September 1st, 2013 at 1:34 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Local 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook   1:15 AM -  There’s a t-shower just west of Battle Creek, another in Cass Co. and a few stretched from Detroit into the Thumb area.  The cool front runs from Alpena to Holland to Chicago and it’s moving SE.  Once the front passes, the chance of rain is ended.  Variable to partly cloudy cloud conditions over Lower Michigan.  Here’s radar.  A storm downed trees and lines at Clam River and a tree fell on a car at Alden, both in Antrim Co.  1″ diameter hail has been reported just south of Mancelona MI and in Waupaca, Wisconsin.  A storm near Milwaukee produced 45 mph winds and downed a couple power lines at Campbellsport.  2″ of rain fell in 50 minutes at Calumet in the U.P. with 2.2″ in 75 minutes at Gulliver in Schoolcraft County.  Here’s storm reports from SPC, including some wind damage reports in Missouri, Arkansas and the western Carolinas.    We have the links below for you to check out.   We are in the General Thunderstorm Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center, with the Slight Risk Area coming up almost to Chicago.   SPC may issue a Severe T-Storm Watch for Illinois.  A brief shot of cooler air will keep PM temps. in the low 70s tomorrow, but we’re back into the low-mid 80s later in the week.  Right now, it’s mid 50s with a north wind at 25 mph gusting to 35 mph at Copper Harbor in the U.P.  Certainly jacket weather for the Bridge Walk Monday AM.   I’m working the evening shift today and Monday, so watch WOOD-TV at 10 and 11 PM and I’ll have the latest for you.

Check out the rockslide and MASSIVE BOULDER that crashes down on a road in Taiwan.   Here’s even better video, and video of the car that got shoved by the slide.  The drive r and the passenger in the white vehicle had only minor injuries (lucky that boulder didn’t make one more turnover!).  This occurred in the town of Keelung.  The video was shot by Lai Hong-wei.  The rain was from Tropical Cyclone “Kong-Rey”.

Update on the Rim Fire in California, now the 4th biggest fire since records began in the state of California.  The fire has consumed 223,000 acres.  It’s now 41% contained with total containment estimated to be 9/20.  There are 5069 fire fighters, 433 engines and 41 helicopters assigned to the fire.  111 structures have been lost.  There is spectulation that the fire was started by illegal marijuana growers.

For Michigan weather observations and wind speeds, click here. Here’s WOOD-TV looping Radar. Check out regional radar, GRR radar, northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Check out Storm Total Rainfall (until they reset it). Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the WOOD lightning tracker and U.S. lightning, the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures. Here’s storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan.

95 Responses to “”

  1. Kevin (Marshall) says:

    Downpour in Marshall now.

  2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    GR will not see a temperature of above 80 degrees today and by the way we are not in a “heat wave”! Travis has a warm weather sickness and it is getting worse!

    1. Rodey (Rockford) says:

      It’s almost as bad as your cold weather sickness. Didn’t you say it wouldn’t hit 90 again? I give you credit, you have never been right on any of your predictions but at least you keep trying. Hang in there, one of these times you’re bound to be right. Thanks for listening. Fantastic.

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        fixxxer if you only had a brain!

        1. Rodey (Rockford) says:

          Wow brilliant. Take you long to think of that one. Thanks for listening. I love it. Fantastic.

    2. Travis (Oakland County) says:

      Oops another failed prediction from RJ, I mean Rocky…

      You’re now 0 for 8 just in 2013, alone.

      1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

        You actually take him seriously?

  3. snowsearch says:

    Welcome to September bloggers!!!

    1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

      One of my favorite months of the year! The weather pattern finally gets active again :)

  4. kevin. w says:

    I got the farmers almanac and sure shows a winter for Rocky and maybe it may come true. The NAO is back in a slight positive to neutral and the AO is about the same but guessing that its going to change before long because they’ve been getting snow up in northern Canada early this year.

