A Dry Week

August 31st, 2013 at 4:49 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Storm Total Rainfall  This is Storm Total Rainfall for Friday from the Nexrad Radar at the GRR NWS.  Quite a bit of rain fell in the Detroit and Chicago areas.  Holland had between 1/3rd and 1/2″.  You can make out the rather small t-shower that caused the delay in the Bronco-Spartan football game.  Much of the area had nothing to a couple hundredths of an inch.  This looks like a dry week.  There is a weak and moisture-starved front that may kick off a couple of showers/t-showers long about Sunday evening.  It’s pretty iffy.  The next front about late Weds. is also weak and moisture-starved.  No sign of anything drastically cold….we’ll see highs from the low 70s to mid 80s across Lower Michigan this week.  The European has no measurable rain at all for G.R. through next Friday.  The GFS plot has only 0.01″ for G.R. thru Sept. 9th!  That’s probably overdone on the dry side, but there will be precious few minutes of rain over the next week.

Also, the El Reno, Oklahoma tornado has been downgraded from the EF5 to EF3.   From Dr. Ryan Maue:  “Thru 8-days, nothing well-organized in tropics w/GFS 00z. Amazingly quiet for early Sept for Northern Hemisphere.”  Significantly more ice in the Arctic than one year ago.  Yesterday a wind gust of 75 mph was reported at Skokie, Illinois and 73 mph at Tiffin, Ohio.

49 Responses to “A Dry Week”

  1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    I’m +0.7 for August now. Saginaw is +0.8. Traverse City up to +1.2.

    I’ve now had 14 straight days with warmer than average highs.

    Up north has been great weather and the lake temps are very nice for this time of year!

    If some of the models are right, it looks like it may warm up again midweek and into next weekend. So much for the after Labor Day cold.

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      Thanks for update on flint high temperatures……………. Don’t planes come and go at Flint bishop during the day? Hmm… ;)

      Enjoy up north.

      1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

        Northern Lights are active the next two nights for anyone up north!

        1. Barry in Zeeland says:

          I noticed that. Kp got up to 4 last night. I sent a text to my family vacationing up by lake superior but they didn’t see anything.

    2. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      I’m sure you randomly selected those three sites for, you know, objectivity.

      1. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

        And while most of Michigan has been near to just above average for this August there have been areas where that has not been the case. For example Springfield, MO is running at -2.5° for the month and Kansas City is now at -1.1° for August. And in south Florida Fort Myers is running on the cool side of average at -0.7 and Miami is now at -0.3 and of course here in Grand Rapids we are still at -0.9° So while there are some locations that are above average there are also locations that are below or just below average and that most locations are within one degree of above or below average (of near average)
        Slimjim

    3. Bill Steffen says:

      Preliminary temperature departures from average for August: Grand Rapids -0.7, Holland -0.5, Muskegon -0.4, Battle Creek -0.2, Kalamazoo -1.0, Lansing -0.8, Ludington -1.5, Detroit -0.1 (Airport), Detroit -0.5 (City), Ann Arbor -0.7, Jackson -1.2, Port Hope -0.5, Houghton Lake -0.3, Adrian -0.6, Benton Harbor -2.5, U. of M. ag. station near Ann Arbor -3.1 (note difference between the ag. station and the the ARB airport).

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        Rock on Bill!

  2. Larry from Hastings/Barry Co says:

    Bill, could you do some more research about the ice problem they are having in the Arctic. Global warming people need to hear about this. I am sure they would debate the problem. Global warming I.M.O., is a left-wing view. Have to go home today. Bill, thanks for the nice weather we had out here in Yankee Springs this week.(haha) We will be back on Monday, and might stay couple days.

    1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

      Here’s the long term significant downward trend from the National Snow & Ice Data Center

      http://nsidc.org/images/arcticseaicenews/20110906_Figure3.png

      1. yooper4021 says:

        Last I checked, there are two ends of the earth. Care to share any data about the Antarctic? After all, that would be fair-and-balanced.

