Sunday PM

November 2nd, 2013 at 3:20 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Local  Sun. AM update:  The last few sprinkles over mid-Lake Michigan are fading away and we’ll be partly-mostly sunny this PM.  For many of us, this will be the sunniest day in half a month.  We saw temps. in the upper 20s and low 30s this am with many areas picking up some frost.  It’ll be a nice afternoon with light winds.  Despite the wind and rain of late, there is still some good color out there to see.

Model update:  The Sat. night run of the NAM (caribou) has temperatures in the upper 40s this (Sunday) pm, 53 and partly sunny on Monday and low 60s on Tues.  The NAM keeps us dry thru Tuesday evening.  The GFS would give us a light shower on Tues. with 0.81″ of rain from Tues. night to Thurs. am.  We head into the 50s Mon. thru Weds. and back to the 40s Thurs. and Friday on the GFS.  Saturday would be dry for the Kalamazoo Holiday Parade.

For Michigan weather observations and wind speeds, click here. Here’s WOOD-TV looping Radar. Check out regional radar, GRR radar, northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Check out Storm Total Rainfall (until they reset it). Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the WOOD lightning tracker and U.S. lightning, the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures. Here’s storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan.

50 Responses to “Sunday PM”

  1. INDY says:

    More Rain Thanks Travass……..INDYY

  2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    I am sure it will hit 70 degrees in Flint today. Right? Travis is delusional!

    1. Rodey (Rockford) says:

      As are you and the other jackasses. Fantastic. I love it. Thanks for listening and responding to my posts.

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        Rodey aka fixxxer = brain dead!

  3. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Here are the facts – Scientists have stated that solar activity is decreasing rapidly and we may be embarking on a “Little Ice Age”. Global Cooling is real and get ready for some good old fashioned winters to return to West MI! Rock n Roll will never forget baby!

    1. Barry in Zeeland says:

      Yeah, that’s why theres been more x-class flares in the past week than in the past couple years combined. Check the facts:

      http://zeenews.india.com/news/space/sun-emits-fourth-x-class-solar-flare-in-a-week_887247.html

      No solid proof yet, but all the recent activity does “puff” up the earth’s atmoshphere, thereby contradicting any global cool off.

      1. Barry in Zeeland says:

        Oh yeah, and theres the big one that just missed being the biggest in over 10 years:

        http://thespacereporter.com/2013/11/sun-blasts-out-another-extremely-powerful-x-class-flare-nasa/

        Still believe solar activity is decreasing rapidly?

        1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

          Well we are currently in the 11 year maximum anyways, so what do you expect!

        2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          Yes it decreasing at its fastest rate in the last 100 years!

        3. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          Barry to you attend the Travis school of global warming hype and delusional fantasy land?

        4. Robert(Plainwell) says:

          Hi Barry even though there has been more activity the past couple of weeks activity as a whole is declining.

          http://www.leif.org/research/Active%20Region%20Count.png

        5. Barry in Zeeland says:

          Yup, and now go try and find any evidence at all on how it affects our weather. Bill has pointed out before that any effect one way or another is almost nill. Everything blasted our way is deflected around the earth, otherwise we’d all be getting zapped to death. I was simply pointing out that Rocky is wrong because the past couple weeks have been VERY active.

        6. Cliff(Scotts) says:

          Wow the sun does nothing for are earth?

        7. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          Of course the sun does not effect our weather. Silly me!

        8. Josh From Zeeland says:

          Barry that makes total sense.

  4. kevin. w says:

    Its going to be a long drawn out cool wet fall with winter going into early May this winter. So probably 3 months of summer thats fine but it sure beats that 12 months of summer in 2012.

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Rock on Kevin and I stick with my prediction – the first major snowstorm will hit during the week of 12-8-13 and then watch out baby! COLD and SNOW Rocks!

  5. dylan says:

    As long as we FINALLY again have a REALLY white Christmas this year…that’s all I ask for!!! :)

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Book it – a white Christmas for GR this year will happen. Mark it down!

  6. kevin. w says:

    Stormy—-http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/pna.sprd2.gif

    No snow—http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/ao.sprd2.gif

    BUT were approaching the time when just enough cold air could come in and get a change over/at night/in the right path.

