September 8th, 2013 at 3:19 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Lake Michigan Tom De Vette nice sunset  Lake Michigan sunset – by Tom DeVette.  Saturday, I was up relatively early, updated the blog and headed to emcee the Tails and Trails fundraiser for the Harbor Humane Society at Kirk Park.   I did the countdown and started the dogs and owners on their walk.  About 90-seconds later, it started raining (we had rain for the event last year).  Fortunately, the rain lasted about 3 minutes.  We had a raffle with a $1,000 prize, a $500 prize and about 2 dozen other prizes.  I bought 25 tickets, so I didn’t want to pull out the winning entries.  One man who works at Steelcase sold 1,000 tickets and quite a few of the winners were Steelcase employees.  I found a most delightful girl from Jeffers Elementary to draw out the winners.   One woman won 3 prizes (she said, “I bought a lot of tickets”).  The $500 winner was drawn and she said that she wouldn’t take the $$ and that the money should go back to the Humane Society.  Everyone cheered.  At that point, I’m thinking…I better not win, I’m going to have to give the money back.  I decided that if I won, I’d ask for just $100 so I could take my wife out for a nice dinner.  I didn’t win. The winner was a V.P. of Steelcase and the people from Steelcase there at the event thought there was a good chance that he would donate a sizeable proportion of his winnings back to the Humane Society.  They had a bounce tent, free frisbees and other free stuff from vendors and free hot dogs at the end of the event.   I have two cats, both of which came from the Kent Co. Shelter.  They are wonderful pets and I’d recommend the pet experience to those who are contemplating getting a dog or cat.

After the event concluded, I decided to walk to Lake Michigan.  It was one of those days where you couldn’t tell where the lake ended and the sky began.  A soft haze covered the horizon.  There were about a dozen sailboats out on the water, catching a healthy breeze.  A couple of them were so far out that they could only be seen when they turned so as the sail reflected the dim sunlight.  Several women were painting with their easels firm in the breeze.  I talked with several people, including a couple who read the blog.  There is an area for dogs on the beach at the south end of the park.  I walked up the stairs to the lookout.  On top of the dune there is a grave.  It reads aged 5 years, 5 months, 3 days.  There is no name and no other information given.  After I finished the trail there, I went down to the Pigeon River pier at Port Sheldon at the Consumers Energy plant.  My daughter 3 was a security guard there part-time for a couple summers and I enjoyed coming out to walk pier with her.  I had intended to kayak, but it had started sprinkling, so I decided to walk and make phone calls.   I called my mother and confirmed my visit this week.  Gayle and I will drive to Chicago after church.  One of the bands my brother plays in has a fundraiser to play this afternoon in Chicago.  My brother works for Parker.   My 94-year old mother is going along.  If we get down there earlier enough, we’ll stop in.  My mother asked for some Michigan fruit, so we’re bringing some down.  We’ll probably go into downtown Chicago on Monday, then head up to Lake Geneva WI to take the boat ride around the lake on Tuesday.   Also, daughter 2, who has been a BIG Tim McGraw fan since his first album (she liked a song called Memory Lane) got to be in the first row at the concert at the Allegan Co. Fair and got within a couple feet of him.  I bet she’s seen Tim live 20 times.  She’s 32 and I remember driving up with her to Traverse City to see Tim when she was learning how to drive a car (17 years ago).  Back home I watched Michigan beat Notre Dame.  My niece is in the Michigan Marching Band.  I think the crowd of 115,109 set an NCAA record.  The Texas-BYU game in Utah was delayed a bit because of lightning.

The NAM model prints out 0.04″ of rain on Monday.  The other models are dry then.  The NAM gives G.R. 89 on Monday, a low of 75 Monday night and a high of 90 on Tues.  The GFS plot has 85 on Monday and 89 on Tues. with 0.18″ of rain late Tues. night.  The European has 0.12″ Weds. AM (so the European is a few hours slower with the front than the GFS).  The European has 2 PM temperatures of 82.7 on Mon. and 91.4 on Tues.  You figure the high temperature could be 4 deg. warmer than that…so the Euro. is around 95 for a high at the G.R. airport.   The wind is wsw and that will keep temperatures cooler near the lake.  The European as an 850mb temperature of 22C Tues. AM (very warm for Sept. and that would be at least low 90s if the sun is out).  However, it takes the 850 mb temperature down to 1.2C on Friday with a 2 PM temp. of 61.  So, definitely cooler for the Friday night football games.

