and the second around late Weds. The second will have some significantly cooler air behind it. This early Thurs. PM, there’s a band of strong storms that has plowed thru N. Minnesota moving out over Lake Superior. There has been some wind damage with this line of storms, which should eventually weaken as it continues to the east. ALSO, the Rim Fire in California is now 31% contained. The fire has consumed 191,000 acres, making it the 7th largest fire since records began (and I don’t know when that was) in California.
The picture here was the sun setting into some distant cirrus clouds Weds. evening from the GLERL camera at Muskegon. We’ll start this Thurs. with patchy fog. It should be another dry and warm day with temps. up into the mid-upper 80s. We’d get a couple showers/t-showers Fri. PM/night and Sunday night/early Monday. The European has .13″ of rain Fri. evening/night and a paltry .03″ Sunday night into early Monday. I think those numbers are underdone. The European model would give G.R. upper 80s (to near 90) today, low 90s Friday, low 80s Sat. and maybe 73 on Monday (definitely cooler on Monday). Another cool front comes thru about Weds. PM next week, and that’ll have even cooler air, with highs Thursday possibly low 70s or even upper 60s. Also, it was warmer in Escanaba Weds. than it was in Miami Beach. Here’s timelapse of the Rim Fire out in California, the 7th biggest fire in California history. Since 1960, we have had only 5 years without an Atlantic hurricane before Sept. 1st. This year should be #6. It’s also the lowest # of tornadoes in the U.S. since at least 2o02. Extreme cold in S. America (State of Emergency in Peru) may have killed 250,000 alpacas (by contrast, the polar bears seem to be doing just fine) and a severe winter storm has hit the Brooks Range in Alaska, stranding numerous trucks on the Dalton Highway amid heavy drifting snow , high winds and zero visibility.