Major Cyclone Hitting India

October 11th, 2013 at 11:24 pm by under Bill's Blog, News, Weather

phailin  phailin track  Click the pictures to enlarge.  A (as I write this) Category Five hurricane (called a cyclone in the Indian Ocean/Bay of Bengal will move into east India over the next 18 hours with extremely damaging wind, very high storm surge and very heavy, flooding rains.  Called “Phailin” the storm has had winds up to 160 mph, making it a Category Five storm (the strongest category).  As with all hurricanes, Phailin will diminish in strength as it moves on land, but significant rain, flooding and wind damage are expected well inland.  It was noted that the water in the Bay of Bengal was one degree cooler on average than the water ahead of Hurricane Katrina (New Orleans/Mississippi – 2005).    Here’s a Saturday AM visible satellite picture of the storm, showing a well-defined eye, a current satellite picture,  the latest forecast storm path, and the latest bulletin on the storm.       We also have Typhoon Nari - taking aim on Vietnam, and Tropical Storm Wipha – which will pass by Japan.  Wipha will be a recurving typhoon and recurving typhoons are often synonymous with upper level troughs forming in the eastern U.S.   In fact, I’ve forecast troughs in the east in the long-range just based on the recurving typhoon principle even before most of the models picked up on it.   In the Atlantic, a disturbed area well east of the Windward Islands may become a Tropical Storm.   This has been a very quiet year for tropical activity in the Atlantic/Caribbean/Gulf of Mexico.

Friday my wife and I spent the day at Gun Lake (Yankee Springs).  If you saw one red kayak pulling another…that was us!  We went around the northwest end of the lake this time.  What an amazing day…sunshine, blue sky, hardly any wind, a picnic, some thin high clouds and contrails to give the sky a little variety, the reds and yellows of fall emerging.  There were about a dozen boats on the lake and we saw at least half a dozen other kayaks.  I was tempted to take a dip, but we decided to get home before it got dark.  Apple-picking is in full swing across the street.  The group worked hard and loaded crates on trucks in the dimmest twilight.  It’s a beautiful bumper crop, quite a contrast to last year.  From smaller farm stands to the biggest supermarkets, Michigan apples are here and they are as sweet and crisp as ever.

Leave a Reply