They had 1/2″ of rain Saturday in Green Bay and Milwaukee; even some power lines down near Green Bay.  Less than a tenth of an inch in West Michigan, however.  1.06″ of rain fell at S. Ste. Marie.  Austin Texas had 1.03′ of rain and Brownsville had 0.94″.   Wind gusts from Saturday storms hit 72 mph near Buffalo SD and 59 mph at Sheridan WY.  Large hail fell SE of Rapid City SD.  And a mudslide closed part of Highway 1 in California.

68 Responses to “Weekend”

  1. kevin. w says:

    Getting real tired of the heat and humidity and ready for some 50s and 60s. Hopefully this will be the last week of any of this summer weather around these parts. Hoping for a good fall storm with windy, rainy, colder temperatures and getting the fireplace ready. :’)

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      + 1 trillion!

  2. Michael g (se gr) says:

    Quite a weekend Bill, enjoy!

  3. Dan says:

    Bill, we experienced the same. We were out on the soccer fields around 8 am, yesterday. Then, about 8:30 or so it rained for about 3 or 4 minutes. After that, the sun came out the humidity really went up. Looks great this morning. Sun is trying to poke through the clouds! Temps around 68. It still feels humid.
    How about that huge Wolverines win? WOW! When Gardner just does what he is supposed to do, this offense looks unstoppable! He tries to do too much at times. He’ll learn. What a game last night! Will the Lions come up with a big win today?
    I think it will be a close game. The Lions should win 27-24.

    1. Hugh says:

      What is wrong with TV8 sports that they can not even post the score of the Michigan/Notre Dame game?

  4. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    I love the temperatures this morning!

    1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

      Yea I know, it is a warm 67 degrees!

      1. kevin. w says:


      2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        - 2 trillion!

  5. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    Its a cloudy but nice and somewhat mild early September morning here in West Michigan. Looks like we will have a very warm start to the week and then a good cool down. So far GR is running at +1.0 for the month and should add to that early this week before cooling off for a while and then leveling off after that to near average.
    I came across this from the NWS office in Marquette. There is a lot of information here and a lot to look at.



  6. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    Dang, some of the models are showing upper 90′s for parts of Michigan on Tuesday. Probably a little over done, but some records may be falling.

    1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

      Also looks like we bounce right back to the 80′s after a one or two day chill.

      Just checked my iPhone weather app that’s pretty worthless, but it says 97 degrees for me on Tuesday lol

    2. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      Wow, really?

    3. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

      Record highs for September 10 are Grand Rapids 94 in 1931, Detroit 94 in 1983 and 1955, Flint 93 in 1983, Lansing 93 set in three years 1978, 1895 and 1874. Other record highs for September 10th are 96 at Marquette set in 1931. 94 at Alpena set in both 1983 and 1931. 92 at the Soo set in 1931 and the top of them all (for the 9/10 date) it was recorded as being 99 at Houghton Lake in 1931. In fact in 1931 Michigan must have had a good heat wave as the highs in Houghton Lake from September 9th 1931 were reported as being 98 on the 9th that 99 on the 10th 100 on the 11th 98 on the 12th 92 on the 13th It was also in the low to mid 90’s in Grand Rapids on those dates.

    4. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      More warm weather BS. It will not get above 90 degrees in GR on Tuesday! Ridiculous!

  7. Lisa (Caledonia) says:

    I don’t consider the Daily Mail to be a bastion of scientific reporting, but I found this article interesting, as the audience is regular folks. http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2415191/Global-cooling-Arctic-ice-caps-grows-60-global-warming-predictions.html?ICO=most_read_module

  8. Mark (East Lansing) says:

    Go Lions!

