Friday Update

November 8th, 2013 at 4:24 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

gfs_namer_312_1000_500_thick  Check out the snow on the webcams from Gaylord (where they had 4″ of snow on the ground this AM) and at Krupp’s Resort in the U.P.  The image is the overnight run of the GFS model for next Tues. AM.  That’s cold air…the thickness is down to 517 in G.R. and that’s cold air for the first half of November.  You can see the green over Lake Michigan…a due north wind will keep the lake-effect snow out over the lake (maybe clipping Big and Little Sable Points and part of Berrien Co., but the snow Tues. should be down in NW Indiana and maybe into Milwaukee and Chicago.  We could see an inch of snow accumulate with the cold front on Monday.  Overnight model runs:  The NAM (caribou) gives G.R. highs of 45/54/49 for Fri./Sat./Sun.   The GFS has 44/52/44/43/36/39 for the next 6 days.  The European barely gets us to about 33-35 for high temperatures on Tues. and Weds.  We could catch a rain shower late Fri. night or around daybreak Saturday.  If you get one it’ll be brief and probably less than 1/10th inch.  Most of the weekend will be dry.  It’ll get windy.  At parade time in Kalamazoo Sat., the GFS has a 20 mph wind and the NAM is 22 mph.    The high was 35 at Houghton, 32 at Land O’ Lakes WI, 36 at Minneapolis and 37 at Sioux Falls SD.   None of the major reporting stations in Texas made it to 70.  Laredo had a cool afternoon high of 59.  It was 88 in Miami, 87 in Palm Beach, 85 in Phoenix and 84 in Los Angeles.

117 Responses to “Friday Update”

  1. Skot says:

    Notice the GREEN in and around open water. Temps still relatively warm. Significantly accumulating snowfall is a ways away.

  2. Lisa (Caledonia) says:

    We had some sleet/graupel/snow around 8:30 pm last evening. Some is still sticking to the grass this morning.

  3. INDY says:

    Bill can’t remember when we had winter this early in Fall……Our heat is cranked thee logs are split and sprites are on ice!!!! 6-8 inches of snow coming around the 15th of Novi get ready now …..INDYY..

    1. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

      11/8/1991
      A vast flow of arctic air dominates the Midwest during early November, 1991. Several inches of snow fall from the 2nd through the 6th followed by the passage of a cold dome of high pressure that sets record lows of 11 degrees at Lansing and 16 degrees at Grand Rapids on this date.
      SlimJim

      1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

        Don’t worry, Indy. I don’t remember much of 1991 either. LOL

      2. Bill Steffen says:

        High temps. in G.R. for 11/2,3,4,7,8 in 1991 were 31,23,25,27,30. We had 11.9″ of mainly lake-effect snow in G.R. from the evening of the 2nd into the 3rd. I remember the 3rd…it snowed all day with the temp. around 21 all day…30 degrees colder than average even with a wind coming over Lake Michigan.

    2. Travis (Oakland County) says:

      Hmmm ironic isn’t it? None of the blog fact checkers bother to check anyone else.

      This is a very inaccurate statement, Indy.

      1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

        Which part? His memory loss (good luck disputing that), his furnace is on (likely), logs are split (probably), or his prediction (hasn’t happened yet)?

  4. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    Finally saw my first snowflakes last night! Good write up from NWS on the warm and wet October for Michigan.

    http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/grr/presentations/October_2013_Climate_Summary_2013-11-03_11-57-47.pdf

    Saturday looks rather mild before a few chilly days next week. Then we’re back to 45-55.

    1. yooper4021 says:

      *Southwest* Michigan

      1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

        If you read the report, the graphics starting on page 3 cover all of Michigan and surrounding states.

        1. DF (SE Mich) says:

          Title: “October 2013 Climate Summary for Southwest Lower Michigan”

        2. yooper4021 says:

          Exactly. Looking at the graphics, I wouldn’t characterize the entire state as “warm” and “wet”. SW Michigan, no question. But the vast majority of the state was within 1 degree of average, and precipitation varied widely from dry to wet.