    1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

      This is from the Old Farmers Almanac: Winter will be slightly milder than normal, with near-normal precipitation and below-normal snowfall in most of the region. The coldest periods will be in mid- to late December, early and mid-January, and in early to mid-February. The snowiest periods will be in mid- and late December and in late January.

  5. GunLakeDeb says:

    I stumbled onto this: Arctic Sea Ice is trapping yachts who have sailed the Northern Passage in years past with no problem:
    http://www.sail-world.com/USA/North-West-Passage-blocked-with-ice%E2%80%94yachts-caught/113788

    1. Larry from Hastings/Barry Co says:

      Very interesting, about the Arctic Sea Ice problem. What happen to global warming? I am sure the left-wing people will say it’s cause by global warming.

      1. Brad says:

        What Arctic ice problem? Arctic ice cover is below normal.

        1. Bill Steffen says:

          First – we’ve had a significant increase in ice extent at BOTH poles in the last year. That’s the obvious trend:

          http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/N_stddev_timeseries.png

          http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/S_stddev_timeseries.png

          The Arctic icecap is within 2 standard deviations, while the Antarctic icecap is greater than 2 standard deviations

          The Antarctic icecap has been growing for over 25 years: http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/seaice.anomaly.antarctic.png The Antarctic icecap doesn’t even get down to average during the summer!

          North of 80 deg. latitude, it was the coldest summer ever, since records began in 1958: http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/meant80n.uk.php The average temp. north of 80 deg. just went above average last week for the first time since May!

          The temperature trend is down at the Amundsen-Scott South Pole Weather Station: http://www.john-daly.com/stations/amundsen.gif As I type this, the temperature at the South Pole is a very cold -71F: http://www.wunderground.com/q/zmw:00000.1.89009

          Sea surface temperatures are colder than average pretty much all around Antarctica: http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/anomaly/2013/anomnight.8.29.2013.gif

        2. Larry from Hastings/Barry Co says:

          Brad what proof do you have?

        3. Brad says:

          Larry, see Bill’s link. Bill, what does Antarctic sea ice have to do with my comment to Larry? Big Daddy has done a good job pointing us to the physics behind that one.

        4. Larry from Hastings/Barry Co says:

          Brad show us the proof. By the way who is Big Daddy? What data does he have?

        5. Brad says:

          Larry, Arctic ice cover and average ice cover can be reviewed by following Bill’s link.

        6. Bill Steffen says:

          Can’t ignore the elephant in the room. BigD’s only got the computer model from PIOMAS. That data has already been corrected (to the obvious raw data) by 28% and they’re going to have to adjust it again. PIOMAS gets a boatload of government funding. Any scientist with a hint of skepticism would have to question the claim of dramatic loss of volume, while surface ice extent is growing at a significant rate and sea temperatures don’t support the warming/melting.

          Look at the sum total of my links. It sure doesn’t scream “global warming crisis”. The Arctic icecap is now greater than any year at this time since 2006. The Antarctic icecap is setting daily records for greatest extent. The temperature at the South Pole is getting colder and the North Pole

        7. Brad says:

          Broken record…

        8. Brad says:

          Anecdotes do not equate with analysis.

        9. Brad says:

          Hmmm, not quite about Arctic ice. Next, should I expect a link to a random electrical engineer’s blog?

        10. Brad says:

          WOW, The Heartland Institute? You read that kookery, yet have the audacity to argue that “warmists” are the ones with an agenda? Wow!

        11. Bill Steffen says:

          Read the link to the peer-reviewed study. The Heartland article is correct. They don’t have to use a TRICK to HIDE a decline.

          Peer-reviewed: http://oss.sagepub.com/content/33/11/1477.full

        12. Brad says:

          Dr. Mann is a distinguished researcher who was cleared of all wrongdoing. The Birchers/birthers whiffed again, the racists.

        13. Bill Steffen says:

          Dr. Mann was exposed in the ClimateGate emails (“use Mike’s TRICK to HIDE THE DECLINE”). “Mike” was Michael Mann.

