This clipper system means business

December 16th, 2013 at 1:33 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Local   This clipper system means business.  I won’t stay up to see if NWS issues advisories.  I’m on vacation this week, so I’m not spending my usual time analyzing weather.  Clipper systems like this often manage to squeeze out available moisture, have high snow to liquid ratios and often overperform model guidance.  This will be a combination of the clipper and lake-enhancement.  Look for a general 1-4″ with the heaviest band in the 4-7″ range (mostly NW of G.R.).   Here’s snowfall from the overnight NAM (caribou) thru Tues. evening:  1.8″ Lansing, 2.1″ Kalamazoo, Jackson and Mt. Pleasant, 2.2″ S. Haven, 2.4″ Gr. Rapids, 3.3″ Holland, 3.6″ Cadillac, 5.6″ Ludington and 6.1″ Muskegon.   The GFS (caribou) has 2″ for G.R. and it doesn’t get warmer than 34 on Thurs.  Muskegon gets 4.1″ on the GFS (caribou) with the wind up to 24 mph at midday Tuesday.   Keep up with the latest StormTeam8 forecast and with 24-hour News 8 for the updated forecast, and the latest on road conditions and school information.

9 SSW of Gaylord reports:  “CALENDAR DAY Sunday TOTAL OF 16.0 INCHES. 12 AM SNOWDEPTH OF 22 INCHES.”  Alba in Antrim Co:  “17 INCHES IN THE LAST 12 HRS. SNOWDEPTH 25 INCHES”.  Frederic in Crawford Co:  “M9.2 INCHES IN 3 HOURS!  NWS EMPLOYEE  540 PM. SNOW DEPTH 20 INCHES.  East Jordan had 11.5″ in 12 hours.  Here’s snow totals from the U.P. – another half a foot at Marquette and Houghton.

Links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Check out Storm Total Rainfall (until they reset it). Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy, the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy, the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington, the weather station at Manistee Harbor and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agriculutural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations. Check out the webcam at Krupp’s Resort, where they are pushing toward 2 feet of snow on the ground. Check out the cold temps. on the U.S. Low Temperature map. Here’s the morning run of the NAM forecast snow amounts. Here’s a live look at the Houghton Bridge.

We’ll have to watch for ice jams on Michigan rivers as the cold air settles in next week. Here’s some river water temps. Also, many inland lakes will be icing up in the next 10 days. Beware of early thin ice. Check out our new Lakes and Rivers Webpage.

600 Responses to “This clipper system means business”

  1. Bobby (Ada) says:

    Comin down here in Ada/ Cascade…. 1.5″ in an hour.

  2. John says:

    Rocky has been pretty accurate so far so I will continue to listen to him on this weekend and his post about the RDB model!

  3. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

    There isn’t even a flake coming down up here.

    1. Brad (Van Buren) says:

      Nothing here as well, kinda bummed out. Very little accumulation here in the last 3 days.

    2. Jack says:

      Hey, Swat_ Zoo What is THE ” FDM” flipping Showing for The “UP”coming Winter Storm ?? Staying CUED!!

      1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

        It hasn’t been on board quite yet, MBM certainly is, but than again maybe FDM is malfunctioning because it’s weighed down now with laying what could be but won’t be more FDM’s ;-)

  4. Jim S (Saugatuck Twp) says:

    After the quick burst of very heavy snow, it is now raining. Very light rain. 31.8 is the temp.

  5. Jeff (Portland) says:

    Snowing hard at the moment here ..

  6. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

    So according to the WWA, the snow is suppose to intensify between 11PM and 3AM. With another 1-3″ in that time frame, or just 1-3″ for this evening and tonight combined? Hmmmm.

  7. Getting big fay flakes here, mixing in with some ice pellets as well

  8. jerry hoag says:

    Waiting for this HUGE SNOWSTORM THATS A COMING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! REALLY WANTING A DUMPING OF SNOW!!!!!!!!!! THEN IN JANUARY, we can have our January thaw and it can stay really warm for the rest of the month and the rest of 2014……… we can get our whole snow fall for the season in December of 2013. WAHOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! YES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    1. John (Holland) says:

      Only in TomKat’s dreams.

  9. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

    Came home to about 3 to 4 new inches in my driveway from throughout today. I was in downtown Muskegon at 10 and they didn’t get nearly as much.

  10. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

    John..the latest GFS…doesn’t look bad for us at all!

    http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overlays2.php3?STATIONID=GRR

  11. Bnoppe says:

    Because this was a rather dramatic shift I still need to see more runs of these models before anything, we’ve seen these storms bounce around before I wouldn’t be shocked if the storm shifted back south tmw or it may go further north who knows

  12. Yup (Grandville) says:

    Lol at the lack of snow from this system.

  13. Brian (Grandville) says:

    00Z GFS looking a little better for the weekend system. Still a ways out, interested to see what the new euro says.

    1. Jeff (Portland) says:

      hi Brian, you have a link ? Ty !

      1. Brian(Grandville) says:

        Not a very good link, but if you click on BACK, you can select GFS then NAMER, and then click 850 mlps precip, should bring up the hourly.

    1. Bnoppe says:

      This links to Sunday morning

      1. Jeff (Portland) says:

        Got it thanks .

    2. John says:

      The GFS is farther to the south now, man that model needs to make up its mind, one reason why I don’t side with the GFS

  14. John says:

    Anybody have the 00Z Euro snowfall map?

    1. Jacob G says:

      It will start to trickle in around 130 am.

    2. Brian(Grandville) says:

      Not yet, but here’s this.
      https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/413159956909527040/photo/1
      Low pressure looks to be in a good spot for us so far.

  15. Jack says:

    When it Comes to ” Model’s ” and Snow This one of My Favorites HERE::: http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2013/01/21/article-2265967-1711AFE0000005DC-22_634x335.jpg. Hahahaha. Stay Cued !

  16. Jack says:

    From Tom Skilling about 10 hrs. ago ::
    Tom Skilling
    11 hours ago
    This morning’s 6am forecast cycle is the 3rd consecutive run of the European Center’s model to place Chicago in line for a significant snow. The consistency up to this point is quite interesting.

    772Like · · Share

  17. Jack says:

    **** Comment # 600*****. Stay CUED…

Leave a Reply