        1. michael g (SE GR) says:

          Ahhh….but would it further his argument……NO!

      2. Bill Steffen says:

        The graph from Travis conveniently leaves out 2013. Here’s the up-to-date graphs on Arctic Ice:

        http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/N_stddev_timeseries.png Look at the difference between 2012 and 2013.

        http://www.natice.noaa.gov/ims/images/ims_data.jpg Greatest ice extent since 2006

        North of 80 deg. latitude, it’s been the coldest summer on record! (records since 1958): http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/meant80n.uk.php

        The Antarctic ice extent is much greater than last year at this time and mu ch, much greater than average: http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/S_stddev_timeseries.png (more than 2 standard deviations above average).

  3. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

    I think upper 70′s low 80′s low humidity is PERFECT year round :-)

    1. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

      That would be nice but we would not be living in Michigan then. All in all the next 30 to 45 days generally have very nice weather here in Michigan, And for the most part our summers are also very nice. it’s the time from late October to late April that is the problem that’s when its cloudy a lot its cold a lot, snows way too much and at times its too windy.
      SlimJim

  4. Brian(Grandville) says:

    NWS now says average to above average temps mid to late next week. Okay?

  5. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    Here on the north side of GR we did not receive any rain at all yesterday. If we do not get rain on Sunday then it may not rain for much of this next week. Of course the good side is its getting cooler and the sun is not as high in the sky so if you water the lawn you still do not have to water as much as you would in June and July. And of course if you don’t water the grass you do not have to cut it as much (if at all)
    SlimJim

  6. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    Detroit received 1.85″ of rain in one hour last night. Numerous 2-3″ storm totals.

  7. Barry in Zeeland says:

    Mid 80s coming up next week? But…but…the Rocky troll has promised cold and below average temps for the past month now………I suppose mid 80′s is below average somewhere…..

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      The average high is still 79* so not too off even for him ;) Earlier this month we had mid 80 day temps but near record low nights so the days were below average. Remember highs aren’t all that matter.

    2. Travis (Oakland County) says:

      +1

      Whatever RJ, I mean rocky, predicts, do the opposite.

      My average high is down to 78 and will probably be closer to 76 later in the week.

      1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

        Very honorable of you to claim Flint as your own. It is a sad and downtrodden place.

    3. michael g (SE GR) says:

      NWS point forecast for GR Monday-Friday: 73, 73, 78, 75, 78.

  8. DF (SE Mich) says:

    From the Detroit NWS, Summer 2013 a Normal One, but Wet in Detroit.
    http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=dtx&storyid=96672&source=0

    When they do the analysis on the official 30 year average it will be even more normal. This report is all years and still normal.

    1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

      Flint and Detroit now both +1 degree above average for summer. I guess warm is the new normal after all? ;)

      1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

        Sorry, but +/- 1 degree is still considered average.

      2. DF (SE Mich) says:

        The new normal is 74.8* for a summer. We are -3* for the summer… Practically an ice age if 1* is such a huge number ;)

        Seriously, enjoy yourself up there and stop posting. I wouldn’t be if I were on vacation. :)

      3. Bill Steffen says:

        Try again, Travis. Detroit Metro was -0.1 deg. for August, +0.4 for July and +0.2 for June (the 3 summer months). That gives them rounded +0.2 for the summer. Detroit City was -0.3 for August, -0.3 for July and -0.4 for June. That’s rounded -0.3 for the summer.

  9. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

    Anyone having bad allergies?

    1. YeahThatDan says:

      Yes I am, sneezing like crazy! Take some pills and stay cued!

      1. Jack says:

        Yeah that DAN….Don’t ya Mean STAYhttps://i.chzbgr.com/maxW500/2273936640/h65E9AB30/ ED…. Lolololo..;-)

    2. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      Rocky is allergic to hot weather. Fixxx is allergic to optimism. Travis is allergic to common sense.