          From Dr. Richard Muller (Ph.D. Berkeley): “… The standards held over there at the University of East Anglia are just not up to what we consider standard scientific methods….”

          And later on in the interview:

          Richard Muller: “What’s wrong is what they said. The conclusions that Michael Mann drew, that it’s the warmest it’s been in a thousand years – I was on an international academy review panel that looked at that. Our conclusion was: he could not draw those conclusions.”

        14. Brad says:

          Isn’t Dr. Mann now a fellow of the AMA?

        15. Bill Steffen says:

          Yes, Mann is a Fellow of the AMS – so is Dr. Roger Pelkie, Dr. John Christy, Dr. Judith Curry, Dr. John Nielsen-Gammon, Dr. Richard Lindzen, Dr. Joel Myers, Dr. Bill Gray, Joe D’Aleo, Peter Giddings and Grand Rapids own Craig James (Woods).

        16. Brad says:

          Interesting list, Bill. All deniers?

        17. Bill Steffen says:

          All with the very top credentials in Atmospheric Science as opposed to you…you have no credentials in climate science. All you have left is to call them names, while they provide data and facts to substantiate their position.

          Quote by Nobel Prize Winner For Physics, Ivar Giaever: “I am a skeptic…Global warming has become a new religion.”

          Quote by Nobel Prize Winner For Chemistry, Kary Mullis: “Global warmers predict that global warming is coming, and our emissions are to blame. They do that to keep us worried about our role in the whole thing. If we aren’t worried and guilty, we might not pay their salaries. It’s that simple.

  6. Rad ( Jenison / Hudsonville ) says:

    JV gonna pitch a good game today ?

  7. Slimjim says:

    With all of the clouds and not much to our west it don’t look good for rain in our area. There is a line of showers well to our north.
    BTW welcome to September and the start of fall. All in all the summer of 2013 was rather nice. A little short on the thunderstorms but we did have some hot days and a good amount of sun and a good amount of nice cool days that gave us a long period of not needing the air nor heat on. Now lets hope we can keep the “don’t have to” well into the fall. I mentioned how cloudy it was and now the sun is out here.
    Slimjim

  8. Kimoeagle says:

    Re the “Massive Boulder” video: Holy Crap! He ‘dodged’ just in time, I’d say….and is a very fortunate man!

  9. Michael g (se gr) says:

    -.7 in GR for August, following -.2 in July, and a 0.0 in June. Hot summer, right Travis?

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      It must be global warming – ya right! I am sure it was 5 degrees above average in Flint!!!

    2. arcturus says:

      Below avg temps seen for some month this year. I would post it too considering how rare it has been.

      1. Bill Steffen says:

        Huh? In Grand Rapids only 2 of the last 7 months have been warmer than average, and July was only by 2/10ths of a degree!

        1. INDY says:

          Bill look who is blogging thee name gang T,F clan…..INDYY

        2. arcturus says:

          Over the past 20 years.

        3. Bill Steffen says:

          So, you’ve got the exact numbers from the last 20 years?

          In G.R. the average temperature for the decade of the 1930s was one degree warmer than the decade of the 2000s.

        4. Brad says:

          Bill, are you referring to the warmed average again?

        5. Bill Steffen says:

          The averages that are still lower than the 1930s…those averages.

        6. Brad says:

          I wonder where the 1930s ranked globally?

        7. Bill Steffen says:

          Actually temperature data shows the 1930s were warmer. However, given that surface temperature is currently sampled over about 15% of the globe and that it was less than 10% back in the 1930s, there is an opportunity for climate profiteers and special interest shills to manipulate areas like oceans, the poles and remote areas to reach a desired, preconcieved and financially rewarding conclusion.

          The NASA IR data is public domain and harder to “adjust” to get that grant $$$ and crony green energy $$: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif

        8. Brad says:

          That’s Alex Jones nonsense. When you have to resort to global conspiracy theories, that’s a fail. It really illustrates your lack of an honest, coherent scientific argument, and instead is further evidence of a “kitchen sink” argument that does not discriminate between the credible and the incredible.

