Sunday

September 15th, 2013 at 3:13 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Local  Here’s radar showing the line of t-storms that caused a delay of the NBC NFL game on WOOD-TV.   Showers will end from NW to SE this evening and early tonight.  Sun. PM model data:  The models are dry for Monday and Tuesday.  The European model has 1.10″ of rain for G.R. from Weds. night to Sat. AM as we get into a wetter pattern then.  The GFS plot has 0.60″ for G.R. from Weds. night to Fri. night.  The NAM (caribou) has a low of 32 for G.R. Tues. AM, the GFS is 37 for G.R. and the European would be low 40s.  I’ll side with the higher numbers there.  The GFS plot has highs of 65 Mon., 69 Tue., 76 Weds., 83 Thurs., 75 Fri. and 73 Sat.  The Euro. has just upper 70s on Thurs. for the warmest of the week.  With Fri. and Sat. both having a mean temp. of 8 deg. below average, Sept. 1-14 winds up 2.5 deg. warmer than average in G.R.  Also, look at the hail storm near Denver and neither rain, nor snow, nor flood, no mudslide

This is the latest severe t-storm outlook from the Storm Prediction Center for Weds. to Fri.:    “WHILE THE PREDICTABILITY/EXPECTED MAGNITUDE DO NOT WARRANT 30 PERCENT EQUIVALENT RISK AREAS…IT APPEARS THAT SOME SEVERE TSTMS MAY BE POSSIBLE ON DAY 4/WEDNESDAY IN AREAS POTENTIALLY INCLUDING THE DAKOTAS/NORTHERN MN. AS THE FRONT CONTINUES SOUTHEASTWARD…A SIMILAR SEVERE RISK COULD THEN POTENTIALLY SPREAD INTO ADDITIONAL PARTS OF THE MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES AND MIDDLE MS RIVER VALLEY ON DAYS 5-6 THURSDAY/FRIDAY.”

So, I get home from church and it’s cloudy and dripping outside.  I’m going to stay in and watch football on TV.  The Lions are at 4 PM – fine.  What options are there.  There’s a movie on FOX and CBS has Baltimore and Cleveland (both teams 0-1).  Why not Chicago/Minnesota (great game – Bears win on a touchdown pass with 10 seconds left) or Green Bay.  I watched the highlights of the Michigan/Akron game on the Big Ten Network – then took a nap – then listened to the Bears game streaming on radio (which I don’t mind…good announcers can make live sports exciting). The Bears are 12-1 at home against the Vikings since 2001.  Nice to see (Kalamazoo’s) Greg Jennings playing…good guy.

For Michigan weather observations and wind speeds, click here. Here’s WOOD-TV looping Radar. Check out regional radar, GRR radar, northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Check out Storm Total Rainfall (until they reset it). Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the WOOD lightning tracker and U.S. lightning, the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures. Here’s storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan.

32 Responses to “Sunday”

  1. Dan says:

    Cool morning Saturday. A hint of what is just around the corner. No frost here. However, I think we did get down to a low of 39 or 40.
    After it warmed up, it was a beautiful day!
    How about this week? Last couple of days of 80 degrees?

  2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    32 degrees on Tuesday AM! I love it and keep the cold temperatures coming!

    1. kevin. w says:

      Hey Rocky there getting snow up in the Yukon and far northern Canada. Have you looked at the latest AO, NAO oscillation there taking the big dip in about two weeks. What I was reading from another web site they were saying that once we get into October its going to be much cooler and wetter for the great lakes/northern plains.

      1. michael g (SE GR) says:

        Seems like one local tv meteorologist has been suggesting that for a couple of months now. :-)

      2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        Fantastic!

  3. Daniel (Denver, CO) says:

    If ever there was evidence of climate change, look to CO for 2013. Record snows and cold in the spring, wild fires in June, tornadoes in July, record rains in August and September. Either this winter here is going to be a warm and dry one or we’re going to get slammed. All the rain and humidity the past week reminds me of when I lived in GR, especially the smell of the moist air.

    1. Scott (Robinson twsp) says:

      So 1 bad year that you have an active climate bubble over you and it’s the new climate change?

      1. Cliff(Scotts) says:

        At least climate change is just picking states!!!

    2. michael g (SE GR) says:

      When I look for evidence of global warming, I look to see if the globe is warming. It isn’t. Hasn’t for 15 years.