        3. Bill Steffen says:

          Marquette was 1.0 deg. warmer than average for Oct. – that’s pretty close to average.

          Through the 7th, Marquette had at least a trace of precipitation on 20 of 21 days and measurable precipitation on 17 of 21 days. Marquette has had 5.7″ of precipitation since 10/1. This will continue to hold or increase the water level of Lake Superior (and Lake Michigan/Huron as water from Lake Superior drains down the St. Marys River into Michigan/Huron).

    2. DF (SE Mich) says:

      Normal = “rather mild”… nice try.

      1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

        Huh? My average high over the weekend is down to 50. Saturday should be in the low to mid 50′s.

        1. DF (SE Mich) says:

          That high school FST class is letting you down.

          Flint’s forecast high is 53°… rather mild, LOL! Then you call days -15° just “chilly” without the adverb. Hmm…

        2. Travis (Oakland County) says:

          Wow, are you really arguing this? You seem very cranky and overtly critical lately.

          53 > 50 and that’s not even taking into account the lows.

          Bill called yesterday “cold” and yet it only deviated 4 degrees from average in GR.

        3. DF (SE Mich) says:

          We can agree on that. Fact checking every single comment for lies and bias may make one seem “cranky and critical.”

          Progress.

        4. Chrispy says:

          Because of the volatility of the atmosphere during these transition months, it seems to me that during October and November (and March and April) anything within +/- 5° of the average should be considered normal. These months are full of extremes that when combined create the average. Adding adjectives like “rather” or “extremely” should only apply when the temps or precip amounts are truly near the records for those days.

          Whether or Not there is always weather. :)

        5. Mark (East Lansing) says:

          Then again, just yesterday you were touting that Flint was +2.5 for the entire month (one week in actuality) – which has dropped to +1.2 just one day later.

          You consider this deviation as “warm” but can’t Bill call -4 “cold?”

        6. Travis (Oakland County) says:

          Actually, the NWS called October warm and wet. Not me.

          And that was only a degree or two above average! You guys are too much.

        7. yooper4021 says:

          Travis, you’re killing me. You are the one who stated in your first post above – ‘warm and wet October in Michigan’. If you look closely, the NWS report you referred to was for ‘Southwest Michigan’. Big difference. I for one am not arguing with you. Just clarifying your headline.

        8. Mark (East Lansing) says:

          So you’re saying a degree or two above average is considered “warm” by the NWS but not by you? Nice to see you’re coming around.

        9. Travis (Oakland County) says:

          The NWS calls 1-2 degrees warm but apparently the blog throws a fit when I call a +3 or +4 rather mild.

          Just like when I said it was a warm October for GR and the blog threw a fit. Sure enough, NWS says the same thing.

          Vindication.

        10. yooper4021 says:

          AAAAHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!! The NWS did NOT say ‘warm and wet October for Michigan’. The NWS said ‘warm and wet October for SOUTHWEST Michigan’. Again, big difference. Go back and re-read it. Sheesh.

    3. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      You are nuts and have a sickness! Get help now!

      1. What is someone over in Oakland County doing of a West Michigan block anyway? lol I mean seriously I dont care what is going on over in the detroit area. If everyone would just ignore him we wouldn’t have to deal with the “warm” talk all the time on here

        1. And yes travis he did call yesterday “cold” because it was. If you actually lived in west michigan we had the winds cranckin and that brought the wind chill down. There is such thing as a Wind Chill you know, but in the warm weather world you keep telling us about maybe not..

        2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          Rock On Kyle!

        3. Travis (Oakland County) says:

          There are bloggers here from all over the state and country. Diversity is a beautiful thing whether that means location or matter of opinion.

          This blog is turning into the opposite lately.

        4. Mark (East Lansing) says:

          You have a single-track mind, yet you claim to embrace diversity.

