Mostly Sunny and Warm AgainOctober 8th, 2013 at 11:33 am by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
Friday – Tigers Win! I went to the Meijer Gardens on Thurs. and bumped into Lena Meijer who was out enjoying the day. We’re into our fourth week of relatively warm and sunny weather. The Gardens were full of flowers, we saw quite a few different birds. Green is still the most common color, but we’re getting a smattering of the yellows, oranges and reds. We met another couple for pizza and then watched baseball. If you look at Thursday’s high temperature map, it was warmer in Muskegon than it was in Phoenix or Tucson…warmer in Sault Ste. Marie than it was in Las Vegas (which was stuck in the mid 60s for the 2nd day in a row. Another beautiful mostly sunny day today, look for highs in the low 70s…high temperatures were low 70s over most of the state Weds. and Thurs.
Model data from Thurs. nights runs: The NAM (caribou) has 70, 76, 63 for Fri.-Sat.-Sun. with 38 Monday AM, and 0.08″ of rain Sat. evening. The GFS plot has 69-74-62 with 0.14″ Sat. evening/night. The GFS (which has a tendency to overdo cold air in the long-term, has our first general hard freeze the 25th/26th and we would probably have at least snow flurries then (again…it’s the GFS, don’t get excited yet). The European has 0.15″ of rain Sat. night and the next rain Tuesday PM into Thurs. with high temperatures back to the mid 50s to low 60s late next week. I’m off one more day today (Friday), then I work the evening shift Sat. and Sun.
Previous: The high temperature yesterday Weds. was 73 way up at Moosinee up by James Bay! Moosinee is 372 miles north of S. Ste. Marie. Contrast that to the afternoon high of 66 in Las Vegas and San Diego. San Diego had 0.26″ of rain. L.A. had their first measurable rain since July 26th Lake Sabrina CA had 7″ of snow. Houghton was as warm as Tallahassee, Florida on Weds. The remnants of Tropical Storm Karen gave Hatteras N.C. 4.76″ rain in 24-hours and 6.70″ of rain in 48 hours. Wind gusts hit 55 mph on the Chesapeake Bay Bridge. Tides of 2-3 feet above average were reported. High temps. in the rain Weds. were 60 in Richmond VA and 65 at Wilmington NC. We have a crescent moon tonight in the west, with Venus shining brightly below and to the right of the moon. The kp-index was a 4 for much of the night, not quite high enough for the Aurora Borealis to be visible to most of West Michigan, though northern latitudes have had a great show.
While I had a couple of medical appts. on Weds., my wife went fishing (with Peter Chan Sr. -Jr. did TV – Jr. is living in New Hampshire now – and friend, John) and brought back some nice bass, bluegill and sunfish, so we had an awesome dinner. My mother said they have a big display of Michigan apples in her local supermarket in Illinois. She bought a bag of Michigan golden delicious apples today and eats 1-2 apples per day now. She’s got bridge club today (Thurs.). I’m not a bridge player, but it sure would be nice to play bridge well at 94 years old (my mother and her bridge partner finished 2nd in the club tournament last year).
The overnight run of the NAM gives G.R. 0.21″ of rain late Sat. into Sat. night, with highs of 69-72-75 the next 3 days (probably a couple degrees too cool on today (Thurs.). The European is similar, with highs of 70-70-73 and 0.30″ of rain Saturday night with more rain late Tues. into early Weds. and a trend to significant cooler (but not frigid) temperatures next week. With cooler air coming over a warm Lake Michigan, expect lots of clouds from about Tuesday on…but maybe no hard freeze if we can hold the west wind. I’m not going to stay up for the European.
I did some yardwork Tues., then took the kayak to Crockery Lake. I counted 3 boats on the lake, saw several great blue herons, a couple swans making the heart shape as they touched beaks and several good-sized fish jumped in front of me. G.R. had a pleasant high of 72 Tues. PM, 69 in Battle Creek and Muskegon. Cadillac rose from a frosty 32 to 69 this afternoon. Look for lots of sunshine and pleasant October temperatures over the next couple days. The first 9 days of October were 8.0 deg. warmer than average in G.R.!! CFS model predicts a cold winter for much of the U.S. and Europe. Picture courtesy of Jack Martin.