  7. michael g (SE GR) says:

    Latest run of the CFSV2 for January. Talk about blocking!!

    https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/396658835516977152/photo/1

    1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

      Wow now that is some serious blocking! Apparently that is for January though … does he have a model screenshot for December? It would be interesting to see what that same model predicts for earlier in the season. Hopefully the blocking takes place quicker so this year is more eventful

  8. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

    And there you have it! TWC is also forecasting a warmer November than usual. http://www.weather.com/video/changes-in-november-forecast-40642?
    just out of curiosity, do most storms track north, along, or south of the jet stream?

  9. Resourceful Nana says:

    Wow,I just saw the best, double rainbow ever! Can’t remember that I’ve ever seen one this late in the season. Pretty unusual angle with the sun in the southwest which puts the rainbow further to the north. One end appeared to be only about 50 yards away. A nice gift for the last day of daylight savings time! Must have something to do with the sunspot activity and the upcoming blocking, don’t you think??? (Sorry, had to try and tie it in with the other posts in this thread.)

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      location?

  10. Seems like after the winter of 2009 it has been nothing but boring. I know people blame global warming but I believe personally its just climate change. Earth goes through its cycles once in a while and we are in a warmer cycle right now. Id give it some time and we will have cooler than average temperatures then scientist will say global cooling is happening. More active winters are ahead.Doesn’t mean it will be this one though.

    1. dereks says:

      We had a pretty good blizzard in Feb. 2011!

      1. Thats about it. Nothing else exciting. We need a winter like 2008-2009 with 105″ for the season in Grand Rapids

  11. Jack says:

    Certainly Hope We Get Some Much needed SUNSHINE, On Sunday & Monday !, Also, The Ole JEM Model is still Tracking our First Significant SNOWFALL of The Season The Last Week of NOVEMBER ! Stay Cued…….. ;-)

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Rock n Roll will never die – The JEM is saying the last week of November! I hope you are correct! The RDB is still showing the week of 12-8-12!

      1. Does anyone have the link to the JEM or any other long range models? would like to take a look

        1. Brian (Grandville) says:

          The RDB model is pretty exclusive.

        2. Rodey (Rockford) says:

          You are on the wrong blog. This isn’t a weather blog it’s a fantasy blog.

        3. Jack says:

          Did Rodey Say…” FANTASY”….hmmm…CUE, BAD COMPANY ::::: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UHemB0t31Tw. ;-)

        4. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          The JEM model specializes in long range winter storm forecasts and you must be a premium member to access this feature.

        5. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          The RDB model usually specializes in short range snowfall predictions, however this year it is showing a storm the week of 12-8-13! Bring it on!

  12. Barb says:

    I’m up in Cheboygan raking my yard finally. The leaves still aren’t all down. There’s still some fall color.

    1. Barb says:

      BTW–no rain up here today but in the 30s.

  13. Cliff(Scotts) says:

    Leaves are all but gone around me after all the rain and wind here.

  14. Jack says:

    Off TOPIC….Kinda !! ” Did You Know The M.I. Wolverines Just Changed Their Fight Song after Today’s GAME???”". Here It IS..CUE:::: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qmxg0JnQX8U. Lol…. Stay Cued…”sPARTY” ON…. ;-)

    1. Brian (Grandville) says:

      Lol. Not happening this year. OSU is running away with the big 10 title this year, making everyone else look like a joke.

      1. Jack says:

        True… I say ?UCK the Buck: Eyes !! LOL….. Stay Cued, and a Side PUCK…Wings Winning 5-0 in the Third Period !!!

      2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        OSU is a cheating band of thugs and they will get theirs before this year is over!

  15. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    Wow another warm week upcoming. CPC keeps us mild and snowless. Feels like last year.

    1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      Correction: the NWS is only forecasting two of the next seven days with above average high temperatures.

    2. michael g (SE GR) says:

      A warm week. (Well Tuesday and Wednesday anyway. It starts and ends below normal. (most places, Flint excluded))

    3. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      More global warming hype. You can not believe a word that Travis says. He has lost all credibility!

    4. Bill Steffen says:

      “Another” warm week? From Oct. 19-Nov. 3 only 3 days were warmer than avg. in G.R.

  16. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Our “global cool down” period is reeving up. Look for colder and snowier winters the rest of this decade and beyond! Expect our first major snowstorm during the week of 12-8-13 and then we will be Rocking and Rolling right into winter! In the meantime remember that the average high temperature for this time of year is still about 50 degrees!!!!

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