Wednesday PMSeptember 25th, 2013 at 3:35 am by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
The early apples are coming in and they are excellent this year. Overall, agriculture has had a good year in Michigan and the U.S. We’ll have a few high clouds floating by today, but I think we can still go with mostly sunny. We’ll be a couple degrees warmer each day as we climb to near 80 on Saturday. The models have been pretty much in agreement and consistent with a band of rain along a cool front Saturday night (starts in the evening on the GFS). It’ll probably rain lightly for 3-6 hours. The European gives G.R. 0.16″ and the GFS 0.21″ – so they are pretty similar. Hopefully, it clears out pretty quickly, leaving most of Saturday and most of Sunday midday/afternoon dry. We’ll probably be dry Monday and upper 60s to near 70, then mid 70s on Tuesday…so Art Prize countinues to have rockin’ good weather. The GFS is wetter and cooler after around Oct. 4, but the European warms us back up into the upper 70s by the 4th. Usually, when in doubt, side with the European…however in the fall, pay attention to the recurving Pacific typhoon rule…that there is a trough in the eastern U.S. 6-10 days after a recurving typhoon. Check out recurving Typhoon Pabuk which passes east of Japan. Here’s the latest GRR NWS discussion, which looks right on.