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        Now that is funny! Travis is delusional!

  10. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Some “heat wave”! High temp in GR today was a whopping 80 degrees! A few days ago Travis and the rest of the global warming freaks were talking about temps in the mid 90′s this weekend! Nice try, but another 100% fail! More horrendous warm weather hype that fails again!!

    1. Brad (Van Buren) says:

      It was 94 when I went to work at 5PM yesterday.

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        All of my weather related comments and predictions are for GR baby, not Van Buuren or the hot spot of Flint!

  11. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

    Accuweather claims that the natural cooling of the Pacific Ocean is to blame for the recent flattening of global temperatures… I guess it has SOME effect.

    1. Brad (Van Buren) says:

      I saw this article…I took a quick look at it but it seemed very biased toward global warming so I quit reading.

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        100% correct observation! Bring on the cold and snow!

  12. Dan says:

    Travis doesn’t want to hear it or read it unless it had to do with warm! We remain with average temps for this summer! Obama not acting to attack without congressional approval, Wow he hadn’t done that EVER!

    1. Bill Steffen says:

      Obama will think about acting, maybe, after he tells the world what he’s going to do and after his 127th round of golf. Obama approval rating down to 44% http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i//MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/13336_NBC_Syria_Poll.pdf

      1. Jack says:

        Hey BILL, Here is what Obama, WILL DO…. CUE, Townes Van Zandt …” NOTHIN”. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zZcH2OOMV4A. ;-)

  13. Dan says:

    This from Charlie Daniels! This guy is so right on. He should consider running for president. Anyway, here are his comments.

    “Assad is threatening to attack Israel if the Western powers take any action, but I seriously doubt he could even get an all out effort off the ground before Israel would obliterate Syria’s military, something they are well capable of doing and if he does attack, even Israel’s most staunch critics could not fault them for defending themselves.

    Nevertheless, if Assad is crazy enough to go to war with Israel, it will get messy in a hurry and things could escalate rapidly in that volatile area. Other hostiles in the region could use it as an excuse to get involved and that’s where America, and whatever coalition they can cobble together, has to stand strong in defending Israel.

    And if Obama is not willing to do that, he should just stay out of the situation because I’m sure there are factions in the neighborhood who would like nothing better than an all out war with Israel and will use any American involvement as an excuse to use every means at their disposal to drag every Islamic nation in the Middle East into the fight.

    Israel’s enemies should be told on no uncertain terms that any offensive movements against Israel would be an act of war against their ally, the United States.

    The day for half-baked responses and mealy mouthed resolutions are over, it’s time to mean what we say or not say it at all and to stop drawing movable red lines and replying to deadly force with diplomatic doublespeak that means absolutely nothing.

    Then there’s Russia, the joker in the deck. I don’t believe Putin has any respect – and certainly no fear – of Obama and it’s time to turn that tide. Time to go toe-to-toe with his complete involvement, answer every statement in kind and let him know that America is still a super power that will stand by her allies regardless of what Russia thinks about it.

    Approaching the situation in Syria with anything less than total resolve would be the biggest mistake Obama could make. The only thing Middle Eastern governments understand is strength and power, as it has been proven in Libya and Syria in the past couple of years.

    Diplomacy not bolstered by strength is wasted effort; the only thing they respect is strength and the will to use it.

    We have the strength.”

    1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      There’s a lot in there I agree with. Unfortunately, President Obama really got himself into a mess and there’s no easy way out at this point.

    2. Jack says:

      HEY DAN, He has Got MY VOTE( if he would Run for President) !!! Love it. What is Happening in OUR WORLD, brought to my Mind ….THIS SONG,by Charlie Daniels. It is a TUNE, Called ” Tribulation”. If you or anyone else Has never Seen THIS VIDEO. I recommend ya , CHECK IT OUT….. CUE : http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=boA3VAGIl6A. God BLESS , the USA !! :-)

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