    1. Rad ( Jenison / Hudsonville ) says:

      I’ll 2nd That !

  9. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    While there have been some who have in some way or other tried to paint the one day heat as a record breaking event there have been several long heat waves in early to mid September here in Michigan two that stand out are 1931 and going way back this one in 1974.

    Year to Date Plots
    Grand Rapids

    Monthly and Yearly Climate Plots from January 2000 to Present


    On September 8 in Southwest Lower Michigan…
    9/8/1874One of the longest heat waves in the month of September is underway with Lansing hitting 95 degrees. Lansing would have eight consecutive days with high temperatures in the 90s from September 7th to the 14th. 9/8/1951A cool air mass settled into Lower Michigan bringing frost and freezing temperatures. Grand Rapids fell to a record low of 31 degrees
    So it can still get hot in Michigan and at the same time we can now get a frost.

    1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

      Trying to paint? That came from NWS Detroit mentioning possibly record breaking temps.

      1. Stephen(NorthMuskegon) says:

        Why such the bias? You always seem to argue one way or another really annoying..

        1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

          I didn’t know repeating NWS expert opinions was bias or trying to paint something lol

        2. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

          Yes, if the upper limit of Tuesdays forecast were to pan out there could be record temps for one day tied or broken. I was not talking about a one day event but just pointing out that there have been several true heat waves in early to mid September in the past and I am sure there will be others in the future.

        3. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          We will not be having a heat wave this September! More BS!

        4. Mark (East Lansing) says:

          It’s unfortunate that you have to explain yourself, Slim.

        5. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          Give Travis a break. He has serious global warming sickness. He can not help himself!

        6. Rodey (Rockford) says:

          It’s almost as bad as your snowstorm and cold weather bias/predictions. Who knew. Fantastic. Thanks for listening.

        7. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          fixxxer you are 100% brain dead!

  10. Skot says:

    Record return of Arctic ice cap as it grows by 60% in a year with top scientists warning of global COOLING
    Read more at http://www.liveleak.com/view?i=a6d_1378655997#sHuxRtOcguJWD4eI.99

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Global cooling – now there is a concept! I am sure Flint and Detroit will be in heat wave while the rest of the world will be in cool down!

    2. big Daddy BC says:

      And in another strange twist, the forests are growing back, coal is jumping back in the ground, and Cows have begun absorbing methane! Global Cooling, that’s rich!!! LOL


      “Many of the events that made 2012 such an interesting year are part of the long-term trends we see in a changing and varying climate — carbon levels are climbing, sea levels are rising, Arctic sea ice is melting, and our planet as a whole is becoming a warmer place,” said Acting NOAA Administrator Kathryn D. Sullivan, Ph.D.

      1. Scott (Robinson twsp) says:

        Oh great now you blame it on the cows. I think ypur grasping at anything now. You might as well blame it on the Amish and heating with wood.

      2. Skot says:

        But it SAYS “TOP SCIENTISTS”

      3. Bill Steffen says:

        Global temperatures have been flat since 2002: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif

        Carbon emissions in the U.S. are falling and are at a 20-year low: http://content.usatoday.com/communities/ondeadline/post/2012/08/in-a-surprise-co2-emissions-hit-20-year-low/1

        Dramatic 60% increase in Arctic ice: http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/N_stddev_timeseries.png Al Gore is in the Arctic trying to hold back the surging ice: http://media.treehugger.com/assets/images/2011/10/Al-Gore-R.jpg

        Antarctic ice is at a record extent: http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/S_stddev_timeseries.png

        We’re at a near record LOW for both hurricanes and tornadoes. Despite the Rim Fire in CA – this year we’ve had the lowest number of forest/wildfires in the last 10 years and the second lowest # of acres burned.

        1. Skot says:

          amen brother william

  11. Dan says:

    Rocky cool weather to arrive after this week? So incredibly funny to read Rodey’s comments. He cannot post anything original. He has use what you say. You know what they say about imitators!