          Oh, the irony….

        5. Dan says:

          Yes Travis embraces Hope and Change. Its called social diversity!

  5. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    The NAO and AO will be dropping like a rock by the end of this month. The COLD and SNOW will rule and by the week of 12-8-13 we will be getting hammered with COLD and SNOW! Except in FLint and Travis fantasy global warming land! In Flint they will have about 10 inches of snow and well above temperatures this winter!

    1. Bill Steffen says:

      Arctic Oscillation heading down: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/ao.shtml North Atlantic Oscillation also heading down in the long-term: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao.sprd2.gif PNA headed up in the long-term: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/pna.shtml Time to cancel that Thanksgiving pool party.

  6. DF (SE Mich) says:

    Still only a trace of snow was recorded at the main W. Michigan weather stations. That is quite a few traces of snow in October and November but still no official accumulations this season.

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      On the other end of the spectrum Sault St Marie is at 8.1″ for the season, 125% above normal.

      1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

        Marquette has some work to do. After a below average snowfall in October, they have only registered 1.2″ in November. A month they average more than 17″.

        1. DF (SE Mich) says:

          Ok, middle of the spectrum also. Correct, they’ve had 4.7″ so far this season and average 9.6″. The wind hasn’t been in their favor, but that will change next week!

        2. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

          I would say that parts of central Upper Michigan will receive a good amount of snow next week at least that the way it looks now. And even areas south and southwest of GR stand a good chance of several inches next week not so much for GR its self.
          SlimJim

        3. yooper4021 says:

          On the flipside – Marquette set a record in October – 12 straight days with at least a trace of snow. Not much total accumulation, but 12 consecutive days doubled the previous record set twice before. That’s a miserable stretch of weather in October, even by U.P. standards.

    2. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

      I did not see any snow here at my house last night did have a few sprinkles when I went for my walk at 5:30 PM last night. So far here at my house (just off 3 Mile in Walker) I have only had few small snow flakes and some small hail so far this season. I had a low here last night of 31° and yes my tomato plant is still alive but I am afraid it will freeze early next week but still it’s the latest I have ever had a tomato plant survive here in Michigan. (its in a very sheltered location on the south side of the house)
      SlimJim

    3. michael g (SE GR) says:

      Many places just south and west of GR have had accumulations, but nothing in the immediate GR area.

  7. GunLakeDeb says:

    It was 24 degrees at 7 AM, down here in the “bowl” of Gun Lake; and I didn’t have any snow in my yard – BUT – once I drove around to the “upwind” side of the lake, there was a good 1/2 of snow in everyone’s yards. Yes, I get “lake effect” on a micro-scale here, too….LOL!

  8. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    Back in 1991 we had a good amount of snow on the ground here at my house when I just over a foot of snow on the ground……..
    From today’s GR NWS past history….

    11/8/1991
    A vast flow of arctic air dominates the Midwest during early November, 1991. Several inches of snow fall from the 2nd through the 6th followed by the passage of a cold dome of high pressure that sets record lows of 11 degrees at Lansing and 16 degrees at Grand Rapids on this date.
    SlimJim

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      I think I missed it but HAPPY BIRTHDAY!!!!!!!!!!!

    2. Michael (Berrien county) says:

      I recall that. That arctic blast came rushing in on the heels of the record breaking ‘Halloween blizzard’ that yr up in the upper Midwest, particularly Minnesota. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Halloween_Blizzard

    3. Michael (Berrien county) says:

      Not to forget about the movie making ‘Perfect storm’ that was raging out on the east coast at that exact same time also. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1991_Perfect_Storm

      1. Bill Steffen says:

        I got to preview that movie before it was released when I was out in California. I remember one part where they had wind machines in the foreground, but the trees in the background weren’t moving.

        1. Michael (Berrien county) says:

          Ha! Cool. Yeah it was a good movie though Bill.