        9. Bill Steffen says:

          You present no data, just insults.

          Global temperatures have been flat for over a decade: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif

          CO2 emissions in the U.S. are falling: http://content.usatoday.com/communities/ondeadline/post/2012/08/in-a-surprise-co2-emissions-hit-20-year-low/1

          The climate models are failing miserably: http://www.climatedialogue.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/Figure-2-Pielke.jpg Dr. Judith Curry calls the models “deeply flawed”

          Arctic ice is rebounding: http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/N_stddev_timeseries.png

          Antarctic ice is at a historic record extent: http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/S_stddev_timeseries.png

          This year we are at a near record low number of tornadoes and this is only the 4th time in 50 years we have not had an Atlantic hurricane in August. They just downgraded the El Reno tornado from EF5 to EF3 (where it was initially).

          Sunspots are decreasing, the PDO has turned cold and it’s only a matter of time until our lack of volcanic activity ends. Al Gore gets rich as the poor and middle class struggle to pay for green energy boondoggles.

          And more and more scientists are questioning the climate profiteers: http://oss.sagepub.com/content/33/11/1477.full

      2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        You are on drugs. Did you go the warm weather bias school of Travis?

        1. arcturus says:

          Nope, simply looked at the facts drug free. When they come with the straight jacket I suggest you leave peacefully.

        2. Bill Steffen says:

          Quote by Nobel Prize Winner For Physics, Ivar Giaever: “I am a skeptic…Global warming has become a new religion.”

          Quote by Nobel Prize Winner For Chemistry, Kary Mullis: “Global warmers predict that global warming is coming, and our emissions are to blame. They do that to keep us worried about our role in the whole thing. If we aren’t worried and guilty, we might not pay their salaries. It’s that simple.

    3. Travis (Oakland County) says:

      Yep it was my 4th above average summer in a row.

      Detroit and Flint both were +1.1 warmer than average.

      1. Bill Steffen says:

        Not Detroit. The data from both Detroit Metro and Detroit City weather stations show an average summer. For the 3 summer months of June, July and August…Detroit Metro was +0.167 deg. warmer than average and Detroit City was 0.33 deg. cooler than average. You can access the monthly data and NOW data here: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=dtx

        1. Brad says:

          Is that relative to the warmed average?

        2. Bill Steffen says:

          It’s the official National Weather Service averages: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/normals/usnormals.html They’ve been lowered since the 1930s.

        3. Mark (East Lansing) says:

          Thanks for keeping him honest, Mr. S.

        4. Brad says:

          There’s nothing dishonest about my comment.

        5. Bill Steffen says:

          Nobel Prize Winners correct “global warming” alarmism:

          Quote by Nobel Prize Winner For Physics, Ivar Giaever: “I am a skeptic…Global warming has become a new religion.”

          Quote by Nobel Prize Winner For Chemistry, Kary Mullis: “Global warmers predict that global warming is coming, and our emissions are to blame. They do that to keep us worried about our role in the whole thing. If we aren’t worried and guilty, we might not pay their salaries. It’s that simple.”

        1. Bill Steffen says:

          The headline at your link says this was a normal summer for temperatures, but a wet one (above average rainfall). If you go to my link (which is the official climate data for Detroit from the NWS, it showed cooler than average readings for the Detroit City Airport and only +0.3 deg. for Detroit Metro. My link is to the accepted 30-year climate average. All I can guess is that your link has a different climate average (if so, that’s very confusing for DTX to have two different climate averages on their webpage) or it’s a misprint (since it’s the same as Flint…maybe they just read it wrong).

  10. INDY says:

    Say good night to the heat of summer 13 …….Fall is ready to snow on us!! INDYY……

  11. Ping pong ball size hail and 70MPH winds for Antrim and Kalkaska Counties

    1. Cliff(Scotts) says:

      meso discussion gr north

    1. Swatz Zoo says:

      If they issue a watch it won’t happen. Don’t jinx us

    2. INDY says:

      lolololololoo….