    1. Rodey (Rockford) says:

      I could post something original like predicting cold and snow everyday. That would be be real original. Or, I could ask questions in every post. That would be extremely original. Right Dan? Or, I could pick on a few people on the blog like some others do. How about that. Would that be original enough?

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        fixxxer you are whining, complaining, whimp! Please have your medication level adjusted! Thanks for listening baby!

        1. Rodey (Rockford) says:

          You are a ridiculous broken record joke. Rock on. I love it fantastic. Get used to it. And as usual, thanks for listening.

      2. Dan says:

        not possible I see Rodey! Thanks for the proof!

      3. Dan says:

        Thanks for proving my point Rodey. Do you have ANY original thought?

    2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Rock on Dan – fixxxer has a mental illness!

  12. Jack says:

    JUST aaaa Question……. http://asset.zcache.com/assets/graphics/s.gif. ;-) . Stayin. cued…… ;-)

    1. Jack says:

      Ahhh DUMMYcrats ….Like Your OLD Friend Here big duddy :

      1. Jack says:

        Lmao…Bill… Hope it isn’t these Kind of CRABS!! http://www.ashasexualhealth.org/std-sti/crabs.html. Lol….

  13. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Bring on global cooling and a great winter with a ton of SNOW!

  14. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    The cold weather nuts are getting restless I see.

    CPC looks incredibly warm in their 8-14 day outlook:


    Good article by the Times Herald (Port Huron) last week about the hardship ice fishermen in Michigan are going through. Also a good take on the dropping Great Lakes levels:


    1. Brian(Grandville) says:

      Wow! Good thing we aren’t in the middle of July. If that holds true, I would have to guess temps in the mid 80′s through the period. Looks dry too. Really need the rain now.

    2. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      Here fishy fishy….

    3. Bill Steffen says:

      Travis – please read the latest lake level information from the Army Corps of Engineers: http://www.lre.usace.army.mil/Portals/69/docs/GreatLakesInfo/docs/WaterLevels/weekly.pdf If you take the time to read the latest levels, you’ll see that both Lake Erie and Lake Ontario have lake levels HIGHER than the century average!!! Lake Superior is 1″ below the century average! That’s all. Lake Superior is closer to the highest level ever recorded than the lowest level ever recorded. Even the article you linked to mentions the fact that dredging the St. Clair River has helped to lower the water level of Lake Michigan/Huron. Lake Michigan/Huron is a foot higher than it was in 1964.

      When you people make a false claim – like atmospheric CO2 is a primary driver of the water level of the Great Lakes, you look foolish when the levels go back up.


      1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

        You mean they look MORE foolish..

      2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        Travis has a sickness! Give him a break – his sickness is out of control!

  15. Might be in the midst of moving up to Mackinac County in the Upper Peninsula here pretty soon. Should get awsome winters there!

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Sounds incredible – enjoy! With the new normal and global cooling you may be in for a lot of fun!

      1. Jack says:

        Speaking of FUN & SNOW…. How about 6 fi. Of Snow ? Cue : LITTLE FEAT : soundowl.com/track/fub/little-feat-six-feet-of-snow. Hmmmm… Stay CUED… Ye OLE JEM model is getting READY, for another Winter. Of Predicting .. Snow Storms WEEKS in ADVANCE !!! ;-)

  16. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    The middle to end of next week right into next weekend looks like a lot of sunshine and near to below average temperatures! Bring it on!

  17. Mark (East Lansing) says:

    Highs only in the low to mid 60s Thursday through Sunday? Sweatshirt weather.

    1. Brad (Van Buren) says:

      For some yes. Myself, no…I need 50′s for a sweatshirt, but I am pretty warm blooded. I like wearing shorts right up till Thanksgiving, that’s when I break out the blue jeans.

  18. Scott (Robinson twsp) says:

    Hope we get some rain soon. I have a nice burn pile waiting for a damp night. :)

  19. Skot says:

    60′ ? Really…quit stirring up the natives.

  20. Skot says:

    NYE Night Uncle Sparks. Thanks for the Hospitality.

    1. Skot says:


  21. LauraL says:

    Bill,the grave you are talking about is native american,I heard from turn of the century, others say it is older.

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