    4. Jim S (Saugatuck Twp) says:

      I recall trying to beat the snow driving from Detroit up to Mt. Pleasant. We had a couple good snows that November. Also, November of 1995 we had an early Nov. storm, and a strong post Thanksgiving storm (but that was in Mt. Pleasant). I think GR might have had a good lake effect snow in Nov. of 1996 or 1997 as well.

      1. Bill Steffen says:

        GRR had daily record snowfall of 6″ on 11/11/1995 and 4″ on 11/12/1997

  9. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Travis is delusional!

  10. dylan says:

    Travis…you really need to relax dude!! October and November are TRANSITION months…there is bound to be bounces back and forth between average, below average, and above average temps!!! That is the “NORM” for these months!! If the temp goes slightly above the “average” temp for that day…you start crying out “ITS A WARM DAY…ITS A WARM DAY!!” You are too bent on wanting everyday to be “WARM.” If you want WARM temps…just move to Florida or the South!! It is VERY common in transition months for the weather to jump around…does it EVERY YEAR!!

    1. michael g (SE GR) says:

      Travis’ weather report. When it’s cold, it will be warm soon. When it’s warm, it’s just warm.

  11. Dan says:

    Travis almost will not even acknowledge that there are cool temps! Look above he actually mentioned that term! Your post about the Climate Summary is for Southwest Lower Michigan. It can VARY considerably up towards Boyne, Mackinaw and points to the North! We received a sleet mixture last night. It was cold enough to stick on some of the undisturbed surfaces (streets, grassy areas, etc)
    Wouldn’t that mean it dipped to freezing or just below? Isn’t that Cold, Travis?

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      He has a sickness and it is virtually uncontrollable!

  12. INDY says:

    Just Ignore him, one thought that’s right every blog has a fixxer we all read that I mean see that !!!! Weather side getting ready 4 a snow storm out at thee YARDofBRICKS the last leafs are down the fire is hot and sprites are on ice winter 2013 is here to stay let it snow all the way!!!! INDYY

  13. My season snowfall sits at 0.5″ for the season so far. Hope to keep adding on!!!

  14. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Give Travis a break. He has a mental illness – a global warming delusional sickness. It is running rampant and he needs some serious medication changes!!

    1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

      I yea but at least he states facts! You should try it too :)

      1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

        A vast majority of his “facts” are disproved.

        Don’t believe everything you read, young buck.

        1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

          What is disproved? Try adding some actual weather information once in a while instead of slamming others. The blog can be a lot better than its current form. What is was like back in the old days before the others were chased off.

        2. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

          I would say there are several “personas” on this blog who day after day blurt out one or two lines several times a day with out any regard as to any facts.
          SlimJim

        3. Mark (East Lansing) says:

          What has been disproved? Take a few moments to review your posts and the countless replies.

          I do not slam others. I merely offer additional information to allow readers to make their own conclusions.

        4. Travis (Oakland County) says:

          haha Exactly, Slim!

        5. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          You cannot believe a single that that Travis utters! Worthless global warming hype!

        6. Rodey (Rockford) says:

          Rocky has a severe global cooling illness. Very pathetic. Can’t believe a word he says. Hasn’t been right in over 2 years. Needs to seek help. Fantastic. I love it. Thanks for listening.

        7. Dan says:

          Rocky your lover Rodey is back. Don’t you find it interesting and somewhat troublesome that he posts after you? He repeats what you say. He has got it bad, Rodey has got Rockey Envy. Look it up in the DSM manual!

        8. Mark (East Lansing) says:

          Creepy. VERY CREEPY.

        9. Jordan (Twin Lake) says:

          Dan is so slow he couldn’t catch the shortbus!

        10. Dan says:

          Jordan keeps giving me compliments! Thanks Jordan!
          That is your 3rd reference using the same words. Do you have anything else? I mean, REALLY?