  12. Lol meso discussion. Seen that twice this month and nothing…just another hype.

  13. Dan says:

    They just don’t stop do they?

  14. Zach says:

    Another mesodicsussion for across the puddle…. watch unlikely

    http://mesodiscussion.com/view/20131828/

  15. Dan says:

    I hope Austin Jackson is ok! If the Tigers can keep winning. most of their games, they should let Miggy rest!

  16. Weather spotters report a rotating funnel cloud near Serena, Illinois moving southeast at 30mph toward Nettle Creek and eventually down toward I-80 bringing along with it quarter size hail.

  17. Larry from Hastings/Barry Co says:

    It’s been nice and sunny here in Hastings today.

  18. Stephen(NorthMuskegon) says:

    very strange outside here. Its extremely orange looking outside low clouds moving very fast and mammatus clouds above our heads.

  19. Mark (East Lansing) says:

    The landslide vid is pretty sweet.

  20. Mindy says:

    Storm blew up between St Johns and Flint, i’m watching the constant Lightning, pretty cool!!!

    1. Bryan says:

      In Williamston looking east. Perfectly capped isolated storm top, guessing near Durand. You can see the stars above it and all around looking east, and a lightning show with in the cloud tops. More internal cloud flashing and hardly any thunder.

      Take care
      Bryan

      1. Holly says:

        That storm near Durand has moved east. I’m hearing LOTS of low rumbling and saw my first flash of lightening. Given the rumbling, I’m unplugging my electronics as soon as I post this.

        1. Holly says:

          Even though we had a severe thunderstorm warning, the storm apparently wimped out by the time it was east of Fenton. All was quiet a few minutes after midnight. We had just a bit of rain.

  21. Brad says:

    Man is a simian.

      1. Brad says:

        Free Republic? That’s a racist site.

        1. Bill Steffen says:

          So intellectually vacuous to just randomly slam the site rather than read, much less challenge the facts presented…note the link to Penn State.

        2. Brad says:

          Bill, you attack the source all the time. Don’t be a hypocrite.

        3. Bill Steffen says:

          Still can’t dispute the millions of dollars that Michael Mann gets to promote his fact-challenged hype. Al Gore has even taken the “hockey stick” out of his slide show.

        4. Brad says:

          Dr. Mann is correct. You’re on the wrong side of history when it comes to evolution, the link between cigarettes and cancer, economics, and climate change.

        5. Bill Steffen says:

          You can believe anything you like, Brad, but as the Sen. Daniel Moynihan said, “Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not his own facts.” Mann’s hockey stick has been discredited. Even Al Gore doesn’t use it anymore. His predictions have failed. Remember Trenberth’s ClimateGate email: “The fact is that we can’t account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can’t.” “We” was Trenberth, Mann et al. It was a travesty because the data was in direct conflict with their climate-profiteering theory.

          Mann is suing National Review and I hope – I REALLY hope that he goes ahead with the lawsuit and that he has to take the witness stand under oath. I’ll take a vacation day to watch him go down.

        6. Brad says:

          The hockey stick is alive and well, and supported by numerous independent studies. It’s funny that you accuse others of insults yet continually engage in the politics of personal destruction on this blog. I can’t imagine taking a vacation day in anticipation of somebody I don’t like getting into a difficult situation. That just isn’t right, and certainly isn’t consistent with the teachings of Jesus.

        7. Robert(Plainwell) says:

          Brad if you read the climate gate emails, you would know the team didn’t even believe in the study by Dr Mann. He only chose the trees that would prove his study.

        8. Bill Steffen says:

          The “hockey stick” has been thoroughly discredited. Al Gore doesn’t use it in his slide show anymore. http://www.john-daly.com/hockey/hockey.htm

  22. Kevin (Marshall) says:

    Cells in Van Buren county are intensifying and increasing in numbers.

Leave a Reply