  4. Dan says:

    Do the AO and the NAO show snow for us in mid to late October? Does that cooler weather look to last?

  5. Brian says:

    It amazes me when rain comes in and it just falls apart,like this batch is doing AGAIN,we cant buy a drop of rain along the lakeshore.

  6. Dan S. says:

    Bill…what do you mean by “With Fri. and Sat. both having a mean temp. of 8 deg. below average”?? And…what is our average temp for this year!? Im hoping for highs in the 50′s soon!!!! :) AND SNOW!!!!

    1. Cliff(Scotts) says:

      13th Hi 65 L 46 56 -8
      14th Hi 70 L 41 56 -8
      For the mean you take the high and low temp for the mean/average, which is 64 degrees right now. Interesting how we are only 2.5 degrees above when it was almost 5 degrees a couple days ago. Looking like we will end this month with average temps while Detroit is only .2 above as of today. They could end up we’ll below average.

  7. kevin. w says:

    Dan when the AO and NAO go negative or way negative then there is a sign of much cooler/colder weather and usually a sign of blocking in the Atlantic. I also see the PNA index here (http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/pna.sprd2.gif) is not sure which way it wants to go. But I’ve been hearing (Bill also) saying once we get into October the pattern should start going to a colder than average one.

    1. michael g (SE GR) says:

      Only bummer is that I believe that snowy Octobers here in GR tend to lead to winters that are less snowy than normal.

      1. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

        I always thought that was true also. But I looked up the Octobers that snow fall was reported in October here in GR from the winters of 1980/81 to last winter there have been 10 Octobers where GR has reported a snow fall amount for October of the ten 5 winters ended up below average and 5 above average. With the lowest season total (when it snowed in October) was 51.5 in 1980/81 to a highest snow fall amount of 105.3 in 2001/02. BTW the Octobers that GR recorded snow in October since 1980 are 1980, 1981, 1986, 1988,1989, 1991, 1992, 1999, 2000, 2001 and 2006.
        Slimjim

        1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

          Thanks Slim. Good stuff.

        2. snowsearch says:

          That is good Slim. Looks like we might be do:?)

  8. Mark (East Lansing) says:

    I thought I read somewhere that it was supposed to be in 80s this week. Doesn’t look likely.

    1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

      Thursday might be 82… We will see about Wednesday.

  9. kevin. w says:

    Not saying will have snow in October but the AO just updated with the other models. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/ao.sprd2.gif

    The NAO is updating now have to give about an hour. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao.sprd2.gif

    Models are really struggling with the pattern out in the pacific as seen here:
    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/pna.sprd2.gif

    Noticing on the last Euro super ensemble that its showing more cold than warm and very cold air building across the Siberia/Yukon. So if the PNA goes positive it will tap into that and the first part of October could end up well below average. Also they have had record cold summer in those parts this year. Will see.

  10. With these cooler temperatures the fall colors should start to pop out (some already have). I notices a lot of changing colors especially along I-94 Between Kalamazoo And Battle Creek. Seems quite a bit of yellow colored trees around Galesburg-Augusta

  11. lyle Lansing says:

    Is there a reason WOOD is running Saturday morning’s vidio forcast today(Sunday afternoon 1:00 pm)?

  12. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

    And the transition to fall begins! :)

  13. John says:

    Ugh, I can’t stand this weather. Looks nicer this week though!

  14. Barb says:

    We’re FINALLY getting some much-needed rain here in SE GR.

  15. Kimoeagle says:

    Non-weather comment: Be glad you listened (vs. watched) to the Bears game, Bill. The TV sportscasters’ bias (anti-Bears) on Fox was quite evident, and I finally turned the volume clear down. I hate that! When will they realize that they are sports reporters and not sports commentators? Grrr.

    Weather comment: light rain moving through W to E, helping to green things up once again.Bar: 30.09 and steady, temp 60F.

  16. Kris says:

    The third NFL game delayed due to inclement weather since the start of the season. What’s going on here, Bill? Crazy – I don’t remember a season like this before.

  17. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Global cooling is on the way baby!

  18. mr. negative says:

    Cold, overcast, wet, write-off day.

  19. Doug in GH says:

    Amen on the TV football scheduling. After all, Green Bay is Michigan’s team…Why not show the game?

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