  15. INDY says:

    BREAKING NOW!!! Tuesday -Thursday we have a artic front coming going to bring West Michigan heavy lk effect snow very cold temps lots of sprites wind and a BIG DADDY snow storm for Eastern Ohio To New York….Wow talking BIG DADDY of a storm in Novi what a winter we have going on already that’s it stay tuned for later thoughts from thee YARDofBRICKS……INDYY..

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Rock On INDY – keep the good new rolling!

  16. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

    Incredibly colder air is on the way for next Tuesday, so cold that TWC preducts a high of 33 degrees with flurries!

    1. yooper4021 says:

      More on the cold snap for early/mid next week…

      http://www.crh.noaa.gov/wxstory.php?site=mqt

      1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

        Nice graphic, it is something that we haven’t seen in a while. Hopefully this is a start to what could be a snowy winter. We just need to get some blocking to force and trap the cold air over our area. And btw, has any stratospheric warming occurred yet in Canada?

  17. bluegill says:

    5.5″ of snow last night in NE Grand Traverse County and 9″ YTD. Very little snow in Traverse City – it was 5 degrees warmer on the bay vs 6 miles away.

  18. Jim S (Saugatuck Twp) says:

    Still looks like just a brief shot of arctic air next week, with very little snow unless you live in Northern IN or extreme SW Michigan.

    1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

      Shhh they can’t handle the truth

      1. dylan says:

        haha…Oh and you can!?? ;)

      2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        You have a sickness! Seek help soon!

  19. Jeff (Richland) says:

    1″ of snow at my house last night. SW part of Kzoo area – dusting to nothing.

  20. Deb says:

    Maybe this cold shot next week will help cool the lake down and help cut down on Lake effect snow later in the winter.

    1. michael g (SE GR) says:

      Not perceptibly.

  21. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    Super Typhoon Haiyan had winds of 190 – 195 mph at landfall, making it the strongest tropical cyclone on record to make landfall in world history.

    The previous record was held by the Atlantic’s Hurricane Camille of 1969, which made landfall in Mississippi with 190 mph winds.

    1. yooper4021 says:

      Perhaps….but with a disclaimer.

      Courtesy of The Weather Channel:

      “World weather experts are calling Hiayan one of the strongest tropical cyclones on record at the time it hit land, but not quite the windiest. There are disputes over just how strong it is because of differences in the way storms are measured.

      If the U.S. figures are correct, they would be the highest ever for a tropical cyclone when it made landfall anywhere on Earth, beating out Hurricane Camille, which had wind speeds of 190 mph at landfall in the southeast United States 1969, said Dr. Masters.

      “In terms of the world I don’t think it’s the strongest,” said Taoyang Peng, a tropical cyclone scientist at the World Meteorological Organization in Geneva. But he added that “it is one of the strongest typhoons to make landfall” and probably the strongest to hit the Philippines.

      The U.S. Joint Typhoon Warning Center put Haiyan’s sustained winds at 315 kph (196 mph) just minutes before it made landfall Thursday, which would be a world record. However, officials in Tokyo and the Philippines but the wind speed at about 235 kph (147 mph).

      Peng said his group considers Tokyo the authority in this case because it’s the closest regional center to the storm.

      The best way to measure a storm is with radar from a plane flying in and out of it. That’s not done in Asia, where they use satellite imagery and ground measurements instead.

      Not until meteorologists can conduct a deep investigation will scientists know just how strong Haiyan actually was, but it will easily be one of the strongest on record, former U.S. National Hurricane Center director Max Mayfield told the AP on Friday.”

      1. Bill Steffen says:

        I wish we had some ground truth to the winds. I wonder if someone qualified can do ground damage surveys like they do for tornadoes.

    2. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      Records are made to be broken. Those poor folks.

    3. michael g (SE GR) says:

      * Satellite estimated. Therefore world history only includes about the last 50 years.

  22. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    Not sure where or how much snow will or will not fall next week but here are some record low Maximum
    Temps for GR for next week
    Monday the 11th 1. 30 in 1950 2. 31 in 1894 2 in 1929
    Tuesday the 12th 1 27 in 1920 2. 27 1894 3. 28 in 1996
    Wednesday the 13th 1. 19 in 1986 2. 25 1940 3. 25 1911
    Thursday the 14th 1. 27 in 1900 2. 29 in 1974 3. 29 in 1933

    The record lows look to be safe as they range from 18 on the 11th to 10 on the 13th and are all confined to the years of 1986 (must have had a very cold shot that year!) 1911, 1996 and a couple in 3rd place from 1976.

    At this time the records look to be safe for the most part.
    SlimJim

    1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

      Good info as always, Slim! Just last year, GR’s high was only 38 on the 13th of November. So definitely not that unusual.

      Now, we just need some snow! Boring pattern here lately.

      1. Bill Steffen says:

        You really need a fresh snow cover to get record cold during the cold season.

  23. dylan says:

    Whether they break records or not…highs in the 30′s next week and lows in the 20′s is starting to get pretty chilly!! And even if we do rebound a bit back to the 40′s…even 50′s…that’s nothing UNUSAL for this time of year to bounce back and forth. Not every day, or every month, or every year has to be record breaking…just like it doesn’t have to follow the average…or the “norm.” The weather will do what the weather will do…tis nothing we can do about it. So sit back…chillax…and just enjoy each day for what it is. I think some of you just like complaining for complaining’s sake. Bunch of gwumpy old men!! haha That all being said…I REALLY hope we have a WHITE CHRISTMAS…but if we don’t…that’s nothing new!! Some years we do…some we don’t. That’s the nature of the beast. :)

  24. dylan says:

    *UNUSUAL…my bad. ;)

  25. Jack says:

    The SUN is Shining BRIGHT Today ( Here in G.R.) ! Is this Normal or Abnormal ? Oh, wait There is No Such Thing. It is what it Is,!! Soooo… Just Stay Cued, and Enjoy Everyday As If it’s Your LAST…. ;-)

  26. Jack says:

    ADD, ” Happy FRYday to ALL:::: Gonna sit down in the kitchen
    And fix me something good to eat
    And make my head a little high
    And make this whole day complete
    Cuz we gonna lay around the shanty, mama
    And put a good buzz on

    Well pass it to me baby
    Pass it to me slow
    We’ll take time out to smile a little
    Before we let it go
    Cuz we gonna lay around the shanty, mama
    And put a good buzz on

    Well there ain’t nothin’ to do
    And there’s always room for more
    Fill it, light it, shut up
    And close the door
    Cuz we gonna lay around the shanty, mama
    And put a good buzz on

    We gonna sit around the kitchen
    Fix us somethin’ good to eat
    And make ourselves a little high
    And make the whole day complete
    Cuz we gonna lay around the shanty, mama
    And put a good buzz on
    Cuz we gonna lay around the shanty, mama
    And put a good buzz on

  27. Larry from Hastings/Barry Co says:

    Bill, I am sure all the typhoons will mess up the Pacific Ocean temps and in time affect our weather. I am sure forcasting the weather will be fun this winter. We had some heavy snow fall on Thursday night. This morning had a dusting of snow in our yard. I know the retailers are hoping for a snow during the Christmas shopping season. I plan on doing most of my shopping online and having it shipped to my home.

  28. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

    My thermometer in the shade has only reached a high of 41.5° today, and we somehow still have a half inch of snow on our deck.

  29. SBPortage002 says:

    Had a dusting on the ground here for the first time this season. Also a dusting on the cart and ice on the windows. I am not as big on snow as I used to be, but I love having snow for the Christmas season and still love a good snowstorm or two.

  30. Michael (Berrien county) says:

    NWS in northern IN is saying potential for heavy snow showers down this way Mon night & Tues. http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=IWX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1

  31. kevin. w says:

    Probably a world record typhoon out in the far western pacific. I personally don’t think ANY of the models are handling that typhoon in there model data very well. I think there is going to be a major trough somewhere either in the central U.S. or the eastern U.S. I also think that none of the teleconnections are worth a crap. So I’m guessing that next week we should have some sort of different outcome on the models with the pattern after 18th. Remember typhoons that recurve in the pacific usually take about ten days to feel the effects in the central/eastern U.S. Now the high res Euro is just now starting to show a trough developing twelve days from now over the great lakes and eastern U.S. The question which is big is that if a low develops on that trough and picks up moisture out of the gulf with cold air with it may produce a significant snow event????? Kinda like how the gfs has a storm but the euro is deeper trough/heavy snow—GFS http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller/Image.php?fhr=276&image=data%2Fgfs%2F12%2Fgfs_namer_276_1000_500_thick.gif&model=gfs&area=namer&param=1000_500_thick&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M

  32. kevin. w says:

    I know I used the GFS as an example but I really wish our government would just throw that whole modeling system right out the window. The European model has by far done much better with storms than the GFS…except the gfs nailed Sandys track down and the only model that showed hooking back to coast…thats all I’ll say about the gfs.

    1. SBPortage002 says:

      And next time there is more blue on it…not a peep from you. Personally, I do not trust models. I take the weather day by day.

    2. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      I admire your optimism.

  33. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Seek help as fast as you can!!

  34. arcturus says:

    Keep it going Travis. Loving the reactions you’re getting. It’s clear they feel threatened which explains why they react as they do, else your comments would be ignored along with the rest of the trolls.

    1. Bill Steffen says:

      Global temperatures flat since 2001: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif

      Climate models failing badly: http://www.climatedialogue.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/Figure-2-Pielke.jpg Dr. Judith Curry calls the models “deeply flawed”

      Arctic ice extent shows remarkable increase of ice in the past year: http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/N_stddev_timeseries.png

      Greatest extent of Antarctic ice EVER in November: http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/S_stddev_timeseries.png and temperatures in Antarctic trending downward: http://www.john-daly.com/stations/amundsen.gif

      600,000 bats killed by wind turbines in the U.S. last year: http://www.latimes.com/science/sciencenow/la-sci-sn-600000-bats-killed-at-wind-energy-facilities-in-2012-study-says-20131108,0,1587861.story?track=rss#axzz2k7FWOo1Y but we’re still trying to find that first polar bear killed by “global warming”: http://www.npr.org/2013/02/02/170779528/the-inconvenient-truth-about-polar-bears

      A near record low number of tornadoes: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/torngraph-big.png

      Despite Haiyan, another overall quiet year for tropical storms: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/accumulated_cyclone_energy.asp

      And Grand Rapids was one degree warmer in the 1930s than in the 2000s.

      1. dylan says:

        You ROCK Bill!!!! Keep spreadin the truth sir!!!!!

      2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        The “Little ICE AGE” is upon us. Enjoy people – winters will be getting better and better. COLD and SNOW will be on the increase!

    2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Brilliant commentary arcturas aka fixxxer aka Travis, howver it is 100% incorrect! Other than that it is brilliant!

    3. Brian (Grandville) says:

      Feel threatened, dont think so. Keep it coming Travis, sounds like an agenda to me.

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        Travis and his band of sisters say delusional things all the time! They have a sickness and it is running rampant!

  35. INDY says:

    Keep what going Travass ?? his 6 sisters blogging to them selfs ok we get it again!! WEATHER news it’s cold out tonight night 19 with a log in the fire place and a cold sprite!!! FROM THEE YARDofBRICKS INDYY…..

  36. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Remember that Travis is delusional and 100% wrong 100% of the time! The RDB model still shows our first major snow storm to hit the week of 12-8-13 and 107 inches of SNOW for GR this season. Hey he,y my my, ROCK n ROLL will never die baby!

Leave a Reply